Josh Larky
@jlarkytweets
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fantasy football newsletter @SleeperHQ || @BN_Fantasy_ & @FastDraftApp affiliate || sr analyst @4for4football || https://t.co/Au2FOSFX5F
Dallas, TX
Joined July 2017
Balancing a day job with 3 paid football side gigs this season was tough, not going to sugar coat it. And then there were the dozens of hours creating matchups charts and fantasy rankings for social media on top of that . Planning to talk with a few companies this offseason about
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“Billy, this is George Kittle. He’s an elite route runner, maybe the most dangerous TE in NFL history after the catch, and he’s a fiery competitor. His defect is he now plays left tackle.”
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Titans refused to give 24 y/o AJ Brown 4 years and $100M. But they were okay giving 30 y/o Calvin Ridley 4 years and $92M ???.
BREAKING: Titans, former Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley agree to four-year, $92 million deal with $50 million guaranteed, per @RapSheet .
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Who’s stopping this offense? 😤. QB: Marcus Mariota.RB: Cordarrelle Patterson.WR:.TE: Kyle Pitts.
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Justin Jefferson has been in the league 5 years… (stick with me for 30 seconds). His receiving yards totals. 2020: 1,400 yards.2021: 1,616 yards.2022: 1,809 yards.2023: 1,074 yards.2024: 1,533 yards. Let’s say he did this for 10 more years…. 2025: 1,400 yards.2026: 1,616.
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Mecole Hardman 2 carries for 1 yard with 2 fumbles and 0 targets has to be the worst WR stat line in history.
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“Fantasy football punishment idea” - Instagram DM from my girlfriend. I laughed way too hard at this video 😂
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Really excited to watch Jonathan Taylor vs Javonte Williams on prime time tomorrow night. Been a rough week, this will cheer me up.
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Justin Herbert would throw for 6,000 and 50 if he had Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Tua Tagovailoa is better at playing the quarterback position than Justin Herbert. respek it or check it.
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It’s still early, but Cooper Kupp looks like this year’s Puka Nacua.
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Imagine if a WR could average. - OVER 13 targets.- OVER 10 receptions.- OVER 100 yards.- OVER 100 air yards. Per Game. That WR is Cooper Kupp, do not let him remain on your waiver wire.
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Jahmyr Gibbs is about to turn into prime Christian McCaffrey.
BREAKING - Lions RB David Montgomery is out indefinitely after suffering an MCL injury during Sunday’s loss to the Bills, per @AdamSchefter
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Fantasy Point Per Game Leaders. 1. Stefon Diggs (35.5).2. Cooper Kupp (31.8).3. Lamar Jackson (31.4).4. Josh Allen (30.6).5. Tyreek Hill (30.0).6. Amon-Ra St. Brown (29.9).7. Jaylen Waddle (28.9).8. Jalen Hurts (28.9).9. Carson Wentz (27.8).10. Michael Pittman (27.1). No RBs. .
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Possibly the grossest TD scorers in fantasy football history for a 34-27 game . Gus Edwards (2).Audric Estime.Michael Burton.Devaughn Vele.Derius Davis.Hassan Haskins.
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My dream rb.- 5’10”.- 220 lbs.- on his rookie deal.- 23-25 y/o.- no injury history.- 4.37-4.43 40 time.- elite vision (eye color doesn’t matter).- shifty and elusive.- handles red zone and goal line work.- 15-20 carries per game.- 5-7 targets per game.- 22-26 fantasy points/game.
My dream bf.- 6ft.- $300-500K total comp.- very ambitious & driven.- 27-33yo.- brown eyes.- loves nyc.- rlly funny but a bit weird.- rlly kind & has a moral system.- not trust fund baby (self made).- good taste.- good listener & planner.- loves running & reading.- loves me a LOT.
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“Billy, this is Brandon Aiyuk. He’s an elite route runner, who just had the most efficient season in NFL history on a per target basis. His defect is he wants to play for Arthur Smith.”
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Mark Andrews went from biggest fantasy football bust to possibly the TE1 rest of season in a span of 3 weeks.
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🏈 2024 Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet (FREE) . 📌 Bookmark this post for your fantasy football drafts. - Top 160 Fantasy Rankings ✅.-- Players to target**.-- | Players to fade | .-- Color-Coded by Position .QB🟥 RB🟦 WR🟩 TE🟨.-- Tiers Included 📊. - 10 Strategy Tips
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I've never seen a QB's play fall off harder than Deshaun Watson. Have to think the X factor here is suppressed guilt for his terrible actions. His processing speed, accuracy, etc. It's all gone.
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Detroit is having the worst draft. RB Jahmyr Gibbs at Pick 12.- 199 lb. pass-catching RB. LB Jack Campbell at Pick 18.- 3 career sacks in 4 years at Iowa. Clear misunderstanding of positional value. Disappointing for a team that had a chance to win the NFC Conference.
