Gaffa
@touchesinthebox
Followers
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Following
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Media
299
Statuses
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I like sports a lot, even though the sports teams I like never win. Bet tracking sheet linked below.
The VAR booth with a vuvuzela.
Joined April 2012
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Send us removal request.
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USMNT is in this weird place.
This is a bad, bad loss. And possibly going out in the group stages of a Copa America you’re hosting (in an easy group) is a disaster.
But it’s a great loss, because it’s one step closer to not having Berhalter managing this team in a World Cup.
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THE WORLD CUP PREVIEW AND BETTING GUIDE IS LIVE!
35 page PDF full of relevant info, no fluff - I put many, many hours into this...all I ask in return is that you RETWEET, LIKE, and SHARE (and FOLLOW if you're not already).
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2022 MLS campaign finishes 164-106 (60%), +53u, +15% ROI. Show this tweet some love if you were able to get in on the W's. We'll be back in February 🫡
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2022:
540 - 458 - 58 (54.1%)
+57.3u (+4.6%)
2018-2022:
1908 - 1527 - 217 (55.6%)
+224u (+5.2%)
5 years (!!!) of posting and tracking every pick on Twitter free of charge, which I'm quite proud of. Hope everyone has a fantastic NYE and can spare a unit or two on an Uber home.
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2019 Results
355 W, 266 L, 31 P (57.17%)
+67.02 Units (9.13% ROI)
2018-2019
617-453-55 (57.66%)
+126.5 Units (9.77%)
No begging for RTs. No plays bigger than 3u. No fake lines. Everything tracked. Writeups/podcasts.
Please RT & like to show support. The one time a year I ask!
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3u Los Angeles FC -1 [-130]
Writeup attached. I don't ask for 250 RTs just to drop a play like some other cappers, but I do appreciate anyone who RTs and/or favs. These writeups and capping in general take up a lot of time, so the love is appreciated. Game is tomorrow night. GL!
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These sweep. +6.15u day. 💪
2.5u West Ham +1 [-127]
1.75u Wolves +0.75 [-128]
1u Everton +1.5 [-133]
1u Aston Villa/Leicester BTTS-Yes [-130]
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Hit 5k followers today, nice little milestone...been growing this page slowly over the years and never really done the whole capper RT for RT, 10 billion likes for a free pick, etc stuff so it's nice to hit 5000 without putting a marketing hat on. Appreciate the support!
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Been giving this a good deal of thought lately and if/how I want to continue with the whole betting space. Not bothering getting a premium subscription on this Twitter account so just screenshotting where my head is at. Hoping this is the change that sparks a little turnaround.
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Santa brought me a new broom.
3u Wolves +0.25 [-120]
2u Brentford +0.5 [-120]
2u Southampton/Brighton BTTS-Yes [-130]
1u Aston Villa/Liverpool O2.75 [-130]
Merry Christmas everyone.
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If you all get me to 6k followers before the first MLS match kicks off tomorrow I’ll drop a 5u max hammer play.
Not really.
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3u Wolves +0.25 [-120]
2u Brentford +0.5 [-120]
2u Southampton/Brighton BTTS-Yes [-130]
1u Aston Villa/Liverpool O2.75 [-130]
Merry Christmas everyone.
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2021: 367.5W 284L 57.5P (56.4%) // +42.9u (5.1% ROI) // Avg Odds 1.87 (-115)
RT/like if you tailed some. I don't ask for anything throughout the yr :) +60u since March!
'20: 384-332 (53.6%) -2.16u (-0.3% )
'19: 355-266 (57.2%) +67.0u (9.1%)
'18: 262-187 (58.4%) +59.5u (10.6%)
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💪💪💪
(Dos Equis man voice) "I don't always go 3u on a post-global-pandemic-first-wave-return-to-action-MLS-tourney-bubbled-in-a-virus-hotspot, but when I do, I cash it."
Show some love if you hopped on board for this one! Loved my reads on these two sides all tourney long.
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Hey gang, please Fav/RT this if you'd be interested in like a 15-20 page PDF guide previewing the World Cup from a betting standpoint. Trying to gauge how interested people would be in this before I waste any time on something 10 people look at and read through.
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The 2018/2019 Premier League Season Preview & Betting Guide is HERE!!!
