Luis A. Mendez
@MendezMovieRPT
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Boricua. Floridian. Theist. Writer. Podcaster. Film Critic. Oscars Predictor. Occasional Psephologist At @MendezElectRPT . Member Of @CACF_Critics & @PRCritics .
Tampa Bay, Florida
Joined January 2018
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I'm planning on taking things to another level in the coming months, so follow me wherever you can (Click the link below) if you like movies:
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Ya'll can hate this man all you want, but I know who I want prosecuting my haters and enemies
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The Academy about to give us back-to-back Best Picture winners that were box office hits, casuals responded well to, cinephiles and critics loved, and were the popular picks by many as their fav of the year.
The Oscars are back baby.
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Ya'll wanted a race in Acting.
You got a race in Acting.
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Holy f*ck what were we thinking?!
I can collectively hear everyone dropping this from their Oscar boards as we speak.
Motherhood is a different beast. Amy Adams stars in NIGHTBITCH. Written and directed by Marielle Heller, based on the best-selling novel by Rachel Yoder. In select theaters this December.
#Nightbitch
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Folks there were Academy voters at this thing
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Dude won an Oscar and broke his own box office records during his 70th birthday, never give up folks
Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire is now the highest-grossing Godzilla movie of all time.
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Half of these movies got Oscar nominations...
The Oscar nominations and moviegoing tastes have pretty much parted company.
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Between INSIDE OUT 2 and now this, Disney is like...
Audiences have spoken!!!
When it comes to know what audiences really want,
@VancityReynolds
just gets it, as
#DeadpoolAndWolverine
starring
#RyanReynolds
&
#HughJackman
receives a strong A
#CinemaScore
from moviegoers, extremely rare for R-rated films, and on par with
#Deadpool
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Proof the Oscars need to stop being in March. We're already talking about next year!
How 'Dune: Part Two' Could Spice Up Next Year's Oscar Race for Picture, Director and More
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Current Top 4 Of 2022
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Watching the new Lee Daniels (The Deliverance) and Glenn Close truly is always on her A-game. No matter the assignment. No matter the quality of the film.
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Comparisons to BABYLON are an insult to that movie. Even right off the bat that movie had its passionate defenders coming out of the screenings.
Everything I'm reading about MEGALOPOLIS makes it sound like this year's arthouse version of MADAME WEB.
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Film Twitter needs to remember PAST LIVES now has to beat THE HOLDOVERS which is just as beloved.
BARBIE now has to overcome a bunch of heavyweights, including the Best Picture frontrunner.
All these "Song about to win her Oscar! Barbie wins Adapted!" takes are way too cocky rn
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Not only am I now convinced 'Anatomy Of A Fall' is a Top 5 Picture contender, but I think its currently competing against 'Holdovers' and 'Poor Things' for what might be
#2
.
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If you have Netflix and Peacock, you can now pull off one of the best double features possible
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1. Because less showy, less physically transformative, roles tend to not win unless they sweep the industry
2. Lead actor in the Best Picture winner hasn't happened in a decade-plus
3. No, there wasn't a conspiracy against him by pundits/predictors
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@ZoeRoseBryant
Same sorta thing happened with De Niro and Thurman. Played lovers in MAD DOG AND GLORY, then played father/daughter in THE WAR WITH GRANDPA
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The Oscars are on here...you know the supposed ceremony "no one cares about."
The NFL accounted for 93 out of the top 100 most-watched broadcasts in 2023, via
@Sportico
.
No other sport besides football made the list.
There’s dominant, then there’s this:
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I'm kinda' overwhlemed at *how* dominant EEAAO has been.
I thought it could go all the way, but I thought it would be an underdog type, last second surge path.
I wasn't expecting one of the all-time Picture sweeps in awards circuit history.
We don't even have a
#2
...
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- Oppy love all over the board again
- Maestro did better than Film Twitter said it would...again
- Major red flag for Barbie that it missed Best Film. Rare to win without being in the BAFTA 5
- Holdovers is super strong aside from the SAG miss
- Lilly is in *deep* trouble
The 2024 EE British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA) Nominations
#BAFTA
#EEBAFTA
#BAFTANoms
#BAFTAs
#Nominations
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#Oscars
#FYC
#AnatomyOfAFall
#TheZoneOfInterest
#PoorThings
#Oppenheimer
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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No wonder Giamatti goes to IN-N-OUT after these
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Punditry is the most obvious answer to this
Name a job where you can consistently be wrong and still not lose your job?
