Abhinav Katyal
@ASKatyal
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49
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255
Statuses
7,502
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Changing the name of Shantipath Road to
#DalaiLamaMarg
at which Chinese Embassy in New Delhi is located would give more burns and pain than banning
#59
Mobile Applications.
@KyaUkhaadLega
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In Past 6 Years, Modi Govt has been scrutinized & analyzed on all Socio-Economic parameters, but one sector which has not been discussed enough or researched in-depth is the Aviation.
My small attempt to showcase the scintillating success of Indian Aviation between 2015-20.
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Currently more than half of the Twitter RW abusing BJP & Top leadership, not even sparing PM.
Easy to support when a Party is in Power & wields hegemony at Political front.
A bad phase and masks are off.
*बरसाती मेंढक* की कहावत चरितार्थ हो गई।
Support in bad times matters.
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Babli was trying to break JJP with support of 6 other MLAs and ally with BJP just 10 days ago.
Sensing public mood he has announced support to Congress.
2024 Haryana Lok sabha election is heading for shocking results, looks like all myths & predictions will fail including mine.
Breaking !!
JJP MLA Devendra Babli has declared his support to Congress for lok sabha elections. He was considered close to former CM khattar. Ideally, he would have been 1st first MLA to shift over to BJP, but things seem to have changed now. He has probably sensed public mood.
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KBC going rogue ? Writers mainstreaming Anti India activities and activists.
@DataGuyRedux
@MandarSawant184
@vipinrocs
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Yeh bhi padh le
@raghav_chadha
The foam in the Yamuna is at Okhla Barrage area, which comes under UP irrigation govt, it's UP govt's responsibility. But like every year, they failed this year too...The polluted water is not Delhi's, it's a 'gift' to Delhi by UP, Haryana govt: AAP's Raghav Chadha
on toxic foam
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Old Rohtak district + Panipat is Olympic medal Hub of India.
This small region of just 5 Million people has more medals than rest of the country.
If any region that deserves Olympics village, its this place bordering Delhi. Will alone deliver double digit medals every Olympics.
Congratulations Aman Sehrawat for winning 🥉 medal in Wrestling at
#Paris2024
. This takes India’s tally to 6. Interestingly 5 out of 6 medals have been won by athletes from Haryana.
Neeraj 🥈
Manu 🥉🥉
Sarabjot 🥉
Aman 🥉
Haryana deserves more investment in sports. This state
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Have been maintaining this since 3 months that Ashwini Vaishnav alone would cost BJP 18-20 seats in Purvanchal with the way he totally ignored Express/passenger trains which still transport 97% passengers in India.
Vande Bharat PR is good but it only transports <1% Passengers.
If there is one ministry which did the biggest damage to BJP among poor, especially in east UP, Bihar, it’s this. Gadkari should be given the charge this time (not alliance partners). Don’t think anyone else from current lot has vision or execution skills to handle IR.
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Thread on Law & Order in Uttar Pradesh-
If there is a Political figure who has been scrutinized in last 3 years at par with PM Modi, its UP CM Yogi Adityanath.
The single biggest Parameter on which he is judged/ executed is Law & Order.
I found visible reforms in UP L&O.
1/9
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#HaryanaAssemblyElections
With about 75 days to go for voting, here is the first bit of prediction which will go on over the course of next 2.5 months.
In the recently concluded Loksabha elections assembly wise leads-
INC + AAP : 46 with 47.61%
BJP : 44 with 46.11%
1/20
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Chronology of Migration -
~1 Saudi return lady infected a Doctor of Mohalla Clinic in Delhi
~Doctor infected several others and lead to 900 others in Quarantine
~Kejri wanted to avoid exposure of celebrated Mohalla Clinic model (which are ill equipped) fearing more such cases
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Riveting stat for all
#Cricketfans
-
Australian Test Record against top 3 nations in this century -
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With this Bhajan Lal & Bansi Lal heir apparents in BJP now.
Alongside Devi Lal's son & BJP's own Manohar Lal, BJP now homes all the Lals.
Haryana is the only Hindi state where INC out performed BJP in Loksabha.
Can all the Lals together brave the Hooda tide in Vidhansabha?
