mahoning schmuck
@pamapguy
Followers
1,183
Following
219
Media
243
Statuses
1,674
I map old elections in the rust belt • Al Smith Democrat
youngstown oh
Joined September 2023
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
Vance
• 1947680 Tweets
#WWERaw
• 134987 Tweets
連休明け
• 75394 Tweets
Lester Holt
• 72449 Tweets
プライムデー
• 71730 Tweets
National Anthem
• 55562 Tweets
Amber Rose
• 52440 Tweets
Jana
• 51419 Tweets
Teamsters
• 51203 Tweets
Bobby
• 50667 Tweets
Teoscar
• 42389 Tweets
Rhea
• 42219 Tweets
#GranHermanoCHV
• 40960 Tweets
プライムセール
• 39337 Tweets
Saint Dr MSG
• 38687 Tweets
朝日新聞
• 38665 Tweets
梅雨明け
• 36516 Tweets
عمان
• 30130 Tweets
#HomeRunDerby
• 28413 Tweets
#yks2024
• 26371 Tweets
Bohm
• 21368 Tweets
ミュージアムカード
• 21000 Tweets
Gunther
• 20378 Tweets
ムーミンの肉
• 19169 Tweets
BELLExquisite FOR SHEIN
• 15784 Tweets
Pete Alonso
• 15215 Tweets
#リヴリー3周年
• 13002 Tweets
Fergie
• 10946 Tweets
LostFinder
• 10554 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
TODAY - Vote for Union-endorsed, pro-choice, American veteran patriot Michael Kripchak and give power to the people - not oil and gas lobbyists!
Polls are OPEN and close at 7:30 - Find your polling location in the attached tweet!
1
5
23
Can we talk about the fact that President Biden clearly has God-like powers that allow him to open doors without even touching them?
Would like to see a non-Catholic President try this.
17
335
6K
In 1906, an election was held on whether or not Pittsburg would annex the neighboring city of Allegheny.
While the majority of Allegheny citizens rejected the annexation, Pittsburg’s larger population led to Annexation winning, as it won the total vote of the combined cities.
40
129
3K
I will never understand why in the United States it is societally acceptable to demonize our great cities, but once you talk ill of rural areas, you’re seen as public enemy number one.
76
155
2K
Thinking about how the White House’s precinct shifted left in 2020
15
27
910
@AndrewFiggy
Pittsburgh in the early 1900’s was unstoppable in regards to annexation. If it never slowed down the city limits probably would’ve reached West Virginia by now.
4
2
700
Previously, Pennsylvania law stated that in order for annexation to happen, a majority in both municipalities would have to agree to annexation.
In 1906, this law was changed so that as long as a majority of total votes won, annexation would happen.
2
0
681
We have multiple
Mecca has the cube, Vegas has the sphere, egypt has the triangle but who has the cylinder?
242
419
10K
12
61
693
Residents of Allegheny tried to fight this with several court battles, even ending up at the Supreme Court with Hunter v. City of Pittsburgh.
The court ultimately ruled that they had no jurisdiction over Pennsylvania’s law.
Allegheny joined Pittsburgh in 1907.
1
0
508
Before making your 2024 Election in Pennsylvania predictions, please consult this map:
9
28
454
Allegheny was at the time the third largest city in Pennsylvania, and some remnants of the old city can still be found in the city’s North Side.
Should data be found, a more detailed map will be made.
2
0
426
A key turning point in Pennsylvania politics started with the 1992 election, where old collations met new ones.
The following is said election mapped by precinct and an analysis of different regions that defined it.
12
54
378
Behold - The 1968 Election in America’s Major Cities
While Humphrey won most cities, different demographics and a certain Southerner on the ticket led to some interesting results.
More information below:
17
66
307
The reality is that a lot of people on Twitter who are saying that “Pittsburgh is dangerous” probably live in Clarion or Somerset County and only visit the city once a year to go to an overpriced Steelers game or to the Strip District.
21
24
317
2020-2024 swing map if Trump converted to Catholicism:
I pray for the day that President Trump becomes a baptized Catholic like his wife
21
21
214
5
11
299
The Communist Party of the USA only has one elected official as of 2023. Wilkinsburg Council President Denise Edwards was first elected in 1997 and served until 2010, but then later served on the council again starting in 2018, and is currently the Council President.
