Nadim Shehadi نديم شحاده
@Confusezeus
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Free at Last @UMAM_DR @LAUNYHQ @CH_MENAP @ChathamHouse @FaresCenter @FletcherSchool @tufts @Lebanesestudies @StAntsCollege @LSEnews Views are my own
Beirut, London, Dafni
Joined June 2009
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Pinned Tweet
@ksadjadpour
Thanks
@ksadjadpour
a banquet for thought in every tweet.
My hunch is that Iran wants to position itself as the main interlocutor in the region, as in Obama days. It plays good-cop/bad-cop and arsonist/firefighter Everything would flow from there.
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I can’t imagine the media reaction if it was Trump instead of Biden dumping Afghanistan.
This may become the most infamous — and devastating — press conference ever held by an American President.
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Map of the most influential scholars of all times based on Wikipedia hits - Nassim Nicholas Taleb from Amioun along with Yuval Noah Harari only living ones. People in Kosba very upset, it is almost as great an honor for
@nntaleb
as the mention in
@LOrientLeJour
this morning.
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In Aounistan the whole tragedy of the port is that Badri Daher was arrested.
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Switching TV off
@PaulaYacoubian
is very clever in twisting arguments but I can’t listen to this anymore
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The reaction to Trump's declaration of
#Jerusalem
as a capital of Israel is more a reaction against
#Trump
himself than against the declaration. Here are three former presidents saying the same thing with no fuss to follow.
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The video we need to watch about the Beirut Blast. Peace to all its victims in Lebanon and Syria.
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An $80bn intelligence service can be replaced by any Kabul taxi driver.
US intelligence agencies who said just 4 days ago that Kabul could fall in 90 days have revised the figure to 72 hours
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This is terrifying, the size of the Beirut explosion compared to other bombs and accidents.
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Anyone remember Dastardly and Muttley? modeled after Shaker Jarawan a Lebanese flight instructor in New York 1912-1914.
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Personal News: I am leaving New York and
@LebAmUniv
at the end of January and will be between Beirut and London as of then.
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This is hilarious
Our election was hijacked. There is no question. Congress has a duty to
#ProtectOurDemocracy
&
#FollowTheFacts
.
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Devastated to hear that Rosemary Hollis has died, she formed and led a great team at Chatham House.
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"Foregone Conclusionism" explained - deserves a hashtag: spot the
#foregoneconclusionism
2016: Hiring Tillerson proves Putin is in charge
2018: Firing Tillerson proves Putin is in charge
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Disagreeing on Saudi-Arabia with
@nntaleb
looking very threatening, please help!
http://t.co/vCfk4xL2fz
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After yesterday
@realDonaldTrump
should run for elections in the Middle East, he would win hands down.
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Shame on Europe & USA - please refrain from preaching us for at least 50 years.
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Very useful background to the "negligence" that caused the tragedy in Lebanon by
@glcarlstrom
of
@TheEconomist
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Jad Ghosn also said Israel and America committed assassinations to frame Hizballah. It would have been ok if had stood on a Aounist list or a Hizballah one but not as a fake ‘Thawra’ infiltrator.
Glad that Jad Ghosn didn't win... Will remember always his comment: If we admit that Hizbollah is killing, we can't negotiate with them anymore...
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١٧ تشرين تكملة ل ١٤ آذار و حركة تصحيحيّة ضدّ زعمائها. ضدّ التوافق مع حزب الله و جماعة سوريّة و فلولها. حتى الثورجيّه المزيّفين متل شربل نحّاس و جاد غصن خسروا. كان اشرف لو ما انتحلوا الصفة و نزلوا مع عون.
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Nationalism is a mental illness, the more educated the afflicted person the more serious is the case. Those with a higher degrees could be incurable.
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Thank god for podcasts and audiobooks. Will be off screens for a few weeks after eye surgery. Happy New Year.
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"May you never be hostage to an incompetent and corrupt leadership that can neither do war nor peace but can leave you in limbo forever."
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BBC News - Syria war: Lawyers submit first war crimes cases against Assad
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This is what Meghan called normal life like every other couple :-)
Harry and Meghan’s “crib” in Santa Barbara. If they had 15 million for this ESTATE, they surely had enough cash to hire some security guards/off duty cops.
#meghanmarkle
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If the Caravans stop coming to the Souk no amount of reshuffling and restructuring of the Souk will revive it.
