extraordinary genius. angry anon. on fintwit sabbatical. touring poltwit. 20 yrs ex. mag7. aged 4x. scarred 10x. saving (stealing) memes one at a time
#bigR4L
™️
PSA: I’m going to do another round of deletes. I don’t want this to get too unwieldy.
Delete = block.
If you’re not a bot show some signs of life.
P.S: if you’re private, you’re out.
All you dumbfuckwits expecting the same play as last year.. will get rekt. You’ve 24 hrs to de-risk or get rekt. Fed’s path for a “soft landing” literally looks viable. You’re hanging your hat on sticky inflation that’s yet to show up in the data.
A proper mindfuck week would be if we 📉 early in the week into Wed.
And then NVDA posts some so-so Q2 results but some absolutely bonkers guidance for Q3 all based on AI hype orders.
ATHs 350 and Fintwit collectively quits trading.
@WifeyAlpha
✊👏 I’m old enough to remember I was long over the weekend when everyone expected a crash. Because a poorly managed bank had some 💩 in it’s balance sheet 😂😂 You, my friend, were the only voice amongst your peers that offered me some confirmation bias. 🙏
What the actual fuck gang? Is this where we are?
I determined after all the attacks from the large account shills and dumbfucks… I’ll be happy if I helped 50-100 people NOT get fucked by fukwits.
This is where I get off.
Bozos all of them.
PSA: I’m going to start a private Twitter so we can laugh at the rest of fukwits without prying eyes & 🐶🐶 nipping at us.
Rules for admission:
1. I should like you.
2. We should have interacted at some time or the other… AND…
3. See rule
#1
ETA: TBD
P.S: obviously, free 🤷♂️
8/2/2023,
#ES_F
: Since we had a “surprise”… just to aid you in framing your trades.
🎯🎯New 🧲🧲 4606-08 👀👀
🎯🎯 4593-95
🎯🎯 4632-38
Think of the 7/27 nasty red daily (4553-4635) as a box. Buy low, sell high. 🤌 If either side gets breached but you face the wrong way, GTFO.
Either Fintwit capitulated at the wrong time (👋
@WifeyAlpha
) or I’ve effectively gamed Elon’s algos. I see no noise here.
Recession bros went home with their toys (& toy models) last week.
#bigflip
bros too scared to re-ignite a failed hashtag
#bigcuck
wins.
Routine weekend
@WifeyAlpha
🗣️🗣️
“Fam, I’ll give you generational bottom”
Generational bottom comes and goes (Probably?) and NVDA ATHs
Wifey: HODL ZEE PUTS FUKFACE AND EAT YOUR DAMN 🥦🥦
😂😂
Q2 starting w a bang.
Q1 5200 ✅
Almost all singles ✅
BA, BABA 💀💀
Earnings decides. Party on.
Positioning and flows > macros.
Maybe, EOM April or May around ER 📉
GL gamblers
Fintwit macros 2022: Lot of “people” will lose their 👔👔 this cycle.
Fintwit macros 2023: I post my thoughts weekly. Did you read it?
Susbtack circle jerk. 🤫🤐😂
tracking reasonably well
“Expecting 📉from Feb/Mar - Jun
🔪🔪like Q3 ‘23 & Q4 🚀🚀”— off by a month for 📉
ER will likely be mixed & Jensen at Q2 tail end into June OpEx resets for Q3 📈
wait for good discounts; re-entry is always sloppy & harder— optimize for time than price
PSA: I really DGAF what *you* think or anyone here thinks. “Fade” me, watch me get burnt.. doesn’t fuckin matter. It’s a market after all.. if your “model” demands you count total # of 🧸& 🐂.. do it 🤦♂️😂
Spare me your garbage spiel.
Please & thank you.
P.S: only OGs allowed.
6-month annualized core PCE - the biggest data release for the day - stepped below 2% with aplomb to 1.87% in Nov from 2.34% in Oct.
Mission accomplished?
Well, let's take a look under the hood at what's going on in the 🧵
now that likes are private, like this tweet to let me know if you’re red for the year
i don’t share trades here because
a) everyone went private w their cute lil newsletters/twitter
b) i don’t feel like helping deranged MAGA 🍩🍩
will reconsider if the # is alarmingly high
observed on Fintwit:
> nobody can predict where spoos will go
> macro outcomes are all just probabilities
mfker, if it’s all just probabilities, how come you’re losing ALL the fuckin time?