All I ask in return is that you RETWEET & FAVORITE!
Every team analyzed, my predicted league table, breakdown of predicted finishes, season long wagers, and some notes/stats to use!
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Hit 4k followers today. I don't do the main Gambling Twitter marketing tactics of "RT for picks", "like for like", and spamming comments on other capper's profiles, so it's a pretty neat milestone to hit on the last day of the yr.
Cheers for the support, here's to a great 2021.
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4-0 for +5.3u on these. Show some love if you tailed.
2u Liverpool TT O1.5 [+115]
1u Lazio ML + Juventus ML [-125]
1u Sampdoria +0.75 [-125]
1u Gladbach/Bremen O3 [-122]
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15-3 +11.9u today! Hope most were able to follow along and get in on the action.
Feel like the reads have been there and I've been on the brink of one of these big days for a while now. Let's try to do it again Sunday.
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Somehow put together 15 pages on what I'm looking for when capping the Bundesliga games tomorrow. PDF format here.
Please like/share if you found it useful, takes a lot of time to write and regardless of the pick results I think the content is valuable.
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There we go, Austin finally cash a chance in.
5-2 +3.9u with the MLS slate, 11-6 +6.5u on the day, and that wraps up a 99-62 +32u / 15% ROI month 🤙
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Going to call Nashville a winner at 4-0 up and 20 minutes to play.
5-0 +5u day in MLS, 64% and +43u on the season so far over about 180 picks...crazy run continues.
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8-1 day in MLS, +7.9u. Now at 39-10 since April in MLS, just a crazy run. Won't last forever but it's been fun. Been a huge May too at 49-18 +31.5u. Hope you all are getting on some of these.
Will pick and choose spots in summer outside of MLS with the Euro club season finished.
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MLS regular season finishes at 154-100 (60.6%), +48u and +14.2 ROI. Little bit of a cooldown the last week or two, but overall an amazing season. Will try to pick out a couple spots in the playoffs too.
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1.5u Eibar v Valencia - Both Teams to Score [-125 / 1,80]
1u Burnley v Watford - Under 2.25 Goals [-111 / 1,90]
1u St Gallen Team Total Over 2 Goals [-125 / 1,80]
Detailed writeups attached. Please like/RT it up and show some love if you're tailing. GL.
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15-4 +10.3u today, and even hit some +500 and +350 punts along the way that aren't included. On to Sunday.
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As alluded to last week, my big bet has been locked in.
5u play (call it POY if you wish)...kicks off next weekend.
Let's do 200 RTs and I drop it - trying to keep the Twitter following growing. Got that many for the WC and EPL guides/previews, so do it again peeps.
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Euro 2020 (2021?) group previews are live! Had a free minute to get them uploaded. Will upload the futures/props podcast later.
Expecting nothing short of 2 billion RTs by the next time I find time to log in. But seriously, RTs/likes are appreciated.
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2.5u West Ham +1 [-127]
1.75u Wolves +0.75 [-128]
1u Everton +1.5 [-133]
1u Aston Villa/Leicester BTTS-Yes [-130]
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#KLeague
✅ 0.75u Jeonbuk/Suwon U2.5 [-112]
✅ 1u Ulsan -0.75 [-117]
✅ 0.75u Pohang -0.5 [+101]
✅ 0.5u Pohang Team Total O1.5 [+110]
✅ 1u Gangwon/Seoul O2.5 [-108]
✅ 0.5u Daejon +0.25 [-129]
6-0 +4.56u
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1st half winner on that big 3u Brazil/Australia Over 2.5 Goals play! Show some love if you cashed with me!
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Think I might try to record some pre tourney content for the Euros and Copa America. If you have specific material you’d be looking for besides 69u whale bets (those are table stakes), let me know. Probably would just run through the groups/teams and review futures markets.
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5-0 :)
1u Alaves +0.75 [-127]
1u Levante/Sevilla U2.75 [-108]
1u Hoffenheim/Gladbach O3 [-110]
1u Werder Bremen/Mainz U2.5 [-120]
1u Spezia/Inter BTTS-Yes [-110]
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3-0 day. Not far from a sweep for the whole weekend. See ya next time, back to the slopes 🏂
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Aaaaand cash that over. 10-1 today! That was fun. I guess I'm supposed to list out every play, add about 50 emojis, pin the tweet for a year, and ask for 500 RTs for the next picks. 😅
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Both of the 3u plays cash and the 2u hits as well 👍 That's it for me today.
