Petar Jaćimović
@DrPetar_Serbia
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16 +years of full timetrading experience. Private fund manager. IF you are interested in mentorship PM me. All tweets are for educational purpose only!!!
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Joined May 2011
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As I already promised I am going to wite about my investing phylosophy in this post.
Let's start >>
Market is cycical ! You can just look into the history and see about and which industries are in position to do well in specific cycle.
I am a bottom-up stock picker who's a
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@elerianm
Gold's role as an inflation hedge has evolved over the years. While historical data shows its strong performance during periods of notably elevated inflation, recent trends suggest a weakening correlation. Understanding this shift is crucial.
Two primary drivers influence gold
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@PradeepBonde
Also, don't forget , its not just to find edge it's also maintain on the long run and track the progress. In my career I saw many great edges lost their value overtime and became worthless....
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@adamkhootrader
I don't see anything great here you are up 9.47% up this year when S&P is up 10+%, so you are underperforming index.... In teaching Mark Minvervini can make 1 mil in 2 day workshop ;)
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I am happy to announce another completed evaluation challenge with
@EliteTraderFund
and I got funded with 100K. We are going strong !!! 💪💪
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@JimJame74888138
I have large short position from almost 10days ago on $QQQ, expecting 15-20% drop in next period...
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@PradeepBonde
I wish trading psychology is the key, I think psychologist all around the globe would be bilioners :) Trading is mix of many different skills, psychology is just a part of that.
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Hello folks,
I am trhiled to anounece that I passed the evaluation on
@EliteTraderFund
and I got funded with 250K. I mostly posted this to inpside other guys that if you really working hard and dream big, you can achieve it !!! The yourney just started 💪
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Let's say you spent the entire year of 2023 shorting stocks that gapped up more than 50% over $1 when they fell below VWAP after the first 15 minutes of the session, with a tiny stop of 7% over the entry and risking 3% of your bankroll on each trade🧐. From 30k to 500K :)
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@sjokz
The third episode was disappointing to me due to the weak scenario, lack of lighting in every scene and terrible executed battles. On top of that, we got walkers which are coming for years and in one episode after they entered they are gone... no comment...
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Ok guys, since I saw interest in Richard Driehaus critera and his philosophy, I will post in more details stock selection criteria and some of the my best picks based on his criteria that are present now.
Lets start with major components in more details >
📈 Earnings Growth
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@AlphaMind101
I see it opposite.
While trading undoubtedly involves navigating emotional challenges, it's not necessarily true that success hinges on enduring extreme discomfort. In fact, maintaining a level-headed and rational approach to decision-making can often lead to better outcomes.
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I just can't resist to post about some of the most ridicoulus "valuations" on the following companies like $BABA $SBUX $MELI that I found "value investors" on twitter are posting all around and saying that they are undervalued 😅. Most of those guys have very little undrstanding
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@RealJGBanks
Trading is whatever you want to be. If you have the right mindset and aproach to money, trading can be actully very easy!!!
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The story on $ANF
Saw that lot of guys again watching pure charts and think ANF went higher in last 2 years due to their indicators or so and nobody is watching deeper fundamental view. Stocks are not loterry tickets !! So lets put some facts :
ANF's stock surge over the past 2
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@hypergrowth102
Think its wrong approach totaly. You don' need 100x stock and its very unlikely you gonna find. You need 3-5X stock and leverage 20 times.
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@Trader_mcaruso
Uff I don't think he is good example of legend or spectacular trader. Guy trippled his money on his big leveraged bet on Index Crash 1987 making aroudn 100m many years ago and since then he is making most of his money trought high fees for clients 4% management fees and think 23%
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Looks like $QQQ yesterday swooped up those final buyers just before the big drop, and I'm still holding onto my short position from 2 weeks back. Short-term gains and intraday trades are turning into a nightmare. That's the power of having a longer time horizon and thinking
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OK guys these are parameters for the Fade the Gap strategy. Hope that you would like and also don't forget to post your results and research around this so we can share all together and try to improve.
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@Accuracy_Invst
There is nothing here. THere is underlying supply in the background and no breakout on volume to the upside....
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@CuriousPejjy
Guys, no offense, but I see that you are simply trying hard to find excuses for your poor holdings. There is nothing worse in investing or trading than relying on hope. The valuation of $TSLA (overvaluation), the business cycle, industry cycle, and momentum are all strongly
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@kejca
It's not merely about reading; it's about what you read and how effectively you absorb the information!
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Now the story of the momentum guys o market who are quoted everywhere all over the place.
