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Nigar Göksel
@nigargoksel
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Covering conflict/security in & around Turkey.. Since 2015, International Crisis Group Turkey& Cyprus director.. 🐾Pro street dogs & cats
istanbul
Joined July 2009
RT @Frank_Giustra: The world is moving on to trade without the US-America’s share of global trade is under 15 per cent, and has declined si…
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RT @CrisisGroup: We just published our Watch List for the European Union, a special @crisisgroup report highlighting global crises that the…
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Kriz Grubu'nun grafikli analizlerine göre, 2024'te Türkiye sınırları içerisinde PKK ile çatışma hareketliliği 2015'ten bu yana en düşük seviyesine gerilemiş. 2024'de Kuzey Irak çatışmaların ana sahnesi olmaya devam ederken, Kuzey Suriye'de çatışma sayıları 2023'e kıyasla hafifçe azalmış. @crisisgroup
¼ Ankara’s efforts to launch a new political initiative to resolve Türkiye's forty-year PKK conflict hold potential but face uncertainty. Meanwhile, clashes persist between the PKK, the YPG & Turkish military, mainly in northern Iraq and northern Syria. 🔽Check out the latest @CrisisGroup's Visual Explainer update recording fatalities and drawing on @Acled data:
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Just released: A new @crisisgroup commentary by @dkhalifa and @NoahBonsey - based on their recent visit to Damascus- on the critical choices facing the new Syrian authorities and external powers. "In neighbouring Syria, Ankara has a chance to achieve through negotiations what it has often threatened to accomplish by force: stopping Kurdish militants from using the north east as a rear base for attacks on Turkish soil." Full commentary here:
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Earlier this month in Istanbul, I joined a roundtable discussion exploring in depth the current dynamics between Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Türkiye. Here's the summary, with thanks to @Imagine_Center and @CaucasusEdition
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RT @CrisisGroup: Online Event | Remaking Syria: What Are the Priorities? 🗓️ 19 December ⏰ 7pm Damascus | 5pm Brussels | 11am Washington D…
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RT @EroComfort: In this @WarOnTheRocks piece, @nigargoksel and @PhilGamaghelyan highlight the mutual benefits for Azerbaijan and Türkiye in…
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Suriye’deki gelişmeleri @barcinyinanc @CrisisGroup kıdemli analisti @BerkayMANDIRACI ile ele aldı. Bu derin sohbetten birkaç çıkarım: Ankara’ya göre Esad, çatışmasız dönemi silahlı muhalif gruplarla masaya oturmak için değerlendirmeliydi. Tahran ve Moskova da bu konuda Esad’a gerekli baskıyı yapmadı. HTŞ, yerel güç dengelerini zamanla zaten değiştirmişti. Bunun yanı sıra Rusya, ABD, İsrail, İran ve Lübnan’daki paralel karışık vaziyetlerden doğan fırsat penceresini şimdiye kadar etkili bir şekilde kullandı. “Türkiye’nin doğrudan bir dahiliyeti yok,” ancak Ankara, HTŞ’nin harekete geçeceğini öngörüyordu, bu kadar hızlı bir ilerleyiş beklemese de. Dinlemek için link aşağıda ⬇️
📌Suriye’de savaş alevlendi; Türkiye için fırsatlar ve riskler 📌Trump öncesi kozlar paylaşılıyor 📌Türkiye-HTŞ ilişkisi; kim kime mahkûm? 📌Fidan’ın satır arası Suriye mesajları 🎙️Barçın Yinanç ve Berkay Mandıracı yorumluyor | Saat 14.00'te T24'te!
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As Syria’s civil war rages on, Turkey faces the challenge of balancing competing priorities and risks: expanding its sphere of influence in Syria and securing more territory for Syrian refugees’ return, pushing Assad to negotiate with rebel factions, driving the YPG out of certain areas, maintaining cooperative economic and other ties with Russia, and ensuring HTS and other armed rebel factions do not turn against each other or against Turkey—among other pressing concerns. Different parts of Ankara might have varying risk appetites and priorities in navigating these complexities.
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RT @LahibHigel: 🧵1/8: This is the second time since the offensive started that Jolani has sent a message to Iraq, trying to reassure the go…
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In this @WarOnTheRocks commentary @PhilGamaghelyan and I highlight the mutual benefits of Baku and Ankara advancing negotiations with Yerevan. Tangible steps will be timely before other external actors assert themselves more, and ahead of election campaigning in Armenia.
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RT @TuzovskayaN: #Armenia, #Azerbaijan & #Turkey now have a pivotal opportunity to take decisive actions toward peace and stability, @nigar…
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RT @Turkeyrecap: Turkey-Greece normalization could bolster regional trade and security. The efforts may also help Ankara gain favor with…
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RT @mutigam: Trump and Africa: My take on why some are celebrating, some anxious and why the continent needs strategic leadership in an age…
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Drawing on @crisisgroup research in many conflict theatres where Turkey plays a role, I talked to @xtourki of @philenewscy about challenges and opportunities: Many thanks to my hosts, #Politeia and the Universitas Foundation, for the opportunity to engage with a broad range of Cypriots on the regional context.
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