ini gw kasih penjelasan dikit kenapa BTC bakal puke kemarin.
pertama, open interest di level dimana BTC bakal peak.
kalo kalian perhatikan setiap OI di area 14B price bakal weak karena butuh effort gede buat push price BTC keatas
kalian bisa lihat
OI 14b = 74k
OI 14B = 72k
OI
Terkahir di twitter gw share knowledge mungkin Q1 2024 jadi gw coba aktifin akun ini dikit buat share edu soal orderflow lagi.
Disini ada 2 trapped value area, tapi kenapa yang kiri low probability dibanding yang dikanan? meskipun sudah banyak volume yang ke trapped di situ?
Kalo gw pribadi skip pattern, pola candle stick dll. its a meme.
1. belajar kenapa dan mengapa market bergerak (market auction)
2. learn how to use footprint.
if u use footprint. u dont care with news or anything.
data never lies.
u can see what
@van_157
bro, jika berkenan
bolehkah saya tau resource bro-nya untuk belajar futures / spot trading, saya tertarik cara bro-nya membuat outlook, eth dan sei kemarin
stengah penangkapan udah bener.
jadi gini, kalo yang gerakin atau push price itu dari spot. movenya bakal healthy/sustain dari pada push dari perpetual. kenapa?
1. diperpetual banyak shortime trader. makanya move ga bakal sustain karena kalau price udah move. high probability
@otonkganteng
@van_157
@jeje_agan
@VeloData
Dari apa yang gua tangkep, selama pergerakan coin ke atas dipush dengan kenaikan spot volume/position itu artinya pergerakan yg positif (normal). Sedangkan pergerakan yang anomali itu pergerakan harga coin dengan open interest yang meningkat tapi CVD yang nain itu perpetual.
months ago they mocking me and made video about it. and now they run away? LMAOO
even that stupid CEO blocked me.
grifters trying to explain things that he dont even understand. how does it feel? is not even bearmarket yet. ouch.
cara eksekusi,cari trigger di POI atau point of interest
kalian tinggal cari offiside trader di POI which is kalau mau cari long tinggal tunggu shorters offside
ini di bawah ada TPO. jadi gw mostly cari POI dan target dari disini. not random level what soever.
di trigger long
@MbahZaid
alvesting juga ngawur imo.
dia ngajar orderflow/footprint tapi bahasnya ngawur.
kek maksa bikin edukasi tapi dia ga tau apa apa sama sekali yang dia bahas.
they forgot there are professionals who uses this tool.
gw nonton ngakak.
ada juga lucu
timothy share RNDR pake
gm. happy weekend everyone.
finally 100 trades. but it still doesnt count as 100 because i still have 10 breakeven.
so technically 90, still 10 more to go.
still have more position open.
berhubung udah mau bullrun, gw kasih tips sedikit kapan take profit/out di parabolic coin.
ini mostly buat kalian yang suka playing short term naratif. atau even kalo major udah top. kalian bisa pakai ini buat shorting/out kalo udah pra-bear market.
gw mau kasih disclaimer
$BTC
- we at the important area here. should we long the continuation or not? are this just a bearish retest before goin lower?
- for me im delta neutral here. if we gonna reclaim VAL, the price action im gonna see should be like this. book is skewing ask here. so punish late
🤝
premature short liquidated✅
price deviates back into the value area ✅
gw bakal stop update live trade $TIA ini sampe disini.
lebihnya gw serahin kekalian masing masing.
ini gw cuman kasih contoh gimana cara baca data participant didalam market menggunakan open interest +
now we hold and retest above monday high.
Price range, OI up + CVD perp + spot down = orang pada open posisi short disini
in my experience. ini premature short.
biasanya mereka kena spike dulu ke liquidated. terus price balik lagi ke value area
ini bakal continuation ke 19.9
if u want study alt season, not using somebulshit indicators, the logic is something like this
(total3 - stable coins)/btc times 100
so the formula will be like this
((CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 - (CRYPTOCAP:USDT + CRYPTOCAP:USDC))/CRYPTOCAP:BTC)*100
good luck.
gm. happy weekend everyone.
finally 100 trades. but it still doesnt count as 100 because i still have 10 breakeven.
so technically 90, still 10 more to go.
still have more position open.
just saw a vid on tiktok, katanya baru liat kejadian seperti ini di bitcoin.
????
kalo lu ga actively trade. just shut up.
ujung ujungnya salah market lagi.
bro this is bitcoins normal state.
dasar grifter.
Kenapa saya bisa ngomong kayak twit pagi ini? Karena sy punya privillege untuk ketemu dan ngobrol dg banyak smart money.
