Austan Goolsbee Profile
Austan Goolsbee

@Austan_Goolsbee

Followers
109,305
Following
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President & CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, econ prof @ChicagoBooth , frmr Chair, Council of Economic Advisers. I don’t speak for the Fed or others on FOMC

Chicago
Joined November 2010
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
1 year
This combines 2 things that tick me off: not checking data & not knowing The Simpsons 2023: Nuclear technician salary in IL: $93,210 4 bedroom house in Springfield IL: $220,000 Burns illegally put him in a job req. a nuclear phys degree so he went to college in season 5 ep. 3
@InternetH0F
internet hall of fame
1 year
:/
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@tracyalloway @StephenSpratt @Ruth_Liew10 @jonfavs @TVietor08 @hhigginbottom @davidaxelrod you guys remember when we had to break the glass and pull out the emergency bourbon during the ‘08 campaign that day when the whole world fell apart? The market wasn’t as scared as it is right now.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
I lost my old man this week at age 81. A larger-than-life figure, he was my hero to the very end.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
2 years
Reminder that when unemployment is already 3.6%, adding 372,000 is a tremendous number.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
My take on Trump blocking the relief bill: he knows he’s about to lose and he fully intends to burn it all to the ground when he does. He doesn’t want to help save people that are going to vote him out. He wants them to suffer. It’s just the beginning.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Your weekly reminder that Rs held up and then blocked the nomination for this same job of a guy that won the Nobel prize (in economics) for not being “sufficiently qualified”
@crampell
Catherine Rampell
5 years
In a recent episode of "The Herman Cain Show," Herman Cain rants about Democratic and media conspiracies, confuses job hires vs. job openings, and doesn't appear to know the difference between the BLS jobs report and ADP private payrolls report
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Reminder from 20 years ago: a Gore fundraiser was convicted of 5 felonies for doing exactly this
@maggieNYT
Maggie Haberman
4 years
Louis DeJoy’s rise as GOP fundraiser was powered by contributions from company workers who were later reimbursed, former employees say - The Washington Post
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Were there people during the Blitz in London who refused to turn their lights off at night even though it would attract German bombers?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
The job collapse last month was across the board. This rebound was about 1/10th of the collapse and the majority of the job gains were in just one sector--leisure and hospitality. That feels a bit too dead-cat-bouncy for my taste.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Remember the time you withdrew from the Iran deal and oil prices shot up (and haven’t come down)?
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
6 years
Oil prices are too high, OPEC is at it again. Not good!
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Simple question for each US Senator: when you publicly swore to defend the constitution of the United States from all enemies, foreign and domestic, so help you God, what did you think that meant?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
8 years
The dow is up 285% under Obama
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
8 years
The world was gloomy before I won - there was no hope. Now the market is up nearly 10% and Christmas spending is over a trillion dollars!
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Every time Trump refers to ‘sleepy joe’ it just reminds me how much better I will sleep when Joe Biden is President.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@MattLaslo They gassed peaceful protesters outside the Whitehouse to make way for a photo op but they are going to let goober-nazis storm the capitol?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
No I will not let you propagate this lie. Just stop it. That is absolutely in no way even remotely true. Seriously, Art, do you think people cannot even look up Wikipedia and see how absurd this statement is?