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@Pradip_K_Varma
@muglikar_
@Ish_Bhandari
- Look at the headlines of highest selling newspaper of India on Budget, Damage done in 10 Hindi speaking states of North and Central India..
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My final prediction after local feedback, analysing each constituency with past history, current mood, demography & candidate profile.
Party: Seats : Votes
AAP : 42 (+-5) : 28-30%
INC : 33 (+-4) : 28-30%
SAD : 26 (+-4) : 23-25%
NDA : 13 (+-3) : 11-13%
Oth : 3 (+-1) : 6-7%
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~Ecosystem was activated to flush out migrants to avoid poor visiting those Clinics
~Media houses situated on Delhi- UP Border in Noida responded in full faith
~Panic and Fear was created among poor migrants, DTC buses were readily made available to ferry them on Delhi Border
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Rural distress and Dalit consolidation!
Rural and SC reserved Constituencies where opposition is leading big.
Haryana is a bell weather state nationally, same trend is seen in many other states.
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Bhupinder Hooda has a fixed/loyal votebank. Everything else is symbol vote of INC (especially Dalit and minority) topped up by anti BJP voters looking for a change.
INC will get a bigger mandate if it projects Deepender, as he's the face while his father is more of an organizer.
भूपेन्द्र हुड्डा, कांग्रेस के बड़े नेताओं को साथ ले कर चलने का बड़ा दिल कभी नहीं दिखा पाए। जितनी मज़बूती से वो कांग्रेस के नेताओं के ख़िलाफ़ लड़ लेते है उतनी मज़बूती से वो कभी बीजेपी से तो नहीं लड़ पाए। ना ही किसान आंदोलन में किसानों के लिए ऐसे लड़ पाए। किसान-कमेरे वर्ग की बीजेपी
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Net loss to BJP, good riddance for INC
>JATs anyhow wont vote BJP, so she ain't bringing a single new vote
>She would have damaged INC by internal sabotage had she remained in INC
>She's getting Rajyasabha, otherwise given to a deserving BJP leader would have added value/votes
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16 दिन हुए हैं आज, ये काम ट्रिपल इंजन ने गुडगाँव ��ें 10 साल सरकार में रह कर नहीं किया।
राज बब्बर जी वैसे चुने हुए जन प्रतिनिधि नहीं हैं, चुने हुए Mayor, MLA, MP तो बेचारे चीन पाकिस्तान रूस यूक्रेन के मुद्दों को Retweet करने में व्यस्त होंगे।
ये आपकी सक्रियता है कि गुड़गांव प्रशासन हरकत में है। सुना है सीएम का सीधा आदेश है !
अबतक एक्शन कूड़ेदान में और कूड़ा बाहर पड़ा था - आप ने हौसला दिया तो मैंने जाकर वजह पूछ ली।
ये सफ़ाई अभियान | अधिकारी-मंत्री का निरिक्षण - सब आपकी ताक़त है। मैं साधन मात्र हूँ।
साधुवाद आपको!
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~My seat prediction -
BJP –> 84 (+-4)
RJD –> 61 (+-5)
JDU –> 52 (+-7)
LJP –> 14 (+-2)
INC –> 13 (+-3)
VIP –> 7 (+-1)
Left –> 6 (+-2)
HAM –> 2 (+-1)
Others –> 4 (+-2)
@Pradip_K_Varma
@DataGuyRedux
@Ash_Rokzz23
@Pinkesh80864128
@Abhishek3592
@ajitabh_baruah
@amityadavamit
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#MCDElections2022
-
~Class divide clearly visible, BJP winning majority middle & upper middle class wards
~AAP winning majority of SC, Slums & lower class concentrated wards
~INC doing well in Muslim wards
~Biggest surprise package - BJP ahead in many Sikh dominating wards
#MCDElections2022
As per latest trends - BJP's doing well in West and East Delhi.
AAP doing well in Rural, Central and outer Delhi.
Majority muslims have voted Congress, paving the way for a neck to neck fight.
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As per this report, beds are still available in large number in Haryana with Oxygen supply 4 times than demand. Delhiites must consider getting treated in neghbouring Haryana during crisis instead of running behind branded & fancy hospitals of NCR where there is clear shortage.