Dan itu yang pingin sy share sm temen2 yang mungkin ga punya privilege itu. Jadi jangan bebal 😊
Tapi ya terserah, it’s your money. Feel free 😊 cuma mau
$BTC
we still in this value area which is $55.6k-$57k
for now its EV+ for short term trades.
look for absorption every time BTC deviates from its current value area or at VAL/VAH.
even tho book still skewing bid, but doesnt mean u can blindly long here, absorption is your
learn more, look more, study more.
how can i timing tops and bottom every cycle?
its all about timing.
people who said "you cant time the market" they doesnt know how market and psychology really works then.
to the people that told you always hold.even bitcoin or eth just block
i bet 99% of you losing money in this range because you got addicted to trending market because you have bullmarket/halving bias.
it doesnt matter how much you make money on trending market. you’ll lose it anyway when the market is ranging.
my prev idea almost play perfectly
after we punish late longs at MH and late shorters after fixed sp. you wanna see 57k hold for continuation to take dNPOC/VAH
you're welcome.
$BTC
- we at the important area here. should we long the continuation or not? are this just a bearish retest before goin lower?
- for me im delta neutral here. if we gonna reclaim VAL, the price action im gonna see should be like this. book is skewing ask here. so punish late
@CaptMorphine
@MbahZaid
ini contoh dari trapped va (value area)
candle ijo tapi delta merah. ini namanya trapped seller.
seller coba push price kebawah tapi candle close kembali ijo berarti mereka kena absorb dari buyer.
jadi seller ke trapped di area ini
this week we have lots of important news yet i manage to play it good. remember, flow mostly frontrun news.
read flow. u dont care about the output whether is good data or not.
good week so far.
see u next week agane.
we simply play intraday until both sides being aggressive enough to push price on either side.
free money for long is in asia
Asia :
Long Probabilty = 75%
Short Probability = 25%
EU :
Long Probability = 46.67%
Short Probability
probably will make a thread about it later.
but i want to explain it shortly.
market is pushed using spot and perpetual.
if you want to see a healthy move. it should be spot driven.
but if you see the price moving with perpetual pushing but spot flow is 0. it means its just a
@yonathandinata
ini ICT/SMC is not bad actually.
basic nya ok kok. buat ngerti why/how market moves gw bantu jelasin ya.
misal orderblock (OB).
demand adalah area konsolidasi sebelum market rally, dan supply adalah area konsolidasi sebelum market drop.
gw bakal coba jelasin menggunakan logic
i saw 1 video on tiktok. theres some indonesian influencer making video buying some coin on lower timeframe + illiquid book on shitty exchange that he thinks he moved the market 😭😭😭
dude you can see the previous candle + the resting order. the spread only 5 fig😭😭
after longs puked, we have lots of long closing here plus people shorting at the bot agane (monday high)
and we have fresh new longs coming in after late longs got puked.
closed most of my longs position here.
my idea played out perfectly.
gonna get some rest and leave some position till VAH if we still strong enough to get there.
still on streak btw.
my prev idea almost play perfectly
after we punish late longs at MH and late shorters after fixed sp. you wanna see 57k hold for continuation to take dNPOC/VAH
you're welcome.
@kapsuloren
1. you hold something because you believe it. of course.
but when you sell?
dont follow VC's. they managing billions trillions of dollars. if you can sell. just sell. rebuy lower again.
BTC juga shifting narrative. awalnya orang hold jadi alat pembayaran. tapi shifting ke
jadi baca flow dan data itu buat forming bias kalian didalam market buat antisipasi atau cari trigger di market. bukan gambar random line etc etc. apa lagi modal harapan.
thats just zodiac but for traders.
gw tadi dah nulis panjang panjang tapi ke close tytydddddd. AAAAA.
gw ga tau kalo gw bisa jelasin ulang lagi dengan seksama. soalnya kalo gw nulis gw langsung lempar apa yang dikepala gw aja terus hit enter and i never reread again.
jadi gini, di dua penjelasan dibawah ini yang
jadi gini, kalo short tutup posisinya dalam market, itu bakal jadi buy order = price spike up
kalo long tutup posisinya dalam market. berarti itu bakal jadi sell order. = price spike down
gw kasih contoh. digambar kalian biasa liat wick kirain bakal rejection tapi price malah
@van_157
@CaptMorphine
@MbahZaid
please elaborate more "kalo seller ke trapped terus mereka keliquidated. otomatis sell order mereka ke close bakal jadi market buy"
TIA ser u deserved a follow
@LawrenceGS
its not that hard, people who learned trading or investing, they learned using chart pattern, which is "continuation" setup or "breakout" setup. thats why they always buy high sell low because of that.
if u learn how to be counter trend trader/investors. u buy low/sell high.