Mohamed Adow
@mohadow
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Director of energy and climate think tank @PowerShftAfrica . Climate Justice Advocate
Joined November 2010
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The Bonn climate talks are over. My take:🧵👇🏿
Multiple factors are setting us up for a terrible shock at COP29 in Baku later this year.
This ticking disaster threatens to undermine the national climate plans (NDCs) countries will be publishing next year = 1.5C is at risk
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Here is my latest
#COP26
assessment thread.
In Glasgow, the needs of the world's vulnerable people have been sacrificed on the altar of the rich world's selfishness. The outcome here reflects a COP held in the rich world & the outcome contains the priorities of the rich world
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This is appalling.
The recolonization of Africa through carbon markets is underway.
Company from UAE, COP28 host & major fossil fuel producer, buying up 10% of Liberia so it can continue to pollute.
Story in
@MiddleEastEye
here:
🧵👇🏿
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BIG story breaking ahead of COP28
Undercover investigation reveals Saudi Arabia plan to drive up fossil fuel use in Africa - so oil producing nations can continue to sell their fossil fuels.
Just as nations discuss a fossil fuel phase out date.
🧵👇🏿
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At COP26 there has been two realities this week, one is the world of press releases by the UK Government announcing a host of initiatives which suggest all is well. The other reality is outside this PR bubble. ⏰
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The Bonn climate talks just closed and the UN Secretary General, Antonio Guterres is right when he sums up the current situation: “the collective response remains pitiful.” 🧵
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Here are my thoughts on the latest
#COP28
text.
On fossil fuels:
For the first time in three decades of climate negotiations the words fossil fuels have made it into a COP outcome. We are finally naming the elephant in the room. The genie is never going back into the bottle &
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COP28 - Don't get distracted! We're in danger of drowning from an abundance of new announcements here at COP28. A warning from yours truly, a concerned COP veteran
🧵👇🏿
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Shocking story about the role
@McKinsey
is playing in accelerating the climate crisis.
The biggest management consultancy firm in the world is advising the
@COP28_UAE
Presidency.
And they want to see $trillions of new oil and gas investment.
🧵👇🏿
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Truth be told, some of these
#COP27
'analyses' are a bit rich, especially coming from the historic polluters who got us in this climate emergency in the first place. Here is my response. 🧵
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Africa sits at a crossroads & there is a fight to decide its energy & development future playing out at
#COP27
.
A cabal of fossil fuel companies supported by foreign nations are trying to push Africa into a fossil fuel led development future. We say to them
#DontGasAfrica
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As
#COP27
takes place in Africa, there was high expectations that the "African COP" will deliver substantive progress on priority issues for Africa and other vulnerable countries, but to say the least, it's a bit disappointing so far. Here is my assessment thread 🧵
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The other big story from COP27 that is flying under the radar is that for the first time, countries have sent a clear signal calling for the reforms of the multinational investment banks to support climate compatible development.
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This is New York.
I was there last week for the UN Secretary General’s climate summit.
I went hoping for a climate breakthrough. But we came away with very little.
Big polluting nations were still dragging their feet.
And now nature is showing what folly that is. 🧵👇🏿
This is
#NYC
New York city, today.
Rainfall rate already 1-2 inches per hour. And its just beginning.
#ClimateChange
is real.
#ClimateChange
is everywhere.
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The 1st ever African Climate Summit has awoken the sleeping giant that is the African climate movement.
But the outcome of the summit itself is like a man dying of thirst in the Sahara Desert and being offered only his own urine
#AfricaClimateSummit23
🧵👇🏿
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Great scoop by
@ClimateHome
The UAE's $30bn COP28 fund for clean energy gave $300m to BlackRock which invested in a US gas pipeline.
This is a wake-up call to the world that these funds are often little more than PR stunts to greenwash COP hosts.
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The narrowing of the language to just cover ‘unabated’ coal power and ‘inefficient’ subsidies leaves room for untested technologies such as CCS which only the rich world has access to. We need a global phase out that is fast, fair and final for all fossil fuels.
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The science is clear, the impacts are getting worse & we know that renewables are the future. Polluting countries need to leave coal, oil and gas in the ground if we’re going to keep global heating from running out of control.