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Any Survey giving JJP even 1 seat is a scam of this decade 😀
Even Dushyant is not expecting anything! He has given up on this election but Media hasn't 😀
.
@Matrize_NC
Survey on TIMES NOW
Opinion poll for
#Haryana
Assembly elections (Total Seats: 90) || Seatshare:
- BJP+: 37-42
- INC: 33-38
- JJP: 03-08
- Others: 07-12
Watch
@TheNewshour
as
@NavikaKumar
decodes the survey numbers.
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~Kejri successfully passed on the failure of his governance model for Yogi Adityanath to handle
~Ecosysytem and Kejri achieved multiple aims in one go
@iMac_too
@ishkarnBHANDARI
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#HaryanaAssemblyElections
Samajwadi party is demanding 1 seat each in Mewat, Ahirwal and Jatland from Congress, as part of India alliance on MYJ formula of UP.
Similarly, NCP is asking for 2 seats from Congress in Old Karnal district where Ror community is concentrated.
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GST Per Capita of Indian states reflect a different pattern compared to traditional method of GSDP per capita income for ascertaining Economic pattern
While service sector driven states have edged passed Manufacturing sector states in GSDP PCI, GST PC signifies consumption.
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The biggest revealing story amongst all the growth, is emergence of 2 & 3 tier cities on Aviation Map with
@PMOIndia
delivering his promise of "Hawai Chappal se Hawai Jahaj".
~ Operational Airports - more than Doubled
~ Consistent decline - share of DEL & BOM in Air traffic
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Centralization of power minimizes the leakages in corruption and abuse of power at lower levels, however it also stalls local governance and creates a policy paralysis situation where govt gradually becomes absent at local levels.
It only activates when CM is on tour.
Crazy. Under SP regime, these IPS officers must be at the beck and call of local bahubali with Laal topi but under BJP, they don’t even receive calls of cabinet ministers. ‘Overcentralisation in CMO’ model has done a lot of damage to BJP. Yogiji seems to have realised this.
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Interesting stats of Lok sabha results in Punjab-
■Only 9 candidates secured 30%+ voteshare
■8 of them won, only one who lost even after securing 30%+ Votes is Gurpreet GP of AAP from Fatehgarh Sahib
■Hence FGS is the only Loksabha where 2 candidates got 30%+ voteshare
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The graphical representation depicts India touched new heights and doubled the number of Passengers within a span of 5 years from 2014-2019 by clocking double digits Year-on-Year growth, while remaining the fastest growing Aviation market of the world during this period.
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Post stagnation & lull of 3 years between 2011-2014, rise of Indian aviation has been nothing short of touching a Crescendo. The crescentic rise has been amplified by the Civil aviation policy of "make Flying affordable to the Masses & strengthen the Regional connectivity"
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@Oye_Jahazi
Won't be true anymore after 1-2 olympics, in Paris 2024 India can touch double digits in medal tally for the first time. And then 2032 onwards multiple Golds as well.
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Overall traffic -
~Top 10 is rounded off by 8 Metros and Tourist hubs of Kochi & Goa
~Next 6 spots are occupied by State capitals, while 4 capitals are stacked between positions 23-28
~Imphal, Agartala & Port Blair among Million+ traffic indicates transformed connectivity
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BJP's biggest shock in assembly election will come from OBCs only as seen in Loksabha as well.
INC's ground work in last 6 months has been majorly OBCs with common citizen of every small caste part of their Manifesto committee and representation to them in ticket distribution.
#PoliticalPulse
| With Nayab Saini as Haryana poll face, BJP eyes OBC votes, bets on schemes in non-Jat outreach
@78vbhatia
reports
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>Attitude
>Diet
>Sports culture
>Physical regime
>Private Investment
>Gene Pool
Manu Bhaker again from Haryana. What does Haryana do better than any other state when it comes to sports. I live here and even I don’t know. Govt jobs me sports quota to baaki states me bhi hai, Govt job ka craze baaki states me bhi hai
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@seeuatthemovie
Vanga is a genius, the previous Rash scene was to make him wear Kurta and Chadra (that's not Dhoti) to portray him as Arjan Vailly in next sequence. Kurta & Chadra is traditional wear of Rural Punjab.
