Now-defunct repository of advanced stats and graphics celebrating the human-animal hybrid lifestyle. Saw beauty in the grotesque, and adhered to the Code.
This account started as a 3-4 month project to push myself to learn R. It quickly became more involved than I ever imagined. And now it's finally time for me to step away.
I'll be here another week or so to hang out and tie up loose ends. I had a blast, and appreciate you all ❤️
Philadelphia Eagles: 10-3, having outscored their opponents by a combined 21 points
Dallas Cowboys: 10-3, having outscored their opponents by 188 points
According to the win probability chart produced by
@NextGenStats
, we had less than 1 percent chance of victory with 4:30 left in the fourth quarter before coming back to tie the game.
I would forfeit all Cowboys championship odds for a decade if it guaranteed Dak got to continue his career. If that upsets people I don't really care. This organization owed him so much more than this.
You've heard arguments that go something like this: "When Ezekiel Elliott gets 25+ carries, his team is 19-4."
This is explained by the incentives teams face late in games. Teams run more when they're already likely to win.
Light blue = winning teams
Dark blue = losing teams
The data is clear:
Jerry Jones teams in a non-Rowdy environment
• 11-2 playoff record
• 3 Super Bowl titles
Jerry Jones teams in a Rowdy-influenced environment
• 5-13 playoff record
• 0 Super Bowl titles
Cowboys hybrid DE Micah Parsons shared his distaste for media scrutiny that lacks humanity. “You shouldn’t just watch people throw dirt on people’s names, especially former athletes. …Who are we to talk about people like that?”
Regular reminder that your life was normal and fine until the moment Dez caught the ball at Lambeau, the simulation split from reality, and stuff started getting weird all of a sudden
Before Week 12, the Cowboys were 6-4 and had a 59% chance to win the division, per FiveThirtyEight.
Since then, they've gone 0-2 and have dropped to ... a 66% chance to win the division.
The Philadelphia Eagles have lost the Super Bowl and coughed up an unassailable division lead since their fans booed the Walter Payton Man of the Year.
please give me your credit card number. i won't even charge a significant fee. i just want to make sure your credit card number is in my database when i sell my company to an unknown buyer
Dak Prescott through Week 3:
‣ 96 pass completions (1st in NFL)
‣ 143 pass attempts (1st in NFL)
‣ 1,188 pass yards (1st in NFL)
‣ 396.0 pass yards per game (1st in NFL)
‣ 32 completions per game (1st in NFL)
‣ 47.7 attempts per game (1st in NFL)
#CowboysNation
Dak Prescott is the Cowboys' best shot at having a good-to-great quarterback in the next decade. Every hypothetical about how they could upgrade at the position is almost comically unrealistic.
With this 37-3 lead, the Cowboys have surpassed the Eagles in point differential on the season (+81 to +80).
Dallas has played 5 games with a backup QB.
dak was so good today. overcame 2 costly interceptions to post +15 epa. completed 72% of his passes despite a 59% expected completion rate. huge 3rd down conversions, decisive touchdowns
Skip Bayless's comments are usually easy to explain away as the inconsequential ramblings of a TV character he invented to grab attention. But not these comments.
Everyone's mental health is important. Talking openly about struggles with depression is a sign of strength.
Robert Saleh on the
#Jets
defense: "We've played a gauntlet of quarterbacks. And I know we haven't gotten all wins, but we've embarrassed all of them."
Fewest 300-yard passing games over 1st 40 career starts:
David Garrard 0
Lamar Jackson 1
Alex Smith 1
Kyle Boller 1
Mike Vick 1
Joey Harrington 1
Tyrod Taylor 1
*started career since 2000
Total EPA, Weeks 1-13
1. Purdy, +147
2. Prescott, +134
3. Allen, +123
...
6. Hurts, +88
Total EPA if each completion picked up only as many yards after the catch as expected, given the situation and target location
1. Prescott, +153
2. Allen, +125
3. Purdy, +117
4. Hurts, +95
Dak Prescott? Philip Rivers? Eli Manning?
The Bears have a lot of potential options for Mitch Trubisky's backup in 2020, including some big names.
Here's a look ahead to the 2020 quarterback market.
not sure why it's so hard for some people to understand dak can play a bad game while still being a good quarterback that you need on your team going forward
Ezekiel Elliott finished 12th in RYOE per attempt (+0.37). His xYPC created for him by Dallas' blockers (4.1 xYPC) falls in line with that of Nick Chubb, Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook, but his 4.5 YPC created a smaller difference, which is why he finished 12th.
dak's success has been driven by the best supporting cast in the nfl, which is why his receiving corps has undergone 100% turnover, his o-line has failed to register a Top 10 placement in pass block win rate in at least 2 years, and his defense has gotten entirely average results
Remember when a national analyst said the difference between Dak and Wentz was that one just didn't take over games in the fourth quarter? He was right.
Imagine thinking analytics isn't useful because football is such a complex game, only to also believe that teams can win simply by giving their running back 25 carries.
Update: The
#Cardinals
will not be able to get their initial asking price of a "2nd round pick and another asset" in a trade for WR DeAndre Hopkins, per
@AlbertBreer
He thinks it will be closer to the
#Cowboys
Brandin Cooks trade of a 5th and 6th round picks.
“I used to think sleep was for the weak. What a dumbass statement that is.”
_ Mike McCarthy on being mindful of the coaching staff’s workload at this time of year.
i hear a muffled noise outside my window. cowboys offense is standing there, holding a boombox overhead. it's playing our song, "touchdowns only." our eyes meet
socrates: "so we agree, then, that 300 yards passing and 100 yards rushing are the exact same concept, identical in every respect?"
crowd: "it could be no other way, socrates"
socrates, aside: "now i have them where i want them"
Four Cowboys linemen currently rank in the top ten at their position, according to ESPN's pass block win rate and pass rush win rate metrics.
La'el Collins - 100% win rate
Tyron Smith - 97%
Zack Martin - 97%
Maliek Collins - 18% (really high for a DT!)
The Cowboys were 5 of 5 converting via the run on 3rd-and-short.
More than half of their early down runs were successful for the given situation, which is about the equivalent of a 5-yard gain on 1st down.
It was a 94th percentile rushing performance by EPA/play.
"It felt like two or three years, everyone ... was talking about Zeke being washed. But the bottom line is, the Dallas Cowboys miss Zeke right now."
—
@RGIII