7
32
265
This past November, Democrats were able to flip the mayors office of Oil City, a rural Pennsylvania city that hasn’t voted for a Democrat president since Bill Clinton.
Incumbent GOP mayor Moon ran as a write-in candidate after a failed campaign to be county commissioner.
9
32
248
Democrats we’re able to flip the Beaver County District Attorney’s office by a razor-thin margin. David Lozier had some controversies to his name, and Bible put up a good showing in the Valley. An impressive victory by Bible and Beaver County Democrats
7
61
243
Behold - The last time that Pittsburgh voted for a Republican President: The 1928 Election, mapped by precinct.
This election would set the groundwork for the future and current political coalitions in the city.
5
50
239
Ohio’s 6th Congressional District has rapidly turned into Republican territory in recent years, but at one time, Eastern Ohio was so Democratic that even Walter Mondale won this district.
Mondale won with a coalition of racial and ethnic minorities, steelworkers, and miners.
10
40
239
Despite Catholic groups urging its parishioners to vote against Issue 1 in Ohio, the pro-choice ballot measure passed overwhelmingly.
It won in 4/6 of the state’s Catholic Dioceses.
Even in the heavily Catholic Youngstown diocese, Yes won by 10 points.
6
22
225
Pennsylvania’s 17th District is a good microcosm of the current state of PA politics.
Rurals have shifted right, suburbs have shifted left, and WWC towns are swingy.
Despite both Dukakis and Biden winning the configuration, their coalitions couldn’t have been more different.
8
44
217
While Michael Dukakis and Joe Biden both won Allegheny County by a similar margin, the coalitions were extremely different. In the Northeastern part of the county, Dukakis got Assad margins along the river and Bush did well in Fox Chapel. In 2020, it was a full 180.
5
33
206
In heavily Republican Westmoreland County, Democrats were able to flip the Norwin School Board last Tuesday. The incumbent Republican majority, which was elected in 2021, banned CRT and CNN 10 in the classrooms. The Democratic ticket ran on education reform.
5
43
207
I have a feeling that should Biden lose to Trump in November it’s likely that the next Dem nominee will be some Conservadem, as the narrative will be “Biden didn’t do well enough with Independents/Republicans so we need someone more moderate”.
27
13
202
This map was genuinely evil.
Look at the 9th district. They put the most historically Democratic part of the state with the most Republican part.
Truly despicable.
23
12
200
WALL, ALLEGHENY COUNTY
2020: Trump + 3.4 🔴
2023: Innamorato + 7 🔵
10
11
198
Joe Biden was the best performing Democrat nominee for President in Allegheny County in over 30 years.
He flipped several townships that haven’t voted for a Democrat in over 60 years.
Butler, Washington, and Westmoreland all swung to Biden in 2020.
Western Pennsylvania literally hates Joe Biden with a burning passion
10
0
3
8
12
188
This is a Biden +85 precinct in Youngstown
I love being a Republican because it means knowing that beautiful rural areas such as these are full of people who support your party.
21
13
96
2
6
184
While Ronald Reagan's campaign boasted a booming economy in his first term, not everyone was feeling the effects, especially blue collar workers. Most notably - steelworkers, who swung to Mondale in 1984.
Heavily unionized Beaver County had the largest swing in PA.
10
33
180
Voila, the 1984 Presidential Election in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
New Deal coalition on full display, with millworkers, miners, and minorities going for Mondale, while affluent suburbs and rural areas went for Reagan.
Arguably my favorite map I’ve ever made.
5
44
169
I sometimes look at old election maps of Ohio and genuinely get sad, like how did we let this go away so fast.
16
5
172
Democrats will now hold a majority on the North Allegheny School Board after Tuesday’s election. The suburban Pittsburgh district has bolted to Democrats in the Trump era, and has no signs of stopping. An impressive win for Democrats and a major blow to suburban Republicans.
9
23
164
On June 11th, Ohio’s 6th Congressional District experienced a closer-than-expected special election as State Senator Michael Rulli won by a 9-point margin, a paltry result for the GOP in this Trump +29 district.
