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Sandro Sharashenidze π¬πͺπΊπ¦
@neocentrist
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PhD Student @Stanford Political Science. Aggressively Georgian. Previously @UChi_Economics & IR '22.
Tbilisi
Joined March 2013
@woot_woot26 Japan's issue is that they basically spent time in a recession with a liquidity trap. Krugman 1998 is the goto piece on this
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@CharlieEcon It's complicated. If you hike randomly then you'll make things worse (even when you need to cut later). If you hike while raising your inflation target, then you will make it easier to cut later.
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@grapplerecon I support NGDP targeting as opposed to inflation targeting, so I don't think any particular inflation % is ideal. They do understand the economy well enough to control it, central banks have shown that they can hit 2% when they want to. It's just that they often don't.
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@woot_woot26 But if you've borrowed at a 5% interest rate having expected 2% inflation and there's suddenly 10% deflation, then your original 3% real interest rate turns into 15% and you're having to pay back a lot more in real terms (vice versa if there's unexpected inflation)
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the largest member of the Warsaw pact is still a dictatorship that routinely invades its neighbors
Yes, shut them down. 1. Europe is free now (not counting stifling bureaucracy). Hello?? 2. Nobody listens to them anymore. 3. Itβs just radical left crazy people talking to themselves while torching $1B/year of US taxpayer money.
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@jamesanthony_us Yeah I don't believe in ABCT and I do think that heterogeneity in productivity growth will cause recessions with a fixed money supply (and also velocity changes over time).
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@jamesanthony_us This is an argument for NGDP targeting over inflation targeting, which I generally agree with.
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@therealpauldahl Same counterargument applies, the above are why economists oppose deflation. If not for those, the optimal change in the price level would in fact be deflation equal to the nominal interest rate.
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