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The devastating floods which are causing misery and mayhem across Kenya are exactly what scientists and environmentalists have been warning will come if we don't start taking the climate crisis seriously.
🧵👇🏿
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#COP26Glasgow
is in danger of drowning the UNFCCC in announcement blitz. These announcements may generate headlines but assessing their true worth is hugely difficult, especially at speed during a COP meeting. They are eye candy but the sugar rush they provide are empty calories
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THE AFRICA CARBON MARKETS INITIATIVE: A WOLF IN SHEEP’S CLOTHING
Read our new report:
#Carboncredits
are, essentially, pollution permits – an imaginary commodity created to benefit the wealthy, not the climate. 🧵1/3
#AfricaClimateSummit23
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Not only did developed countries fail to deliver the long promised $100 billion of climate finance to poorer countries, they have also failed to recognise the urgency of delivering this financial support and setting a clear process for it
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Breaking news: US, EU, UK et al float a watered down proposal on loss and damage. Rather than establishing the fund here in Sharm El-Sheikh, they now downgrade the COP decision to only agree some ambiguous funding arrangements that kick the can down the road.
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President Macron says he would “allow” Senegal to develop its gas because he views gas as a transitional fuel. This is outrageous coming from a former colonial power & shows how Macron is using his economic strength to dictate energy policies in Africa for the benefit of Europe🧵
L'accord de transition juste pour le Sénégal : "On va lui permettre de développer ses projets gaziers parce que le gaz est une énergie de transition. Ce qu'on veut faire, c'est sortir les grands émergents du charbon. C'est une priorité", explique Emmanuel Macron.
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The UK claims to be a climate leader but it is trashing it's record & making a mockery of its green credentials with this coal decision. A 🧵
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My reaction to the new
#COP28
global stocktake text: It shows promise says:
The new text sets out the direction of travel much more clearly than before. It includes the vital renewable energy tripling but with an important caveat included: this renewable energy is to displace
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2022 is the year of the African COP, when UN talks head to the
#climate
frontline. We need all countries to pull together... but sadly some at the
#SB56
#BonnClimateConference
today didn’t get the memo… 🧵
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However, on a global fossil fuel phase down it’s sad to see countries just copying and pasting the outcome from last year’s COP26 in Glasgow. It's deeply saddening that countries couldn’t agree to commit to a phase down of all fossil fuels, not just coal
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It's great to see the Loss and Damage Fund established. At the start of COP27 in Egypt last year many people said it wouldn't even be agreed, let alone created within 12 months. That just shows how this UN process can act quickly when countries work together
#COP28Summit
🧵👇🏿
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For the first time we have a COP decision calling for efforts towards the phase down of coal and fossil fuel subsidies. This is welcome progress, but more is needed including phasing out oil and gas and moving rapidly to renewables.
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The talks are why we are here & getting an agreed fossil fuel phase out date remains the biggest step countries need to take here in Dubai over the remaining days of the summit
We need a fair, fast, full & funded fossil phase-out.
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On loss and damage, it feels bad that we have nothing to show for the hard work the vulnerables put in, but loss and damage is now up the political agenda in a way it was never before and the only way out is for it to be eventually delivered.
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Finally, it's time we said the 'F' word in this halls. Keeping fossil fuels in the ground is an urgent and crucial component of tackling the climate crisis. We have ignored this for 30 years. The sooner we can move beyond coal, oil and gas, the sooner the planet can begin to heal
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Glad to hear you're looking into this David. Sadly the African Carbon Market Initiative is a wolf in sheep's clothing
It's being pushed as a silver bullet to solve Africa's problems but the real beneficiaries are fossil fuel giants, rich polluters & credit dealers
#ACS23
🧵👇🏿
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We are leaving empty handed but morally stronger and hopeful that we can sustain the momentum in the coming year to deliver meaningful support which will allow the vulnerables to deal with the irreversible impacts of climate change created by the polluting world
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It is time for governments to address the elephant in the room: the expansion of fossil fuel projects production. They need to stop financing, stop subsidizing new fossil fuels & start discussions for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty so that the phase out is fast and fair
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History will look back on this COP summit, either for good or ill. Future generations will wonder about the fact that during the hottest year in recorded history, the world met in one of the biggest oil producing countries to work out our response to the climate crisis
🧵👇🏿
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At the beginning of these talks, loss & damage was not even on the agenda and now we are making history. It just shows that this UN process can achieve results, and that the world can recognise the plight of the vulnerable must not be treated as a political football.