@DanZanger
(Dot com bubble),
@Qullamage
(2021 bubble) and bunch of others made most of the money in the bubble and made with using margin. Most of their growth came from few names that
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Hello folks,
I was traveling around my country, so I didn't post any updates and didn't miss too much since nothing changed relative to my view. I am trying to fully implement the Pareto principle, where 80% of results come from 20% of actions. If you have any kind of work that
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📉 Market observation: discernible signs of distribution are becoming pronounced, notably in $QQQ. Recent alerts that I gave have underscored this looming correction. 🚨 Now, eyeing a potential downturn of 15-20% in the near future. Based on the valuation post that I posted few
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@Mr_Derivatives
Long-term capital gains tax rates typically range from 0% to 20%, depending on your income level. Short-term capital gains, on the other hand, are typically taxed at your ordinary income tax rate, which could be higher than the long-term capital gains tax rate. This means that if
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Due to heavy trend of quoting other traders I think lots of traders lost their own opinion and their own signature. Lets dive depper into this subject.
📈 Diving deep into the annals of trading history, we often encounter the revered wisdom of Jesse Livermore. His rules, once
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Hello everyone,
Let's take a look into the current technical landscape of the Magnificent 7. We've previously discussed their valuations, but now it's time to assess their technical standing.
Starting with $NVDA:
#NVDA
is currently testing crucial volume/price resistance around
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@Washigorira
Bigger drop incoming since we finished euophira phase 2 > Chart that I posted weeks ago >>
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Hey everyone,
I wanted to bring to your attention a stock that's been making waves lately: $CTNT. It's seen a staggering 380% increase in just a single day, which surpasses even the notorious $GME. However, it's crucial not to get too caught up in these percentage gains. There
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🚀 For stock momentum lovers 📈 The obsession of
@Qullamaggie
and
@DanZager
in momentum trading is insane. Few understand they aren't innovators. The pioneer in momentum trading is Richard Driehaus.
Richard Herman Driehaus was an American businessman, investor, and
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My take on $NVDA saga in last 8 years.
#NVDA
made almost 10000% since the breakout of 16 years long accumulation in 2016 with initial projected P&F target at 100$ and then adjusted to around 800-900$ level, which we achieved this year. Simply stated, if you invested only 1000$ in
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For guys who focus on small and micro namses $GNS started breakout last Friday from the tight consolidation... Lets see how this one will play out...
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One of the biggest influences on my thkining,trading etc. is Pareto Principle.
The Pareto principle was developed by Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto in 1896. Pareto observed that 80% of the land in Italy was owned by only 20% of the population. He also witnessed this happening
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The simple story of $SMCI . I see to many guys/analysts/gurus try to sound smart, pumping their egos and put tons of explanation about why they are bullish or bearish, with their partial exits/addings and so on. At the end market doesn't care about that. You could simple beat big
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Wow! 🎉 1000 followers on Twitter! 🎉 Thank you all so much for your incredible support and engagement. I am truly grateful for each and every one of you. Your likes, retweets, and comments mean the world to me. As we continue this journey together, I promise to keep providing
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@monsterstocks1
I can't agree with this. There is no scientific conection of numbers of stocks to own and its very personal... I would rather own one stock I reseached and inspected well then buch of random stock with very little understanding...
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@JC_Investment
"I respectfully disagree. Over the past 14 years, we've become accustomed to low to no interest rates, but that era has come to an end. In reality, the Federal Reserve has limited control over this shift in interest rate dynamics...
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@stamatoudism
There is no way you can earn 300% without use of margin or "all in" kind of trades. I am interested in your in depth statistic large biggest % loss in a trade, biggest % down day, average win% , average risk reward.
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@MoheganBTC
I posted this back days ago when the $BTC was around 72K and nothing has changed....
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Hello guys, I was working on my new Stock template for already 2 days and I think I completed with all important information and visuals. I have all important company info, fundamentals, % stats, ETF% movers,RS ratings, Vol profile, % of MA's, Swing % with cumulative volume,
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@prrobbins
I would say, trading is one of the fastest way to loose money then put more money, loose more and in the matter of blink you realize that you know nothing since you didin't do any proper research.
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@kulturdesken
I understand, and from my perspective, there are numerous issues with the initial filtering approach commonly utilized by many. As mentioned in my tweet, the focus should be on implied volatility rather than historical volatility. However, most scanning methods primarily target
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@AnchorInvestor
t took you that long to realize :) $TSLA's valuation and numbers are terrible, and it's very likely we could see $TSLA around $100 and then in the $15-25 range. I've written a detailed valuation on my Twitter...
