#Libya
LIBYA UPDATE: Protests against both Libya's rival governments in 9 cities over weekend. Parliament set on fire. Protestors closed 4 oil ports and 1 field, production plummeting. Protestors demanding both governments agree to elections. NOC says oil exports 0.36mbd-0.4.
@Antonio12I
An old joke in Strasbourg: A Habsburg who became an MEP in the 1980s saw everyone leaving the European Parliament early, with someone telling him it was so they could see the Austria-Hungary game. He said "Who are they playing?"
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#Libyaoil
Map showing shutdown (blue arrows) by protestors of 5 oil ports + 2 south west oil fields. If shutdowns continue most on-land oil production will cease. (Oil currently 1.2-1.3 million barrels/day. Offshore production 80,000-100,000.) - Map: Petroleum Economist
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Things suddenly heating up in Libya. Egypt has warned Turkish-backed forces not to cross "red line" stretching from Sirte to Jufra, which is western boundary of Sirte Basin oilfields. Saudi and UAE declaring support for Egypt. No statement yet from Turkey.
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Update: Russian mercenary brigade Wagner has struck south-west to occupy Sharara, Libya's biggest oil field. Red Line standoff remains: Turkish-backed forces say will attack Sirte, held by Haftar. Egypt threatening military intervention if they do. Russian jets at Jufrah.
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MAP - Libya oil shutdowns. Protests have already shut 2 key fields in SW Libya (marked). On Sunday the eastern government said it may shut all eastern production, which is two-thirds of Libya's total. Reuters estimates pre-shutdown production at 1.17mbd.
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Libya's oil exports are basically offline this morning. All 5 eastern oil ports are shut, they handle 2/3 of exports. 6 oil fields shut or reduced output, including the 2 key fields in south-west. Central bank chief told Financial Times he has fled for his life.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Oil shutdown continues. 2 fields, 2 ports remain closed by protestors (see map). Libya split between two governments, in east and west. United States proposing Libya set up a new authority to manage oil revenues, to end protests. Oil approx 0.5mbd.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Might be easier to list what's open than closed. NOC has declared force majeure on all 4 Gulf of Sirte oil ports shut by protestors. (2 already FM since April 18). Also FM on El Feel field in SW. NOC says exports now as low as 365,000 b/d.(Was 1.2m)
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LIBYA UPDATE: January 23 is deadline for foreign forces to leave Libya under terms of UN-brokered October ceasefire. None have announced they will do so. Ceasefire itself is holding along so-called Red Line (see map). Oil recovery continues, production approx 1.28 m b/d.
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Updated Libya situation map: All eyes on Sirte. Turkish-backed forces are 80km west, ready to attack. Egypt says the attack will cross "Red Line" and threatening to send in the tanks. France last night backed Egypt. No word yet from US or Russia.(Petroleum Economist)
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Map - Libya oil ports shutdown.
(Today's shutdown is strike by guards for non-payment wages. No political dimension mentioned thus far. Shutdown means no exports from Sirte Basin, home to two thirds total Libyan production. Red arrows = ports shut.)
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2 Libya oil shutdowns reported tonight. Protestors say have shut Zuetina port and El Feel field (see map). Protestors want resignation of Government of National Unity. No confirmation yet from NOC.
#Libya
Idea of a demilitarised zone (DMZ) being suggested by foreign mediators to separate warring armies. It would be anchored somewhere around Sirte. Key question - who gets eastern oil fields? Libya has Africa's largest oil reserves, two thirds in east.
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Following capture of Sirte, Haftar's LNA pushing west, fighting for village/road junction Abu Grein (red arrow). LNA need it to open road supply link to Beni Walid and Tripoli front. GNA forces need it for counter-offensive to recapture Sirte. (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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No change in Libya war: Turkish-backed forces south of Misrata waiting to launch offensive towards eastern oil fields. Egypt warning of military intervention if offensive crosses "red line". (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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Updated oil/military map: 2 Libyan oil companies now shut down, saying government not paying their budget. Back-of-envelope guess is production just under 1m b/d. (Petroleum Economist)
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LIBYA UPDATE: Presidential election cancelled. Unclear if Jan 24 parliament election still on, because election organisers have resigned. Armed groups shut 4 oil fields, 2 oil ports shut (see map). Eastern oil output normal. Oil production figure - your guess good as mine.