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It's worth noting that we have the fund but we need money to make it worthwhile. What we have is an empty bucket. Now we need to fill it so that support can flow to the most impacted people suffering right now at the hands of the climate crisis.
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Getting out of
#COP26
with a decent deal largely depends on how much the US and EU agree to provide international support to the developing countries. Some of the crunch issues are adaptation support, a loss and damage facility & generally all climate finance related issues⏰
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It’s possible that, within days, the world may have agreed that the fossil fuel era must end and will have set the date for its demise.
My latest op-ed for
@ContextClimate
on why
#COP28
faces a momentous moment for
#ClimateAction
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But we don't need this hypocrisy & we must call it out. To decarbonise we must decolonise.
For the rest, let's not also accept their hypocrisy to be used by our elites to repeat their historic mistakes. We can leapfrog their outdated system while also decolonising the system
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"Mohamed Adow, said: "Rich countries say they want a global phase-out of fossil fuels, but they are refusing to fund it. There is simply not enough in the current text for developing countries to believe there will be finance to help them decarbonise.”
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As the dust settles on the Africa Climate Summit, Africans are realising that they have once again been swindled...
My piece for
@NationAfrica
🧵👇🏿
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The developed countries; the EU, US and UK, are resisting. It’s important that developing countries don’t fall into the trap of an endless dialogue and are better off deleting all mention of unnecessary dialogues from the text.
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We've made loss and damage central to the multilateral process. It is now the third pillar in the climate talks in a way the rich, polluting world cannot ignore.
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We need a COP President with a vision to end fossil fuels in charge of these climate talks, not someone whose job it is to sell fossil fuels to the world. Having an oil boss leading the talks would be a step too far. Clearly the inmates would have taken over the asylum.
After two tenures as the Special Envoy for Climate Change, HE Dr. Sultan Al Jaber will serve as the COP28 President-Designate.
➡️ HE Razan Al Mubarak, UN Climate Change High Level Champion
➡️ HE Shamma Al Mazrui, Youth Climate Champion
#COP28UAE
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The so-called "Africa" Climate Summit kicks off on Sept 4..
..but more than half of the side events, in fact 62%, are being hosted by orgs from the Global North! See here:
Africa is at the forefront of the crisis.
We need African-led solutions!
🧵 👇🏿
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Emissions need to fall by 45% by 2030 if we’re going to keep global heating to 1.5C. But even after all these announcements emissions are set to increase 13.7% by 2030.
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It's also worth noting that the USA is the biggest producer of fossil fuels. As the leader of the world's largest petro state, President Biden could lead in the global transition, rather than playing cheap PR. Let big polluters end the expansion & production of fossil fuels
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My letter in the Financial Times.
"Carbon markets are not the solution to a very real finance problem. Developed countries need to stop looking for ways to dodge their responsibilities and instead actually deliver on their financing promises."
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However, we didn’t yet get the facility that the vulnerable countries need to deal with the loss and damage they already face. Instead, the rich world want to force on them a never ending talk shop in the name of a ‘dialogue’.
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As the
#WorldCup
starts today, it's a fitting moment to quote the Three Lions England football song, after 30 years of hurt,
#LossAndDamageFund
has finally come home on African soil here in Egypt.
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"There’s no guarantee that just tripling renewables will result in a decrease of fossil fuels. That is why it needs to go hand in hand with a fossil fuel phase-out date."
Nice write up here by
@FogartyClimate
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This pivotal decision will go a long way in de-risking investments, make capital affordable and unlock trillions in climate finance for developing countries
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Although we’re sending a signal with one hand, there’s still too many loopholes on unproven & expensive technologies like carbon capture & storage which fossil fuel interests will try and use to keep dirty energy on life support.
