Sunil Agnihotri
@sunilagni
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Hockey commentary, statistical analysis: CBC Edmonton. Nation Network. 📸:
Treaty 6 territory/Edmonton
Joined May 2010
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Suspect Buffalo was one of the teams that relied heavily on Cap Friendly.
Believe Matt Savoie is return. Ty Tullio also going to Sabres
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Indirectly referring to the fanbase as sheep. This writer has no shame.
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Right from the start, Holland has made it clear he doesn't rely on analytics as part of his decision-making process, he doesn't have staff that can identify professional talent and he doesn't have the creativity needed to manage/optimize a salary cap. And these are the results.
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Ryan McLeod was one of the few Oilers who didn't need McDavid, Draisaitl or RNH on his line to outshoot and outchance opponents at 5v5. It'll be interesting to see how the Oilers third line is constructed.
🔁 TRADE 🔁
The
#Oilers
have acquired forward Matthew Savoie from the Buffalo Sabres in exchange for forward Ryan McLeod & forward Tyler Tullio.
#LetsGoOilers
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Once you accept the fact that the NHL is a second tier league globally, it makes their business and hockey decisions easier to comprehend.
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No word yet on what front office position the derrick will receive.
"The oil derrick will be retired." Stew MacDonald on Oilers Now.
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Rather than playing safe to protect a three goal lead, the Oilers kept pushing for offence. Great sign. (via
@NatStatTrick
)
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Had the
#Oilers
conducted a basic analysis using publicly available data and took time to understand salary cap management and player aging curves, they could have made smarter, more sensible bets and be in a better spot in the standings.
New post:
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Just embarrassingly poor asset management by the Oilers. It's what Holland was known for before he got to Edmonton. And he's not changing his approach anytime soon.
TRADE
To Edmonton
#Oilers
:
D Duncan Keith (No retained salary)
F Tim Söderlund
To Chicago
#Blackhawks
:
D Caleb Jones
2022 conditional 3rd RD pick
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Screw it. Just bring back Oil Change and make it all official.
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Learned today that the Alberta food guide gives portion sizes in pucks.
#canada
#EH
http://t.co/v10RSHsTFA
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Happy to announce that I'll be a regular Oilers analyst on the CBC Edmonton News. Very grateful and excited for the opportunity. :)
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Whatever happens from here on out, the annual goal for the Oilers has to be a championship.
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The most encouraging thing about this trade deadline is that the Oilers appear to have been shopping in the right aisles. We'll see if it continues in the off-season.
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McDavid, Draisaitl and RNH rank 1-2-3 in average ice time per game among Oilers forwards. And they rank 1-2-3 in points/60 at even-strength.
McDavid - 2.76
Draisaitl - 2.59
RNH - 2.38
Fun times.
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Jesse Puljujärvi has this on his Instagram page.
Is it time. :)
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Foreign terrorism is obviously concerning. But this is the kind of rhetoric that fuels white nationalism and domestic terrorism.
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When it came down to the Oilers allocating risk, it was Pouli-out...and Jokin-in.
The heat might be getting to me.
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Looking forward to joining a talented group at
@OilersNation
!
some exciting
@oilersnation
news to share as
@sunilagni
will be joining our writing staff this year.
if you've been around the oilogosphere for any time, you know his work well, and i can't begin to tell you all how excited we are to have him on the team.
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Couple thoughts on the Oilers, Ken Holland and the Duncan Keith deal.
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Under Jay Woodcroft, the
#Oilers
appear to be continuously pushing for offence, even when leading in a game. It's a stark contrast to how previous coaches in Edmonton would protect a lead. Latest is up at the
@CopperandBlue
.
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If Ken Holland wants to know if the Edmonton Oilers have been good or not this season, he'll need to do more than "rudimentary analytics". A look into the season, and why the
#Oilers
are mediocre at best.
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"Tusi nahi rok sakade McDavid nu!"
(You cannot stop McDavid!)
We know
@cmcdavid97
's goal was amazing as it was, but how did it sound in
#Punjabi
?
@MantarBhandal
and
@HarpPandher
with the call on the
#LetsGoOilers
2-0 goal!
CHECK IT OUT🔊
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Makes you appreciate the Klefbom and Larsson deals a little more.