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A militia battle has severely damaged Libya's only major refinery, Zawiyah. Damage includes 13 storage tanks. No news yet on casualties or effect on production.(NOC)
(Map: Petroleum Economist)
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LIBYA UPDATE: New Government of National Unity is operating, Libya under unitary authority for the first time since 2014. Ceasefire holding. Oil production approx 1.4m b/d.
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This is the holdup for tomorrow's Libya peace talks in Berlin. Turkey and Libya's Tripoli government have declared control of two sections of the Med for gas exploration and to block a proposed pipeline by Greece/Cyprus/Israel/Egypt to move gas to EU from East Med.
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#Libyaoil
LIBYA UPDATE: Partial oil shutdown continues (since April 18). Protestors have shut 2 fields and 2 ports (see map). Oil production approx 0.6mbd. GNU is internationally recognised government. Rival government, GNS, is based in east Libya.
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LIBYA UPDATE: No progress on withdrawal of foreign forces (deadline was Jan 23) or constitution for December elections (deadline was July 1) or budget for government appointed March. No decision on oil minister's call for replacing NOC chief. Ceasefire holding. Oil 1.3mbd.
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Libya oil map:
Last night news broke that shutdown oil fields in east Libya (see map) are reopening. Presumably shut ports will open also. Today will show if it happens. Western fields remain shut. There's no indication yet of what changed, if protest is over.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Violent protests in 3 Libyan cities tonight: Tripoli, Tobruk, Misrata.
Both rival governments, the GNU in Tripoli and parliament in Tobruk, targeted by protests over falling living standards. Parliament building set on fire.
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As of now, all Libya oil fields/ports operating, except Sharara (circled), biggest-producing field, closed after 2 staff kidnapped. Output reportedly 650,000-700,000 b/d. Was 1m b/d early June (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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UN statement on failed talks between Libya's parliaments on who should be chief of central bank. The firing of the last chief by the western government saw the eastern government start the oil blockade. Blockade looks set to continue.
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BREAKING: Libya oil blockade resumes. Multiple sources say eastern Libyan National Army (Haftar) has given statement tonight oil ports will remain shut until central bank publishes accounts showing oil revenues and spending.
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Worth Watching: Parliament rejects new Libya-Turkey oil deal signed by recognised government in Tripoli. Parliament is, in effect, a rival government controlling east Libya. Seems likely the oil deal will work only in west Libya. Full terms of deal not yet public.
(Breaking News) The Libyan parliament rejects hydrocarbons deal signed today between Turkey and the Libyan Government of National Unity
The
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Update
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UPDATE: Libya oil production now 1m b/d, 2 weeks ahead of schedule. Most fields/ports open. Ceasefire holding. UN due to hold peace talks aimed at uniting rival governments in Tripoli and Tobruk.
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Latest announcement from Libya NOC: Libya to build pipeline to Greece to take Egyptian gas to Europe. Follows earlier announcements of a 2nd pipeline to Italy, production to hit 2mbd in 2 years time, ENI/BP to start drill for gas.
Libya's National Oil Corporation is examining a project proposal of creating two gas pipelines to connect with
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and the Egyptian city of
#Damietta
, NOC chief Farhat Bengdara tells CNBC Arabia
The
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Libyan oil shutdown - As of this morning all on-land production halted. Shutdown eastern ports + fields (Blue arrows) + shut pipeline and western ports (red arrows). Production was 1.2-1.3 mb/d. Now likely only offshore 80-100,000 b/d. Map: Petroleum Economist.