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Ke Huy Quan's domination is getting to be overwhelming at this point
The 2022 Black Film Critics Circle (BFCC) Winners
#BlackFilmCriticsCircle
#BFCC
#TheWomanKing
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Oscars
#AcademyAwards
#AwardsSeason
#Awards
#FYC
#FilmTwitter
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I think THE COLOR PURPLE might do better box office than this app assumed it would based on the showings near me, including more rural screens.
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Ya'll keep underestimating MAESTRO & it keeps getting big nom hauls & a bunch of guild mentions.
Prepare yourselves for a good showing on Tuesday morning. I can see up to 7-8 noms on its best day.
Audiences may be mixed on it, but industry people are loving it as much as I did
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Special place in Hell for the people who are driven to doing this because they can't stand that a group of human beings exist
Boston police confirmed they are investigating a report of a bomb threat at
@BostonChildrens
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Last time that happened was...last year
PGA DGA SAG and ACE holy shit that's what we call a sweep
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@admcrlsn
Never in history has a President come back from approval ratings this bad to win re-election this far out. Its over barring a historic image comeback for a sitting incumbent of the likes never seen. Even Truman had less to come back from (-4 Versus Biden's ~-20)
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I wanna see how things look after it opens wide and older voters start screening it, but as someone who was doubtful about how audiences would receive it, POOR THINGS so far has audience scores that are much better than BARBIE and up there with OPPENHEIMER & 'Spiderverse' 👀
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RT Audience score dropped from 81% to 75% overnight even after verification. But at an impressive 4.2 on Letterboxd.
That B+ Cinemascore is making sense. Clearly, a movie a certain type of film fan loves, but general audiences seem less over the moon.
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- EEAAO has the post 2010s Noms leader curse to overcome
- Banshees/TAR don't strike me as preferential ballot wins
- Fabelmans underperformed with some major guilds, lacks BAFTA love
- Top Gun has missed some key precursors and lacks Acting nom
So *as of today* my answer is:
WEEKLY POLL: “Which Film Do You Think Will Be The Next Best Picture Oscar Winner?”
VOTE HERE:
#NBPpolls
#Oscars
#Oscars95
#OscarNoms
#AcademyAwards
#Oscars2023
#AwardsSeason
#BestPicture
#FYC
#Awards
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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It's now SAG or bust for Lilly but honestly Emma beating Huller here speaks volumes.
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Cillian is back in it. Now it's SAG or bust for Paul.
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We're going to have 3 straight years where the Picture winner wasn't screened at any of the major Fall Festivals.
The 2023 Producers Guild Of America (PGA) Winners
#PGAawards
#PGA
#Oppenheimer
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#Oscars
#Oscars2024
#AcademyAwards
#FYC
#Movies
#Film
#TV
#Television
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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Ya'll have a week to sway me on what to predict.
My mind keeps flipping back and forth.
I'd argue this may be even harder than Yeoh V Blanchett was to figure out.
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The older Oscar pundits are really trying to make 'All Quiet' winning a thing.
Folks a movie with no major guild noms, no Directing/Acting/Editing noms is not going to win Picture.
If you're desperate to find a
#2
, go with one that at least hit most of those.
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- Big underperformance from BARBIE but it can still bounce back with a big CCA showing
- Watch out for Anatomy
- Oppy remains movie to beat
- Don't get too comfortable with these Acting race frontrunners just yet. Remember JLC?
The 2024 Golden Globe Award Winners
#GoldenGlobes2024
#GoldenGlobes
#Awards
#FYC
#Oscars
#AwardsSeason
#Oppenheimer
#PoorThings
#Barbie
#TheHoldovers
#Movies
#Film
#TV
#Television
#Beef
#Succession
#TheBear
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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These FURIOSA reactions make me think its definitely still in the running to sneak into the Best Picture 10 with the right perfect storm.
Getting vibes of a movie I'll be seeing in a lot of people's personal Top 10s
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Best Picture *feels* like there's less room for the final slots than this time last year, no?
Locks:
- Oppy
- Killers
Very Likely:
- Poor Things
- Holdovers
- Barbie
- Probably In:
- Color Purple
- Maestro
- American Fiction
Spots 9 & 10 feel like what's up for grabs
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Am I crazy for thinking she could be a surprise BAFTA winner if they really go nuts for Oppy?
Kinda wild that Emily Blunt has 3 BAFTA Nominations, 5 SAG Nominations including a win, 7 CCA Nominations, 7 Golden Globe nominations, and is just now about to get her first Oscar nomination
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I really hope the Harris campaign is aggressive in making sure they get to define Walz before the right does.