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Hear hear!! rich countries say they want a global phase out of fossil fuels, but they are refusing to fund it. There is simply not enough in the current text for African countries to believe there will be finance to help them leapfrog dirty energy nor adapt to climate impacts
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The UK Prime Minister was already looking desperate and weak, but by trying to roll back the climate policies in his Govt's last manifesto, he now looks cruel & stupid.
@RishiSunak
is now a backward looking climate vandal & a threat to many of us in the global south. 🧵👇🏿
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My latest piece for
@ClimateHome
on the
#AfricaClimateSummit
and the 'disCREDITed' system of carbon credits that the Global North is trying to push on Africa.
But the African Carbon Market Initiative is a wolf in sheep's clothing...
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This
#COP28
will be remembered for one thing, whether or not we get a fossil fuel phase out date agreed or whether we don't. Actions speak louder than words & if we don't get that phase out date, this COP will be remembered for the fossil fuel industry take over
#Cop28
president forced into defence of fossil fuel phase-out claims
- Sultan Al Jaber, who is also UAE of state oil company CEO, had said phase-out of fossil fuels would take world ‘back into caves’
Story by me
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Here’s my reaction to the new Global Goal on Adaptation text:
It’s great we finally have the Global Goal on Adaptation text with adaptation targets included. But overall, the text is weak & doesn’t sufficiently address the aspiration for setting the required adaptation measures
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1/2. New: My essay in
@ForeignAffairs
is off the presses. I talk about seeing climate impacts on my pastoralist community, the history of int climate politics, how the world's poor have been sidelined & why they are vital if we're going to prevent climate breakdown. Read it here:
New article in
@ForeignAffairs
magazine by
@PowerShftAfrica
Director
@mohadow
on the history of
#ClimateJustice
and what needs to happen to stop the
#ClimateCrisis
Non-paywalled link here:
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"This COP saw the loss & damage fund established, it finally named the cause of the climate crisis — fossil fuels — & it committed the world to transition away from them, with action required in this decade. That's more than we get from most COPs.”
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BREAKING: Our new report provides the blueprint for Africa’s sustainable development.
The report shows how Africa can learn from the mistakes of the past & instead develop in a sustainable way which will see us thrive, not just survive 🧵⬇️
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"Although it might be hard to see just yet, the world shifted this week, thanks to the outcome of the COP28 climate summit in Dubai."
My latest column for
@NationAfrica
on what COP28 means for Africa and the world
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I spoke with
@Channel4News
👉🏿 Saudi Arabia wants to use our poverty to enslave us to their fossils. They’re like a drug dealer trying to get us hooked on its harmful stuff
👉🏿 We have green energy to develop cleanly, but need the investment from rich countries
#EndFossilFuels
'Saudi is trying to use Africa's poverty to enslave us to their fossil fuels', says Power Shift Africa think tank director Mohamed Adow
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.
@CANIntl
press panelists: 'a dialogue is an insult to the people on the frontlines'. We need a loss and damage finance facility now.
#BonnClimateConference
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The US is the world's biggest hypocrite when it comes to climate...
...And the world's biggest fossil fuel producer
New report by
@PriceofOil
reveals that
@JoeBiden
's administration responsible for a 3rd of all oil & gas expansion!
Story by
@fionaharvey
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The Saudi government is like a drug dealer trying to get Africa hooked on its harmful product.
The rest of the world is weaning itself off dirty & polluting fossil fuels so Saudi Arabia is getting desperate for more customers & is turning its sights on Africa.
It’s repulsive.
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The text calls for a transition away from fossil fuels in this critical decade. But the transition is not funded or fair.
We’re still missing enough finance to help developing countries decarbonise & there needs to be greater expectation on rich fossil fuel producers to phase
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With half hearted & incomplete support for those dealing with the consequences, particularly on adaptation, loss & damage and climate finance.
COP27 was a surprise precisely because for once the needs of the vulnerable were actually listened to.
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Africa cannot catch up with the rest of the world by following in the footsteps of polluting nations.
Africa can take advantage of its massive renewable energy potential.
We have the latecomer advantage - we can leapfrog to a genuine, clean energy transition.
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Dear
@LaurenceTubiana
allow me 2 point out a few issues with this:
Taxing big polluters without simultaneously having a regulatory framework to actually force them to decarbonize & without ensuring that they are not going to pass the tax burden on to their consumers
1/5
I warmly welcome the leadership of France, Kenya, Barbados and other countries in launching the "Taskforce on International Taxation to Enhance Development and Climate Action".