@ryan_hassett
Socially Distant Ryan 🇺🇦
5 years
Art Laffer: "it's much like Obama, who I believe was the reason why we had the Great Recession. As he got closer and closer to winning the markets collapsed." I need to get myself one of the Fox News scam gigs.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Volcker’s mantra, one he told me again and again through 2008-9 was that in a crisis the only asset you have is your credibility. He viewed all the non-crisis time as the period when you must establish the credibility because you will definitely need it eventually.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@crampell This is what I mean. We spend 2.2t on relief including $200+ billion on corporate tax cuts and $500b in bailouts for big companies but we won’t pay 1b for ventilators? It’s like they don’t even want the economy to come back. #VirusEconomics
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Somewhere Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and John Kasich are each muttering under their breath about how if only the other two had done the honorable thing it would have never come to this.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@realDonaldTrump @OANN 75 year old technology mastermind in upstate New York smashes own skull on concrete as part of plan to make President look bad.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Less than a week ago they said 4 million were ready to ship
@seanhannity
Sean Hannity 🇺🇸
4 years
PENCE ON HANNITY: Tens of Thousands of Coronavirus Tests Available in Days Ahead
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
If the president just tipped that the numbers are good, he broke the law
@NickTimiraos
Nick Timiraos
6 years
The president’s economic adviser could have briefed him on the numbers last night:
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Bannon accepted to speak here at U Chicago on economic nationalism but when he found out I was going to debate him, he bailed out. Nobody needs a lecture from him about who the snowflakes are in the marketplace of ideas.
@jpodhoretz
John Podhoretz
6 years
Remnick wanted to make Bannon a villain but in the liberal world now you silence the bad guy rather than defeat him
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
2 years
@marcorubio Off the bat? Working through the 21.3 million backlog of unprocessed tax returns.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Neera Tanden knows the policy, knows how to get things done, ran a major think tank and will serve the country with distinction. She will make a great OMB director.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Wow. How could that have happened?
@NBCNews
NBC News
6 years
The Trump administration's $1.5 trillion cut tax package appeared to have no major impact on businesses' capital investment or hiring plans, according to a new survey.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
I was blessed beyond measure to have him as my father. I will miss him. But my wife, my kids and I will carry him with us forever. Bye dad.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Before $50 billion for airlines or $5 billion for cruise lines and casinos, how about direct every cent of that money into medical equipment, supplies and personnel?
@NicolleDWallace
Nicolle Wallace
4 years
AMA head: Lack of protective gear for health care workers is 'unacceptable'
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
My three scene run-of-show of the economic crisis: Scene 1:VIRUS ECONOMICS Here the most important thing you can do for the economy is slow the virus or show it has a lower bound. Pay sick not to work, buy ventilators, test/isolate. Nothing works until you get a handle on this.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
1 year
And yes I know Groening said he named it after Springfield OR, but many Simpsons diehards still say it is actually Springfield IL: about an hour fr/ Shelbyville IL, on Lake Springfield, Mr Burns’ thank you note return address says IL and here’s the town squares side-by-side
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Happy birthday boss. You delivered us from the brink of the economic abyss. It was the honor of my career to work for you and with your people. @BarackObama
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
Virus. Virus. Virus. See the jobs number and then repeat after me: the #1 rule of virus economics is that to fix the economy you must …
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
We have 36.5 million unemployment claims since March. To understand the monstrosity of that number, consider: the worst week of all times before this was 695k. If you had that worst week of all times every week for an entire year—52 in a row—that would be 36.1m.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
That is a fantasy. @cbsthismorning why just quote something patently false. Hundreds of people have specifically contradicted this statement in the real world. Hold these people accountable.
@CBSMornings
CBS Mornings
4 years
“Any doctor who believes that a test is clinically indicated can get that test done. There’s no barrier whatsoever from the federal government in terms of getting that done.” -- HHS @SecAzar on #coronavirus testing in the U.S.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Not even close. TPP many times more.
@davidaxelrod
David Axelrod
6 years
Question: Did U.S. get more concessions from agreement with Mexico announced today than we would have under the TPP that he scrapped? Anyone know?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
I’m proud to have helped out @PeteButtigieg where I could and think he has a great future ahead of him. He made an epic run—far beyond what anyone expected—and he will do everything he can to get a Dem into the WH in November. Thanks Mayor
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
He meant to say “wasn’t”
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
Important note: relief $ is not stimulus. You can’t compare to the size of the current output gap to know if it is “too big”. Relief money prevents the output gap from getting bigger, can prevent permanent damage, and is important. Stop judging it as stimulus.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
@NobelPrize Remembering when Josh Angrist moonlighted as an Uber driver to get info for a paper (he got low ratings b/c passengers said he asked them too many questions). Rando drunk Boston ppl driven around by a Nobel laureate studying incentives and human behavior is <kiss-fingers>
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@RonaldKlain Fact 2: While simultaneously dealing with the biggest financial crisis and recession of our lifetime
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
They drove @AtifRMian off their economic advisory council?! Are they nuts?
