Ryan Reynolds
@RyanReynoldsNFL
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NFL/ Sports Betting Analyst. Awards market/ survivor pool analysis: @EstablishTheRun . Fantasy Football: @rotounderworld
New Jersey
Joined August 2017
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Pinned Tweet
I gave Anderson out at 40-1 odds late in the year
@EstablishTheRun
Defensive Rookie of the Year voting:
• Will Anderson Jr.: 16
• Jalen Carter: 14
• Kobie Turner: 14
• Devon Witherspoon: 4
• Joey Porter Jr.: 1
• YaYa Diaby: 1
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When I was in my twenties I was diagnosed with a Stage IV blood cancer, where I was ultimately given a 50/50 one-year survival rate.
That news came 15 years ago today.
There’s never a good time for a nightmare like this, but it caught me while I was overhauling my life to start
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These guys are throwing each other through flaming tables before kickoff, winning divisional games behind their defense while completely ignoring that they have the option to run the ball, and they do stuff like this after the final whistle.
#BillsMafia
America’s Team
Bills fans started donating to Lamar Jackson’s charity after the QB’s injury against Buffalo.
Salute,
#BillsMafia
(h/t
@RickRitterWJZ
)
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The 33rd Team shut down their fantasy/ betting department today
Losing a dream job marks a very bad day, but the people at this company are what I'll miss the most
Moving forward, I produced over 750 pieces of content over the last 18 months ranging from:
Props
ATS
Survivor
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If Aaron Rodgers is out for the year, the Vikings play:
Phi, LAC, KC over the next four weeks.
Not sure how the contracts work, but a Kirk Cousins trade makes sense
They didn't resign him and it could push Minnesota into the Caleb Williams sweepstakes
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I'm thrilled to announce that I'll be joining the
@The33rdTeamFB
as their Co-Head of betting, where I'll be writing a weekly matchups column, among other things.
My spin on matchups is why I originally got into content, so I'm very excited for this opportunity.
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Just about everything went wrong for Justin Herbert last season
He played through a rib cartilage injury
Both Mike Williams and Keenan Allen missed over a month
Premium LT Rashawn Slater missed most of the year
Looking forward to what Herbert can do in Kellen Moore's offense
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I didn’t even dip my toe into sports media until I was 33
I started with a blog with truly horrifyingly bad aesthetics.
I knew football and sports betting better than most, but literal zero about media
The next football season the great Evan Silva gave me a shot on his newly
I heard on a podcast today, “you are not too old and it is not too late.”
This has been my mantra for the last couple years and I highly recommend it to be yours. The joy that I am starting to experience as
I follow what ignites my passion cannot be measured.
Take the risk.
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A declining WR that runs his mouth the moment anything goes mildly sideways
I’d rather give up a fourth for Keenan Allen as a win now move.
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I’ve taken roughly 25 thousand DM and email questions over the last two years and I just read the first needlessly disrespectful one that I received during that span.
That’s an amazing ratio. I appreciate you guys and the manners most of you display doesn't go unnoticed.
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As a show of appreciation I’m going to do a giveaway of the Michael Gallup National Treasures RPA 6/25 pictured below. You need to be following me and you just need to like this tweet if you’re interested. If this goes well, I’ll do something similar in the future.
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Not sure Lamar Jackson’s Ravens vs. Josh Allen’s Bills should be tucked away in the 1:00 PM cluster of games.
