Now official.
NHC has determined a subtropical storm formed of the Northeast coast in January 2023, and it will be designated as the first cyclone of the 2023 Atlantic season.
A due north low track is as about as strong as you can get. 986 to 951 mb in 12 hours. Odds are it ends up much less amped than this. Ensembles still don't look great for an I-95 corridor snowstorm though
It’s rare to get shutout in December and then have an above average year. But my elementary school self remembers the agony of 1987 with repeated rain storms thinking it’s never going to snow and then suddenly get hit with 3 NESIS storm in a month. Also an El Niño year
As we enter the 1st day of winter on Friday, here's a look back to the 6-8 feet of snowfall in the I-95 corridor during the 2009-2010 season. And is the current stretch of record days without 1" of snow in NYC and Philly just the other side of the extreme?
That glitch on the COD page was there all night long. This was peak Idalia but shown near Atlantic City. Likely a $250 billion storm if that were to ever happen. Hopefully not a foreshadowing.
Going to need something for the first weekend without football. This would suffice. But looks like limited ensemble support. And it’s a week away. On the plus side, entering a more favorable period + February climatology.