Kripchak was able to win areas that Dems haven’t won in decades.
8
45
158
I hope you never have to visit Versailles, PA
Might be a dumb question but why is East Palestine pronounced “pal-uh-steen” if it’s named after Palestine?
11
0
17
14
5
153
Not all of Pittsburgh’s annexations saw such stark opposition. In one of Pittsburgh’s last annexations, the borough of Knoxville saw a majority of its citizens vote to join the city.
1926 was a year that Pittsburgh annexed many South Side boroughs.
2
18
151
The Lackawanna Steel Plant used to be one of the biggest in the world, employing more than 20,000 employees at its peak in the 40s.
The plant closed in 1982, putting 6,000 people out of work. This allowed Mondale to do well with with the steelworkers who were angered at Reagan.
3
26
144
This November, Republican Stacy Garrity will likely be facing an uphill battle for reelection should Ryan Bizzarro be the Democratic nominee.
In 2020, she was able to do well in the historically Republican Eastern PA, but underperformed Trump in a lot of Western PA.
6
22
143
Voila, the 1972 Democratic Primary in Pittsburgh. Despite what the map may show, Humphrey was able to narrowly win against the progressive McGovern, the moderate Muskie, and the archconservative Wallace.
6
28
140
Behold - The 1928 Election in Southwestern Pennsylvania.
This election would set the groundwork for the Democratic and Republican parties in the 20th century.
Continue reading for a more detailed analysis:
5
38
140
The reality is that the old union guy down the street who’s been voting straight ticket Democrat since 1968 has done more for the advancement of left-wing policies than someone posting on Twitter with a hammer and sickle or a black flag in their bio.
4
21
141
Eastern Ohio was at one point one of the most Democratic areas of the state.
Jack Cera represented most of this area in the State House, only having real competition in the red wave of 2014, where he beat Ron Ferguson.
Cera would later run unopposed in 2016 and 2018.
2
23
139
So apparently Democrats FLIPPED the mayor’s office in Oil City, PA.
Down-ballot Western PA Democrats keep racking up victories.
2
11
140
As we leave 2023, here’s my early predictions/hot takes for 2024 in Pennsylvania.
PRESIDENT:
- Biden wins easily
- Beaver flips to Dems for the first time in 60+ years
-Cranberry, Pine, Shaler, Bethel Park, Sharpsville, New Ken flip
-Trump wins Johnstown
-Montour is within 5
15
4
138
The antithesis of the Mondale-Trump voter is the Reagan-Biden voter, which Pennsylvania has plenty of. Suburbs are the name of the game here, with Biden flipping many suburbs in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh.
4
27
129
Pennsylvania is ground zero for Ancestral Democrats. Donald Trump was able to win over the majority of them in 2020, many of which voted for Walter Mondale in 1984. Here is a map of the municipalities that voted for Mondale in 1984, and then voted for Trump in 2020.
8
37
126
Despite Mahoning County voting for pro-life candidates in 2022, the county overwhelmingly supported abortion rights in this past election.
So much so, that Issue 1 outran Issue 2 (legalizing Marijuana) by almost 9 points.
8
28
126
Win what?
@JaredBenjamin_1
@BryanPatrick95
First, they ignore you.
Then, they laugh at you.
Then, they fight you.
Then, you win.
3
2
15
5
4
126
We now have Washington County precinct results and this is by far one of the most impressive results of the night. Trump won this county by 40 points in 2020, but last night Rulli only won it by 5 points.
City of Marietta:
2020: Trump +6 🟥
2024: Kripchak +33🟦
4
14
127
The southwestern portion of Butler County is one of the fastest growing and fastest Democratic-trending parts of Pennsylvania.
In 2022 Shapiro was able to flip Cranberry, Harmony, Seven Fields, and Valencia.
However, Shapiro wasn’t the first to do well here - enter Ron Klink
8
14
126
Fayette County Democrats put up one hell of a fight last Tuesday. In a race decided by 631 votes, the incumbent Democrat lost to his Republican challenger for the office of County Controller. Coal country and Uniontown came out big for Abraham, but it was not enough.
3
23
119
Behold - The 2024 GOP Primary in Ohio’s 6th Congressional District Special Election.