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South Haryana - BJP is slightly ahead
JAT belt - Congress is well ahead
GT Road belt - This is the Swing region of Haryana.
BJP swept in 2014, full majority govt.
Congress made inroads in 2019, BJP fell short of majority.
This is where election will be decided in 2024 as well.
Haryana is getting ready for vidhan sabha elections. Amit Shah will do OBC sammelan tomorrow in Mahendragarh. Deepndra Hooda has started a yatra today from Karnal. Kumari Sejla is already doing yatra.
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CT value significance for Covid +ve people -
WHAT IS CT VALUE ?
It refers to the number of cycles needed to amplify the viral RNA to a detectable level
35 is the current threshold prescribed by ICMR and 35-40 is also the standard value worldwide to report someone -ve.
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Amidst all the social media noise of Ludhiana/ Amritsar/ Gurdaspur/ Hoshiarpur etc seats of Punjab.. the best election took place in Firozpur.
Just 1% votes separate top 4 candidates.
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As campaigning ends today, here is the final prediction for Punjab-
Gurdaspur - INC
Amritsar - INC
Jalandhar - INC
Hoshiarpur - AAP
Anandpur Sahib - AAP
Fatehgarh Sahib - AAP
Ludhiana - INC edge
Patiala - INC edge
Sangrur - AAP edge
Bathinda - SAD B edge
Faridkot - AAP edge
1/2
Punjab Summary -
Amritsar - AAP vs INC (INC edge)
Gurdaspur - INC
Jalandhar - INC
Hoshiarpur - AAP
Anandpur Sahib - AAP
Ludhiana - INC vs BJP close
Fatehgarh Sahib - AAP vs INC (INC edge)
Patiala - AAP vs INC close
Sangrur - AAP vs INC vs SAD A (AAP edge)
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A thread on
#BiharAssemblyElection2020
Not a Bihar Expert, but trying to put up a summary of Bihar elections after my observation of campaign so far & interaction with some voters + browsing views of Voters thru various social media, mainstream media & other sources.
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It is intriguing that Infra is readily available in Delhi after commonwealth games of 2010. Haryana Athletes use Delhi's Infra for training.
But due to bias, Billions of Dollars would go in vain to host Olympics in a state which has no sporting culture & won't produce athletes.
Why host summer Olympic in Ahmedabad, Gujarat when the state hasn’t even produce a single Olympic athlete ENTRY, let alone winning. Who’ll even use the sports infrastructure created. If Olympics is to be hosted in India it should be like in Gurgaon, Haryana!
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Though I should be avoiding as this is the most difficult election to predict, still..
Party : Votes : Seatshare
INC : 30-32% : 43 (+2)
AAP : 25-27% : 33 (+-2)
SAD : 24-26% : 27 (+-2)
NDA : 10-12% : 11 (+-2)
SSM : 4% : 0-1
Oth : 4% : 2-3
20/20
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@rahulgrover88
@Tweeter_wapsi
I came back to Gurgaon from US on 9th Feb. Receive calls from DC/ DM office every alternate day, from Municipal Corporation & Local Police station once a week, Civil Surgeon twice a week, despite the fact that i completed 2 months today and they still keep a track of my health.
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I think BJP's narrative is going down due to poor communication.
Arun Jaitely effectively managed communication on day to day economics. Nirmala S despite being an ex Spokie is a bad communicator. Without getting into the merits/ demerits of the Budget, damage is done already.
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As predicted in this podcast with
@haryannvi
, Kiran Chaudhary may join BJP in a day or two.
संवाद # 186: Why BJP got a shock in Haryana - complete analysis of all 10 Lok Sabha seats by
@ASKatyal
BJP will need to reinvent its political and governance model for the state asap.
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If all the 519 Lok Sabha constituencies of States/UTs with 1 Crore+ population (2011 Census) are reconstituted with equal amount of Electors (basis 2019 General Election) in each constituency, then this would be the state-wise allocation of number of seats.