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I was joined by
@OilersPain
on the podcast to talk
#Oilers
, their struggles and their underlying issues - both on and off the ice.
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The Oilers at even-strength is just wild. Their results are actually worse than the Senators.
Oilers - 46.88 GF% (24th), -8 GD
Senators - 50.00 GF% (20th), even
Oilers' Corsi For%, Fenwick For%, xGoals For%, all rank in the bottom third of the league.
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Evander Kane's on-ice numbers at 5v5 were in steady decline prior to joining the Oilers. And at its lowest last season. So his poor start shouldn't be surprising.
A look into his performance and why playing down the lineup will benefit him and the team.
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The
#Oilers
were once again poor without McDavid on the ice, and actually saw their 5v5 numbers slip to the lowest levels since his arrival. It's a significant issue that management has yet to figure out.
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Evaluating the Oilers, you're constantly reminded that they don't operate like a proper business. But instead as a vanity project of the owner's. So a lot of the decisions throughout the organization aren't always geared towards winning.
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Quick look at the Edmonton Oilers performance numbers and results since the coaching change.
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I hope people are beginning to realize how weak and shallow the hockey management talent pool is.
The league is in serious need of diversity and common sense business expertise. Hockey background shouldn't be a primary prerequisite.
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What I think people forget is that it's okay to like Larsson and hate the trade. Get past that and you can have a civil discussion.
So many Oilers fans angrily insisting they're happy with the Hall/Larsson trade. It's quite funny.
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2017 NHL Playoffs, Viral Power Rankings:
1. Dart Guy
2. Weresnki's face
3. Live mic's
4. Bathroom lineups in Edmonton
5. Grimmacing Gretzky
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Couple thoughts on the
#Oilers
front office and why it's hard to have confidence in their ability to build a contender.
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My cousin is getting married this weekend, and here's the mehndi she got done earlier today.
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The Edmonton Oilers, with and without McDavid on the ice. That difference in Goals-for % is the big one here. (Data from
@CorsicaHockey
).
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Pretty cool that Razor Ramon made an appearance in Newark for WWE night.
"We kept our composure. Even when they pressed on us on their power play, we were able to keep them off the scoreboard."
@27MilanLucic
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Oilers now have the sixth best team save percentage at even-strength (5v5) with 92.63%. Last 11 games under Hitchcock, team save percentage is 94.02%. Over the last five seasons, no team has ever finished a season above 94.00% - so yeah enjoy it while you can.
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The Oilers really have no option but to give Nurse a short-term, bridge deal. Even if they wanted to play it smart and sign him long-term at a reasonable price point, they can't because of their poor cap management.
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Also got to hop on CBC Edmonton News to talk Oilers this evening. Brought my Paul-Coffey-western-conference-trophy energy.
Full segment:
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Whatever the Edmonton Oilers decide with Holloway and Broberg, they're going to lose roster value. A regular and long-running trend under the current ownership. Couple thoughts on the situation.
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Couple thoughts on the Bob Nicholson interview and his comments on analytics and decision-making.
#Oilers
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The support's been very overwhelming. Thanks to everyone who has reached out. Pretty clear where we all stand on this!
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This is Gaetan Hass' first season as a regular penalty killer, and he's been solid. Among 112 forwards who have played at least 40 mins, he's 7th in on-ice goals against per hour and shots against per hour.
#Oilers
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A lot of attention on the
#Oilers
depth this series and the lack of 5v5 production without McDavid. But they actually did pretty well in game seven:
In 31 minutes without McDavid:
0 GF/0 GA
Corsi For: 51.38%
Expected Goals For: 68.19%
Good sign heading into the next round.
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Since the coaching change, the
#Oilers
are actually holding their own without McDavid on the ice at 5v5. A look into the numbers and where the improvements have been.
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My daughter started kindergarten last week, and her enthusiasm is infectious. I hope to God she never loses this excitement for school.
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Looked into the
#Oilers
defencemen and how they've done with the bottom six, depth forwards at 5v5.
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The Oilers team save percentage at 5v5 now ranks 29th in the league, only ahead of Detroit and San Jose, and hasn't shown any signs of progress all year. Has to be a priority this off-season. Data via
@NatStatTrick
.
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We now have a leading candidate for Best NHL agent.