What was originally thought as a safe nomination for State Sen. and grocery store magnate Michael Rulli resulted in a closer election due to his more conservative opponent, Reggie Stoltzfus.
8
33
120
But Marty Griffin told me that Pittsburgh is a dangerous hellhole.
How could Marty lie to me?
Pittsburgh homicides plunged in 2023, mirroring drops in Allegheny County, nation
@JVTheTrib
10
17
77
6
9
123
6% of the Pittsburgh Metro commute to work using public transit, making it the 15th out of all metros in the nation.
Pittsburgh itself has 17% of its population use public transit for work, making it the 8th in the nation.
Allegheny County has the highest percent in the metro.
9
23
124
So it begins, the 1984 Election in America’s Steel Cities -
Reagan’s failure to bail out the steel industry saw many steel towns swing to Mondale in ‘84.
An exception is in the Lehigh Valley, where Reagan was strong despite Bethlehem Steel closing most operations in 1982.
3
12
117
Behold - The 1984 Election in Cleveland.
Organized labor and minority support for Mondale allowed him to rake up large margins in the city which allowed him to counter the more conservative Cuyahoga County suburbs and win the Northeast Ohio county.
3
30
118
Behold - The 1972 Election in Pennsylvania
Nixon trounced McGovern across the state, with McGovern’s only victories coming from Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, college towns, and some industrial/mining towns.
This would be the last time the GOP would win Allegheny County.
6
29
110
While George McGovern lost Pennsylvania in a landslide, he was able to win State College, a feat that Democrats before and after wouldn’t be able to achieve. The culture of college campuses at the time was prime for the progressive McGovern.
3
20
108
I didn’t know so many blue-haired women live in Eastern Kentucky
Average Democrat in the depression vs. average Democrat now.
27
3
68
5
2
110
Average Trump-Mastriano-Fetterman-Innamorato-Carluccio voter in Lincoln Borough
7
6
107
The start of our modern political coalitions began in 1928, when the Democratic Party started to gain the support of blue-collar workers, immigrants, and minorities, who mostly lived in urban areas. In Pittsburgh, Al Smith was able to win these voters despite losing the city.
2
31
105
Behold - The 1936 Election in the Mahoning Valley.
FDR’s New Deal policies were immensely popular in this increasingly industrial part of the country.
Even in the historically Republican stronghold of Columbiana County, FDR was able to defeat Landon by 14 points.
4
26
106
It always amazes me that there’s a borough in Southwestern Pennsylvania that is literally called “Coal Center” that is 96% white and hasn’t voted for a Republican in over a century.
Even Biden won it by 50~ points.
4
11
110
The Steel Crisis of the 1980’s caused towns in the Shenango Valley, which were built by the industry, to swing heavily to Democrats. It even allowed Mercer County to flip in 1984, one of the only counties in the nation to do so.
Ethnic and unionized, this was Mondale country.
4
24
102
Behold - The 1972 Election in the Bay Area
Unlike Southern California, McGovern fared well in the more liberal Bay Area, winning 3 of the region’s 5 biggest cities.
A far cry from what the region looks like today, with a lot of the suburbs still being Republican.
6
32
106
Bob Casey is not winning by less than John Fetterman.
Trump wins the state by 0.6%
Bob Casey wins by 4.5% due to polarization combined with him being popular.
Republicans flip the seventh and eighth congressional districts.
Republicans hold the state Senate and flip back the house.
Republicans win all state offices, except AG
11
1
9
5
1
103
Stock Township - Noble County, OH
2020 President: Trump +52 🔴
2024 D Primary: Phillips +6.7🟠
2024 OH-6: Kripchak +30.7🔵
4
7
103
The race for Allegheny County Executive was remarkably close, mainly due to Republican Joe Rockey being able to make gains in suburbs across the county. Despite this shift, several WWC areas shifted to Innamorato, and she was even able to flip Trump-won Wall and Trafford.
5
12
96
Behold - The 1972 Presidential Election in Youngstown, Ohio.
Youngstown at this time had a population of around 140,000 and had more political power.
McGovern’s weak performance in the city led Nixon to win the county, which wouldn’t vote for another Republican until 2020.
