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Redneck Capital

@redneckcap

Followers
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Following
2K
Statuses
424

Equity L/S Analyst. Frauds, promotes and cyclicals.

Los Angeles, CA
Joined March 2013
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
4 days
@WaterworldCapi1 Over/under on total cheat flags?
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
5 days
@quinwoodlncap @JaredKubin Shorting companies with *accelerating* headwinds is always the easiest game in my experience. Not memes, frauds, ponzis or high valuation stocks. If u short normal companies at normal multiples facing accelerating headwinds you will (1) make more $ and (2) sleep at night
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
7 days
@Twasluck1 Still like this one ?
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
13 days
@BubbleBeta @DannyOcean555 I think Aya impaired their market position so it’s not a purely cyclical setup
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
16 days
@invest091 @AggieCapitalist I was just an observer sadly
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
16 days
@AggieCapitalist @invest091 And theres -20% lol
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
1 month
@RagingVentures Pretty sure they already got some tariff relief.
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
1 month
@IndustTourist @BubbleBeta @red_dog_capital @stockgeekTV PVC drove 40%+ of earnings growth since pre pandemic so
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
2 months
@winsteadscap Yep. Muni pvc price declining much more slowly (tho probs a good short now)
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@WaterworldCapi1 @DeepSailCapital That’s what I thought. 🪜
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly Demand bad + imports + no reason for prices to be 2x higher than pre pandemic
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly Nah price has been going straight down for 2 years straight before that nothing burger price class action
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly Atkr called it out on the call
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly I think ottrs market is even more consolidated and pricing has fallen much more slowly than conduit. Conduit -60% from peak already vs otter pipe is only -25%
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly I do and its incredibly worse than what mgmt is saying. OTTR better mkt structure. CNM good short
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly Ur not looking at pvc conduit which is down waaaaaay more and getting worse
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@IndustTourist @ActAccordingly How ppl think this is the "bottom" in atkr earnings is beyond me
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@redneckcap
Redneck Capital
3 months
@nuancerocket + competitor ramping capacity
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