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In Lebanon the political process was destroyed in 2007 at Doha. Governments of “national unity” have no responsibility and no accountability. Politicians are never saints nor geniuses - it is the process that creates democracy and curbs their power.
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.... and written by two of my colleagues at the
@FletcherSchool
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Lokman Slim’s culture war with Hezbollah should not be forgotten after assassination
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In a nutshell Israel lost the war in Gaza and the terms of capitulation are being negotiated. 1/3
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كيف رجل سياسي بيضرب صحافي ببرنامج تلڤزيوني على الهواء على عينك يا تاجر. و بيرجع عالاستيديو بدال ما يتوقّف و يروح عالحبس؟ #صار_الوقت الاعتذار مش كافي .
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#OnlyInLebanon
do you get a Bishop and two sheikhs discussing Christmas on TV interspersed with wine adverts.
#MerryChristmas
not
#HappyHolidays
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Christie's is holding an auction to help rebuild Beirut's cultural scene | Grazia Middle East
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Heavy rain in Beirut, no Israeli invasion today.
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This is not surprising from Crisis Group but no thanks, we've fallen into that trap before and it led us to where we are.
.
@CrisisGroup
proposes an "all hands on deck" approach to Lebanon's crisis.
This requires Hizbollah's rivals and foreign enemies to accept that there is seemingly no way to advance a reform program without its cooperation
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If it was an
#Israeli
strike that triggered the
#BeirutBlast
then those blocking the investigation now would be the ones asking for an International Investigation.
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Can’t stop re-reading this piece by
@makramrabah
about a truly wise lady, an amazing family, and Lokman a friend who will never be forgotten.
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On another planet this would start a war, here below on planet earth we were already at an unending war with one side led by General Soleimani.
This is the kind of move that starts wars — President Trump authorized strike that killed Iran’s Qassem Soleimani and an Iraqi paramilitary commander in Baghdad via
@WSJ
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Lebanon’s collapse can also be explained by the constant battering the country has experienced over a long period. The chronology is astounding. One wonders how many countries could have survived such a systematic succession of crises.
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It should be a coalition to fight the IRGC.
Looks like France is going to have (more) problems.
"Macron Calls for Coalition to Fight Against Hamas". This is not the same as with ISIS. It elicits v. different reactions. Fighting ISIS does not cause antisemitic terrorism. This does.
Does he know it?
Utterly clueless.
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The US barely aware of the game let alone being in it.
This is the most interesting photo that I’ve seen this month. The agendas playing out between Putin and Turkic world are fascinating — and also consequential for the American interest. Unfortunately, the US is barely in the game.
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Supporters of the Syrian regime should just shut up about Gaza. They do far more harm than good.
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I wish you had English subtitles for clips like these. Your father is greatly missed.
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Just as in 2006, I think it is safe to declare a Hamas victory whatever the final outcome of the battle. Hamas’s victory is not over Israel but over its internal rivals Fatah and others parties.
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In the fascist republic of Federal Lebanon I will be a Dhimmi and blocked.
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An explanation of how Hizballah was a direct cause of Lebanon's ruin even if it is not the "architect of the system". Calling it a "guarantor" is the same as calling the Mafia a "protector".
While Hezbollah was not the architect of Lebanon's ruinous economic system, with growing reach, it became first a happy participant and eventually its guarantor. More profoundly, its separate role a regionally active militia was rooted in and required continued state weakness. /1
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Lebanon lost two wonderful people who will be greatly missed, the publisher Farès Sassine my compatriot from Zahleh and the writer Jabbour Douaihy. Too much sadness for one day.
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@justinamash
Every president who bypassed congress by executve orders woul be in breach in that case.
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حدن لاحظ انٌو السياسيين و الاعلاميين و حتّى الثوّار مرّات بيقلبوا عالنحوي لمًّا بدّن يكذّبوا؟
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Breaking News:
latest analysis at the hairdresser yesterday:
« Surely Israel is not going to attack while we’re preparing for the Beitmery Festival this weekend. »
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I found myself sitting next to
#bannon
at a dinner in NYC in 2019. I trashed his speech he laughed and answered back. Someone who enjoys a good argument.
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Which side are you on?
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Another attempt at discrediting the White Helmets and their work in Syria.
@joshua_landis
should be more selective before spreading pro-Assad regime disinformation.
UK gov contractor called InCoStrat boasted of building a massive “network of over 1600 journalists and key influencers with an interest in
#Syria
.”
