Fanduel is giving us some fun new markets for player prop futures this year. Spent last night tinkering with guys I love this season (including FF) that will breakout.
I focused less on the odds/payouts and more on guys I expect to over achieve. Notice the 25$ bet vs $100 for
You think we need one more?
OK. We’ll get one more.- Danny Ocean
This one is my favorite of all 3.
🏈Dobbins had 9 rush TD his rookie year.
🏈Pierce will be a rookie QBs best friend and HOU will finally be able to move the ball w/ some consistency.
🏈Mattison having 5 rush
1250 receiving yards seems like a lot huh? 8 WR/TE did it last season.
🏈Cooper had 1160 last year despite Watson starting only 6 games.
🏈Ridley hit this line in 1/3 full seasons already and now has a 17 game season ahead of him.
🏈Diggs is 2/3 against this number as a
Montgomery and Hill are entering CMC level on TD odds. So we add in the heavy ML favorite to kill the juice.
Bijan seeing workload increase WoW against a HOU allowing 7 rush TD in 5 games.
Gus has 2 TD in 3 starts vs PIT
4 legs is my max on TD parlays these days and this one
Wide Receivers catching BOMBS to start the games tomorrow.
It’s sad the amount of time spent finding which players have favorable matchups.
@PFF
and
@fboutsiders
are a wormhole for prop guys.
Thought I’d share my findings.
#GamblingTwitter
A lot of heavy favorites this week and a lot of minus money TD props.
I’m going to combine the two and get higher odds on a ML favorite + TD scorer. What do you guys think?
Wish I could add as zero to that $25 wager but I gotta baby coming🥲
#GamblingTwitter
Feel free to unit shame. 9-0 in the last 3 Primetime games. Hitting my stride to finish this season.
Headed to Mexico this weekend with a little money to blow.
#GamblingTwitter
Saw a lot of tweets today for “$10 into $10K” challenge.
I respect anyone who’s doing it and will eventually give it a go after All-Star break.
But make sure you’re giving credit to the reason you’re doing it. It’s cause of
@CallingOurShot
#GamblingTwitter
This is my No Sweat NBA bet I saved for tonight.
Nothing over 20pt.
Nothing over 10ast.
Nothing over 3+ 3PM.
All realistic lines that I found value in. Rookies present uncertainty, KCP new team, Giddey improved shooting, Garland gets 🕷, Haliburton 📈
#GamblingTwitter
Update: got my last hedge in.
If Cal wins, I win $17,810
If Nevada wins, I win $13,000
If Cal wins, by 3 or less, I win $30,810.
With a wedding 40 days away, this was huge. Thank you to EVERYONE who showed support.
#GamblingTwitter
is one of the best things on twitter.
My $5K site credit bet is below. Tonight is big, it's the longest odds, but I am comfident in my analysis of Logan Thomas rec.
I can accept losing this bet, but I will never get this opportunity again to bet $5K; it's just not within my means.
BET RESPONSIBLY
#GamblingTwitter
To anyone I won money today, see below. If you see someone who could use the extra cash this time of year, throw them a few bucks.
Life’s hard and it’s cold as shit. Hot meal and a beer goes a long way.
#GamblingTwitter
In 10 days, I marry the woman of my dreams. I've got alot of last minute things to handle so the content will slow down, but I'll still have a few plays.
Sold my Travis 1's to help pay for the wedding. Atleast I have these photos🥲
#GamblingTwitter
Jackson (Jack) Miles Stanley
Born 10/22/22
7lbs 9oz
20 1/4”
I’ll be off this week while I help my wife recover and spend time with my family. Both articles posted with my 1pm/4pm plays got done before the weekend. I’m on cloud 9 right now, hope everyone cashes today✅
What
@CallingOurShot
is doing right now is hands down the best thing in
#GamblingTwitter
.
I would make the argument he’s the best account in the space.
1. Free
2. Transparent(tracks)
3. Profitable
I’m inspired.
WHAT A NIGHT!
We move to Day 8 with over $1200 to play with. Hopefully tomorrow will not be as sweaty as the last 2 days have been.
Either way, get some rest.
Big Day tomorrow.
See you in the morning.✌️
The 4 Horseman of the Touchdown Apocalypse.