Koskinen has a no move clause. "In discussions with his agent we had agreed if he needed to sharpen his game he would be open to it. He wants to find success." Chiarelli
#Oilers
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Corsi For% (5v5), 2017/18 season
Lucic-McDavid-Puljujärvi - 57.1% (100 mins)
Maroon-RNH-Cammalleri - 57.6% (73 mins)
Khaira-Draisaitl-Strome - 54.1% (57 mins)
Source:
@CorsicaHockey
Since moving Draisaitl to center at practice Nov. 25th in Boston
the Oilers are 7-4-0 in 11 games with McDavid, RNH and Leon down the middle; including 2 shutout losses where EDM had 87 combined SOG.
Cam Talbot is 5-0, 2.17 GAA, .915 svp in his last 5 starts
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Joined by
@bcurlock
on the show to discuss the Oilers coaching change and what to expect with Woodcroft and Manson behind the bench. We also discussed the development of prospects in Bakersfield, the Oilers goaltending and using analytics this off-season.
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#Oilers
last 25 games (since Jan 3), 5v5:
Corsi For%: 57.36% (3rd in the league)
xGoals For%: 59.98% (2nd)
They've been top five in the league at generating and preventing shots and chances.
Goals For%: 56.30% (5th)
Goal differential: +15
Not bad. ;)
Post game content from Jay Woodcroft:
Feels this team has been playing well since Christmas time, happy the way EDM dug in vs Winnipeg tonight
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Joined by
@Kinger999
on the show to talk
#Oilers
, PDO, Ken Holland's roster construction and Dave Tippett's job as head coach.
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The Edmonton Oilers front office will need some creativity and courage to navigate their cap issues. Couple thoughts on what this could entail.
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Recall BlackBerry - due to complacency and a lack of foresight - scrambling to develop a full touchscreen phone only after they were getting crushed in the smartphone market. And how well that went for them.
That's who the Edmonton Oilers remind me of. BlackBerry.
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The "Oilers learning to win" narrative is going to drive you nuts if it hasn't already.
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Wrote this in 2016. Seems relevant again.
Here's what I wrote last week on being a "negative" Oilers fan.
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Joined by
@oilersnerdalert
on the show this week to talk
#Oilers
and how they can better integrate and use analytics as part of their overall strategy and decision-making processes.
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Late night stats ;)
2017/18 (5v5)
Devils
W/Hall - 51.3% CF, 56.9% GF
W/o Hall - 47.3% CF, 46.2% GF
Islanders
W/Eberle - 54.9% CF, 53.7% GF
W/o Eberle - 46.1% CF, 48.7% GF
Oilers
W/McDavid - 55.4% CF, 56.5% GF
W/o McDavid - 50.9% CF, 42.1% GF
(via
@CorsicaHockey
)
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Any successful CEO will tell you that if your company is struggling and needs an outsiders perspective, you hire someone who had success 30 years ago and is good buddies with your staff.
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Happy Diwali, everyone! May your year be filled with light. And may the Oilers start lighting it up. ;)
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Looked into how the Oilers defence pairings have been deployed with the forwards since the coaching change. And how they've performed.
One finding: When Draisaitl is with Nurse & Ceci, the Oilers are posting an expected goal-share of 24%(!)
@OilersNation
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So we're all in agreement then. The goal for next season is a championship.
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We're getting an open letter from Daryl Katz this week, aren't we?
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Looking into the Oilers current state and the transactions they made after Klefbom was hurt, it’s obvious that that the Oilers still struggle with assessing their roster issues and continue to have flawed decision-making processes.
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Great hire. Smart guy, plenty of leadership experience. The Oilers are lucky to have him.
Michael Parkatti has been named the
#Oilers
Senior Director, Data & Analytics! 📊
Working closely with the hockey operations department, Parkatti will lead the creation & operation of a new analytics department, providing insight-driven recommendations for the team.
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Joined by
@DNBsports
from The Athletic to talk
#Oilers
, the results this season, and the key drivers. We covered the roster construction issues, Holland's comments about the team and the areas that need to be addressed, plus a lot more.
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Friendly reminder: the Oilers lost Griffin Reinhart (who required two assets to obtain) AND Brandon Davidson to the expansion draft.