@AtifRMian
Atif Mian
6 years
1/ For the sake of the stability of the Government of Pakistan, I have resigned from the Economic Advisory Council, as the Government was facing a lot of adverse pressure regarding my appointment from the Mullahs (Muslim clerics) and their supporters.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
They’re pushing a $20b/year tax on middle class b/c ‘it’s so small, no one will notice’ Reminder: proposal to charge large financial institutions a fee for the risks they impose is 1/2 that size and closing the carried interest loophole is 1/10th. #NoOneWillNotice
@atrupar
Aaron Rupar
6 years
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross leaves CNBC hosts dumbfounded after he tells them that American families won't be bothered by tariffs on $200b of Chinese goods because "it's spread over thousands and thousands of products" so "nobody will actually notice" that prices went up.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Yes yes yes yes
@MikeElk
Mike Elk
4 years
Vermont and Minnesota declared grocery store workers as “emergency workers” so they could receive free child care
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
If he tipped it, potus just broke the law
@NickTimiraos
Nick Timiraos
6 years
The president’s economic adviser could have briefed him on the numbers last night:
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@SportsPundette You misspelled “infected”
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
My 50th birthday today. Dad turns 80 in feb but almost never made it to 50: heart attack & quintuple bypass at 49. But he recovered and got to see me graduate, get married, and to know his 3 grandkids. He and mom retired together back to Abilene TX. I will always be thankful.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Old enough to remember Al Gore losing a debate by rudely sighing too loudly
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
A lot of crap is wrong in the world. But Janet Yellen is now the Secretary of the Treasury. My old advisor James Tobin is smiling down now: “It’s going to work out. Don’t worry.”
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
My NYT piece Wed was a pre-buttal of sorts to L.Summers’ argument today. Here’s why I say going small and slow is a bad idea in a pandemic (and jobs #s this morning say we made the mistake once already)
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
2 1/2 weeks ago my mom mailed me a birthday present via USPS to give them a boost in their hour of need. It was a noble idea. Except it means I still don’t have it.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Trump family is rediscovering the old truth about Washington: it’s a place where everyone is there to give you a helping kick on the way down.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@KyleKashuv Reminder from the CDC: death rates from all five leading causes of death in the US are significantly higher in rural areas.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@RonaldKlain To anyone not old enough to remember what happened, US auto companies faced liquidation as the Obama/Biden admin came in. VP Biden was one of the main champions of rescuing them. It did. And it worked. And everyone knows it. Including Donald Trump...Especially Donald Trump.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
@washingtonpost shredded documents really clog the plumbing
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
This whole thing is making the Iowa caucus seem like it went pretty well, actually
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
TFW the most senior administration official for trade policy flunks the simplest micro economics test question from class.