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I've noticed numerous comments and posts asserting that the market requires ample time to develop a top, claiming it can't happen in just a few weeks. However, this notion is a classic misconception, and a brief examination of recent market history reveals otherwise. In fact, the
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If you are interested I can write more detailed parameter filters for this Fade Gap strategy. Just let me know in the comments below...
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Captivated by the dynamic shifts within the $XLE energy sector—a perfect full cycle unfolding, indicating a robust upward trajectory. This reinforces my confidence in maintaining a long position in
#CrudeOil
. Stay tuned as I delve into sectors to steer clear of and those
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📉 The $QQQ only saw 85M volume on the last upside swing, indicating a significant sign of weakness. This low volume could suggest a lack of strong buying interest, and we might be at the beginning of a larger drop in the coming period. Investors should stay cautious and consider
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Hello
@dowdeva
therere are some ways you can use the Pareto Principle in trading:
Focus on the 20% of trades that generate 80% of your profits: Analyze your trading history to identify the trades that have been most profitable for you. Focus on understanding why these trades
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@KayKlingson
The guy made money using full margin in bubble regime. Same thing like lots of guys made milions in Crypto bubble....
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Theory of reflexivity:
Today, I wanna write about theory that is my primary in making decision. It is George Soros' theory of reflexivity. I can't stress enough how important is this to understand.
George Soros's theory of reflexivity links closely to his idea of "boom and
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@AdamMancini4
To be honest , I don't belive in chart setups since if you test them they will just not deliver. If you have specific setups and condiiton, you can try to automate, its total waste of time and money to sit and watch...
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@elerianm
It's not just about the numbers, it's about the reactions. Traders' responses around key figures are what truly shape the market. Understanding sentiment and psychology is key to mastering the art of trading. That is what I can say from my 16+ years of fulltime trading...
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@AimHighAlgo
I agree with this assessment, although I'm not entirely convinced by patterns such as HSS and Fibonacci. Rather, I believe we're in a phase where indices and volume dynamics have been more influential over the last few months...
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@traderstewie
Think risk reward is to the downside since you can go for potetnial 1:5 Risk to reward >>>
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Hello everyone,
Let's go through the situation in our major markets and do the update.
Let's start with the
#DollarIndex
$DXY. As I alerted last week, I like that the dollar index is holding the 105 level, which is a critical support, and that is a good sign for further upside
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@TedHZhang
I see totally oposite. $SMCI is overextend and had parabolic move for couple of months which may indicate reversion to the mean. The company can have greatest fundamentals if timing is wrong its wortheless.
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@AlphaMind101
No matter what kind of risk management you use, if you don't have a proven edge, you're still going to lose money. The only difference is that with less aggressive risk exposure, you will lose money more slowly, but you will still lose money...
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@PradeepBonde
Don't know why people are obsesed with % move. If you risk 1/3 of ATR for example, it dosen't matter if stocks move 3% 10% or 1% per day its still 1/3 of ATR . Also for me its about how to utilize your idea on the best way that you increasae ROI % with protecting yourself from
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Greetings, everyone,
As we step into a new week, let's take a moment to dissect the aftermath of last week's market turbulence and examine the key economic events, including the
#FOMC
.
Starting off with $QQQ, the market is currently hovering around the critical volume point of
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🚀 Apologies for the delay, I was off exploring a beautiful destination!
📉 Not a bad move at all on $QQQ, still holding my short from $446! Been warning about the indices drop for weeks.
Short-term targets: $370 & $315.
Check out the updated P&F chart attached.
Long-term
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Title: Unveiling Market Dynamics: The Buffett Indicator in Focus 📊
As I previously posted about my short position and distribution process that is going on in last 2 months on $QQQ ,different valuation mettrics are suggesting potential for the bigger downside swing next period.
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@stamatoudism
That is what I said, you used mostly margin intraday since its mathematicly imposible to reach those gains without it. "All in" is term we use if you took position which would be 100% of your portfolio or even + margin. I would like to see you in depth statistic with all
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@Optiongirl
It's clear distribution pattern from me view, indicative of healthy market activity. Following the initial movement, the consolidation phase is underway, which is a natural part of the process. This suggests a solid foundation for potential further declines, aligning with market
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@Jake__Wujastyk
There is nothing bullish on tesla from montlies, clear change in behaivor to the downside and weak rallies in last 10 months only to 50 RSI> Lots of room for the downside...
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In science and in engineering ,knowledge is cumulative, and in finance, it's cyclic !!!
Very important to understand in terms of investing and trading...