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#ShramikSpecialTrains
-
1st May-1st June --> 4155 Trains, ferried 63 Lakh Migrants
Highest Outflux - Gujarat and Maharashtra
Maximum Influx - UP and Bihar
Some Pairs small but interesting, like -
Tripura --> UP
Delhi --> Maharashtra
Gujarat --> Tamil Nadu
Bihar --> Telangana
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Kiran Chaudhary supporters openly announcing on Live TV - we have instructions from Madam to vote Dharambir Singh (BJP).
Its in public now that she has revolted against Rao Dan Singh's candidature.
Still looks like Dan Singh is getting good support in her constituency.
High anger in Charkhi Dadri district.
Congress
Strengths - Rao Dan Singh comes from ahirwal where Congress lacked in previous elections. He did a good and energetic campaign and
spent good money.
Weakness -Non supportiveness of Kiran Chaudhary.BJP's stronghold in Mahendragarh.
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Everything stands theoretical without numbers -
UP with 17% population of the country now contributes 10% of the cognizable crime reported in India.
The comparison Table of 2018 vs 2019 also reflects improved Law & Order situation in UP under Yogi Adityanath.
9/9
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Post Loksabha results-
>BJP completely withdrew PM Modi from Haryana assembly campaign
>28th Jun- Amit Shah in public rally announces Nayab Saini as face
>After poor public response to CM Saini, Dharmendra Pradhan on 4th Aug announces election under collective state leadership
First biggest change after Lok sabha elections - BJP not to contest on PM Modi's face, first time since 2014. Even MP 2023 wasn't contested on Shivraj's face.
Usually Modi starts his visits to each state 6 month before assembly polls. This time nothing of that sort is happening.
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There was a buzz in local circles about 22 Congress MLAs/ potential Candidates in Haryana will be arrested or raided in next 2 months as a messaging to Hooda, similar to Kamalnath in MP.
Surender Panwar, MLA Sonipat is 2nd after Rao Dan Singh, MLA Mahendragarh in last 3 days.
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Modernization, Strengthening the Police force, setting up Commissionerates aren't the only steps CM Yogi has taken for Police reforms.
Segregation of duties, making specialized units to make the force smarter, effective are the other steps he took.
8/9
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Time for penultimate update on Punjab election -
3 weeks since i last updated, and everyday has been eventful with Election finally starting to shape up with Candidate & CM face selection by various parties.
Let's take a look at how fortunes have changed for some on ground.
1/n
Back with the periodic update on Punjab election -
Last 3 weeks have seen a lot of political action with PM security issue to Farm unions publicly announcing of not allying with AAP and contesting separately.
Let's go thru how much impact these events will have on election.
1/n
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Randeep Singh Surjewala-
Path is clearing for Bhupinder Singh Hooda in Haryana Congress for a complete takeover. Only Kumari Selja left.
All others have been on self destruction mode starting from Birender Singh, then Kuldeep Bishnoi, recently Kiran Chaudhary and now Randeep.
कांग्रेस पार्टी के एक महासचिव के हाल ही में दिये बयान से आलाकमान खुश नहीं है, बयान और बयान के पीछे की राजनीति को संज्ञान में लिया जा रहा है।
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Only Sainis putting up a few congratulatory, celebratory posters and banners on GT Road cities is a clear reflection of fotunes of BJP in the upcoming assembly elections of Haryana.
Its in complete contrast to 2014 & 2019 when local leaders of various communities used to compete.
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@avasthivivek
@yadavakhilesh
@Mayawati
@BJP4India
@INCIndia
@jayantrld
@samajwadiparty
@RLDparty
@rabiulislam01
@sanjaypugalia
@TasleemKhan
Abey kyun itna load le raha hai - MGB Rawalpindi, Lahore, Sialkot, Faisalabad, Peshawar, Karachi, Multan, Kabul, Dhaka, Chittagong sab jagah jeet rahi hai.
Itni seat aayengi, ke ginti kam padh jayegi.
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Have been observing an interesting pattern off late. Households where Electronic/ Mainstream media is watched more, they tend to be BJP leaning voters.
While the ones where social media is more viewed (especially YouTube and Insta), tend to be opposition leaning voters.
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Left Cabal has gone bonkers on why this was played yesterday at Vijay Chowk in Delhi, probably they want more depression & devastation in our National capital.