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Update: No change to front lines in past two weeks. Turkish-backed forces preparing to attack Sirte and 'Red Line' near oil fields. Egypt says may intervene if they do. Pentagon says Russian jets at Jufra. Most oil production closed by shutdown. (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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Libya ceasefire. Haftar's army and Tripoli government have both announced ceasefire starting today. Until now fighting has been concentrated in Tripoli and Abu Grein (arrowed). Map: Petroleum Economist.
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Bangladesh says it has arrested head of an international human trafficking ring. Follows killing of 30 migrants mostly Bangladeshis by Libyan smugglers last week (AFP)
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LIBYA UPDATE: France hosting Libya conference Nov 12 to try and rescue peace process. Wants parliament to agree constitution so Dec 24 elections can happen. Militias have damaged 13 storage tanks at Zawiyah, Libya's largest refinery. Ceasefire holding. Oil approx 1.2mbd.
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Libya oil protests spreading. Map shows protest sites, and 3 the NOC has declared force majeure. Note FM also seems to apply to Melittah port, fed from Sharara + El Feel. Zawiyah port may FM today. Production down by about half, Bloomberg estimates it was 1mbd.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Libya now has two governments. Parliament backing PM Fathi Bashagha, but rival PM Abdulhamid Dbeibah won't step down. Unclear who will win supremacy in Tripoli. Unclear who outside powers + UN will recognise. Note, recognition gives control of oil revenues.
@maria_drutska
Ukraine isn't signatory but formally requested ICC jurisdiction, which amounts to the same thing. ICC can charge anyone with war crimes in Ukraine, even if from a non-ICC state.
(Breaking) Tribal and social factions say they shut down exports from the Zueitina oil port, accusing Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh of damaging the country's political process
The
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UN Security Council extends authorisation of EU naval mission to enforce Libya arms embargo. This is an odd one, because the mission, Op Sophia, no longer has ships deployed, only planes.
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Libya's oil blockade is all over the place tonight, some fields resuming production, others seeing new cuts. Bloomberg has the roundup.
@salisbot
Also, when depth charge explodes, pipes spurt water, but have knobs that can be turned to stop it (unclear why those knobs left open in first place)
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#Libyaoil
LIBYA UPDATE: Fighting between rival Tripoli militias has ended, no clear victor. Oil blockade over, production back to 1.2mbd. Former NOC boss Mustafa Sanalla continuing lawsuit against Tripoli government claiming illegal dismissal.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Oil strike over, oil ports open. Production approx 1.2m b/d. Ceasefire holding at 'red line' (see map). Foreign forces ignored Jan 23 deadline to leave. UN forum chooses new government this week, unclear if existing governments/armies will accept it.
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#EastMed
In past few days Libya's NOC has signalled becoming major player in East Med gas.
1) BP/ENI to develop Gulf of Sirte field (blue).
2) Pipeline to Greece + EU for Cyprus/Egypt/Israel/Lebanon/Palestine offshore (orange). Proposals only, nothing confirmed.
@DrHelenFry
Another? In WW2 US bomber crews bailing out from downed planes striking Romania's Ploesti oil fields were housed in a disused mansion outside Brasov. Formally, they were POWs, but much-liked by the Romanians. Locals say one navigator fell in love and married a local countess.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Parliament votes today on cabinet of new UN-backed Government of National Unity. If it votes yes, new government expected to take over from Libya's two existing, rival, governments. Ceasefire holding. Oil production approx 1.3m b/d.
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Leaky pipeline: Achilles heel of Libya's oil recovery is worn-out kit. Multiple leaks in pipeline to Sidra (see map) has seen Waha, biggest joint-venture in Sirte Basin, shut it down for two weeks of repairs. Libya production down by 200,000 b/d to approx 1m b/d.
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Confusion reigns over Libya production figures. Early last week oil minister said it was down to 0.1mbd. Then FT and NOC sources said it was 0.7mbd. Now oil ministry says its between 0.1 and 0.2mbd. No official figure from NOC.