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I get the De'Von Achane enthusiasm, I love speed myself
But keep in mind that he'll be running behind of the league's worst offensive lines
One that lost it's best offensive linemen in free agency this offseason
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I started with the 33rd team in mid-July
I’ve done roughly 370 pieces of written and video content since then
Another 30+ with ETR
Written up every game through 17 weeks
Been on national radio enough times I’ve lost count of appearances
Over 60% ATS and on props
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The Patriots beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl 53
The Patriots also beat the Greatest Show on Turf Rams 20-17 in Super Bowl 36
Bill Belichick's game plan against the Bills in Super Bowl 25 is in the Hall of Fame for a reason
The guy's 71 with a bottom five roster, relax
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There's no way I could explain how many best ball teams I've drafted to anyone in my personal life
Absolutely no shot
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On Wednesday I tell
@EstablishTheRun
showdown king
@cmain7
Colts vs Jets is my kind of slate. Get home late enough Thursday to only get one lineup done, with all but a few tournament options filled up. What could have been
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I enjoy how you can go into virtually any convenience store in America and spend hundreds of dollars on lottery tickets but sports betting still hasn’t been legalized in every state.
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We had NFL insider Ari Meirov (
@MySportsUpdate
) on the podcast to discuss every NFC team
@jlarkytweets
and I asked Ari about fantasy relevant topics like:
*Position battles
*Roster changes
*Injuries
and more
We'll do it again on Thursday with the AFC:
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We had the great
@evansilva
on our podcast
We discussed:
*Players, like Justin Herbert
*Teams, like Derek Carr's Saints
*Range of outcomes in fantasy with Evan &
@jlarkytweets
And more, including my first phone call with Evan 5 years ago
Link to listen:
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I don’t partake in things like social media anniversaries
But making an account here led to my start in sports media, where I’ve now written for a major platform for 5 years.
It’s where I met Evan Silva, it’s where I met Josh Larky. One of the best decisions I’ve ever made
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The prospect of Aaron Rodgers going to the Jets reminds me a bit of Peyton Manning going to the Broncos.
One of the five best quarterbacks in history gets paired with a young roster filled with premium talent on both sides of the ball.
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I've had the privilege of working with some of the very best in this space.
Josh is the best hiring manager I've ever worked with and the best day to day boss I've ever had, by a mile
I could write a novel about how good of a guy Josh is
earlier today, i found out the entire
@The33rdTeamFB
fantasy/betting department is getting shut down
one major ask for the community
if you want to hire really smart people who know the ins and outs of football and content ⬇️
@RyanReynoldsNFL
@JordanVanekDFS
are both free
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@evansilva
Good sir, if Watson doesn't get hurt pick 4 is really pick 16 or so. The Texans were also a playoff team the year before. The trade was conceptually much more like the Bills trade with the Chiefs. You're a bright guy but you're going off the rails with this Sashi thing.
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Twitter Blue: I don’t care about this checkmark/ I prefer the old system
If I only purchased products from companies that are completely aligned with my interests
I’d be living in a box in Antarctica
I paid $16.50 for a grilled chicken sandwich last Tuesday
My job requires
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No one knows how great of an opportunity this is more than I do
@evansilva
let me write a sample for waivers heading into ETR’s first year
A moment that genuinely changed the course of my life
Tremendous opportunity, with phenomenal people
JOB POSTING!
We're looking for an analyst to create the best
#FantasyFootball
Waiver Wire content on the internet. What this has entailed in the past is:
* Column outlining waiver targets and bid recommendations
* Analysis of potential longer term targets and/or strategy
*
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Chase, Olave, Pollard start then the guy before me takes uncorrelated Burrow when he already has Hurts.