@atrupar
Aaron Rupar
6 years
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross leaves CNBC hosts dumbfounded after he tells them that American families won't be bothered by tariffs on $200b of Chinese goods because "it's spread over thousands and thousands of products" so "nobody will actually notice" that prices went up.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@scottorn @jbrowder1 they don’t need to interact with a real person here—just type in the Soc sec number and it tells you the status of your refund.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
2 years
A bit of personal take on the forthcoming jobs numbers: @ChicagoFed
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@jmartNYT Donald trump will not answer whether he will peacefully turnover power if he loses. How are we deciding to put less pressure on that one than this?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Eric Lander is one of the most impressive scientists I have ever met. He’s an unbelievably superb choice to be the nation’s top science adviser.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@megynkelly I’m not trying to fight you, Megyn. I just think this is not you. Don’t do this. The side that wins a bitter contest can say “we won, now you will pay” or “we won, let’s heal” You feel Trump was attacked. They feel he was the attacker. There’s only 1 way to stop grievance wars
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Have felt like crap all day, missing Alan Krueger and processing his death.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
As savage as this new UI claims number is today (essentially tying the 10X all-time record level of last week), it still probably well understates the truth. Many claims offices remain overloaded and people that qualify have not been able to file.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
@crampell @KFILE I think the follow up should have just been Erin turning to the camera and close up of her ‘are-you-F’ing-serious?’ look
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Market reminder: that’s what the price is for
@LauraKusisto
Laura Kusisto
5 years
As Boomers look to sell their dream homes, they aren't finding ready buyers. The mismatch between what Boomers are selling and what Millennials are buying is a big looming challenge for the housing market. via @WSJ
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Don’t be naive people. If Trump gets away with this unpunished, he will be calling for DOJ investigations of Elizabeth Warren’s past within weeks.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Apollo 11’s Biggest Mistake: Not going to Mars, too.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
8 years
idea: Ds tell Trump they are ready to deal. will allow a complete repeal of Obamacare if he agrees to save the Affordable Care Act.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Raise. Your. Pay.
@CNBC
CNBC
6 years
The percentage of small businesses not able to fill open positions hit 36% in June, according to the NFIB Research Center, the highest level on record.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
Folks saying UI is the main cause of worker scarcity (as opposed to the jobs being high pandemic risk roles and traditionally drawing on female employees who are having major struggles getting kids into childcare and schools so they can go back to work) explain two things:
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Requiring bailout firms not to pay dividends, do share repurchases or increase executive compensation is not a liberal political condition or a socialist plot. It’s a vital, common sense rule. Rescue money is to prevent firings & liquidation not for distributing to themselves.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Economics 1 Political Spin 0
@WSJecon
Real Time Economics
6 years
Washer and dryer prices climbed 20% in the three months through June, the steepest rise in at least 12 years.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@amysrosenberg But isn’t 40% of its base is still supporting it?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
Paul Volcker was the closest thing to a legit super hero that economics has yet produced. He was also a friend and mentor to many, including me, and a source of wisdom right up to his final days. We will miss you, big guy. The whole world will.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@jasonfurman This is what I mean by virus economics not being the same as regular business cycle economics. The best stimulus is anything that slows the spread of the virus, even if in the immediate sense it “hurts” the economy.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
How many job reports like this will it take before the people arguing there is a trade off between health and the economy admit that getting control of the virus is critical for fixing the economy? [*Narrator: he already knew the answer to this question*]
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
The dude is going to be President
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
Pretty interesting that massive job creation (including eye-popping numbers in leisure/hospitality & construction) has not seemed to diminish by even one iota the fervor of the ppl insisting workers refuse to work b/c of UI.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
2 years
After my dad died last summer, my mom decided to run for statehouse in Abilene TX on a platform of affordable health care. Fast forward to yesterday: mom is now the dem nominee in TX-71. Way to go mom! If you like spunky fighters, this is her
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
7 months
AGI is a tax concept. The artificial intelligence people need to choose a different acronym.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Joint statement by conservatives Stephen Moore, Art Laffer, Steve Forbes: "Don’t expand welfare and other income redistribution benefits like paid leave and unemployment benefits that will inhibit growth and discourage work" AAAAAAAAAAAAAARGH
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Tonight making dinner I thought about how this old skillet is almost 100. It made it through depressions, world wars and now pandemics. Still cooking. Here’s to 97 more yrs of feeding our families. Think of your loved ones tonight. We’ll be ok. We’ve made it through worse.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
We were promised taco trucks. ON. EVERY. CORNER.