The online bubble loves him but the public opinion data on swing voters, and normies I talk to, tell us almost everyone has absolutely no clue who he is. It is
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Just a reminder that the last few years a film that wasn't seen as a top-tier contender at this stage of the awards season started to surge when we got to the industry stage of things and finished at least top two (1 won).
This thing still has plenty road left until Oscar night.
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Thing is, I can see this being a movie I think is fine/okay. But Oscar player? We really talked ourselves into a fantasy there.
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I don't watch like almost any TV so I just realized the EEAAO crew is all over the place these past few days on morning and late shows plus magazine/website interviews.
A24 really keeping their foot on the pedal during the voting period 👀
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If its the next LOTR it would likely be awarded for the final instalment now that this looks like a trilogy from Denis. So I *highly* doubt this.
That said its kinda' wild with how bad 2024 in film has started we already have our 1st Picture contender of the year.
I HAVE SEEN ENOUGH REVIEWS.
‘DUNE: PART TWO’ IS GOING TO WIN BEST PICTURE AT THE
#OSCARS
NEXT YEAR.
MARK IT DOWN. IT IS A WRAP.
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I can see why this was being talked about being a straight-to-stream thing...
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So is BARBIE gonna just win Song?
The 2023 Art Directors Guild (ADG) Winners
#ADGawards
#ADG
#BestProductionDesign
#Oscars
#FYC
#Oscars2024
#AcademyAwards
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#PoorThings
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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#Godzilla
hive...we're going to the Oscars!!!
The 2024 Oscar Nominations
#Oscars
#AcademyAwards
#AwardsSeason
#Oscars2024
#OscarNoms
#Oscar
#Awards
#OscarNominations
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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I know it seems like we're walking into an incredibly predictable Oscars, but more than a few races are still somewhat to really competitive:
- Actress
- Adapted
- Animated Feature
- Animated Short
- Costumes
- Doc Short
- Live Action Short
- Makeup
- Prod Design
- Sound
- VFX
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MAESTRO is showing up so much among the industry in these below the line categories that I once again warn folks to stop underestimating its Noms haul potential.
The 2023 Cinema Audio Society (CAS) Nominations
#CAS
#BestSound
#Oscars
#FYC
#Ferrari
#Maestro
#Oppenheimer
#Barbie
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#AcademyAwards
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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@ZoeRoseBryant
That sound you heard is a Barbie movie legit potentially being a Best Picture nominee
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You just know this was the Netflix execs when they screened UNFROSTED
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First look at Cillian Murphy as J. Robert Oppenheimer in Christopher Nolan’s ‘OPPENHEIMER’.
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He should've won the Oscar for this
I miss Tom Cruise’s “I’m the biggest movie star in the world so I can do challenging, weird, big-swing stuff” era (1998-2004 approximately). We’re not ready for his late-stage circle back to that time.
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Kong: We need to go down that hole
Godzilla: You still want the smoke?
Kong: What, no. We need to go -
Godzilla: Come get some!
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Agreed on Butler. Dude proved ELVIS wasn't a fluke with his performance here.
Yes, the first major Best Picture player of 2025 is here and it's Dune: Part Two. The first Dune got 10 Oscar nominations. The second one will get more and Austin Butler may earn one of them. My thoughts:
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Feels kind of scummy to post this when ELEMENTAL had some of the best legs of the year and became one of Disney's few successes
Dreamworks, Pixar and Illumination all had their worst box office opening weekends of ALL TIME in 2023.
All from original movies.
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Per
@NextBestPicture
precursor board...
- Farrell still ahead, but Fraser has started to show life
- Yeoh is starting to pull away from Blanchett after a tight start
- Condon leading, but Hsu & Monae aren't too far behind
- Quan could probably beat the ghost of Jimmy Stewart
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*A lot* of caveats to go around with this, but I'm 20 anonymous Oscar ballots in and if you were hoping these would paint a brutal picture for EEAAO in Picture, you're going to be a little disappointed...
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@NextBestPicture
Literally was going to have the key to Hollywood handed to him by the industry this year.
The biggest franchise going today put all their cards on him being the foundation of their movies the next few years.
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I tend to defend the live action remake plans, but this movie isn't even 10 years old! I think this is more bizzare than the Aristocats one
A live-action ‘MOANA’ remake is in the works at Disney.
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Now that I've seen
#YourPlaceOrMine
those awkward publicity photos make so much sense now. Absolutely zero chemistry
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69 years, 37 films (most of them bangers) and counting
#GodzillaDay
Vid via Black Coffee ad in Japan
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There's an uncomfortable story here that some want to ignore or aren't ready to talk about on how a group of white actors pushed for a white actress in a tiny film over two black actresses that got Noms elsewhere.