🎯5030s this week but i would consider a tactical run 📈 to 5270-5300 from…
5225?
before they sell back 📉 to 5000s/5150-75 to end the week
idk about you, im quite happy w all the fear and blood on the streets.
mfw, feel free to scoop up some of the 🎁🎁
“no discord invites”
I do not want to 👀
> retarded jerk fests from fintwit’s best
> enraging 💩 Elno algos serve on my TL
I would like a few of you to benefit from my views sans any guilt but haven’t figured out if private Twitter or discord or WTFever is the soln.
obv., free
🙏🙏❤️😘
it was fun w 100-200 people around and to show most of you how easy it is *every* week…most of the time in the markets
now, I would feel guilty if more people follow and 💩 doesn’t work.. it’s *your* hard earned $$ after all
I still call out the obvious trades!
Its that time of year again:
If you are a teacher who is struggling to supply your classroom this upcoming year, please post a link to your classroom wish list.
I will get as much as I can, and I usually have some awesome followers who will help out too!
3/
This account was mainly to shitpost at the failed traders from 20-22 that have mushroomed into garbage shills and sub sellers.
I rant a lot. Get blocked a lot. You may not derive a lot of value from what I do.
“Few” 😂:
1. Acknowledge the high vol sells due to X assets (Andy nailed it last week)
2. Macro trying to get > positioning
3. 🧲🧲 4593-95 (high odds).
Good high probability trades EOM/Sept.
P.S: my vote is chop before 📈 to 47s until Q4 sells 📉 🤷♂️
Just nibble if you’re an
8/2/2023,
#ES_F
: Since we had a “surprise”… just to aid you in framing your trades.
🎯🎯New 🧲🧲 4606-08 👀👀
🎯🎯 4593-95
🎯🎯 4632-38
Think of the 7/27 nasty red daily (4553-4635) as a box. Buy low, sell high. 🤌 If either side gets breached but you face the wrong way, GTFO.
I see the bond bros and macro morons have weighed in on the bridge fiasco. Never underestimate the power of delusional dipshits’ capacity to show their critical thinking prowess in all arenas
Psst.. 🧸 < 4520 > 🐂
🎯🎯 4549.5, 4565, 4580… stretch 🧲4593-95
Expectation:
Hold 🧲🧲: 4465, 4480, 4500
Give tomorrow to the market gods and gamblers.
Don’t worry, I won’t shitpost too much.
I’ll drop some “alpha” fam amidst all the shitposts so you would have earned it if you sifted through my nonstop garbage.
If your scenario analysis does not include a strong Qtr and ER season,
consider adding that.
That translates to ATH for NQ. By EOQ.
❤️😘
To the OGs:
Apart from some ER calls and TSLA 📈📉.. this Qtr was meh.
I’ll bring back the daily/weekly bias stuff briefly or at interesting spots.
Close out the year 💪 fellas ❤️🍻
P.S: I know there were some oopsies, I’m not happy. For refunds contact my Twitter attorney.
ER season wrap: 7/8 or 7/10 if you want to be a stickler. What are the odds? “Binary events”.. yes… but… 😂🤌
Can an anon furu claim victory? ✅
TSLA ❌
GOOG, META, AMZN, AMD, BA, BABA, DIS ✅
P.S: Side bets— MRNA, PYPL ❌
people ask me why I shill David
a) confirmation bias ✅
b) he actually trades
c) stays true to data
d) acknowledges reality and
e) makes 💰💰
Doesn’t post moronic stale scripts, hashtags or yell at Yellen/JP/market.
Lastly, has a 🔥 sense of humor.
Life is short ❤️
No wonder
@BatteryHays1905
does this. Amazing. Saves me a lot of time and unnecessary 💩
But… I’m taking a break and would like to stay away from this shit show.. where grunts and peons gather up 👀👀 and 💩 on each other while sharing 💩alpha.
Jokes on you, suckers.
@brianportnoy
1. Macro, accessible 101s:
@dampedspring
2. Macro trading:
@EconstratPB
3. Relatable “Voltwit”:
@therobotjames
4. Day trading:
@Dcpcooks
5. Bad traders: 3–5 Fintwit TA/equity traders and large accts
imp. to compare and contrast bad vs good & real trades vs thought exercises.
Michael Mott: I see a diamond. Crash imminent. As early as next week.
For 3 fuckin qtrs.
WifeyAlpha: HODL ZEE PUTS FUKFACE
For 2 fuckin qtrs.
EliantCapital: shorting semis here.
For 2 fuckin qtrs.
Fair warning: this account is going to implode/combust soon with receipts and the expected response from the crooks and charlatans (and the many 🐑🐑 shills they will send) here.
Stay for 🍿 or unfollow to retain your sanity.
You: anyone get this 📈move in Q4?