Outside of Week 1 I don’t think we had a scenario where all 4 guys played in the same week. I’ll buy the Bijan lip service ONE MORE TIME and then I’m done.
#NFL
#GamblingX
#GamblingTwitter
I have a parlay for tonight.
It has 1 NFL leg and 5 NBA legs.
Two are + odds. Rest are chalk. None are 2TD or no name guys.
It's 73-1. I put $25.
#GamblingTwitter
I want
@FS1
or
@espn
to make a reality show that tracks bettors for 72hours after they win life changing money.
Pay off debt?
Go on a trip?
Take your parents out?
Buy a car?
Roll the winnings?
Shopping spree?
Quit your job?
All of this interests me.
#GamblingTwitter
The most overlooked bonus to buying the NBA League Pass is the obscure halftime shows you get to watch if you’re so inclined.
Circus performers, illusionists, bad dancers, dogs, middle school kids. It’s like they brought the best the mall has to offer into your living room.
Hey Everyone,
If you tail me or follow my account with any regularity, please take the time to read below.
Life comes at you fast. I’ll bounce back and when I do I’ll be better than you’ve F’n ever seen.
Best of Luck to
#GamblingTwitter
during my absence 🤙
No Rodgers, no Brady, no Russ, Roethlisberger.
Mahomes, Allen, Burrow,Lawrence all in divisional round.
The transition is complete. The new generation of NFL is firmly in its prime. Pretty cool. Makes me feel old
Kirk in a bounce back vs man coverage (
@PropBomb
on coverage trend)
VJ is still WR1 and better odds to score than Puka. Stafford expressed his faith in him
Wilson will be running for his life and NYJ need to scheme around his skillset(or lack there of)
Mostert had 62 Rec yards
Last two lottos and I'm done for the day. Time to start cooking for Christmas event
#1
.
Best of luck today everyone. I hope someone hits a 💣 and spreads Christmas cheer to the rest of
#GamblingTwitter
How is this not one of the greatest stories in
#GamblingTwitter
history?
If me and two friends all hit this, We’re at Newark airport booking the first trip to Vegas. Whoever it was, cheers fellas.
Stay with me... LeBron needs 117 points for the record. We all agree by now it's happening vs MIL on Feb 9th.
Needs to average 29PPG to get there. Won't want to leave it up to chance with Kareem in the building.
O28.5P(-115)
35+P (+210)
#GamblingTwitter
We’re going to find out really quickly if the NFL really wants Bills Chiefs on neutral site.
Cause that’s a TD. Not enough to overturn it but the call was made. These are the plays you remember when you talk about the NFL being rigged or wanting certain outcomes.
I got a lotto for tonight. Nothing too crazy but $5 pays just above $1K.
5-legs.
Highest odds are +240.
Any interest?
{This is where I shamelessly beg for engagement that validates my existence as a twitter handicapper}
#GamblingTwitter
I know he's "Money Mayweather", but I'm really starting to think he's broke or just a degenerate gambler.
I heard no promo for this exhibition. Had no idea he was fighting until I saw this. It's just sad dude. Cash grabs whenever he can.
⚠️ANNOUNCEMENT-PLEASE READ⚠️
I have decided to create my own sports betting community called "The Prop Shop". This decision is not one I take lightly and has been months in the making. After 3 years of doing this for free, I felt it was time to transition and create something of
The guy who's inputting these Buddy Hield Assists has been on autopilot for the last two weeks. I have no clue how it's stay at 3.5 for this long.
Every game as a Pacer so far. Averaging 5.7APG
#GamblingTwitter
I’ll say it again for the people in the back: 73 YPG as a starter in his career.
🏈Calvin Ridley O67.5 receiving yards -115
KC will get a pass rush boost but their secondary is lack luster. Sneed is their best piece and is almost exclusively a Nickel. Sucks for Kirk but another
It's pretty sick how much thought and time I put into this bet. But that's what we're here for. Want to hit the greatest best in
#GamblingTwitter
history? Gotta put in the time. 🤙
#NBA
Went to Costco last night and spent wayyyy too much money. But cooking is a hobby and I’d rather spend the money on good food.
Broke down this tenderloin into 13 filets (diff sizes). Totally worth it if you got the patience and want to save $
Today is my 2-year wedding anniversary. The Mrs and I will be spending it racing go-karts and eating red meat at our favorite restaurant.