It claimed responsibility for creating the Syria narrative: "ISIS & Assad - two sides of the same coin"
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Seriously? more than Iran, Syria and Saddam's Iraq?
If the US, Israel & UAE plan a strategic agenda for the ME, we are all in trouble and should build underground shelters now. These 3, with perhaps Saudi Arabia as apprentice trouble-maker, are responsible for the turmoil in the region more than any other combination of states.
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On assassinations in Lebanon
@rchatah
&
@Jad_Ghosn
who exposes himself as the most absurd conspiracy theorist insisting Israel killed people to frame Hizballah. I lost all respect for him.
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في ناس سألوني انو اذا كان العدو الصهيوني مهزوم و خايف من الدمار يللي رح يجي من المقاومة. وانو الجليل محرر وحيفا ساقطة عسكريا والمنشآت اعتبروها مدمرة خلص. ليش السفارات عم بيقولوا لرعاياهن انو يتركوا لبنان و ما عم بيقولولن يتركوا الكيان الصهيوني المؤقت والبائد لا محالة؟
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Proud of my daughter
@lemmanour
Thrilled to be selected for this fellowship and grant, to report on reforestation in the isolated Akkar region of northern Lebanon, after devastating wildfires across the Eastern Mediterranean in 2021.
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“The victim’s self-confidence is eroded and a combination of physical and psychological manipulation leaves them blaming themselves, feeling inadequate and guilty, and forgetting what healthy alternatives exist.”
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It is remarkable how the same people who dismissed international justice when it came to the Special Tribunal for Lebanon, are now swearing by it when it is about Riad Saleme.
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The
#BeirutBlast
is the intersection of international Mafia with international Terrorism and tyrannical regimes. It cannot be banalized as local neglect & corruption, It is a global issue.
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My take on the
#Afghanistan
fiasco. "American bureaucracy is a hydra-like monster; every time you cut one head it grows many others, and any attempts at reducing it create even more layers."
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Happy Centennial Lebanon
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Hamas did not win against Israel its decisive victory is against the PLO. Civilians are the victims. 3/3
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The "useful idiots" of today as bad as they were described by Lenin a century ago.
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An event like the assassination of
#QassemSoleimani
provokes so many so called independent experts to reveal their true colours in an almost irrational and emotional outburst.
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If nation states were great to start with, why do we need to make them great again? What we are seeing is the end of the nation state, not the beginning.
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"Ayyash’s conviction helps confirm what the world is increasingly recognizing—that Hizballah and its members are not defenders of Lebanon as they claim to be but constitute a terrorist organization dedicated to advancing Iran’s malign sectarian agenda."
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How do we estimate the "ransom" that Lebanon as a hostage pays as a cost to the economy over the last 20 years. This can only be estimates because some of it is opportunity cost and lost revenue. Help is appreciated in putting $ values.
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Lebanon is now transformed into a Vampire State sucking up the savings of its depositors.
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اذا سرقوا البلد هوّ و مفلّس، شو رح يعملوا لمّا يصير عندو غاز؟
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بالفيديو: رشا سليم في أول تعليق على تصفية شقيقها... | النهار
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Mandatory listening to all lefty useful idiots and Assad apologists with
@gatnash
&
@joeyayoub
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Lebanon's public sector wage bill distribution - the security sector is the problem:
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Hizballah and its allies paralyzed the country at every step until they obtained full control with the election of General Michel Aoun as president in 2016. The country was held hostage for months on several occasions until the other side agreed to compromise after compromise.
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Israel is finally integrated in the region.
Among Israel's 146 criminal investigations since Oct 7 for speech offenses: A man posted on Instagram “The eye weeps for the residents of Gaza.” "40 minutes later, 20 police officers came to his house to arrest him for supporting a terrorist organization."
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Hizballah's control of Beirut's Port and Airport are a large part of the problem. Smuggling is a drain on the economy and on government revenue. In May 2008 the government tried to remove an officer at the airport, Hizballah's 'Black Shirts' attacked and terrorized the city.
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The West should listen to its friends not its enemies.
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Now all that remains is to set the goals!
U.S. troops not leaving Syria until goals accomplished: Haley
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I guess the democrats are now believers in Maximum Pressure policies - with Russia but not yet with Iran.
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Forever puzzled by the question “Why does the US make deals with its enemies and abandon its friends?” Here is a possible answer.
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Thanks
@oldlevantine
for this explanation, here are a few more elements to complete the picture.
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