Me: 👇
You: anyone get the no ER recession trade 📈 in Q2?
Me: 👇
Fintwit: who was bullish in 2023
Me: 👇
Fintwit: any 🤡can buy the dip. Show me how they did in 2022
Me/OGs: buddy, you’re not gonna believe this..
😂👇
Feeling lucky 🤌😘
New year goals 👶👶
This should recalibrate your outlook in life and your trading philosophy.
> authentic operators
> practical advice
> small wins
> limit exposure in $$ and time
> unfollow 99% of the idiots on Fintwit
Difference between real traders and Fintwit. Like that Meisler counting candles. They will post stats, recite history or meaningless trivia.
May- till now: CAT, HD, BA, OXY.. 🚀🚀
I know some of you made💰💰💰with me.
PSA: now that we are back closer to 750… another round of deletes.
This round.. lurkers.
Easy deletes— if we haven’t engaged at all or you don’t seem legit or you’re “buddies” with assholes.
Hit me up on the other account if I make a mistake 🤷♂️
PSA: I’m going to do another round of deletes. I don’t want this to get too unwieldy.
Delete = block.
If you’re not a bot show some signs of life.
P.S: if you’re private, you’re out.
Yes, there is no shortcut. But, don’t do this “hard work” thing.
Pace yourselves, take a lot of breaks, try different things, limit your exposure in time and $$… you will come out just fine.
stop. chasing. a. gazillion. strategies.
focus. on. your. execution.
focus. on. yourself.
focus.
a life time of trial and errors await you, act like it. don’t get fucked up before you even get started. be around to crack the code.
❤️❤️😘
Dumbfuck times OpEx cycles and pretends he’s a genius.
His 🍆riders are slow and stupid. But, think they are smart. Like the idiots who showed up here last week.
Keeping it here before Cumlord kitty deletes it and pretends it never happened.
“Few”:
4. Many singles structure turning 📉
5.
#ES_F
🐂until 🧲4435-40 or 4453 breaks
6. Expecting 🚀soon (into OpEx or post-OpEx+EOM)
7. If not, I’ll change bias.
8. If you’re bearish, wait for 4520s
9. Good spot 4440-80 for a retrace 📈to 🧲4593-95
10. 2 WKLY reds since May
easy bet: buying the dip at 5-10% and hope it’s not going to 25-30% 📉 as it does occasionally
hard bet: top tick hoping for a 5-10% 📉 when historically it hasn’t worked for almost ALL players unless they have amazing luck and timing
fintwit: i choose hard coz i read a 1/n 🧵
• Don't brag - ❎ Always brag
• Are humble - ❎ Never
• Adapt quickly - ❎ Meh
• Ignore negativity - ❎ Never
• Have an open mind - ✅
• Admit when they're wrong - ✅
• Have no expectations - ❎ Always expect outcomes/price/time
• Show up every day - ❎ (DONT)
😂😂😬😘
The best traders:
• Don't brag
• Are humble
• Adapt quickly
• Ignore negativity
• Have an open mind
• Admit when they're wrong
• Have no expectations
• Show up every day
i guess it doesn’t matter any longer since most of you’re unhinged or would prefer doom letters anyway
the path is probably choppy next cpl weeks and Jensen resets 📈 (160-180 is not a stretch) again and et voila 6k by Aug/Sept..
beatings shall continue until morale improves
@Makeabuck2
There’s way too many people still trying to call the top, short, in cash blah blah waiting to pull out the “I told you so tweets”, they gonna pile back in at 6k and then get wrecked again and it will be glorious
BREAKING: X is about to remove the current block button, meaning that if an account is public, their posts will be visible to the blocked users as well!
I don't expect a major top here, but this backdrop suggests a correction or at the very least a rotation/churn (time-based consolidation).
In Jan, hypothetical momentum factor had 50% of the S&P's market cap (highest since the 2000 Tech top).
This has come down to 35%
Range: 4100-ATHs (5200?). Low 🎯even 4050
> 5200 ✅🔥👀
> AMD, AMZN, DIS, GOOG, HD, NVDA, OKTA ✅🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
> BA (narrator): yes, it was the year of BA, but, for the wrong reasons 😂😂
> BABA, PYPL(?) 👀🤞
🤌😘
> there’s no optimal entry, exit, sizing
> nobody makes money all the time
> everybody gets rinsed out eventually
> enjoy the game, don’t marry it
> take time out for yourself
> stop watching 📈📉 obsessively
> nobody knows your 💰💰, risks, time horizons
> don’t be a moron
while I’m thrilled with the 🎁 of 4Q.. we have had just ONE red weekly out of 12 since EOM Oct similar to the Covid run up & bust Feb ‘20 😱
this is beyond expectations & I frankly don’t have a good read ATM
ER should be mixed
I’m just holidaying & having fun
🧲🧲4593-95
❤️
Last one (as promised).
