This week's rising tensions suggest the ceasefire deal may be approaching a breaking point, says @YMekelberg via @NBCNews.

'It demonstrates that the U.S.-Saudi relationship is multi-dimensional and Riyadh is able to compartmentalise policies because it has become increasingly transactional in how it manages foreign relations,' says @NeilQuilliam1 via @Reuters.

🎧 In a new episode of #AfricaAware, Tim Eaton (@el_khawaga) & @LubnaYousef12 discuss their research on how transnational human smuggling has fuelled conflict in Libya. @ChathamHouse @XCEPT_Research @AfricaProg Listen below ⤵️

'For both Egypt & Jordan, even if they are authoritarian states, public opinion really matters. Since the war in Gaza there's been a re-politicisation of society, particularly over the issue of sovereignty & self-determination for Palestinians,' says @SanamVakil via @thetimes.

في هذه المقالة، يناقش مختص ملف اليمن والخليج في تشاثام هاوس - @almuslimi - الطبيعة الغير رسمية لجماعة الحوثيين والتي لطالما جعلتها جماعة غير مفهومة دوليا مما سمح لها بترويض خصومها المحليين والمجتمع الدولي بينما هي توسع نفوذها بالسياسة والمال والسلاح.

Trump’s proposal contradicts every regional priority on his books since running for elections: it would fuel another round of fighting in Gaza; imperil Israel’s peace with Egypt & Jordan; & revive Iran as a dominant security actor, writes @AAboudouh.

The priority has become communicating w/ external powers rather than a domestic audience. Sharaa gives interviews & explains his vision to the outside world, while people inside have no idea what this group envisions, says @HaidHaid22 via @washingtonpost.

'Trump’s suggestion that his plan is intended to be a permanent arrangement is effectively a version of the most extreme ideas of the ultra-right-wing settler movement in Israel,' writes @YMekelberg via @arabnews.

'A US takeover of Palestinian land would renew the legitimacy of Iran’s proxies across the region, if not trigger a regional war,' writes @AAboudouh. Read the analysis ⤵️

"أغلب هذه الرؤى تُغفل نقطة مهمة، وإن كانت بسيطة: فالحوثيون كيان يتطور باستمرار ولا يعمل كتنظيم هرميٍّ تقليدي،" يكتب @almuslimi. لقراءة المقال على منصتنا "كلام" ⬇️

'If Trump’s eye-popping intervention was a bargaining tactic, as some searching for logic in the proposal claim, it has already failed. Enormous damage has been done to the fragile peace process and US prestige,' writes @AAboudouh. Read the analysis ⤵️

Even if Gulf countries agreed to contribute to global climate finance, should the global shift away from fossil fuels accelerate, they may struggle to sustain their climate finance commitments, writes @DrAishaAlSarihi.

The proposal for a US takeover of Gaza would disrupt almost every foreign policy objective the new US administration has in the Middle East, writes @AAboudouh in a new Expert Comment. Read the analysis ⤵️

"الوجه المتغيّر للحوثيين: كيف استطاعت الحركة التكيُّف لتُهيمن على السياسة اليمنية" بقلم @almuslimi لقراءة المقال على منصتنا "كلام"⬇️

'The Jordanians are very worried that what happens in Gaza [could open] the door to the annexation [by Israel] of the West Bank,' says @NeilQuilliam1 via @guardian.

'More broadly, this is also part of [Trump's] extreme deal-making strategy that will lay the ground for broader Israeli-Saudi normalisation talks. He could be using this to pave the way to promote Saudi normalisation in exchange for no annexation,' says @SanamVakil via @guardian.

'If the argument for removing the U.S. troops from Iraq was that the fight against ISIS was over and the region is stable, that calculation has changed following regime change in Syria,' says @renadmansour via @ABC.

Trump 'may be seeking to placate supporters and high-level donors in the US, & shore up Netanyahu’s fragile political balance of power... this will likely lead to greater multilateral unity b/t the region’s Arab leaders,' says @SanamVakil via @politico.

'For Syria to move forward, the SDF’s fate must be resolved through dialogue and compromise, not conflict,' writes @HaidHaid22 via @AlMajallaEN.