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Trey Benson - James Conner’s backup.Jonathon Brooks - Chuba Hubbard’s backup.Blake Corum - Kyren Williams’ backup.Jaylen Wright - De’Von Achane’s backup.MarShawn Lloyd - 7 NFL touches . Consensus top-5 rookie RBs all have murky outlooks.
BREAKING - The Arizona Cardinals are signing RB James Conner to a two-year $19M contract extension, per @AdamSchefter
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Panthers trading into Round 1 for WR Xavier Legette to get that 5th year option. Since it only took Legette 5 years to breakout in college…. Chess not checkers.
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I don’t understand CeeDee Lamb in the Deebo Samuel role. Just draft a RB next time. Unnecessary contact on these inefficient run plays for one of the NFL’s best WRs.
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The Fantasy TE Landscape. 1. Travis Kelce - 111.8 PPR. -- Tier Break --. 2. Mark Andrews - 91.2 PPR. -- Massive Tier Break --. 3. TJ Hockenson - 65.7 PPR.4. Zach Ertz - 64.9 PPR.5. Dallas Goedert - 63.5 PPR.6. Tyler Higbee - 62.0.
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📊Week 15 Fantasy Rankings . Tweet 1: QB Rankings .Tweet 2: RB/FLEX Rankings .Tweet 3: WR Rankings .Tweet 4: TE Rankings .Tweet 5: Matchups Tables. 📌 Bookmark this thread for start-sit decisions
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Jarrett Stidham.David Blough.Josh Dobbs.Desmond Ridder.Nick Foles.Davis Mills.Teddy Bridgewater.Carson Wentz.Mike White.Baker Mayfield.Kenny Pickett.Andy Dalton. The NFL has a starting QB problem.
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What’s stopping Ladd McConkey from having the Amon-Ra St. Brown rookie season?!. No target competition ✅.Elite QB ✅.Great offensive line ✅.
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Jonnu Smith catching 3 passes for 44 yards and a TD in overtime after zero catches in regulation is a legendary fantasy turnaround.
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Bengals v Rams did not feel like I was watching the 2 best teams in the NFL.
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“Isiah Pacheco over 14.5 rushing yards in the 1st quarter… just trust me on that one”. For the numb nuts who blindly tail picks without any analysis, just know that ESPN Bet doesn’t even offer this prop ☠️.
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Falcons were clearly a RB away from being Super Bowl contenders. Great use of the 8th pick when they selected Bijan Robinson.
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This guy . 1) Asks for advice.2) Doesn’t follow me.3) Still gets an answer.4) Tweets at me when Freiermuth has a better 1st half than Njoku.5) Deletes the tweet after Njoku has more fantasy points . Have a great rest of your Sunday, Michael!.
@jlarkytweets Freiermuth bump with Pickens out? Start over Njoku?.
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Projecting Win-Loss Records for Every NFL Team. This post contains (in order). 1. Projected NFL Standings.2. Team Tiers and Quick Write-Ups for all 32 Teams.3. Strength of Schedule Analysis.4. Win Probabilities for each Team in all 272 Games. 📌 Tip: Bookmark this post for when.
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Contract Incentives/Player Props Thread. Jamaal Williams gets $250k if he reaches 1,000 rushing yards. He sits at 994. Take him OVER 5.5 rushing yards when that line drops 💰. ⬇️⬇️.
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Week 15 Falcons. Tyler Allgeier - 15 touches.Bijan Robinson + Drake London + Kyle Pitts - 13 touches. The Panthers beat ATL 9-7. Fire Arthur Smith #DirtyBirds.
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I still can't get over Clyde Edwards-Helaire having 7 carries for 0 rushing yards in Week 3. And still scoring 14.9 fantasy points.
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RBs I (Confidently) Prefer Over De'Von Achane Rest of Season. Christian McCaffrey.Tony Pollard.Bijan Robinson.Austin Ekeler. End of list.
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Good, Eric Dickerson did it in 16 games.
Eagles HC Nick Sirianni told reporters, “We’re gonna rest some guys” Sunday vs. the Giants. There will be no single-season rushing record for Saquon Barkley.
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51 different RBs have at least 15.2 PPR points in a game this season. Najee Harris is not one of them.
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D’Andre Swift would break fantasy if he got the goal line carries in this DET offense.
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Big winners here are Calvin Ridley and the 3 non-Titans teams in the AFC South.
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I will Venmo 1 random follower $25 if Tutu Atwell out-scores DeAndre Hopkins in PPR points this week. Just like this tweet to be eligible.
@jlarkytweets I ain't trusting DHop nada, pulled this stunt last yr, decoy game, single digit games, + w Ryan nope.Tutu it is.