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2.5u Arsenal TT O1.5 [-118]
1.25u Arsenal/Man United O2.5 [-133]
0.75u Arsenal Win & O2.5 [+175]
Sunday
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UCL final betting preview podcast? Can record something Wednesday or Thursday if people are interested in a quick breakdown and picks/props.
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2u Sheffield Utd +0.5 [-105]
1u Arsenal ML [-126]
1u Brighton TT Over 0.5 [-115]
Attached a pretty detailed writeup on the 2u play as well. Any adds for Prem picks are likely going to be lineup dependent unless something else catches my eye today. Show some love!
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Welp, crushed March. 16.5u month...getting some breaks again helps, but definitely feeling more locked in at the moment having narrowed my focus into just EPL/MLS, and dialing in my process + doing the work again. Prem sweep this weekend too!
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Finally got around to updating the tracking sheet. Sitting at 57% and +12.6u on the year so far. Not a ton of plays, really just focusing on EPL + MLS for the foreseeable future, maybe dabble elsewhere here and there.
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2u Tottenham TT O1.5 [+115]
2u Tottenham/Man Utd O3 [-115]
1u Man Utd TT O1.5 [-110]
Live from the Spurs stadium for this one so having some fun with it. If this is a boring 0-0 so be it. Bankroll manage however you see fit with that info in mind 🤙 I’m off for a beer.
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Hey fellas, hope you all are well. Logged out all social media for Oct and it was such a nice break. Eye opening...don't realize how addicted you are to those timewasting vortexes til you start tapping the apps 10x a day despite knowing there's no account/feed to load haha.
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Bit of a mixed weekend overall, still trying to get dialed in as the seasons get going again post WC...but +5u here on the main read 🤙
2.5u Arsenal TT O1.5 [-118]
1.25u Arsenal/Man United O2.5 [-133]
0.75u Arsenal Win & O2.5 [+175]
Sunday
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5-0 here...FFS, been way too few of these days since pandemic footy started. Hopefully keep building from here. Going to wait until I have a couple more before I start busting out the trusty “raccoon sweeping” GIF 🧹 Appreciate the support though.
1u PSG Team Total U2 [-125]
1u Bordeaux/PSG U2.75 [-105]
1u Udinese +0.75 [-111]
1u Cagliari pk [-115]
1u Burnley +0.5 [-120]
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Lol, I have plenty of bad days too, and I'm not the best handicapper by any means. But main reasons:
-Most people don't care about info, just want wins.
-No RT/like this post _ times for a pick.
-No "collab pick" or "RT me I'll RT you".
-Weak emoji game & not enough 100u bets.
@touchesinthebox
It still amazes me how you aren’t the most followed soccer handicapper on Twitter.
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Solid MLS Saturday slate, picks go 7-2. Happy enough with the early season reads, last week could have been about the same without the stoppage time beats.
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My favorite GIF. Cash em all.
1.5u Switzerland/Serbia O2.5 [-102]
1u Switzerland/Serbia O4.5 Cards [-140]
0.25u Lukic 1+ Cards [+175]
0.25u Milenkovic 1+ Cards [+250]
0.25u Pavlovic 1+ Cards [+200]
0.25u Schar 1+ Cards [+225]
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Guys, they’re 3u plays, not 3 bankroll plays. Shouldn’t make or break your year (or mortgage…). Some of the abuse/DMs I get up until these cash is ridiculous.
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June ends up +22.5u & 18% ROI. Really been enjoying the international tournaments, and coincides with the most I've been able to watch, research, run numbers, etc all year.
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Welp, there we go. Knew a big day was close, reads have been much better. 8 wins, 1 half win/push, and 2 pushes today, +8.7u.
After the past couple months, my worst drawdown in 5+ years of sharing plays...this feels good. Maybe I just need to go on vacation more often.