But after witnessing mayhem around in last 1 month, this gives people like me lot of hope, this brought tears in eyes.
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Graphical representation of Vaccination coverage of 18-44 age group and 45+ for major states & UTs above 75 Lakhs+ population.
Pan India we have already vaccinated 47% eligible population above 45+ with atleast one dose, while similar figure in 18-44 age group stands at 21%.
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BJP has proven why it is the most well oiled electoral machinery in the country which knows when to act & how to act. It has peaked precisely on the right time and changed the equations completely. Irrespective of seat tally on 10th March, BJP has set the tone for long run.
3/n
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He didn't fact check that Meos are already OBCs in Haryana.
Caste & religious polarization driven campaign so far, a template that works in other states but One Size doesnt Fits all.
10 Years of Double engine and one would expect atleast a healthy report card to ask votes on.
Home Minister
@AmitShah
called out for making 'no quota to
#Muslims
' announcement in
#Haryana
. They are already part of
#OBC
and
@BJP4Haryana
government in state upheld classification in 2016 under former CM
@mlkhattar
. Bankruptcy and befooling even
#AndhBhakt
says
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Domestic Traffic -
While all the Metros continue to pile up numbers, its the staggering growth of Tier 2, 3 cities like Guwahati, Prayag, Patna, Ranchi, Surat, Bhopal, Aurangabad, Bhubaneswar, Raipur, Jalandhar, Udaipur, Dehradun, Mysore etc which is driving Indian Aviation
7/7
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@Wolverin81
@MandarSawant184
@arun_sankr
@AmanKayamHai_
In 18-44 age group only 3 states have done above 2 Million overall -
UP - 3.2 Million
MP - 2.9 Million
Gujarat - 2.2 Million
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Giving Rajya Sabha seat to Kiran Chaudhary won't add a single new Vote in BJP's kitty.
It would be better served to nominate someone deserving at grassroot who brings néw votes.
JAT voters are predecided, they are just waiting for 1st October to vote in vengeance.
BJP MP’s in Haryana :-
⭐️LS-
Gurugram- Ex Congress leader
Bhiwani - Ex Congress leader
Kurukshetra- Ex Congress leader
3/5 means 60% are congressi
⭐️RS-
Krishan Lal Panwar - EX INLD
Kartike sharma- EX Congress
Kiran Chaudhary- EX congressi
3/5 are from Congress
बाकि दरी बिछाने
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Estimated Voteshare & seats as on date-
INC : 41-43% votes >50 seats
BJP : 36-38% votes >28 seats
Others : 20-22% votes >12 seats
INC ahead by about 5% voteshare, giving it simple majority.
May change once tickets are distributed as it is just symbol based prediction.
20/20
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Commissionerate is recommended for Million+ cities/ metros & rapidly urbanizing towns above 5 Lakh+ Population.
Statewise data suggests why Mafia & Gangsters exploit Law & Order in Hindi Heartland.
Telangana, WB & MH have multiple commissionerates in capital Metro cities.
7/9
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The only differentiator is there is no Sidhu like maverick in Haryana Congress who can create a rebellion like Punjab against Hooda.
On a side note, if INC subtly projects Deepender he will win a bigger mandate. He has novelty factor working for him and is more ground connected.
Basically Rahul is saying to Hooda that we will sack you midway and you will also join BJP like Captain 😀
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Exactly what I shared the other day, Birla ji just like Sam Pitroda/ MS Aiyer in the past gave a freebie to Deepender in a poll bound state where SCs are 20%+
He started his Vidhansabha campaign from Ambedkar Chowk. INC taking a leaf out of BJP's book in Optics to set narrative.
संविधान के मुद्दे को दबाकर सत्ता पक्ष गलती कर रहा है।लोकसभा स्पीकर ने दीपेन्द्र हुड्डा के साथ संसद में अच्छा व्यवहार नहीं किया तो सांसद महोदय अपने संसदीय क्षेत्र में संविधान की कापी लेकर पहुँच गए…
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#MCDElections2022
Key takeaways-
BJP clean sweep in its entire traditional belt of core city areas of North-West Delhi.