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Ja’Marr Chase had only 18 more targets than Robby Anderson. He put up 936 more receiving yards though 😂.
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Top-5 WR Duos in the NFL. 1. Tyreek Hill - Jaylen Waddle.2. AJ Brown - DeVonta Smith.3. Ja'Marr Chase - Tee Higgins.4. Amon-Ra St. Brown - Jameson Williams.5. Calvin Ridley - Christian Kirk.
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I watched all 32 Will Levis drop backs from Week 8 with All-22 footage. Before diving into what I saw, his stats from Sunday were *why* I wanted to dive into the film. Among 31 QBs with at least 15 drop backs from Week 8. .
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Breece Hall has an INSANE Fantasy Schedule. Week 13: SEA (21st)🟡.Week 14: MIA (8th)🟢.Week 15: JAX (2nd)🟢.Week 16: LAR (15th)🟡.Week 17: BUF (3rd)🟢.
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Kyle Pitts. - Cordarrelle Patterson on IR.- Face TB run D in Week 5. Arthur Smith legally has to let Pitts have the 100 yard breakout game this upcoming week.
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George Kittle is putting up NUMBERS in consolation brackets 🔥.
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My Favorite 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy.(2 minute read, it's truly that simple). Round 1.I want 1 of the 3 elite RBs on my fantasy team.(CMC, Breece, Bijan). Otherwise, Ja'Marr Chase (middle) or AJ Brown/Garrett Wilson (late). Round 2.If you took a RB in Round 1, draft a.
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I’m actually not sure SF is a great *fantasy* landing spot for CMC. Part of his fantasy appeal is pure volume and that should decrease significantly in SF.
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If the Cardinals win more games than the 49ers, I’ll delete my account and spend $3,500 on limited edition James Conner jerseys.
The Seattle Seahawks are projected to win the 2023-2024 NFC West, according to the @P_Lytics model. This same model suggested taking the Under on Cardinals 8.5 wins last year. Here’s why the #Seahawks will succeed this season and what it means for fantasy football 🔽
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The Atlanta Falcons should get on the phone and see what SF wants in return for Trey Lance. ATL has a fringe top-10 OLine, and 3 elite play makers in Bijan Robinson, Kyle Pitts, and Drake London . Their overall roster is too good to acquire a top QB prospect via the NFL Draft.
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Christian Watson’s 3 TD game smells a lot like Chase Claypool’s 4 TD game from his rookie year.
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Age 27 Onward. Todd Gurley.0 carries | 0 targets | 0 total yards. Latavius Murray.969 carries | 168 targets | 5,013 total yards. #BillsMafia.
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True story*. Girl on Tinder: What are you up to tonight? 😉 💦 . Me: I’m grinding waivers for 25 fantasy leagues and I’m trying to decide if I should prioritize Joshua Kelley or Puka Nacua in my big money league. Kelley’s usage was great, but I’d like to get more info on Austin.
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Finding out Harrison Butker’s mom is a Physicist at Emory University is objectively hilarious
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Tonight's game has one of, if not the, fastest group of WRs I've ever seen:. Will Fuller (4.32).Mecole Hardman (4.33).Brandin Cooks (4.33).Tyreek Hill (4.34).Kenny Stills (4.38).Sammy Watkins (4.43).Randall Cobb (4.46). Can anyone post 6+ WRs from another game that tops this?
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RBs no longer look like the true league-winners in fantasy. 18+ PPR points/game.RBs: 3.WRs: 13. 20+ PPR points/game.RBs: 2.WRs: 8. 23+ PPR points/game.RBs: 0.WRs: 4.
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Now that Justin Jefferson is on IR…. Reunite Kirk Cousins with the Washington Commanders so Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson can score fantasy points again.
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Darren Waller and Keenan Allen are both 30 years old. Both have needed two months to recover from hamstring strains. Age plays a factor.
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#Saints RB Room. Alvin Kamara - Suspended 3 Games.Kendre Miller - Didn't practice all week (hamstring).Kirk Merritt - Pretty much a WR, 26 y/o with 0 career carries. All signs point to 20+ touches for Jamaal Williams in Week 1.
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5 QUICK DRAFT TIPS. 1. Always use age as a tiebreaker (younger is better). 2. Draft your WR3 before your RB2. 3. Draft only 1 QB. 4. Elite TE or 2 late-round TEs. 5. Only draft RBs who catch passes. Following these guidelines will put you ahead of 90% of the competition.
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2021 Slot Rate. Christian Kirk - 49%.Laviska Shenault - 52%.Evan Engram - 44%.Dan Arnold - 42%. Every Jaguars pass play about to be.