🛠️ In the world of science and engineering, knowledge builds upon itself like layers in a pyramid, each discovery paving
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📉💰 Are you ready to go deep into the intriguing world of short selling? Buckle up as we embark on a journey through the histories of the 10 most successful short sellers of all time. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the financial markets,
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@alphatrends
Why did the trader draw so many lines on the chart? Because they knew if you throw enough spaghetti at the wall, eventually, some of it sticks! 🍝😄
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@Optiongirl
I don't trust too much those "sentiment indicators". I sold $QQQ last Friday and have projected objective for 15-20% drop.
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Hello Folks,
Let's get back to discussing $QQQ and the overall U.S. indices. I'll revisit the major red flags and explain why I believe a crash is unavoidable.
Let's start with the Buffett Indicator for valuation. As of today, the Buffett Indicator, which measures the total
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@AlphaMind101
"Feeling stupid" is a very subjective. And some of the main elements are >
Comparing Yourself to Others: Constantly comparing yourself to others, especially in areas where they excel, can make you feel inferior. Remember that everyone has their strengths and weaknesses, and it's
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@jasongoepfert
Lol, the sample size is ultra low to even take this into consiredation. $QQQ is under big distirubution in last 2 months.
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I was looking through the most consistent and cleanest trends where demand is in total control, and definitely the winner for the last two years is $FTAI. After the breakout of the 6 years base since IPO, It has shown almost 300% growth this year and 400% over the last two years,
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@Prof_heist
"It appears that there's a significant shift in distribution occurring on $HOOD, suggesting a potential downside movement within the range of $14.50 to $12.50. The volume distribution indicates a stronger presence on the downside. Additionally, with earnings scheduled for next
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@RyanPierpont
Careful Rayan with longs, I took big short posiiton on QQQ in the morning on Friday and I see potential for the 15-20% correction. This is the ss from the momentum when I took...
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@PeterLBrandt
Expecting a significant downturn for $BTC, signaling the end of the euphoric cycle...
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@jackschwager
@SallAmrit
The thing is that in trading there is no "right trade" since the outcome is found only after the fact. There can be right condiiton for the model or the right levels but all trades cary n risk factor...
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Again, many individuals fall into the same trap repeatedly, which is related to false comparisons. For instance, some may believe that if they didn't like $TSLA at $200, it must be cheaper now. However, most investors and traders lack context and, more precisely, knowledge.
Human psychology is hilarious.
When $TSLA stock was in the mid 200's (and higher) everyone was saying things like "I wish I bought $TSLA in the $100's".
Now that we are in the $100's they say "I'm not touching that stock with a 10 foot pole!"
smh...
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@indiansunrise00
Currently, I'm not seeing much excitement on the upside. In fact, there's potential for a downside movement toward $10.
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I've noticed quite a few guys like him heading straight for trouble. I extended a helping hand to steer him away from wasting both time and money—it's the most I can do. I simply wanted to clarify why his current path is a fast track to disaster
$MARA is 4B market cap and
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@riyadosofian
The valuation metrics for $HIMS present significant concerns, warranting a cautious stance. With a negative price-to-earnings ratio nearing -66, a price-to-book ratio at 8.93 compared to the industry median of 1.97, and a meager net margin of 2.7% versus the industry median of
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📈💰 Is Trading Addiction on the Rise?
As you probably already know, my main focus is long-term investments with a minimum holding time of 3-5 years. In a trading sense, I only trade when there is a fundamental "special situation," allowing me to leverage around, but this occurs
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@ronjonbSaaS
Good luck with your $TSLA :) I see $TSLA lower 100$ then potentially 25-20$ range... Wrote about detailed valuation on $TSLA on my twitter...
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@markminervini
I got a huge winner on $CAMT even on this market some names are doing a good job. I also bought $ECYT for 17$ today (VCP pattern (volume contraction) + 50MA held on earnings ). Let's see what will happen ... :)
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@AlphaMind101
You can say same for emotional aspect. If the emotional discipline was the key all psychiatrist and a psychologist would be bilioners. Trading requires a combination (mix) of skills, including emotional discipline, intelligence, experience, and effective risk management...
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@RealJGBanks
MA number is related to time-horizon that you are operating around. Its not rocket science. If you are short-term trader trading around daily bars, there is no need to use 1000 or 2000 MA when is far from your horizon. Same thing for lower fra,es...
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@VCPeraTrader
@PradeepBonde
Turtle truder model, patterns like Inside day, outside day, standard Magee patterns they have very little or no edge on the long run, different kind of algos from prop firms did ultra good then they lost completly edge.
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