I have to admit, I'm a little triggered over this one
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I still can't believe the league allowed the Eagles to pair Jordan Davis with Jalen Carter
They could legitimately end up as the most disruptive interior duo of my coherent lifetime
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My biggest qualm with awards market voters is that Mike Tomlin has never won Coach of the Year
Ron Rivera has won it twice
Jason Garrett and Matt Nagy have won it
Kevin Stefanski won it over Tomlin in 2020
Tomlin's never had a losing season, its absolutely ridiculous
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Patrick Mahomes was throwing an "alarming" amount of interceptions around this time of year in 2018
His ADP dropped nearly two rounds as a result
A reminder to not overreact
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The Kadarius Toney injury news obviously isn't a positive for fantasy purposes
But I may actually be more concerned that he's (still) fielding kicks/ punts in practice
Not a whole lot of primary returners with big roles in their teams offense these days
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Since I’m waiting on injury news, my
#NFL
betting record through ten weeks:
ATS: 32-18
Props: 34-18
Best Ball Mania 3: 50/150 advance rate
Survivor: one live entry in DraftKing’s $1.2 million contest
A 🧵 with some screenshots below
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I'll be cranking out a number of articles this week for
@EstablishTheRun
subscribers
Including a surprise on Thursday
First up is NFL awards analysis on the Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year markets:
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If I had an awards vote:
MVP: Patrick Mahomes
OPOY: Justin Jefferson
DPOY: Nick Bosa
OROY: Brock Purdy
DPOY: Aidan Hutchinson
COY: Doug Pederson
COPY: Geno Smith
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Every Friday this football season I'll be analyzing a variety of position groups and game environments for
@TOCNFT
weekly contests.
Below is my breakdown for Week 1 posted
@OwnTheMomentNFT
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@evansilva
Much like Rodgers did with McCarthy and others, Russ gives a lot of mediocre decision makers job security. I can’t even imagine what they’ll use next year’s first round pick on.
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If you have a coming fantasy football draft on
@ESPNFantasy
, here are some insights after doing a few recent drafts on that platform:
Ideally, I want to leave the first four rounds with 1 RB and 3 WRs.
With how ESPN default rankings are set there are a lot of running backs that
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Never though I'd be answering questions with the phrase "I'd definitely lean Kelce considering that Taylor Swift is going to be there".
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Money management is very important in sports betting
If someone is giving out, say, a 25+ unit parlay they either:
Have no idea what a unit is
Or are providing horrifyingly bad money management advice
When you see stuff like that, be very careful
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@VancityReynolds
It used to be primarily Deadpool DMs/ comments, the soccer influx has been a nice change up
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Dear referees, football is an entertainment product and you are the least interesting part of the show
Please be much less involved
Signed, everyone that isn’t a referee
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Considering a bet tomorrow night in Commanders at Bears?
Even if you're just watching the game, my game preview will help you familiarize yourself with who both teams are.
I write up every game, every week for free
@The33rdTeamFB
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I have called Jordan a unicorn multiple times over the last few years
Great dude, reliable guy, unique analyst with an extremely bright future
Most importantly, one of my absolute favorite people to talk ball with
He'd be an asset anywhere
My department has been let go by
@The33rdTeamFB
.
I can't thank Josh Larky, Mike Tannenbaum, and Joe Banner enough to have had this opportunity.
I am a free agent now, if you are looking for:
- Fantasy Football.
- DFS (NFL, CFB)
Written/Video/Audio
My DMs are open.
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I had five Breece Hall OROY tickets last season. Think he runs away with that race if he didn't get hurt
This year, I'm heavy on him on both Underdog and DraftKings
Even if he's eased in early, I think he peaks when it matters most
Apparently I'm a Breece Hall guy
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New York Giants Preview
Last Season’s Record: 6-11
Current Win Total: 6.5 (+122o, -150u)
Acquisitions:
QB Drew Lock
RB Devin Singletary
WR Allen Robinson
OL Jermaine Eluemunor
OG Jon Runyan
Edge Brian Burns
CB Jalen Mills
Departures:
QB Tyrod Taylor
RB Saquon Barkley
WR
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In elementary school I wrote John Madden a letter stating that the out of town scores should come with a football symbol to show possession.
The following year I received an autographed photo of Madden in the mail and the possession football existed on TV broadcasts henceforth
Tell me a story about yourself the sounds like a lie but is absolutely true.
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If Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson and Jordan Addison each meet current ADP expectations
Kirk Cousins is an MVP contender
Either Cousins is a strong value, or at least one of his primary pass catchers is going to underwhelm
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My first article
@The33rdTeamFB
breaks down five teams whose win total has moved since it opened
Sea
Phi
NYJ
Chi
SF
This article is free, like everything I'll do on the platform this year:
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Imagine watching the 2023 Falcons and then saying: “That’s the guy I want to run our offense.”