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NFL Team Tiers. These help power our win total predictions, which will be released tomorrow on @The33rdTeamFB site. ⬇️ Where did we go wrong? ⬇️
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba #Seahawks. Weeks 1-4.Running 30% fewer routes than Metcalf/Lockett ❌.JSN's average target depth: 3.2 yards 🥶. Week 5 BYE. Week 6.Ran identical number of routes to Metcalf/Lockett ✅.JSN's average target depth: 7.6 yards 📈. Big game coming soon for JSN 🤫.
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CMC was out-touched and out-gained by Elijah Mitchell last night
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Justin Jefferson has averaged 1,608 receiving yards per season. Davante Adams has NEVER reached 1,600 receiving yards in ANY season before 🤯. #Skol.
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Tyler Allgeier has MORE rushing yards than Kenneth Walker 🤯.
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WR Player Comps. Quentin Johnston - Randy Moss.Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Randy Moss as a slot WR.Jordan Addison - Randy Moss in DeVonta Smith's body.Jalin Hyatt - Randy Moss mixed with Henry Ruggs.Zay Flowers- Small school Randy Moss.Kayshon Boutte - Randy Moss with character concerns.
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Joe Flacco (5 Browns starts in 2023).League-leading 323 passing yards per game 🥇. Jameis Winston (5 Browns starts in 2024).League-leading 336 passing yards per game🥇.
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So the Jaguars signed slot WR Christian Kirk with slot WR Laviska Shenault on the roster…. Then signed TE Evan Engram when they have TE Dan Arnold already. Great to get Lawrence more weapons, but they could have been more strategic with who they chose.
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This is the worst week for fantasy football in recent memory ⤵️. CJ Stroud: 86 passing yards.Jayden Reed: 2 catches, 10 yards.Devonta Smith: 1 catch, -2 yards.Tyreek Hill: 1 catch, 8 yards.Jaylen Waddle: 1 catch, 11 yards.Diontae Johnson: 1 catch, 17 yards.Sam LaPorta: 1 catch,.
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I am never drafting another RB in fantasy ever again unless it’s Rashaad Penny or Leonard Fournette because these younger RBs can’t stay healthy.
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Ja'Marr Chase. Better rookie season than Jefferson. Better QB than Jefferson. More targets per game last year than Jefferson. Faster than Jefferson.
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Eagles Defensive Front. EDGE Nolan Smith (4.39 40-time at 238 lbs).DT Jalen Carter (Pick 9 in the draft).DT Jordan Davis (4.78 40 at 341 lbs).DT Fletcher Cox (6 Pro Bowls).DE Brandon Graham (11 sacks in 2022).DE Josh Sweat (11 sacks in '22).LB Haason Reddick (16 sacks in '22).
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Guys, I know they're both injured, I'm referring to play style comps. Phillip Lindsay == Jonathan Taylor. Mike Boone == Javonte Williams.
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Baker Mayfield supposedly learning the entire play book in 36 hours tells you just how simplistic the LAR offense will be tonight.
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@MySportsUpdate And basically have another 1st round talent on the way with a fully healthy season from Jameson Williams.
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Moment of silence for the draft your own backup RB enthusiasts who took JK Dobbins in the 3rd and Gus Edwards in the 8th.
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New York Giants could have gone offensive line in the 1st round of the draft, but the allure of a WR with negative receiving yards after 2 weeks was simply too alluring.
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Most fun landing spot nobody is talking about: Los Angeles Rams. They have the cap space, need an outside WR, and hate draft picks. Lets watch Matthew Stafford throw for 5,000 yards again.
Bengals franchise WR Tee Higgins has requested a trade, per sources. Higgins loves Cincinnati and hoped to be with the team long term, but is disappointed that the team has not had any talks about a long-term contract extension since March 2023. He’s ready to move on to a new
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📊WR Matchups for Week 13 Fantasy Football . Outside receivers (left chart) and slot receivers (right chart). 📌 Bookmark this post for Week 13 matchups. [QB, RB, and TE opponent-adjusted fantasy matchups are in this same thread] . How to Interpret: .George Pickens' slot
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This Cam Akers news is heartbreaking, especially for him. Don’t lose sight of what these athletes go through. Sure, this cost me money, but to him, his whole career is in jeopardy, depression can set in, recovery is tough…. Rooting for Cam.
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When you’re a fantasy analyst making $24,000 a year working 80 hours per week but you get bailed out by your much more successful girlfriend 😤
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JuJu Smith-Schuster’s NFL career may have just ended from a Valentine’s Day tweet at age 26. He caught 111 passes for 1,426 yards at age 22. Life hits you fast.
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Joe Burrow played his Senior season with the dynasty WR1 and WR2 and then Patrick Mahomes requested the running back.
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Cooper Kupp’s WORST fantasy performance (11.4 PPR) was BETTER than Allen Robinson’s BEST fantasy performance (10.8 PPR) 🤯.
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Jalen Hurts currently has 12 fantasy points thru nearly 3 quarters, putting him on pace for 41 fantasy points today.
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