I will not be watching much of the games today, but for good reason. Without her, this account doesn’t exist. She pushed me to get on camera
"MPJ" unders.
His brother was telling him when he was taking nights off.
Im actually OK with players betting on themselves to succeed (Pete Rose). But when youre betting on yourself to fail or telling others to, you're cheating the sport.
Investigate MPJ too.
𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: Jontay Porter averaged ~$2M a month in volume on FanDuel. Despite the "unusual" wagering trends FanDuel allegedly ignored it and failed to do proper due diligence.
Absolutely insane.
This is
@casualtakeking
exclusive, so make sure to follow to stay in the loop...
Scumbags.
Legalized sports betting should have always been viewed as a marketplace, but instead it's books just taking advantage of defenseless bettors because...they can.
Lesson is: Shop around. Loyalty to a book is wasted. Do not expect them to do "the right thing" in any
PointsBet responds to controversial voiding of Tyus Jones double double bet. After it hit, the sportsbook said they were voiding it because odds were not priced correctly
@HoldenCantor
@NFL_DovKleiman
Now show the clip of the missed facemask on Goff that would have had the Rams first and goal going up a TD instead of a FG 🤫
This is sickening if true.
Turning player props into one-way markets would likely be the nail in the coffin for me doing this stuff. Just give books every edge imaginable and turns this into boardwalk games essentially.
In the last 5 months I’ve:
-Become a father.
-Written 150+ betting articles w/
@Pickswise
-Done 3 shows a week.
-Been featured on
@SiriusXMFantasy
+
@NBCSportsBet
.
-Learned how to walk again.
-Closed a multi-million dollar contract at work.
I’m tired. And I’m not done yet.🍺
Finally got to meet
@PropBomb
after years of random phone calls discussing angles and plays🤙
Pretty cool that
#GamblingTwitter
can bring people together like this from across the country. One of the few I chop it up with on here🤝
I just finished my 3 Plays for Sunday that I publish with
@DimersCom
weekly,
I've got THREE 1.5U plays for Sunday and I love them all.
Let's try something. If I can get 100 likes on this post, I will publish one early. Last 2 weeks I'm +9.15U, 14-5 overall.
#GamblingTwitter
From the same guy that brought you Quintez Cephus TD and Desean Jackson TD brings you...
Michael Thomas 2x TD!
Higgins out, Thomas in at WR3.😉
#GamblingTwitter
If anyone had a Giannis TD ticket and you see ANYTHING happen to the payout (refunded, updated as loss), please share with
#GamblingTwitter
We need to know how books handle it when the shoe is on the other foot. My hope is that they just keep it as a win.
The NBA has rescinded Giannis’ 10th rebound last night, which gave him a triple-double, per
@ZachLowe_NBA
League rules state that in order for a FG attempt to count, the player must shoot “with intent to score”
Early Plays for Week 1
#NFL
Sunday:
Jared Goff U 21.5 Comps -110 on DK 1U
Baker Mayfield O 7.5 Rush Yards -115 on BetMGM 1U
Damien Harris O 3.5 Receiving Yards -120 on DK 1U
Analysis below. Share feedback!
#GamblingTwitter
#NFLBets
#NFLTwitter
I guess now is as good as ever to mention I finally caved and added the tip jar to my profile.
No VIP, no Discord, no fees. Free picks and analysis with full transparency. If I've made you $ or made you chuckle, tip what you wish🙏
#GamblingTwitter
If this hits tomorrow I’ll give $100 to 3 different people who RT this and are following.🤝
🏈No Nico Collins and Woods returns in same week.
🏈Chargers have allowed a 30+ yard reception in 6/8 games.
🏈Murray w/ three 20+ yard rushes in 2022 and fresh legs in his return.
I never post "could be tickets", but I'm a DeeJay Dallas TD and four 3PM from McCollum from calling out of work tomorrow. And the next day...til Christmas.
#GamblingTwitter
No doubt the NFL is considering postponing the rest of this game - but how? This late in the season, a game of this magnitude is crucial to the regular-season outcome ... which suddenly seems so irrelevant.
Lot of new followers. Who is ready for my Week 1 $255 TD parlay? Using my winnings from Tony Finau's National Trust PGA victory.