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LIBYA UPDATE: UN trying this week to end deadlock over forming constitution. No constitution = no December election. Unity govt (GNU) mandate ends December. Many Libyans want elections, 2.4m of 6.7m population already registered to vote. Ceasefire holding. Oil 1.1-1.2mbd.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Militia occupation of 4 oilfields is over, production should be back to 1.2mbd. 2 ports which were under force majeure expected to re-open (see map). Differing accounts over what persuaded militias to stand down.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Skirmishing between rival militias underway in Misrata. Militia battles in Tripoli on Friday, 13 dead, 30 wounded. Tension high in Sabratha. Oil: Production rebounding fast after end of ports blockade. Now 0.8mbd. NOC says 1.2mbd by early August.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Oil protests widening. Protestors blockading 2 fields + 2 oil ports (orange) since April 18. Protests now at 3 more ports (purple). Unclear if these 3 are actually shut or open. Oil approx 0.6mbd. 4 wounded in Friday's Tripoli militia fighting.
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Fighting continuing Tripoli, west of Tripoli + Abu Grein. Oil blockade since Jan 17. Diplomacy at a halt after UN envoy quit, no permanent replacement yet. First coronavirus cases. Both sides deploying drones + mercenaries. Not clear who is winning but Libya is losing.
@Blue_Footy
Chelsea has many fine players but Mendy is my player of the season - to get to where he is, from being unemployed six years back, he showed courage, which nobody is born with, which everyone has to find. His example goes way beyond football.
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LIBYA UPDATE: Unclear when/if postponed presidential election will be held. Unity govt future also unclear. Parliament committee suggests abandoning election and making new constitution. MPs may decide next week. Partial oil shutdown continues (see map). Oil approx 0.9mbd.
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One to watch: Libya is contemplating building pipeline to get Egyptian gas to Greece,
@TheLibyaUpdate
reporting. Egypt, as well as Cyprus, Israel, Lebanon, developing huge offshore gas fields and want cost-effective way of delivering to EU market.
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#Libyaoil
Map showing 1) Zawiyah, Libya oil port now shut 2) location of valve closed on pipeline at Hamada 3) Sharara, country's biggest oil field (290,000 b/d), closed until valve can be turned back on (Petroleum Economist)
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LIBYA UPDATE: Year ends with UN peace plan in trouble. Its centrepiece, the Dec 24 election, has been cancelled, no new date set. Foreign forces have not withdrawn. Western oil fields blockaded by armed groups. One bright spot is ceasefire, which has mostly held all year.
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A Libya oil export surge is coming, partly because storage tanks at ports are full and easily exported now blockade lifted. 3.4m barrels at Sidra, largest oil port. Production now 700,000 b/d, NOC target is 1m b/d by late November. (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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UPDATE: No change Sirte front. Turkish-backed Tripoli forces waiting near Abu Grein past 2 weeks to start offensive towards eastern oil fields. Egypt threatening intervention if they cross "Red Line". Pentagon says Russian jets at Al Jufrah. Oil blockade since Jan.
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All 4 Gulf of Sirte oil ports now officially closed (see map). No production loss figure given, but the map is useful - see all fields and pipelines with no oil port at the end of them.
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Libya oil blockade continues, but exports creeping up. Exports reportedly now 0.5mbd, was 1.1mbd pre-blockade. My map not updated, information keeps changing, this is blockade early Sept. Blockade is by east govt protesting Tripoli govt firing central bank chief.
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Libya Oil Note: Force Majeure has been lifted on the last two blockaded oil ports, Es-Sider + Ras Lanuf. All ports/fields officially open.
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Updated Libya oil map: Blue arrows - shutdown eastern oil ports + fields. Red arrows: Shut down oil ports Zawiyah + Mellita, plus shutdown pipeline pumping station at Hamada. If continues, on-land oil exports basically fall to zero. (Map: Petroleum Economist)
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Libya's oil blockade crisis continues. Now El Feel is offline. El Feel is in SW Libya, partnership between Libya and Italy's ENI. Output approx 80,000 b/d
(Force majeure is a contractual term, used when a contact cannot be met for reasons outside control)