1/ I am a former senior civilian military analyst for the Dept of the Army. I look at political warfare thru the lens of warfare, esp John Boyd, Sun Tzu, and Bill Lind. Think of the Left or Progressive Movement as a combined arms combat unit. Maybe not so well organized and
I finally finished my 5-part intelligence analysis of the January 6 attack. Okey dokey, here we go. The following are the key findings of this intelligence analysis. The findings are backed by evidence and analysis.
The Single Envelopment Three Transient Attack model:
Washington Post: U.S. v Thomas Edward Caldwell, Donovan Ray Crowl and Jessica Marie Watkins This communication strongly suggests that one or more members of Congress were communicating with Oath Keepers the location of MOCs. Who else would know the real-
2/ Transient 1 was a deception (see Part 2). Even though the bulk of the MAGA rioters were congregating and attacking along the West Capitol Plaza the main purpose of this transient was to focus the manpower and perceptions of the defending police forces on this location.
8/ There are indications, based on an analysis of Proud Boys actions linked to Oath Keepers’ communications, suggesting that the Oath Keepers were receiving near-real time Proud Boys operational updates and reacting to those updates (see Part 4).
3/ Transient 2 was the main attack (Part 3). The Proud Boys shifted their focus and manpower from Transient 1 to the Northwest Stairs. They broke through the thin police line on the stairs, dashed across the NW Courtyard, & bashed open the windows and doors on the Senate side.
4/ Transient 3 was also a main attack (see Part 4). The Oath Keepers “stack” formation and VIP Security detail both staged to the east side of the Capitol where they waited, inert and lacking initiative, until the Proud Boys or the MAGA rioters opened the Columbus Doors.
5/ The Oath Keepers arrived on the east side of the Capitol building at around 1335H (see Part 4).
The Proud Boys maneuver from the Transient 2 breach to the Senate Chamber up one flight of stairs was both a tactical failure and a catastrophic strategic failure (see Part 3).
7/ The attack was jointly executed by the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys (see Part 4).
The inert behavior of the Oath Keepers on Transient 3 makes sense only if the Oath Keepers had pre-planned the attack (see Part 4).
10/ The Oath Keepers were apparently reacting to Proud Boys communications in near-real time because Person Ten, the Oath Keepers ground commander on January 6, was either co-located inside the Proud Boys’ Tactical Operations Center, or was monitoring their “New MOSD”
6/ The Proud Boys transition from Transient 2 to Transient 3 was also both a tactical failure and a catastrophic strategic failure (see Part 3).
The attack was jointly planned by the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys (see Part 5).
2/ location? Second, it also strongly suggests prior inside knowledge of the building's layout. I'm not going to be surprised when, not if, members of Congress are arrested for sedition.
@kurteichenwald
He had 6 bankruptcies. He's been sued for non-payment of bills and fraud by almost everybody who did business with him. Reputable banks won't touch him. He is surrounded by sycophantic, fourth-rate talent from the Gong Show of Politics. Why would anyone believe he knows anything?
1/ A major investigation of Washington State Representative Matt Shea has been concluded. He is or will be kicked out of elected office. He may well be prosecuted for supporting terrorist acts against the federal government. I'm only half-way through the Rampart Group report, so
@SenBobCorker
So, do something. You are the chairman of Foreign Relations. You act is if your role is kibbitzer rather than oversight. If you don't have the guts to act, at least have sense enough to be quiet.
Trump’s support for right-wing protests just got more ugly and dangerous // My mentor Marty Lipset used to tell me that once you know the story, the analysis is easy. About 2009, I realized the story about the Tea Party and the larger right-wing was that
@crooksandliars
I read last night that shoppers had so many weapons on them that the police could not figure out who the shooter(s) were. That completely contradicts the whole NRA fantasy.
@ProudResister
@BernieSanders
I didn't unfollow you. I was just very surprised how quickly and easily you cut and run from a fight. Warren has better plans, better financing, better experience. She's a fighter. Sanders is a moralizer. There is really no policy depth to him beyond his standard talking points.
@SethAbramson
@GeorgePapa19
If you have done as much research as Seth has, accumulated documents, and constructed timelines, then Seth is going to ask questions for which he already knows the answers. It is putting George on the record. I would expect Papadopoulus to skip out because he'd rather scam.
@TimothyDSnyder
If a president supposedly has immunity, then why did the drafters and ratifiers of the Constitution state that a president can be impeached? The SCOTUS argument is illogical.
@matthewamiller
@michikokakutani
I hope Warren wins the presidency because I'd love Kamala Harris to be the US Attorney General as she prosecutes the Trump Crime Regime, including all DOJers who enabled this criminal enterprise.