Can I win big in back to back weeks?👀
#GamblingTwitter
#NFL
#NFLTwitter
Early list for $255 Week 1 TD Parlay:
James Robinson vs HOU
JK Dobbins vs LVR
Dalvin Cook vs CIN
Mike Davis vs PHI
Potential Long Shots:
Tyler Higbee vs CHI
Irv Smith vs CIN
Tee Higgins vs MIN
Give me some feedback!
#GamblingTwitter
#NFLTwitter
#NFL
#NFLBets
Early NFL lines are out!
Got two player props put in already for Sunday. Give me 50 likes and I'll share it on here.
And yes, typing this tweet made me cringe.
It doesn't make up for how awful my record is this week, but hopefully a D-Jax TD just made you some money. This one helps ease the sting a bit.
#GamblingTwitter
One more for tonight while I’m wrapping up:
🏈Justin Tucker o1.5 FGM (+110) 1U
Cleveland hasn’t let up a touchdown in the redzone yet this season and Tucker is automatic inside the 50 anyway. I will always take this at + money odds in a divisional matchup. No weather concerns
Smart teams know when to cut their losses.
Robinson is a jump specialist, who can win a high % of contested catches. This is not what McVay needs from his WRs. He needs them finding soft spots in coverage and winning early in the route. Never felt like a good fit.
Bring back
The
#Rams
have given WR Allen Robinson’s agents permission to seek a trade, and L.A. is willing to pay a portion of Robinson’s $15.25 million guaranteed salary to facilitate a deal, per sources.
Robinson is still only 29. Another big-name veteran potentially leaving L.A.
⚠️They changed the odds on me, but that doesn't mean I change my bet. I like what I like.⚠️
Think it's going to be a big day for RB's and TE's. Get your Kittle/Kelce plays ready.
#GamblingTwitter
#NFL
Have to share this 2TD lotto. We see a few 2TD guys per week. Took Etienne from
@halfbirdhalfman
and the other two are in my weekly ATTD article.
#GamblingTwitter
I've got
#NBA
Plays for tonight:
Scottie Barnes OVER 7.5 REB +105
Larry Nance OVER 6.5 REB -128
Alec Burks OVER 2.5 AST -115
Mikal Bridges OVER 11.5P -126
1U on each.
#GamblingTwitter
#NBATwitter
#PlayerProps
Before I finally go to sleep, I’m sharing this play for Sunday.
Each leg I’m playing individually and will pop up in articles.
I love all their matchups. Feels like London/Jones are severely underpriced this week.
A lot of sharp minds on ASB. Montgomery is a redzone machine.
My Full
#NFL
Week 3 Line Up including TD Parlay:
9 Plays, two 1.5U's, and a 6-Leg TD Parlay 866-1
Will share SGP's and late night plays throughout the day.
#GamblingTwitter
#NFL
#NFLTwitter
RIP Troy.
We watched this man stair death in the face for the last year and he didn’t bat an eye.
Nothing about this life is promised. I’ll hug my son a little tighter tonight when I put him to sleep. Whenever my time is, I hope I can handle it the way Troy did.
#HermoStrong
This is Troy's brother Alex. Troy sadly passed away while surrounded by family last night. On behalf of Troy, his wife Brennah, and the Hermo family I'd like to thank everyone for supporting, donating, and cheering on Troy through his battle with cancer. He loved all of you.
Going to drop in this thread some bets I already put in for tonight. Starting off with another DD parlay since we fell 1 reb short yesterday. Let me know what you’re on tonight
#GamblingTwitter
I'm in the office today so don't have the ability to make my plays look nice and neat. I'm putting 0.5U on each of these and also parlaying them. Loving these early
#NBA
lines. Let's 🧻
#GamblingTwitter
#NBA75
#NBATwitter
You know the drill, early game means card drops early. Our favorite boom or bust WR Justin Watson made the card.
Looking for a bounce back week. Dropping my parlays in this thread. BoL to everyone today, we are officially in the back half of the NFL season. Let’s finish strong.
Alright I’m done with NBA for rest of the day until we get some rando players lines up(Jalen Smith reb👀). Onto NFL.
Outline below of my RR tonight. Betting safe tonight. I suggest you do the same🤙
#GamblingTwitter