Nikolas Pareschi, MSFE, Scl ☕️
@Nikolaspareschi
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Professional Gambler I try my best to control myself and only make bets with positive expectancy Former World Champion Trader - 2017
Joined October 2023
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Thats nothing, most people erased from their heads what happened during march 2020
Between 2:00 and 4:00 PM ET today, the S&P 500 erased ~$600 billion of market cap.
To put this in perspective, the S&P 500 added ~$600 billion of market cap over the last week.
The index was up for 10 straight days but erased 5 of those daily gains in 2 hours.
The volatility
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What is the optimal number of stocks in a portfolio? Personally, I aim for 15. Beyond 10, the incremental gain in lowering the standard deviation by adding more stocks is minimal. Maintaining a portfolio of 10-15 stocks allows for a focused approach in selecting outstanding
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A sad truth... You need to put the hours... And it is not just 100 or 1000. Much more
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Money flows and the importance of new liquidity
Pre.mkt we are looking at this edge:
Trading rules:
Go long $SPY on the fifth last trading day of the month and hold for N days:
Below is the equity curve of holding for 7 trading days - 1993 until today:
(The edge can be improved a lot)
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Countries ordered by Price to Book Ratio
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Good morning everybody! Today we have FOMC minutes, it will be probably important, maybe it will give insight about the 3 predicted rate cuts by Powell for the year.
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kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk
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The Behavioural Biases of Individuals - Part 2
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True story
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The Behavioural Biases of Individuals - Part 1
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$MARA $RIOT $BTBT $HUT $CLSK $COIN $BITF
SEC approved first BTC ETF.
Be careful nevertheless.
Remember that BTCUSD topped on 2017 on CME approval for BTC futures.
I would only DT these names and on both sides.
There are plenty of sell the news examples outhere.
Let´s go!!
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Earnings for today premarket. $COE $EBF
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Joel Greenblatt Magic Formula applied to 70.000 stocks backtest plus other filters for momentum and earnings:
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Sykes being Sykes kkkkkkkkk The godfather
Goooooooooooooooooooooooood morning! I’m waking up extra early in 2024 as I’m inspired by
@markwahlberg
and hit daily regiment so I can make more gainzzzz in 2024…are you ready to push yourself to achieve more this year?! LFGGGGGGG!
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Earnings release in the aftermarket $KBH $RELL
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Imo both are going to take the oscar this time
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GM everybody!
Expected news for today:
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Guys, monday NYSE does not open, just remembering
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FEAR IS THE MIND KILLER
Can´t wait to see Dune 2 !
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What is happening with shipping stocks? Problems in the Panama channel, Suarez and Middle East?
$ZIM $SBLK
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LET THE GAMES BEGIN $SPY $QQQ $UAL $TOPS $ZIM $VZ $NFLX
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The ponies run, the girls are young
The odds are there to beat
You win a while, and then it's done
Your little winning streak
And summoned now to deal
With your invincible defeat
You live your life as if it's real
A thousand kisses deep
I'm turning tricks, I'm getting
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Quarter Rotation, 12 stocks in the portfolio. Rules:
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I was going to 40, but there is something called recency bias... Honestly, dont know
Which market event or news in 2023 do you think had the most profound impact on financial markets?
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Imo twitter after Musk buyout is affecting $TSLA
1. He was supposed to eliminate all bots, actually it seems there are more of them.
2. Now you get flagged by anything, like posting Good Mornin and a bear with a heart picture (yes, that was flagged as sensitive content)
3.
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Apocalypse Now - Marlon Brando one of the greatest
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USD has become the greatest forex safe haven surpassing even yen. We saw a valuation in yen during 90-20 as it was the greatest safe heaven. The contrary argument is that real yields on USD probably will go down this year more than other currencies.
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This is very nice, actually maybe nothing is that much scary after all. It is worth to read what people are saying. Maybe we are really afraid of what we don´t know.
What's the scariest fact you wish you didn't know?
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An old opening, but immortal - Scarface
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He made clear his reason already. He would hunt Nazis in Ukrayne, his words. No need for more lies.
Regarding currencies IMO it is just the opposite, the dollar will be stronger agains all these currencies (RUB, CHN, EUR) in 10 years. It is the greatest safe heaven now,
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I should have gone to the cinema twice, not only once for Interestellar...
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Hello fellow investors, dataquest is doing a promo for a week where you can take any Python courses. I advice to do all on Probability and Statistics. Without any doubt, what most helped me on my trading career was the Math background.
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@stats_feed
I do not think that poor countries have a sense of community. On the contrary. I was born in Brazil and many people are corrupt or accept corruption.
Also poor countries have much higher rates of murder, so what community is that? What sense of religion is that?
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Pokerstars seems finally to be focusing on regular players and not recreational ones. The new reward system is great, it remembers the Supernova days.
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@NetflixBrasil
Espero que não cancelem este show no meio como tantos outros... Melhor esperar para ver se finalizam os 3 livros mesmo.
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Results for each month since october 2020
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Mainly Suarez channel. ZIM was founded in Israel too.
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The easiest way for the average person to get rich is to buy cheap real state of one bedroom and rent. This makes about 15% per year considering rent and valuation after taxes. If you do this on a country with a devalued currency you can bring those numbers to 20% per year.
Look
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Seem a good plan to hold for the weekend $MRAI
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@OddStockTrader
Hahaha, yeah, what is bizarre is that some guys bought precisely before the movement. Probably some quant high tech fund detected
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Self diary.
MC over 1 billion. Long due to price action, earnings review, potential asymmetry.
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A nice concept that is present on CFA exams:
Conditional convergence is the tendency that poorer countries grow faster than richer countries and converge to similar levels of income. However, there's a caveat. This convergence is conditional on institutions and other factors
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I am always afraid to tweet something and influence the markets in reverse. Full paranoia due to game theory
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@CeliaEdwarc5082
No one truly knows... It is just probabilities, 52% chance of going up, 48% down, things like this
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Marine sector margins will went through the roof!
$ZIM $TOPS
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@adamkhootrader
That is a great pool. I think I prefer to give away my house and some money than give up Google and Microsoft forever. Windows + Android runs 99.9% of the useful programs.
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Do you know what Scl stands for?
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No
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@stats_feed
Russia each day less and less relevant.
Nowadays it is just a commodities producer with old nuclear devices.
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