15/ being effective, stop and think. Why are they criticizing my regular army? My special ops? My heavy infantry? My heavy artillery? Why do they want us to not deploy this weapon system or use this tactic? Don't let them mindfuck you. Trust your comrades or fellows or resistors.
15/ Another 20 states allow for absentee ballots, but require a good excuse (rules vary by state).
The most productive way to deal with outrage is to turn your anxiety to action.
One of the best things you can do is get involved with a voter protection org. in your state.
@Teri_Kanefield
If she wants to put his balls in a vice, put the USPS on a competitive footing and fund it so we don't lose it. Talk USPS every day. Right now the Democrats are not playing as a team. They should have 1 attacker from the Congress who does nothing but bodyslam Trump every day.
@AngryBlackLady
People overlooked his shilling for Ron Paul, even though Ron Paul wanted to prevent SCOTUS from hearing cases based on privacy. Paul was a front for Christian and white nationalists, and Greenwald was all-in.
A Chinese vessel let her anchor out, and was sailing full speed forward, destroying all European cables on the bottom of the Baltic Sea. After having done this, the Chinese vessel went to a Russian naval maintenance facility in Kaliningrad. This and other facts in our interview:
6/ The essence of moral conflict is in your head. Literally. It is epistemological warfare. It is a mindfuck. It is intended to be a mindfuck. Boyd: The aim of moral conflict is "to destroy moral bonds that permit an organic whole to exist." How?
3/ We are all in the right-wing Order of Battle. We are all in their target deck for delegitimation or destruction. Lind, our strategist opponent, wants to "delegitimize the Left" and destroy the secular, multicultural, democracy in favor of white, evangelical, Xian white men.
@RWPUSA
No. He is an ardent Christian nationalist who have been taking over your former party for decades. You know, Falwell, Graham, Robertson, Dobson, Sears, Perkins, Schlafly. You may never have heard of Rushdoony or North. But, this is no surprise.
@brucewilson
Lind concocted "cultural Marxism" from the LLR movement and then like a vector spread the ideological pathogen into Chr Right, white supremacist, Patriot, and Tea Party movements, along with other later figures. CM & 4GW go together, with CM (as pathogen) & 4GW as strategy.
12/ keys to moral victory: Moral Strength: the capacity to overcome menace, uncertainty, and mistrust. Develop Moral Values that "permit one to carry on in the face of menace, uncertainty, and mistrust." Moral Authority: a "person or body that can give one the courage,
@_JakubJanda
@JessikkaAro
Great journalism covering the Internet Research Agency and courage in the face of threats & harassment. She deserves all of our support.
7/ Boyd: You create, exploit, and magnify: menace, uncertainty, and mistrust. Menace is the sense of danger to your well being and survival. Uncertainty is the creation of events that "appear ambiguous, erratic, contradictory, unfamiliar, chaotic, etc." Mistrust is to create an
4/ Much of what Lind learned about Fourth Generation Warfare he cribbed from John Boyd, America's greatest strategist, who thought Sun Tzu was without error. Boyd posited there were 3 levels of conflict: Physical, Mental, and Moral. Moral is the highest.
21/ should be campaiging in the West about public lands, water rights, endangered species, etc. These are huge issues in the West. Large majorities in the West favor retaining public lands, are concerned about water scarcity, and protecting endangered species. The Democrats need
2/ here are some highlights. First conclusion about terrorism regarding Malheur. As becomes clear from later excerpts, Shea was responsible for planning the armed seizure.
8/ "atmosphere of doubt and suspicion that loosens human bonds among members of an organic whole or between organic wholes." The aim is to "surface fear, anxiety, and alienation in order to generate many non-cooperative centers of gravity [turn on each other], as well as
11/ When they complain about Dems on Judiciary, they are saying we think it is very unfair to deploy professional combat forces. We are in a political war fought at the moral plane in which the legitimacy of everything you hold dear is at stake. There is more to Boyd, but his
@mccaffreyr3
@GenMhayden
Worse than that, General. He is leading an insurrection based on the belief that the USG is illegitimate and a vassal of the Chinese Communist Party. He is a national security threat.
@jsrailton
And, as you know, pipe bombs on timers at the RNC and DNC. Ive seen no reporting on boom time. But, this seems like a coordinated operation of 3 or more cells: hostages, office thefts, bombs.
11/ Here is a different action that Shea was planning to attack Antifa personnel by tagging their homes & businesses with "white supremacy symbols." Here we see the mixing of Christian and white nationalism.
