Eric John Rahal
@EricJagr68
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Greco Phoenician. Quant trader(options). Applied Probabilist. Fan of Med History and lifestyle.
Canada
Joined February 2010
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Mention to Nassim Taleb for making me discovered EVT and Mandelbrot. I dropped a whole career in economics to pursue in an applied probabilities cursus. I was fortunate to be able to change and trade in my youth days. The Greco-Phoenician mentor
@nntaleb
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Nicholas Hayek. A Greco-Phoenician passionate risk taker.
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An 80s document of the Antiochian Greek Patriarchate. No sign of arabism in the logo! Simply "Πατριαρχείο Αντιοχείας"
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You can teach finance to physics people but you can't teach physics to finance people - Jim Simons
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@nntaleb
@kaushikcbasu
As an economist I agree with Nassim but I am viewed as a charlatans by the mainstream because of my beliefs in complex systems and non linearity 😂... Actually I am now in a Quants program...
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The last stand of Constantine XI, Saint in the Orthodox Church, and last ruling Roman Emperor. He had skin in the game like
@nntaleb
promotes. A principle well observed in the Roman Empire.
#byzantine
#fallofconstatinople
#29MAYIS1453
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Give authority to the states to maximize welfare you will hear the unhappy.let the market free the unhappy group will be starving
#wellfare
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Finally got a physical version! Old but gold, heuristic essential work of
@nntaleb
in the options trading world.
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And we still here. Romans with local affiliation/mix (Cannanite in my case). Greek mind and Christian heart.
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@nntaleb
Pourquoi tout les grands penseur du libéralisme sont ils français en majorité? (Montaigne, Tocqueville, Bastiat). Réponse de Friedman à Charles Gave... Pour comprendre l'enfer ils faut y vivre... Point initial d'un grand totalitarisme.
@GaveEmmanuelle
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The main problem in economics is that except for econometrics there is no way to backtrack their equations with pure/applied mathematics theorems or equations....Mathematical finance on the other hand way more straightforward to compare it to the pure stuff.
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@nntaleb
Like you said in Phoenician back then "3atari2"(on its way) in 2020. Well we are here .... And it began in 2008.
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A Great day for our community☦️
Four Levantine-Greek [Rum, Ῥωμαῖοι Romaic] associations meeting this morning with the Hellenic Parliament, partly virtual.
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My paternal great-grandmother hometown was actually a Greco-Roman religious site. Nowadays it's completely abandoned.
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Applied Stats/probability question du jour :Could the Omicron variant results be considered the 7th moment?
@nntaleb
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@bankofcanada
Thank you for the risk free money. But this is an economic suicide for the middle class and small-medium firms.
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As a Cosmopolitain Meddiiteranean Rûm let's just say I miss my sea.
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@nntaleb
It's crazy when you realize it...i was pissed when I realized it... So much intellectual stuff with no real application..
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@EdmondShami
You know it brother. Even the etymology of Istanbul is from the Greek εἰς τὴν Πόλιν"
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@nntaleb
You realize that those kids are so risk averse, the labor market eats then from their lack of ambition to have skin in the game and found their own STEM firm or hedge fund or whatever can bring you a self-job...
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@nntaleb
@sapinker
@yaneerbaryam
These charlatans don't understand non linearity and non gaussians processes... 🤔 Using linear methods is so unsophisticated...
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@vincentrcrd
@nntaleb
That phenomenon is common in other social science like economics also. I was lucky to be young enough to switch to applied probability and mathematical finance before ending with an Econ PhD lol
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My Therapy : Antiochian Greek (Rûm) Byzantine Chant☦️. Some Syriac also from time to time.✝️
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Trying to explain to non-Rûm why I follow that much Turkish politics...
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With time You realize that some models will NEVER enter the trading floor.
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This is how Roum do it. You enter the church, you cross yourself three time at each major saints icons. You make a donation and you go continue your flaneuring.
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Χριστός ανέστη! El Masi7 Kam. Happy Easter to all my orthodox sisters and brothers. ☦️🙏
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@nntaleb
Because of you I've made a positive returns by risk taking positions on tail risk. Thank to you my Greco-Phoenician mentor. 🥂
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Blessed Good Friday to all my Orthodox sisters and brothers 🙏☦️
Jumehat el hazima Μεγάλη Παρασκευή
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Basic mathematical tools to understand macroeconomics and financial cycles !
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A well-known Byzantine Agni Parthene (Ἁγνὴ Παρθένε) in Aramean(𐤀𐤓𐤌𐤉𐤀) quasi Letoon trilingual.
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@EdmondShami
Great cross of Jerusalem bro! I have that one begining the chain with myself haha
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@nntaleb
I've been playing around it Long/Short but a tiny small % of my portfolio...its interesting from a trading/psychology aspect... BTC is an entertaining(not rational) episode of our History 🤣
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Χριστός ἀνέστη
Al Masi7 Kam
To all my Orthodox sisters and brothers in Christ. 🙏☦️
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You realize with time that : Recreational Mathematics, philosophy, trading, history, theology and physical exercises preserve your health (mentally/physically) very efficiently.