Russini: Arthur Smith receiving serious interest from more than 7 teams to join as OC.
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I understand that Kadarius Toney recently released a video that would be more fitting for a Batman villain than an NFL wide receiver
He's also been largely unavailable through 2 seasons
That said, please watch his 2021 game against Dallas before writing him off as a talent
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Trey Lance is a polarizing name in fantasy football.
I've watched every snap he's taken as a 49er, which compelled me to discuss my stance on him
Available for free
@The33rdTeamFB
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I had a strong opening day on the sports betting front. Including a 5-0 start in one of my DraftKings Pick’Em entries.
I break down every game, every week in my matchups series
@The33rdTeamFB
.
This presents an opportunity to discuss some of my Week 1 process
🧵⬇️
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I sincerely have no idea how people mistake my Twitter account for one of the most famous guys on the planet
But I will say that of all the weird or unhinged messages I've been sent, this one is an original
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@jlarkytweets
@VancityReynolds
@RMcElhenney
I think this would go monumentally worse if I tried to pull this off.
That said, I don’t fear failure.
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My first matchups column
@The33rdTeamFB
is up for tonight's Rams vs Bills tilt. In it you'll find:
*A report on line movement
*Analysis on key matchups and potential mismatches
*How to handle various betting tournaments/ pools
and more
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NFL Win Totals are out, here's some early thoughts:
If you view Geno Smith as a borderline top ten QB you should probably have a pretty strong bet on their over 7.5 wins
I watch all the games so I do not view Smith in that regard, so thats a pass for me.
In my opinion, these
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News and rumors can have a major impact on NFL Draft betting markets
I took a look at DraftKings' and FanDuel's markets for the first five picks
There are some notable disparities in a few of those markets
Available for free
@The33rdTeamFB
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One of the primary reasons
@jlarkytweets
and I have had Jalen Hurts as our QB1 is that the Eagles could be more of a shootout team this year:
*High end OL
* High end pass catchers
*Tougher schedule (more neutral and negative game scripts)*
*They are set to lose significant
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If you're playing our NFT-based fantasy contests
@TOCNFT
my Week 4 writeup on appealing game environments and a variety of position groups is now up:
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I took down two 50+ entry, season-long winner pools behind a 13-3 final slate
I’m not a Week 18 guy, so I leaned heavily on
@adamlevitan
and
@FarleyBets
respective pieces on motivation
That will be the week 18 norm for me going forward
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@adamlevitan
Arthur Smith is on the fake sharp radar js my answer. Further. Matt Nagy should be fired today for having absolutely no plan yesterday. Just tried to have mobile fields play from the pocket against game derailing pass rush.
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So James Conner
New coaching staff in Arizona
Cardinals look like the worst offense in recent memory until Kyler Murray returns
Below average OL
"Everyone" is on Conner at cost
I don't know about you, but that all scares the daylights out of me
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Throughout this week I'll be providing
@EstablishTheRun
Draft Kit subs with NFL awards analysis on various markets.
That series starts with MVP:
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We're continuing to crank out best ball content
@The33rdTeamFB
*Rankings from
@jlarkytweets
and myself
*Podcast with BBMII winner
@ChessLiam
*Podcast with BBMIII winner
@PatKerrane
*Dozens of articles from
@JordanVanekDFS
@HilowFF
and more
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If you’re going to go with the “you’re fat” angle, at least say something interesting
Like, you used to do a show with a guy named Chris Farley, and you look more like Chris Farley than he does
That said, you’re spending Friday night trolling football analysts, so, can’t
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To all of you guys still in the hunt in the fantasy playoffs: Good luck and I hope each and every one of you takes your league down. I look forward to grinding out football/ betting strategies through the rest of the year and beyond
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I’ve done countless podcasts and radio appearances with some of the best in the industry
But I’ve never hosted, that changes tonight at ~6pm Est
I’ll talk tight ends with dynasty guru
@dynasty_im
Looking forward to round 2 of saying Trey McBride in an Irish accent
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Aidan Hutchinson
8.5 sacks
3 interceptions
2 fumble recoveries
Would win the Defensive Rookie of the Year in a landslide most years
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I haven’t taken a full day off since mid-August
To say that I could use a recharge is an understatement, but I am beyond grateful for those that have given me the opportunity to say this:
2023 will be the first full year that I do nothing but football for work.