Andrea Riseborough made Best Actress! Her indie TO LESLIE was barely released, but she relied on a network of famous pals — among them, Edward Norton, Gwyneth Paltrow, and Sarah Paulson — to swarm social media and tout the movie en masse just as voting for the Oscar noms began.
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ANORA has won the Palme!
Sean Baker's movies tend to have a ceiling come awards season, so I remain skeptical it makes the Oscar 10, but this might just be the one that proves to be more accessible than his past stuff was.
The 2024 Cannes Film Festival Award Winners
#Anora
#SeanBaker
#NEON
#Cannes2024
#Palmares
#Awards
#PalmeDoR
#Cannes77
#CannesFilmFestival
#FilmFestival
#Cannes
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#AwardsSeason
#Oscars
#FYC
#FilmTwitter
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If you told Dems mid-Summer that they'd only lose 7 House seats, potentially gain a seat in the Senate, and have a net gain Govs, there would have been a full blown party in DNC headquarters and rightfully so
NBC is projecting a 219-216 GOP majority in the House. The GOP went into the election w/ 212 seats. That would mark a single digit, 7 seat gain for the party out of power. I mean that's truly awful - historically speaking.
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There you have it. The 1st film to win DGA/PGA/SAG/WGA since ARGO.
A film that swept the 4 major guilds has never lost Picture at Oscar
aaaaaand the WGA award for original screenplay goes to… EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE!
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Good luck to everyone figuring our Actress 🫡
The 2024 Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Award Winners
#SAGAwards
#SAG
#ScreenActorsGuild
#Oppenheimer
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#AcademyAwards
#Oscars
#Oscars2024
#Oscar
#FYC
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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Can't do a formal review of
#TheColorPurple
.
What I can say is the songs are great, the film has incredible emotion/soulfulness, the ensemble is a powerhouse, & this is a really good "watch with a crowd" movie.
Best musical since IN THE HEIGHTS for me.
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Film Twitter: WE DEMAND MORE FROM OUR ANIMATED MOVIES! Here's a click bait article that proves it!
The Real World: Had a blast, awesome experience! No bonus notes.
The difference I've seen in how this movie has been embraced in the real world VS on here continues to astound me.
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And all three made the BAFTA 5 Best Film slate.
BUT only Oppy and Poor Things got into DGA.
BUT only Oppy got SAG Ensemble.
The stats are just so heavily in Oppy's favor.
There are 3 films that were nominated in Director, Screenplay & Editing
• ANATOMY OF A FALL
• OPPENHEIMER
• POOR THINGS
All 3 also have at least 1 acting nomination.
#Oscars
#Oscars2024
#OscarNoms
#FilmTwitter
#Oppenheimer
#PoorThings
#AnatomyOfAFall
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@brianslionsblog
@the_shoe_yes
Bingo. The poli science, the electoral outcomes, and the political environment since 2016 has been perfectly normal versus previous political eras. And that's the scary part, we've had a paradigm shift and the electorate still treats all this like its normal
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@DrewSav
Thinking about all those Biden supporting, more socially liberal, suburbanites who ran to the arms of this guy because they were scared by anti-CRT talking points nonsense
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We blew him up with a bomb, we hit him with an oxygen destroyer when he was about to take care of Ghidorah, we built a machine that made him look like the bad guy.
I'm surprised he hasn't had it up to here with us yet.
His eyes are different this go around..
God help us if they pushed him over the edge.
#Godzilla
#GodzillaxKong
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The Good News for Oppy: No clear
#2
emerged today
The Bad News for Oppy: BAFTA/Oscar Picture rarely align
That good news is a big deal though. SAG/PGA weekend is the last ditch effort for the field.
The 2024 EE British Academy Film Awards (
#BAFTA
) Winners
#BAFTAs
#EEBAFTAs
#EEBAFTA
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#FYC
#Oppenheimer
#PoorThings
#TheZoneOfInterest
#AnatomyOfAFall
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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Best Picture vibes check; pre-fall festivals
-
@GoldDerby
user consensus
-
@NextBestPicture
site consensus
-
@withbrotherbro
's Awards Expert app community consensus
Will be interesting to see how these age in the coming months. Lots of agreement at the moment save for a few
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We have a new leader in most annoying anonymous ballot that I've read this year.
A plethora of bad takes.
Anonymous 2024 Oscar Ballot
#4
#Oscars
#Oscars2024
#Oscar
#AcademyAwards
#AwardsSeason
#AMPAS
#Oscars96
#Awards
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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My instant Critics Choice reactions:
- 'Avatar' is for real
- 'Elvis' is for real
- 'Babylon' has come back to life
- EEAAO remains strong
- RRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!