Clawing together some profit in May. The encouraging thing is this has felt like one of those stretches where we're just a couple bounces away from being in a hot streak, and not the other way around with a bunch of misreads. Think we got some big days coming, can def use some 🤞
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If there’s a valuable life lesson I’ve got out of betting, it’s learning to remain level headed. 5 yrs ago getting crushed like last weekend would have made me feel like the biggest idiot on earth. Sweeping today would make me insufferably cocky.
Head down & push on instead.
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2u Celtic/Real Madrid O3.5 Bookings [-135]
1u RB Leipzig -1.75 [-125]
1u Salzburg/Milan O2.5 [-135]
1u PSG -0.5 + Dortmund -0.5 [-125]
1u Sevilla/Man City BTTS-Yes [-115]
May not be around for lineups/matches so posting now.
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2.5u Huesca pk [+105] (Spain)
1u Sandhausen/Bielefeld BTTS-Yes [-130] (Germany)
0.75u Juventus -1 [-102] (Italy)
0.5u Slutsk -0.25 [-110] (Belarus)
First big play in a while tomorrow. Couple others I like along with it. Show some love if you're tailing and let's get it.
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1.25u Crystal Palace/Chelsea O2.5 [-113] 🏴
1.25u Milan/Juventus U2.5 [-112] 🇮🇹
1u Lazio to Score Both Halves [-120] 🇮🇹
1u Valencia -0.5 [-102] 🇪🇸
0.75u Cardiff/Blackburn BTTS [-120] 🏴
Added quick writeups for the two slightly bigger picks. GL if you tail.
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Solid day today 😎 I'll see about player props and other markets tomorrow but on these already.
1u Serbia TT O1.5 [+104]
1.25u Ghana +0.25 [-128]
1.25u Brazil/Switzerland 1st Half U1 [-110]
1u Uruguay +0.5 [-114]
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Seeing as it's July 1 and we're halfway through the year, here's the check-in.
YTD Recap
181W, 130L, 11P - 58.2% Win Rate
+40.3u - 10.7% ROI
Everything tracked, no made up plays or lines.
Pretty damn solid. Happy with both but always looking to improve - see next Tweet...
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Nice little +5.5u MLS sweep yesterday to liven up the international break a bit.
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I really hate the MLS scheduling post Apple deal. 14 matches across 4 kickoff times on one day. Just doesn't make any sense...get a Friday night match, Saturday afternoon match, and play 3-4 matches on Sunday instead.
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1u Nottingham Forest/Brighton U2.75 [-106]
1u Burnley/West Ham U2.75 [-111]
1u Brentford/Arsenal U2.5 [-103]
2u Tottenham/Aston Villa O3 [-119]
2u Everton +0.25 [-138]
2u Wolves +0.25 [-124]
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2019/20 English Premier League (EPL) preview podcast is up! 1.5 hours of team breakdowns + general season preview. Time stamps in description for your convenience.
Please RT and like if you enjoyed! Obviously a good chunk of my day and a lot of research.
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Put my profile on private for a bit to stop random tweets from right wing lunatics… byproduct of that: quite funny looking into my follower requests, several people that bitch & troll when picks lose, say nothing when they win, but seemingly still want to see them each week 😂
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1u Leeds/Everton U3 [-133]
1u Crystal Palace pk [-118]
1u Leverkusen/Gladbach O3 [-103]
1u Freiburg 1st Half +0.5 [-123]
1u Inter/Genoa U3 [-120]
1u Torino +1 [-111]
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Just updated the tracker. June finished +9u with a 14% yield. Light month with only Nations League + MLS, and then was on vacation for second half. YTD now at +31u and 7.3% yield, happy w that after the brutal cold streak.
MLS the star of the show, 67% win rate and 26% yield.
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Is it just me or is Twitter significantly worse than it has been? (This isn’t any Elon commentary and doesn’t need to be anything political either). My feed is absolute garbage though, all just engagement baiting nonsense I have 0 desire of seeing.
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2023: 480W, 434.5L, 80.5P (52.5%) -4.82u (-0.4% ROI)
All Time: 2388.5W, 1961.5L, 298P (54.9%) +220u (4.0% ROI)
Obv a pretty disappointing roller coaster of a year betting-wise, can do much better. Learned a lot though, plenty of takeaways for next year. Transparency always.
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Also hit 3k followers today. I know there are plenty of people with more but thanks for the support!
