There is nothing new under the sun.
Staunchly pro-USA.
#krisonomics
.
SHQIPTAR SUPERIOR.
Theology. History. Supply Chains. Finance. Rûm Orthodox Christian.
#krisonomics
theologizes:
The world has reached maximum output capacity as a combination of 2 factors:
- Artificial Shortage of energy and commodities. Real shortage of electricity.
- Unwillingness of global workers to work for lower salaries.
Conclusion: Inflation, defined
Mediterranean habit of spending 2-3 hours daily over coffee, tea or something else, talking about .... nothing.... (For those who can) is the second best mental and spiritual therapy after prayer.
Rich people own assets, little true income.
Middle Class receives income from work they do for the Rich, which is taxed.
The poor live off the taxes from the middle class.
#krisonomics
HUMANS lie to each other, they know they are lying to each other, they insist on lying to each other, they also proceed to establishing a philosophy by lying to each other, and further they condemn anybody who refuses to accept the lie.
That's where
@nntaleb
comes in.
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.”
Charlie Munger
Talebism
@nntaleb
51 years old today. Thank you God!
Anybody who says you are young after 5 decades of life experience is in self deception mode. Mentally, spiritually, you are old, meaning mature.
I run daily, do push-ups daily, do squats daily, physically I'm great. But 5 decades of life
Explaining how Christianity spread when 99.9% of people were illiterate, it comes to mind that Taleb
@nntaleb
cannot be understood unless Erudition is understood.
BITCOIN
If you buy securities with the only goal to sell to greater fools, when no greater fools left, then you are the greater fool.
Seth Klarman
#krisonomics
Xi Jinping openly admits to Supply Chain Global War.
Quote:
"We should increase the dependence of international supply chains on China and establish powerful retaliatory and menacing capabilities against foreign powers that would try to cut supplies,"
Current concept of "European" was conceived in the 19th century meaning "Not Muslim", or "Not Turk", that is why Europe is being handled as a separate "continent", while not being an actual continent.
"European" is a modern term, not a genetic term. "Western Eurasian" is the genetic zone, which largely contradicts her point.
Why are ideological historians so ignorant?
SERBIA
In the middle of highways and railways across Europe.
Potential to be a very developed country.
Chooses to listen to Satanists like the Serb Church about an imaginary phantasy called Kosovo, which NEVER EVER had anything to do with Serbia, and thus live in poverty.
BLACK SWAN EVENT:
Red Sea lanes closure
- Nobody saw this coming, literally. 0 people saw this coming. Washington DC ... chose...NOT to intervene.
- Crude oil, copper, iron ore, aluminum etc hoarded globally to be used as currency instead of USD for many major transactions
Deutsche Bank has been asked by Mueller’s investigators to hand over information about transactions that could be linked to Michael Flynn or entities connected to him, people familiar with the matter tell WSJ.
@omar_gddd
Hospitals were invented by St. Basil.
First university is Constantinople university, 4th century.
Islam essentially grew within what is now called Christian orthodoxy.
The question is senseless, though.
A person invents things. A civilisation aggregates knowledge.
#krisonomics
Kris's Axiom:
Quantitative Easing from the Federal Reserve will continue until the current global breakdown of Supply Chains caused from it, is visible to the naked eye.
An entire generation of Westerners has been ruined by the idiotic "follow your dreams".
Never follow your dreams. You will be ruined at later age. Always have plans, doable plans that is.
Adjust to life accordingly. Dreams are for losers.
I have been reading about finance and history of finance since 2008.
I have never, to repeat, never, seen any debate about sending means of production to Asia and China in particular.
There was 100% consensus.
The only debate was about distribution of money, not supply
It has been 1000 years and the Catholic Church can's see that the imposition of celibate clergy causes pedophilia and sex abuse.
1000 years, eventually they will, in 500?
CHINA
Atrocius chinese economy is NOT because of covid, it's because of Jinping trying to control the entire economy.
Then, Jinping invented covid shutdown for a second time to coverup his failure, as well as Taiwan rage
it is that simple.
China is declining irreversibly.
Western society
I have read about lots of reasons as to the demographic problems in the West. It's the pill, it's feminism, it's red pill, it's liberalism etc.
All untrue. Those are effects, not the root cause.
The root cause is found in theology.
Westerners got convinced
We are so lucky Taleb
@nntaleb
teaches for free on Twitter.
You don't even need to buy Incerto if you can't afford it or you have no time to read. It's all on Twitter repeatedly.
What we get for free is erudition, how all interconnects, but many falsely accuse him of claiming
I remember Prof. Richard Schneider (former Orthodox Jew) during my first (and only) year of Masters of Orthodox Theology, telling us:
All 10 commandments are about what NOT to do, including 4 and 5 meaning Do Not Forget Sabbath and Do Not Dishonor Parents)
@paulportesi
@nntaleb
Finance vs Supply Chains
Think of a football game (American or European, it doesn't matter).