ModelTown, Shalimar Bagh, Pitampura, Rohini, Wazirpur, Trinagar, Rani Bagh, Shakurpur, Paschim Vihar & Punjabi Bagh.
AAP won 3 wards, BJP 22 in these areas.
#MCDElections2022
-
~Class divide clearly visible, BJP winning majority middle & upper middle class wards
~AAP winning majority of SC, Slums & lower class concentrated wards
~INC doing well in Muslim wards
~Biggest surprise package - BJP ahead in many Sikh dominating wards
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@Pradip_K_Varma
Updates so far -
~Dushyant is gone
~Sirsa & Bhiwani also turning saffron
~Total consolidation on Non JATs in Sonipat & Rohtak
~All 10 is not a dream anymore
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Looks like this Tweet got to the nerves of many.
Instead of justifying the frustration & anger, its time to unite & give back to "Enemy" who is exploiting the leakage to the hilt by sensing it as UPA moment of NDA in the 7th year, when UPA saw a downward slide from 2011 onwards.
Currently more than half of the Twitter RW abusing BJP & Top leadership, not even sparing PM.
Easy to support when a Party is in Power & wields hegemony at Political front.
A bad phase and masks are off.
*बरसाती मेंढक* की कहावत चरितार्थ हो गई।
Support in bad times matters.
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GST growth rate of states in H2 of 2020 since Unlock period vs H2 of 2019.
~Has Covid-19 mismanagement impacted states like Delhi, Maharashtra, Kerala, Telangana ?
~Mining states like Chhatisgarh & Odisha excelled
~Among industrialized states Gujarat did pretty well
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First biggest change after Lok sabha elections - BJP not to contest on PM Modi's face, first time since 2014. Even MP 2023 wasn't contested on Shivraj's face.
Usually Modi starts his visits to each state 6 month before assembly polls. This time nothing of that sort is happening.
BJP To Fight Haryana Polls Alone, Under Nayab Saini's Leadership: Amit Shah
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BJP's old base returning to its fold due to very localized campaign + man to man connect. Making it as a matter of prestige after 5th Jan incident of PM Modi security.
BJP seems to have learnt from its mistake of Bengal where it ran.a high decibel campaign in hostile state.
12/n
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International Traffic -
~Delhi & Mumbai 1 Crore+
~Delhi- Global connectivity
~Mumbai- Europe, Africa, USA, widespread Asia
~Bangalore, Chennai, Hyderabad- Europe & widespread Asia
~Amritsar, Ahmedabad- UK & widespread Asia
~Others- Subcontinent, Middle East & SE Asia
6/7
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NDA 1.0- CCS ministers > independent minds, seasoned electoral politicians & effective communicators that largely kept govt connected with ground.
2.0 & 3.0- Technocrats occupying critical ministries with no electoral experience, bringing Babudom and copying arrogance from top.
I think BJP's narrative is going down due to poor communication.
Arun Jaitely effectively managed communication on day to day economics. Nirmala S despite being an ex Spokie is a bad communicator. Without getting into the merits/ demerits of the Budget, damage is done already.
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Got my father Vaccinated in Panipat rural constituency, must say arrangements & facilities are superb with proper social distancing measures. Refreshments & food being provided too to keep everyone hydrated.
Must thank
@mlkhattar
@narendramodi
for creating a hassle free process.
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Haryana demographics shared by Dainik Bhaskar - matching to what
@HRPBpolitics
already shared sometime ago.
Just that JATs and SCs numbers can be swiped as SC official data released courtesy in a local Newspaper courtesy Haryana Govt have them at 22%.
Caste Equations of Haryana
Jaat : 22%
SC : 21%
Bhramin + Tyagi : 8%
Punjabi(Khatri/Arora) : 8%
Muslim : 7.5%
Baniya + Jain : 5.5%
Yadav : 5%
Sikhs : 5%
Gujjar : 3.5%
Saini : 3%
Rajput : 2%
Ror : 0.8%
Bishnoi : 0.7%
Other OBC : 8%
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Haryana BJP = ML Khattar
Continues his bull run of having his close aides become CM & State president.
Only PM Modi had such a run over a state when he was Gujarat CM.