2
26
94
Behold - The 1936 Election In the Burb of the Burgh.
Steubenville voted for Roosevelt by a whopping 38 points, a far cry from Roosevelt’s narrow victory against Hoover 4 years prior.
Steelworkers and other laborers came out in strong support of Roosevelt’s New Deal policies.
5
20
97
Behold - The 1972 Democratic Presidential Primary in Allegheny County
Despite winning the overall nomination, McGovern came in third place here behind Humphrey and Wallace, with each candidate having their own interesting coalitions.
4
23
98
Voila, the the 1972 Presidential Election in the Pittsburgh Metro. This would be the last time for decades that the metro would vote Republican, with Nixon being able to sweep every county in the metro, while McGovern was only successful in heavily Democratic towns.
5
29
95
The main issue of the 2024 Election will more than likely be reproductive rights.
These rights remain popular even in some of the most Republican areas.
In East Palestine, Ohio, the Pro-Choice side won despite Sherrod Brown losing the city in a blue wave year 5 years prior.
4
20
96
While it is sad that Appalachians are dehumanized on this app, criticizing voting patterns of regions where the a *vast* majority (70-90%) of voters vote against their own interests is needed for making actual change.
7
6
95
In 1996, an incumbent Congressman was ousted in suburban Cleveland by someone who would later gain attention from his time in Congress, his Presidential run, and his controversial views.
Dennis Kucinich’s first election was a close one, and would be his closest in Congress.
4
30
93
Incumbent Lawrence County Treasurer Richard Rapone was able to defeat challenger Bill Messner in what Republicans were seeing as a potential flip. Despite the county voting Republican for all other offices, Rapone was able to win with a coalition of new and old Democrats.
1
25
90
Last night, the Allegheny County Council voted against a ceasefire resolution for the ongoing Israel-Hamas war, a blow to the ceasefire movement.
3 council members voted in favor, while 9 opposed it, 2 abstained, and 1 was not present.
11
9
91
Elk County, Pennsylvania boasts having one of the highest percentage of Catholics in the US.
In 1928, this was Catholic Al Smith’s best county in Pennsylvania, but 92 years later, Catholic Joe Biden failed to even win a single town.
Here’s the swing by municipality.
4
13
93
I’ve reached the point where people are making memes of my maps.
It’s only day 7 of 2024.
3
6
92
In the 1980 election, Centre County was John Anderson’s best county in Pennsylvania.
His platform which expressed support a gas tax, gay rights, and abortion rights were all popular in college-educated areas.
Here is a map showing the results and his performance.
4
27
86
Behold, the 1964 Presidential Election in Southwestern Pennsylvania.
LBJ obliterated Goldwater to smithereens here, winning everything but affluent suburbs and scattered rurals.
This is the bluest this region has ever been in history, and likely the bluest it ever will be.
7
30
82
The GOP plan to create jobs:
Eliminate 600,000+ jobs
Newest Ohio House member
@texfischer
stands by his Twitter shitposts of wanting to abolish the Postal Service, one of the greatest pathways to the middle-class for veterans and minorities in American history.
57
61
242
1
11
89
This poll seems to show Biden winning urban voters in Erie, working class voters in Sharon/Farrell, evangelical conservatives in Grove City, ancestors of oil barons in Titusville, and hunters in Tionesta.
The tent has never been so big.
New
@SusquehannaPR
poll of PA is out! POTUS toplines as follows.
🔵 Biden: 50%
🔴 Trump: 45%
First time Biden has cracked 50% in a PA poll recently. Regional distributions as follows - you can see why this is the case - even slight erosions in Philly + rurals can't match SEPA.
155
403
2K
5
6
88
Behold - The 1936 Election in Youngstown, Ohio.
FDR’s New Deal was extremely popular in the city as it benefited thousands of workers, many of whom were immigrants, who in turn rallied behind Roosevelt and the Democratic Party.
3
14
87
Behold - The 1988 Election in Beaver County.
Beaver County is a mix of urban, suburban, and rural communities and was at one point one of the most Democratic counties in the commonwealth.
In 1988 it was only 2~ points away from being more Democratic than Philadelphia.
5
26
80