I’m out 👶👶🐶🐶
Debate mechanics and minutiae amongst yourselves. Ignore making 💰💰— that’s for losers.
Reflect on what you were expecting EOM Oct or why you didn’t follow me EOM Sept or again in Oct.
And how everyone has been shut out of this 📈up.
wow 5050-60 ✅, expect 5125 tomo
if I were shilling anything, i would take victory laps right about now, other tweets gone
taking the L for the week
psst… ask your furus how the last 2 qtrs went 😂😘
(i see you tail risk bros)
Yet another week of public receipts running for 3 qtrs now.
What does your ignoramus sub seller Fed do?
Also, start learning or stealing the essence of what I do fast. I’m not here for Twitter glory. Just here to show you it’s easy enough. ❤️😘💪
#SPX
Not much to comment. My path is higher until sells in Nov 🦃 But, next cpl weeks might change things up. So, here goes.
Enjoy OGs, stay out of trouble and don’t fuck it up. We had a hot hand. 100 pts with precision every week for 5 months is 🔥🔥
which way cowards?
before you know it.. everyone will be talking about EOM/BOM flows and window dressing soon
TBC: today could be the local bottom for a 📈 back up to 5200 contingent on ER next week
👶👶 and 🐶🐶 can sit it out
met an old friend.
Retired. Late 40s. Ex CEO of a mid cap.
Tells me he opts to spend the next 5 yrs w kids before they head off to college.
Does consulting if he likes the people, product or problems.
Fuck you money: not a number.
You decide if *you* want to leave the game.
Fuck you money is
> funding that EV startup in fuckin Africa to say fuck you to the oil shills
> funding causes to say fuck you to assholes you see on Twitter
> saying fuck you to your boss because you can
fuck you money is you saying fuck you with your money
NOT A NUMBER
Side hustle bros: If you’re not having this much fun trading, you’re not doing it right.
You’re not a PM. You’re not an analyst. You’re a nobody. You don’t have to convince anybody about your positions.
Enjoy. Crush it 🔥😘
Look, I get it. Some of you seem surprised at my anger or frustration at large acct Fintwit 🤡🤡 who are
A) charlatans/bad traders
B) taking no responsibility, or worse delete tweets like Eliant.
C) Causing financial ruin and distress at this scale impacts real people.
Just to be clear.
👇👇 expectations were from a cpl months back going into EOQ Q3 (EOM referred to Sept). We are here now. Happy to share an updated expectations plan into EOY w premium alpha members (lingering MAB faithfuls and hopefuls)
🌈🦄
News: it takes a lot of discipline to stay away from news & the constant deluge of (mis) information.
For traders, it’s much much more important to stay away. Often, I don’t know what’s happening real time but that’s ok.
Try it.
Last warning: many of the OGs here lucked out and did well last ER. “Earnings recession” was an obvious fade. April-June was easy 💰💰
Now, my bias is still upside/mixed at best. Not 📉☠️ till Aug Wk 1. ES could easily hit 🎯4717.5 this run.
That said, it’s a
About NQ ATH by EOQ…
Another ER season, another “surprise” awaits all of us.
Expectation: ER 📈🚀 surprises abound
Reward: More 💰💰
RISK: 📉📉 (low odds) & I’m the 🍩🤡
Manage your 📖📖 ❤️as we head into OpEx. Solo 🌴🥦🍩😂😘
Our hero has made a triumphant return with a cryptic non sequitur.
Remember kids, these are the same idiots who pin their ONE good trade for 2 years. 😂🤭
FWIW: most of the large account 🤡🤡 have been making Bigflip/recession trades since Q1. In some cases, apparently from May 22.
All they have accomplished is sold bear porn, grown their following 2-5x and destroyed/xferred wealth.
I got the receipts assholes.
stop with the DMs
a) im not qualified to advise your 🐶
b) my private Twitter is like latte larry’s
c) a revenge private Twitter to annoy the other private Twitter bros
im not selling anything except maybe shilling
@EconstratPB
or
@Mike_Hunt_Sr
or other interesting ppl here
PSA: I’m going to start a private Twitter so we can laugh at the rest of fukwits without prying eyes & 🐶🐶 nipping at us.
Rules for admission:
1. I should like you.
2. We should have interacted at some time or the other… AND…
3. See rule
#1
ETA: TBD
P.S: obviously, free 🤷♂️