@crampell
Catherine Rampell
5 years
America would run out of avocados in three weeks if Trump shuts down the U.S.-Mexico border
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
How do they not see that this s what kills the economy, too? Before you spend $1 trillion on bailouts, you need to spend whatever it takes on slowing the virus and saving lives. Without that, we cannot recover.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
This. Turning the apparatus of the law enforcement and power of the state to investigate and drive out political opponents is straight out of the authoritarian strongman play book—fully predicted in Ziblatt and Levitsky’s book
@jonathanchait
Jonathan Chait
5 years
We're all losing the plot here. The big question is Trump's "absolute right" to have any American investigated by any country, for any reason Trump likes
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Scene 2: PREVENT FOREVER DAMAGE FROM NOW PROBLEMS Even if it rebounds soon, many businesses & ppl will not be able to survive the shock. Extensions on loans, food stamps, bankruptcy/foreclosure moratoria, money to stave off permanent collapse is key here.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
I will say again and keep saying: Stimulus won’t work until you get control of the virus
@JStein_WaPo
Jeff Stein
4 years
On White House wish-list for "Stimulus 4," likely similar to what it was couple weeks ago, per aides: - Payroll tax cut - Extend full expensing - Deductions for meals/entertainment/sports (though who's going?) - "Liability shield" - Infrastructure?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
1 year
Important to consider the situation in other big economies, too, when thinking about what’s driving core inflation.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
My first ID. 26 yrs ago today, ⁦ @UChicago ⁩ put me on the payroll. I was not yet 26 then so it means I have now spent more than half my life here. It has been a great blessing to be part of this place and to learn from so many. #ThankYouChicago @ChicagoBooth
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
3 years
When I worked in Poland in 1990, I met a guy that served multiple years in prison for the crime of teaching free-market economics. He gave me copies of their samizdat that were mostly translations of economists’ writings like the Friedman/Samuelson Newsweek columns.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@nypost How about not trying to get our EMTs fired when WE DESPERATELY NEED THEIR HELP DURING A FLIPPING PANDEMIC?
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
1 year
@FrankLuntz There’s no Shelbyville in OR.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
6 years
Every informed person said at the time of the tax cut that stimulus at peak boom made no sense and the fed would respond. That counts as a tax cut error (among many).
@TheStalwart
Joe Weisenthal
6 years
@RichardRubinDC Nonetheless. If rate hikes have had the effect of slowing the economy before hitting its full potential, then that's the Fed's error, not the tax cuts'.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
And there’s good hay to be made in using #1 as stimulus—govt program to 3x ventilators, rent out entire hotels for 6 mos for care centers, whatever. Do the WWII mobilization type stuff applied to health. It ramps down fear can help move us quicker to scenes 2 and 3.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
5 years
@RudyGiuliani Pressed by Fox News host S. Doocy to elaborate on whether he knew the FBI's announcement was coming, Giuliani said ... "Did I hear about it? You're darn right I heard about it, and I can't even repeat the language that I heard from the FBI agents."
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
8 months
Most know Paul Volcker as the legendary Fed Chair. Fewer know how he loved cooking turkey for Thanksgiving & was a master at it. He never told me the secret recipe but hinted that port basting was key. So now I make gravy with port as an homage to the big guy Happy Thanksgiving
Tweet media one
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
Last night the whole family went out and looked 18 degrees up from the W horizon at exactly 9:38pm and watched the International Space Station cruise by for 4 minutes. There wasn’t much to it—just a dot moving in the sky. But it was what we needed. It was awesome.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
2 years
If this is the end of twitter, I just want to say that when my Dad died last year and I wrote about it on here, the love and support you all gave meant so much to me and, truly, thank you from the bottom of my heart.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
@camillepawglia No we’re safe. We still smell.
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@Austan_Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
4 years
I’m digging this Biden plan. Responses that are of the magnitude as the problem and with a national strategy not with lord of the flies.
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