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One of the challenges of player evaluation in football is an individual's performance is very reliant on others
What does Drew Brees do behind a bottom five OL?
What does Mac Jones do in SF?
Does Jared Goff's career look like Josh Rosen's if Sean McVay isn't hired?
What could
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Daniel Jones was 72nd in the league in air yards per attempt this season
Been waiting all year for a defense to plan accordingly
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We
@The33rdTeamFB
have been cranking out dozens of best ball articles and podcasts:
*Rankings
*Strategy Guides
*Insights from
@ChessLiam
*Week 17 angles
*Player and position specific studies
And more
All in one place, available for free:
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@adamlevitan
Great post man.
1. As one of the year 1 guys that’s now done an in season show with you for years, I’m stunned you had no prior business experience.
2. Especially considering the profiles and reputations both you and Evan have, you’re both tremendous people to work for.
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The Vikings are now giving up the fifth fewest points per game
This defense gave up over 300 passing yards to Mac Jones on Thanksgiving and Daniel Jones twice last year
Brian Flores has done a ridiculous job with this group
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I don't do this often, but dude with Patrick Mahomes takes Joe Burrow when I have Chase and Higgins
Thanks for understanding
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One of my rules in life is when smart people speak matter of factly, I listen
I was overweight on Tank Dell last year because of Jordan
When Jordan goes out of his way to tell you he likes a WR, you should listen
Everybody will search for this years “Puka Nacua”.
I don’t think there is one because of how that situation played out. Sean McVay + Cooper Kupp Injury + Matt Stafford + Being a great player.
However, if I had to bet on who it could be, I’d take my chance on Ricky Pearsall.
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The Deadpool suit really is quite slimming
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If you're interested in
@NFLALLDAY
's offerings, I wrote an article on
@OwnTheMomentNFT
where I discuss:
The concept of who cares and why
Sports collectibles supply
Over a dozen Moments I'm tracking, among other things
Free link:
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I'm becoming more bullish on Chris Olave
I've been increasing my best ball exposure, and I took a longshot OPOY bet on him
I discuss those stances below, available for free
@The33rdTeamFB
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@Pat_Thorman
Pat, in a long-standing career of exceptional content and hilarious commentary, this might be my favorite thing that you’ve ever said.
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Chiefs vs. Bills is arguably the highest interest game of the regular season. I treated it like a playoff game, available for free
@The33rdTeamFB
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Considering a bet on Broncos vs. Colts tomorrow night?
Check out my game preview, free
@The33rdTeamFB
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You’d think that putting my gigantic face as my profile pic would reduce the volume I get with this stuff
You’d be mistaken
@VancityReynolds
owns soccer teams, communications companies and stars in movies
@Wrexham_AFC
@RyanReynoldsNFL
disgrace from your man this. Keeper comes for the ball has eyes on the ball gets beaten to the ball and as such accidentally clatters the man, goalkeeping is instincts, you csnt switch them off cos its pre season, moron.
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Anthony Richardson is +3000 to be the first pick in the NFL Draft on DraftKings (came with a $16.40 limit for me)
He's +750 on FanDuel (yet +1200 to be the first QB taken)
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If you're an NFC South team, you'll run that division for years with a Lamar Jackson trade
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The Giants' offense is going to be tough to watch going forward
That said, Jalin Hyatt has ~150 receiving yards against the Raiders with good quarterback play yesterday
If you're in a dynasty league with overreactive managers, check in on Hyatt over the next few weeks
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