The players playing are supply chains.
The guy who keeps the score changing the digits the electronic table is finance.
What has been happening since 2008, the guy who keeps the
WHAT IS HAPPENING
It is very simple.
The rest of the world refuses to supply goods and services as before to the Western World, in return for ........digits on computers, called Dollars or Euros.
IT'S OVER.
1/
#SupplyChainWar
It is self revealing how the number 1 supply chain expert on the entire internet, Ross Kennedy
@man_integrated
, is not invited by main stream media.
HISTORY
Being a history buff, and a practicing Christian Orthodox, I could not match the history of the Church and the official European histories.
I owe it to
@nntaleb
to finally understand that 19th-20th century historians simply made RETROACTIVE decisions about 10th century.
For anybody with knowledge of actual history like Taleb,
#LOCALISM
is how the world functioned until mid 19th century, with the implementation of nation-states in Europe.
As perspective, the current global setting is just 200 years young out of 6000 years of documented history.
8- WARNING
I see that many Marxists/Socialists, Arabists & other intellectual fraudsters are trying to own the riots. The problem is that Socialist regimes worsen the problems (Nasser choked Egypt, Baath killed Syria/Iraq, Algeria).
All these are Statists.
Solution is
#LOCALISM
CONSERVATIVE OUTRAGE
I am now conclusively going to agree with
@WriterMcG
and
@man_integrated
that Conservative Media is just about MONETIZING conservative outrage, not about solutions.
Cernovic, Posobiec, Bannon, Jordan Peterson etc, it's all about MONEY, not solutions.
RELIGION
It is extremely hard to convince moderns that life outside religion is a novelty for the last 150 years only, during 6000 years of human history on the record.
The concept of living outside religion did not exist until mid 1900s.
NBC NEWS EXCLUSIVE: Ex-CIA agent Jerry Chun Shing Lee may have gotten 20 U.S. assets in China killed, and that the Chinese may have tipped off the Russians to U.S. spy system, officials say. W/
@KenDilanianNBC
&
@jonathan4ny
Policy making
In antiquity and middle ages Theology was the decision making factor.
In Modernism Ideology was the decision making factor.
In Post Modernism, since nobody believes in anything (including most religious people), Statistics is the decision making factor.
MY RESEARCH ON INFLATION
I have spent 9 years since 2015 to find out about that 2% inflation target, where it came from.
There is literally 0 literature on it.
It's only the reference from Walter Bagehot in 1863.
Nothing else.
1/
US vs Iran
After reading hundreds of tweets from... experts...., I have come to the conclusion that nobody has any idea of what is happening and what are the consequences.
UKRAINE
For somebody who knows Theology, History, Finance and Supply Chains for the last 25 years, Ukraine can be easily explained, it's all about Putin's mind.
1/
President Assad of Syria knows exactly what's happening.
He says, if USD remains Global currency, nothing will change, USA remains the only hegemon.
And that is what the anti American circle, AAC, Moscow-Beijing-Teheran-Ankara-Belgrade is trying to achieve.
USA has 25% of world GDP, but controls 90% of global maritime transport routes.
Maritime trade is 80% of global trade.
So, thinking in a linear way gives a wrong perspective of reality.
Thanks
@nntaleb
for teaching us non - linear thinking.
Weimar Republic vs Quantitative Easing
Same thing, except for shadow banking didn't exist in the 1930s.
Excess money creation by the government led to HOARDING of commodities and energy, thus supply chain breakdown. Commodities became money.
That simple.
#krisonomics
WEIMAR HYPERINFLATION
You know that infamous Weimar Hyperinflation in Germany in 1930s?
It was because German oligarchs HOARDED grains, energy and raw materials from money printing.
Supply chains collapsed from HOARDING.
Same is happening now in shadow Eurodollar system.
Christians and Muslims can get along, no problem.
Secularists vs Muslims?
Muslims are toast. Secularists can outdo Muslims in any aspect of radicalism.
cc
@GrayConnolly
Russian MMA fighter Khabib Nurmagomedov has joined a growing chorus of protests by prominent Muslims against French President Emmanuel Macron’s defense of secular values with a withering Instagram post
There are only 4 fully equipped experts in the entire twitter:
Harald
@Halsrethink
Nassim
@nntaleb
John
@20committee
Ross
@maphumanintent
The issue is about having enough knowledge understanding them. It takes years of hands-on work and/or reading.
We are lucky they tweet.
In Orthodox Theology, humans are higher than angels and higher than all other creatures of God, precisely because God had "skin in the game" by having One Person of the Holy Trinity, Christ, assuming a PERFECT human body.