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1.25u Toronto pk [-112]
0.75u Toronto TT O1.5 [+115]
1u Philadelphia/Columbus BTTS-Yes [-113]
1u Inter Miami -0.25 [+101]
1u Orlando/NYRB BTTS-Yes [-111]
1u San Jose +1 [-125]
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Big day today, up almost 10u now since Friday, let's keep rolling 👊
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5u Wolverhampton Wanderers -1 [-108]
Sunday. Biggest play for me in over a year. I want to stress however, that that does not mean it's a "throw the whole bankroll on the line" game. It's just a spot I like a lot and am stepping out on with 5u as opposed to 1u.
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1u Roma/Parma BTTS [-135] 🇮🇹
1u Bologna/Sassuolo O3 [-111] 🇮🇹
1u Man City Win to Nil [-140] 🏴
1u West Ham/Burnley BTTS [-115] 🏴
0.75u West Brom/Derby O2.5 [-125] 🏴
0.75u Dalkurd pk [+100] 🇸🇪
0.5u Vissel Kobe -0.5 [+100] 🇯🇵
Waiting on lineups for the MLS game.
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One human on Earth who can see and play that pass in that moment. The greatest to ever do it.
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3-0 today for +2.75u, another sweep. Now on a 14-1 run since Thursday.
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4-1 on the day. Let's keep it rolling. Could have been a sweep if Uruguay were any sharper in front of goal.
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Nani played 3 games in 7 days and ran more in 15 minutes than Higuain did for his whole 30 min cameo. Best “retiree” MLS imports are the ones that will work hard…David Villa, Robbie Keane, Nani, etc. Work ethic & mentality the thing that separates them from Higuain, Pirlo, etc.
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✅
5-0 ass whippin'...wish they were all that easy. Always nice to get a clean read/writeup though.
1.5u Orlando City -0.75 [-114]
Writeup attached, IMO this is a great spot. Would be surprised if this line did not close at -1 or shorter, may depend on lineups & the extent of rotation, but from a metrics, situational, and squad quality standpoint I think this number is off.
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Happy Thanksgiving to the US gang. This corner of the Web somehow gets me the full spectrum of “why am I here”, blocking scumbags, dealing w death threats…to community around love of footy, education in data, life lessons, entertainment, & laughs. Just about thankful for it.
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Back in action today, big MLS slate, will probably have a look at some of the second tier Euro leagues and keep an eye on lineups for friendlies as well to see if anything pops out. Feeling refreshed after my time away, let’s get it 👊
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Gotta love the World Cup. Not every day you can add "revenge for colonialism" as an extra angle to procure a bit of extra value in cards/bookings.
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MLS opening weekend nets about +2u. Unlucky in stoppage time or it could have been a massive start to the year. I’ll see if anything jumps out in the match Monday.
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Wednesday's matches previewed in 20 minutes.
Attaching my card for tomorrow...props aside, I have 1u on goals in Germany/Japan as well as Belgium/Canada, 1u opposing goals in Croatia/Morocco, and 1u on Spain + U3.5. Enjoy the games.
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2.25u Leeds/Brighton O2.5 [-112]
1u Tottenham/Forest O2.5 [-114]
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1u Man United/Man City O2.75 [-110]
1u Brighton/Liverpool "BTTS & O2.5" [-130]
1u Sevilla +0.25 [-122]
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First half cash on the BTTS, hopefully some good vibes going into the rest of the slate 🤞
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Been awful lately. Year has been a waste of time for me, I don't watch and put all this research in to break even, and I'm just way off the level I was at the past 2-3 years.
Taking a break from Twitter, good luck with your picks and sorry for the L's the past week.
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1.25u Canada +0.5 [-125]
1u Croatia/Belgium BTTS-Yes [-130]
Unfortunately won't be able to catch these two matches. Rolling with these plays though.
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September ends 60-40-12, good for +13u. Been an up and down year but hopefully this is the start of a strong close to 2023. Big 5 European league reads been good of late, let's see if we can get some bounces our way in October.
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Welp, got 40 min into recording and realized the audio was corrupted (or in my pro sound engineer vocab - "fucked").
Typed some insights instead (RTs appreciated), just throwing em in a GDoc. I'll try to do some recordings/previews for each day instead.
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