13/ confidence, and esprit to overcome menace, uncertainty, and mistrust." Moral Defeat is the "triumph of fear, anxiety, and alienation over courage, confidence, and esprit when confronted by menace, uncertainty, and mistrust." Now, in the military we are very self-critical.
19/ extremist circles since 2005. He was brought down by sources close to him. The other point is that this has always been about transferring federal lands--OUR LANDS--into the hands of billionaires, energy and mining corporations, and timber companies. ALEC is integral to this
5/ Moral dominates. Guerrilla war is moral conflict. You can conceptualize guerrilla war also as non-kinetic. Thus, the principles of guerrilla warfare can be used in kinetic and non-kinetic warfare. For example, mass/disperse vs troll/bot swarm/disperse.
20/ theft of public lands in the West. Trump is deeply involved in this. What these "Patriots" give is the dog-and-pony show about "freedom." The Sagebrush Rebellion and now Sagebrush Insurrection is about stealing federal lands from the American people. This is why Democrats
10/ analogy. When they pick on
@MichaelAvenatti
they are saying we don't like you using heavy artillery against our positions. When they say we don't like your "mobs" and "paid" protesters, they are saying we think it is very unfair to deploy special ops and heavy infantry.
18/ That is as far I've gotten. What do we see here? We see a fringe element of the GOP with open links to the militia and to three armed confrontations with the federal government. The GOP in Wash State could see these links. His voters knew these links. And yet he carried on in
2/ not uniform, without similar training across branches or segments. Some are professional regulars--Dems in Congress--some irregulars--women/POC protesters, some are heavy artillery, some are demolition engineers, some are special operators, some are intel, some reg infantry.
9/ subvert those that adversary [you] depends upon, thereby magnify internal friction [turn on each other]. End Boyd. Now, this is the deep strategy being used against you as individuals, as a movement, as an organization, as a party, as lawyers. Now, I will go back to my
4/ At the first conflict, at the Bundy Ranch in Nevada, Shea is heavily involved. BLM and fed govt had to retreat to prevent the loss of life. Militia had snipers trained on federal officers.
@jimstewartson
We have been at war with Russia since 2016 when they managed to get the orange idiot elected. Russia has been attacking the West even longer than that. And the GOP is run by Putinists. The remainder of the GOP are spineless, gutless cowards.
1/ THREAD on Oath Keepers and an Insurrection of Total War. Stewart Rhodes is head of Oath Keepers, an anti-government organization that makes direct appeals for membership among active-duty military and law enforcement, as well as veterans. The organization serves as the spine
The FBI arrested Stewart Rhodes, head of Oath Keepers, and Edward VALLEJO of Phoenix, AZ. My research files contain an "Edward Vallejo" from Arizona. At one time he was a member of the 9/12 Project from Pinal County, AZ. He was a member of Tea Party Patriots and a member of the
We are already at war with Russia. Only our national security elites don't know it. Otherwise they would be giving Ukraine everything it needs to expel the Russian invaders.
"World War III is already underway. But European leaders, as in the days of Hitler, deny reality"
The main theses the interview with French writer and friend of Ukraine Bernard Henri-Levy for European Pravda.
🔹 The possibility of sending French troops to Ukraine
When
14/ We want to have "lessons learned" when we win, but especially and most importantly, when we lose. War is a constant struggle of adjustments. Tactics, weapons, organization changes as enemy changes. So, criticism is good and healthy. But, when the enemy criticizes you for
5/ After the Malheur seizure was over, Shea met with Oath Keepers leader Stewart Rhodes. The overhead conversation prompted a witness to call law enforcement about possible terrorism.
@Osint613
Whatever you think of the Islamic Republic, the USA has to maintain the rules of international diplomacy. We don't get to cherry pick who can or cannot speak at the UN.
@TalbertSwan
Why the hell even ask that question? White people never get asked that question. I'm of Sicilian heritage. Don't even bother asking. We don't forgive anything.
Was at death's door in ICU. Diagnosed w/ T2 Diabetes. I need to recover my physical and mental energies. I still have more to write on 4GW. No more commenting on twitter. Too mentally taxing. Will selectively engage w/trusted colleagues.
17/ And here we see that Patriots infiltrate local government insitutions in order to discover plans. Common to the right-wing, see my paper on the secret Ron Paul-Gary North strategy, is the idea of coming to power after an economic collapse. All their prepping is for this.
My Washington Post subscription allows me to share access to great journalism. Check out this gift article, at no cost to you.
Read here: ME: the US has to pour hvy weapons & MiGs into Ukraine. Enough fucking around.