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Grandfather Paternal hometown. Only 3 Rûm remaining in Chebaa, including one venerable lady in her 90s.
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@MuhammedKambal
@nntaleb
I trust more astrophysics laws than some BS linear regression estimation in meteorology or economics....
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The Eastern Romans afterwards called the "Byzantines" around 1100 pages and still cannot express how the Byzantine life survived threw Orthodoxy ☦️
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Romans 13:8 Let no debt remain outstanding except the continuing debt to love on another..
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@nntaleb
The Greco-phoenician king of modern mathematics, Atiyah a inspiration to all the Roum!
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Once you leave Economics for Applied Probability and Mathematical Finance, there is no comming back.
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@GaveEmmanuelle
@BOROWSKIMIKE
Je n'en reviens pas ! Il y a meme une photo de votre assermentation. Pas fort ce journaliste :p
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Fictional Roman legion banner for the Romano Greco-Phoenician (Rûm).
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Forget technical analysis and focus on the animal spirits
#forex
#brownianmovements
#finance
#physics
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The last thing a trader needs to do is be scientific or play econometrician during buisness hours -
@nntaleb
in Dynamical Hedging
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Sometimes I consider this paper more important than my passport. I did 3 photocopy. Greco-Phoenician vibe.
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@nntaleb
Social science are not even aware about their gap with physics and mathematics, sociopsychologist blame economists for the over math, and the mainstream economists are allergic to Econophysics yet with all their failures.
#Screwthemall
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@trishankkarthik
@nntaleb
Unfortunately I've trashed some people with a f*** you money mindset before seing the tweet myself...
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@nntaleb
I trust more astrophysics laws than some BS linear regression estimation in meteorology or economics....
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@nntaleb
When you're theisis is on extreme events. Taleb, German, Carr and the great Mandelbrot become naturally your references 👌
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My personal Finance facts of the last 5 years : The barbell strategy preconized by
@nntaleb
for portfolio allocation works. Never underestimate the power of the kurtosis.
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What keeps me up? Stochastic processes, option trading and most of all extraction of Risk-neutral densities assisted by Genetic algorithms.
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@nntaleb
@PZalloua
@polemitis
@spyrosmakrid
Hahaha I know now why I keep have cypriot as a close modern population 🤣👌thanks for the info!
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@nntaleb
@exergiovanni
@Satyaki_R
Big time! I realized it with pure Mathematicians "specialized in finance". The trading floor was shocking for them.
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@trishankkarthik
@ofer_rubin
@nntaleb
They want high credibility but don't even understand the basics... It's crazy.
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This day his the commemoration of the skin in the game act of the Last Roman Emperor defending his capital. ☦️
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With simple logic, if debt contract are more popular than equity ones , its simple equity markets are less efficient!
#finance
#economics
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The only Greek Orthodox seat in the region, the one my father. We just kicked out Assad Herdan the SSNP that was here since 1992. Hezbollah-backed list loses south Lebanon seat to opposition-candidate, officials say
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Huge gains... on the crypto market prove again that the Antifragile strategy of
@nntaleb
works...using Kelly criterion the risk is actually 0 when you trade with the market money...and NO leverage!
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The pdf version was good. But the physical version is always prefered, on time for Christmas break.
@nntaleb
can't wait for the second volume.
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@nntaleb
We have to thank you for everything related to minimize the left side of the Kurtosis in daily economic, social and other aspect of life 😂
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@nntaleb
@amalmerzouk
That reminds me some people believing i was a conspiracist for receiving Vanguards documents on some of my index funds....Or Blackrock for my short-term t-bills.....
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@MarinaStavrou9
@LaikiEksixroni1
@nntaleb
@Marcellenassif
@EdmondShami
@Swatch
It's some Greek Genes actually that cause baldness 🤣
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After many hours of coding. My kind of relaxation is mathematical finance mixed with history and or philosophy of sciences
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Walking 30,000 steps in NYC. Flâneur rhythm in around 15 hours.
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Whats the point to do a master in Financial Economics if you dont use the knowledge
#forex
#finance
#economist
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Since I'm hearing
@raoult_didier
(a real scientist). I never thought that I would qualify some people in medicine and epidemiology** as a total pseudoscientists community... I thought they were only in social sciences... Mea Culpa.
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I see Probability and Finance as a puzzle that one can be really lost in it. Trying a MLE Mixture of Student T with a Pareto. Like French say it : Une erreur de novice.
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@nntaleb
And they called me fool 10 years ago because i was an Antiochian byzantine nostalgic. Our tribe is waking up! The pan arabist clergy is getting silent by the power of time!
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When you are obsessed about the historical extreme events and you woke up with what is happening in Russia. It was something predictable but the timing and the outcome was/will be uncertain.
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