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A week before school starts, my daughter received a card in the mail from her first grade teacher. Made her day, and she's even more excited about school.
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In case you're wondering if the Oilers will ever move out of the dark ages....
Adds, "I can't put a price on three Stanley Cups ..."
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#Oilers
results in December 2021:
Record: 3-7-1
Points%: 0.318 (last in the Pacific)
Goal differential (5v5): -8
Goals for% (5v5): 41.67% (29th in the league)
Powerplay: 6.92 goals-for per hour (20th)
Penalty kill: 11.03 goals-against per hour (25th)
Wild.
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Good progress over the last seven games. Great goal-share without McDavid. Very nice shot-share numbers as well.
With McDavid:
51.9% CF%
56.6% FF%
53.5% SCF%
Without McDavid:
51.5% CF%
52.9% FF%
53.3% SCF%
After 6 games EDM's "McDavid Off Ice EV goal share was 2-9 (18%)
Now it's 13-16 (45%)
The " McDavid Offs" are 11-7 (61%) in the last 7 games.
That's really good news.
22-29-39 are 5-0 in 5v5 goals as a trio in 64 minutes.
*clapclap*
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Only two games, but the Oilers have been outscored at 5v5 - 6 goals for, 7 goals against.
In 33 minutes without McDavid or Draisaitl, about 30% of the team's total time - 0 goals for, 4 against. And a CF% of 27.78%. Hopefully we see some tinkering, especially with the 4th line.
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Looks like Davidson had himself a nice night. Oilers went 18-8 in Fenwicks with him on the ice. Don't be shy giving him some more ice time tomorrow night.
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McDavid played against NJ once last season, and went 11-3 CF/CA with Larsson on the ice. (via
@NatStatTrick
). ;)
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What stood out for me tonight was that the Oilers continued to push for offence while protecting a lead. Definitely a change from earlier this season and in line with what Woodcroft did last season. (via
@NatStatTrick
)
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The
#Oilers
are playing much better defensively, thanks in large part to the depth of the team. A look into the numbers with a focus on Gaetan Haas who continues to excel defensively at 5v5 and now on the penalty kill.
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In case you're wondering what that goal sounded like in Punjabi. Nice work
@IceSinghHNIC
.
So Silky 🔥🔥🔥 McDavid's hustle pays offs!
@EdmontonOilers
lead 1-0 x
@IceSinghHNIC
on the call
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Against Vegas, the
#Oilers
are doing that weird thing where the defencemen are getting a higher share of the team's total shots at 5v5. A look into the issue and how it's impacted their results.
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The Oilers recent personnel changes exposed some of the panic and instability that could be settling in for the organization. Not an ideal state with some critical decisions on the horizon.
My latest is up at
@OilersNation
.
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Couple thoughts on the
#Oilers
results since Woodcroft was hired, the key drivers and how he compares with the previous McDavid-era coaches.
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Couple thoughts on the Oilers and Stars heading into game five of the western conference final.
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Not hitting the panic button, but Calgary is looking awfully good right now. Rolling 25-game CF% for Flames and Oilers (via
@CorsicaHockey
).
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The guy who was involved with Chiarelli's last moves and Puljujarvi's development will get paid as a consultant and to watch hockey from home. Love it.
Ken Hitchcock isn’t part of the Oilers coaching staff this season, but sounds like he’ll be quite involved as a consultant. He’s with the team at camp. He’ll watch Oilers games on TV and attend Condors games. Another resource for both coaching staffs and management.
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#Oilers
last 25 games (since Nov 30), 5v5
Corsi For%: 53.51% (4th in the league)
xGoals For%: 55.10% (6th)
Goals For%: 58.18% (7th)
Goal differential: +18
Recent results are great, but performance has also been improving for a while.
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"Talbot’s numbers are a bit clouded behind the lack of support in front of him and the high-danger mistakes the Oilers allow on a nightly basis..."
The
#Oilers
defence is actually decent right now:
Fenwick Against/60: 40.85 (8th)
High Danger Shot Attempts/60: 10.58 (12th)
WHO NEEDS A GOALIE? The
#NHL
goaltending market is heating up and
@frank_seravalli
lists five names potentially on the move - ranked from most expensive to least expensive in acquisition cost.
More:
#TSNHockey
#TradeCentre
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