Even BS Hooda doesn't enjoys such a control over Haryana Congress.
MLK is actual Chanakya of state politics.
MLA Mohanlal Badoli has been made State President of BJP. He comes from Bharmin community. He recently lost lok sabha elections from Sonipat. He is close to former CM Manohar Lal Khattar.
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#LoksabhaElections2024
#Haryana
'चौधर का चुनाव'
'Beginnging of the end'
As the campaigning culminates today, of what has been one of the most thrilling and exciting election i have been privy to, here is the final thread on how Election is eventually set up in Haryana.
1/21
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@pradhan_jehan
@Oye_Jahazi
BJP in good fight in Ludhiana Central, Phagwara, Garhshankar, Dasuya, Dinanagar, Hoshiarpur, Bhoa which I haven't counted.
While there are outside chance Seats like Sangrur, Moga, Amloh, Fatehgarh Sahib, Khanna, Batala, Jalandhar Cantt where they are getting good votes.
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#Covid19India
-
As India crossed 1 Million mark yesterday, breaking it in two different intervals of 5 Lakhs each reveals an unnoticed pattern.
1st half was a story of North-Western India as the Hot Spot with high case load.
2nd half is all about growth in South-Eastern India.
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BJP / NDA have swung this election completely by fielding all their heavyweights who have been multiple times MLAs and ministers in NDA govts of past.
Reaching out to Deras, Various religious leaders and finally able to lure their traditional Urban Hindu base.
11/n
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INC working on below ticket distribution formula-
1) General: 25 (Punjabi, Baniya, Brahmin, Rajput, Bishnoi)
2) JAT: 24 (H+S)
3) SC: 17 (H+S)
4a) OBC B: 12 (Gujjar, Yadav, Saini)
4b) Meo: 3-4
5) OBC A: 8-9 (Khati, Lohar, Nai, Kashyap, Kamboj etc)
1st time focusing on OBC A
#HaryanaAssemblyElections
With about 75 days to go for voting, here is the first bit of prediction which will go on over the course of next 2.5 months.
In the recently concluded Loksabha elections assembly wise leads-
INC + AAP : 46 with 47.61%
BJP : 44 with 46.11%
1/20
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This positive step meant a similar longstanding demand being valued in Bihar & MP, where Commissionerate system was blocked too by IAS lobby, effectively meaning good governance in UP has an impact on entire Hindi heartland.
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BJP has a chance to win below seats in 4 way vote split (considering AAP, BJP, INC, SAD contest alone) with a votebase range of 25-35% in below proabability order.
Hoshiarpur
Anandpur Sahib
Gurdaspur
Ludhiana
Firozpur
Jalandhar
NDA in
#PunjabElections2022
:
Overall VS–7.8% (BJP contested VS–10.6%)
LS:
Gurdaspur–13.7%
Ludhiana–13.5%
Jalandhar–11.6%
Hoshiarpur–11.4%
Ferozepur–11%
Patiala–10%
Anandpur Sahib–7.6%
Sangrur–7%
Amritsar–5%
Fatehgarh Sahib–4.8%
Bhatinda–2.3%
Faridkot–1.9%
Khadoor Sahib–1.4%
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Summary of vaccination achieved by states with target of 1 crore+ Jabs for fully vaccinating (double doses) adult population.
Overall 56.2% target achieved in the country so far out of roughly 194 Crore Jabs (97 crore adults) to be inoculated.
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@Oye_Jahazi
It's good actually that rivalry is dying, India Paxtan cricket matches are highly over rated now. Paxtan is neither our geo political challenger anymore nor it is comparable in any socio-economic parameter.
Rather India should stop playing with a meaningless country like Pak.
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If there is one party in the country today which knows how to lose an election which was there to be won, it's Congress. They were surely the front runners and in driver's seat when I started to cover the Punjab elections in Oct' 2021. It has been a downward slide since then.
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After 11th round of counting in
#Ellenabad
bypoll -
INLD - 45171
BJP - 42074
INC - 15886
INLD leading by 3097 votes
After 10th round of counting in
#Ellenabad
bypoll -
INLD - 40633
BJP - 37648
INC - 14951
INLD lead down to 2985 votes
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