- Bassett is in the hunt
- Deadwyler, Hsu, and Monae needed this
- 'The Whale' is just a Fraser thing after all
The 2022 Critics Choice Award (CCA) Nominations
#CriticsChoiceAwards
#CriticsChoice
#RRRMovie
#EverythingEverywhereAllAtOnce
#TAR
#Babylon
#AvatarTheWayOfWater
#Elvis
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#AcademyAwards
#Oscars
#FYC
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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I continue to be amazed on Cons finding a way to make Biden look cooler than he is
BREAKING: Disney+ just released the poster for their newest star wars series
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Barbie in stunts? LOL
These stunt crews raised the bar for action 💥 Congratulations to our Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture nominees!
#SAGAwards
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And I can see either of these ladies winning at BAFTA or SAG
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Some of you after that trailer: "Maybe we underestimated the Piano Lesson?"
Me:
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SHE'S GONNA DUMP ME BRO! AND THEN SHE'S GONNA MAKE A SONG OUT OF IT!
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The obsession by some to try and rehabilitate Polanski's image is one of the most bizzare and disgusting things I've ever witnessed.
From the push to give him an Oscar back in 03 to the victim blaming, nothing will change the fact he will die as and be known as a rapist.
Roman Polanski’s Wife Interviews His Rape Victim, Who Says: ‘I Was Fine. I’m Still Fine.’
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- For those who were playing silly games that MAESTRO could miss in Picture, it just had a solid showing here
- Very concerning that Godzilla missed VFX. I get it, it's BAFTA. But would've felt better for its chances if it got in here.
- May December just took a massive hit
The 2024 EE British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA) Longlists
#EEBAFTA
#BAFTA
#BAFTAs
#Awards
#Oppenheimer
#Barbie
#KillersOfTheFlowerMoon
#Saltburn
#PoorThings
#AwardsSeason
#Longlists
#Oscars
#FYC
#AcademyAwards
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#FilmTwitter
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Next up? DGA where Oppy is heavily favored.
After that? BAFTA where Oppy will likely show strength with international voters.
After that? SAG where it could be 1 ensemble win from ending this all together.
After that? PGA where the preferential tests frontrunners
The 2023 Critics Choice Award Winners
#CriticsChoiceAwards
#CCA
#CriticsChoice
#Oppenheimer
#Barbie
#Succession
#TheBear
#Beef
#Awards
#Oscars
#FYC
#AwardsSeason
#AcademyAwards
#TV
#Television
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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We all knew
#MarioBrosMovie
was gonna make bank this week, so the movie I'll be keeping an eye on box office wise will be
#AIRMovie
. I really hope there's enough room for it to be a hit as well.
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THE COLOR PURPLE staying in the Picture race (It never left doubters) is a hit to the "Barbie will win Picture" truthers. This will have a diverse cast that could perhaps win Ensemble and could replace it as the joyous musical crowd pleaser to get behind. Will feel fresh/new too.
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Going with the PGA 10 but I think people are underestimating how weak PAST LIVES is looking with the industry compared to critics.
WEEKLY POLL: “Which Ten Films Do You Think Will Be Nominated For Best Picture?” (Choose Up To 10)
VOTE HERE:
#Oscars
#Oscars2024
#AcademyAwards
#BestPicture
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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The
@NBRfilm
Top Films Of The Year:
- Aftersun
- Avatar: The Way of Water
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- Everything Everywhere All at Once
- The Fabelmans
- Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
- RRR
- Till
- Top Gun: Maverick (WINNER)
- The Woman King
- Women Talking
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Okay Nolan really might be unstoppable this year (And deservedly so IMO)
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (directors of 'Everything Everywhere All at Once') will host a screening of
#Oppenheimer
in Los Angeles at the Directors Guild of America (DGA) on December 5, followed by a conversation with Christopher Nolan.
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When are we gonna' have that conversation that Cailee Spaeny’s character in CIVIL WAR is annoying and gets people in danger?
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Following up on my previous QT, for all the claims SAG is gonna' love THE COLOR PURPLE there has been 0 evidence any other guild has.
Also, SALTBURN sure seems to be hanging around with all these mentions of late👀
The 2023 Art Directors Guild (ADG) Nominations
#ADG
#BestProductionDesign
#FYC
#Oscars
#AcademyAwards
#AsteroidCity
#Napoleon
#Barbie
#PoorThings
#Movies
#Film
#Cinema
#Awards
#AwardsSeason
#Streaming
#FilmTwitter
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