@EricLDaugh
People will not forget the high prices that they paid for groceries, rent and gases in the past four years when they go to vote in November.
@umichvoter
Wow. This is one of the friendliest democrat pollsters and it has Trump winning (during Harris honeymoon phase). In their final poll, they had Biden +2.
@IAPolls2022
@Polymarket
Trump is pulling away in the sunbelt states. He only needs one of the three rust belt states (WI, MI, PA) to win the election.
@EricLDaugh
Internal polls must be bad for the Harris campaign to have Walz to do an interview on Fox. If they were winning, they would be running a basement campaign Biden did in 2020.
@PpollingNumbers
A Trump +1 would be an EV landslide and it is Trump +2 in a full field. Trump is viewed as a more moderate candidate in that poll which is not good news for Team Coconut.
@EricLDaugh
Agree. They had Biden +5 at the same time in 2020 so she is definitely running behind him. In 2020, Biden didn't have to deal with the hurricane aftermath, union strike and war oversea (that appears to be escalating).
@EricLDaugh
Harris came off as very condescending and unlikeable during the debate with her facial expression and cackling while Trump came off as authentic.
@EricLDaugh
The fact that the Harris campaign is giving attention to third party by attacking Jill Stein means that their internal polling is terrible.
@BuckeyePolitic1
He is running an impeccable campaign and his ads are helping Trump a lot in PA. He is also super wealthy so he can keep up with Casey on the ad blitz.
@IAPolls2022
Trump won’t win VA, but if he is within 5 pts. in the state on election night, there is a very good chance that he will win NC, WI, PA and MI.
@EricLDaugh
Yep. Baldwin doesn’t want to campaign with Harris while Slotkin is switching her stance on electric vehicles are signs that Harris is not polling well internally in WI and MI.
@EricLDaugh
It is like she doesn’t care about NC 16 EV but then again, the people who are running the Harris campaign are the same people who ran the Biden campaign to the ground.
@EricLDaugh
If Harris is leading by 16 pts. with indies, she wouldn’t be doing a media blitz and Walz wouldn’t go on Fox News. Also, Marist shows Trump winning indies.
@umichvoter
But at the same time she will underperform Biden with WWC voters, older white voters and possibly the McCain/Roomney voters who voted Biden in 2020.
@IAPolls2022
These numbers are great for Trump. CNN had Biden +10 in PA and +8 in WI in their final 2020 polls so Harris is running quite behind Scranton Joe of 2020 post DNC.