A huge step to raise additional financing to help fight climate change & poverty.
#COP28
1/3
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Outcomes from COPs need to balance both the causes of climate change and deal with the consequences. For years the UNFCCC process has skewed heavily towards dealing with mitigation, of course without targeting the root cause - fossil fuels.
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Some people may have had their expectations for this meeting raised too high, but this result would have been unheard off two years ago, especially at a COP meeting in a petrostate. It shows that even oil and gas producers can see we’re heading for a fossil free world.
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The Global Goal on Adaptation text is weak & doesn’t sufficiently address the aspiration for setting the required adaptation measures and indicators & for mobilising adaptation finance.
We want
#AdaptationFinanceNow
to close the
#AdaptationGap
#COP28
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It's now a bit rich for the historic polluters of the wealthy global north, who have caused the climate crisis over the past 100 years to complain about a lack of progress on emissions reductions at this meeting in Egypt.
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Finance is where the whole energy transition plan will stand or fall. This process might deliver an agreement to move away from fossil fuels, but it’s failing to deliver a plan to fund it. Unless the finance is provided, developing countries will not be able to do it. If rich
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On carbon markets, it's fair to say given the disastrous course of over 2.4 C heating we're currently on, NO RULES ARE BETTER THAN BAD RULES. No point in accepting phoney carbon credits into the system, which would directly increase warming.
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On the $100 billion goal, developed countries need to reaffirm that the goal was missed, and say when it will be met and how the resulting shortfall will be addressed. Let's remember this goal is far less than what's needed.
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On Finance, they talk of trillions being mobilised outside but inside they haven’t even managed to mobilise $100 billion in 12 years. They don’t even want a review of the delivery of the 100 billion under the UNFCCC or discussion on long term finance.
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COP29 in Baku is supposed to be where we agree the new long term climate finance goal. Yet in Bonn rich countries did everything they could to stall the process, even unpicking their commitment from COP28 in Dubai to have an annual dialogue specifically on climate finance.
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The recent Bonn climate talks finished with a dangerously weak outcome.
My piece for
@ClimateHome
on why it threatens this year's COP29 & imperils next year's NDCs.
...And what needs to be done this year to fix it.
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He’s right to point the finger at fossil fuels. It’s crazy that with all the science & all the climate suffering, we have a COP28 being overseen by an oil company CEO. The task is clear for Al Jaber to prove his critics wrong. COP28 needs to mark the phase out of all fossil fuels
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Here is my response to reports that OPEC is pushing back against a fossil fuel phase out agreement at
#COP28
These letters show that fossil fuel interests are starting to realise that the writing is on the wall for dirty energy. Their fossil fuels have imperilled the planet,
💥Opec oil cartel is *very* worried about the prospect of
#COP28
deciding to back a fossil fuel phase out, according to leaked letters seen by the Guardian
🧵1/8
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"Climate change is killing poor people around the globe and these petrostates don’t want Cop28 to phase out fossil fuels because it will hurt their short-term profits. It’s shameful."
My comments on OPEC panic at fossil fuel phase out.
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Nuclear is not good for the world. The unveiling of a nuclear coalition at
#COP28
is a distraction to real action. Nuclear energy, like fossil fuels, is costly & as a centralized energy system, is unsuitable to address universal energy access.
🧵👇🏿
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Lest we forget,
#COP27
was billed as an implementation COP, but truth be told, it's increasingly looking like a Glasgow 'repetition COP', particularly on fossil fuel phase out, there’s no progress from last year. There’s still no mention of phase out of oil and gas in the text.
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The EU needs to stop holding a gun to the heads of the climate vulnerable by threatening a walk out.
They should get off their high horse & work with the developing countries to deliver a good outcome, including a loss & damage fund and fossil fuels phaseout here in
#COP27
"No deal is better than a bad deal,"
@TimmermansEU
tells reporters this morning. The EU has moved on loss and damage. It wants others (US, China, Saudi Arabia) to move towards it.
And yes: Pakistan would be eligible for loss & damage funds under the EU proposal, Timmermans says
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