Colin Dunphy
@mofopod
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🏈 he/him, had a blog- Middle of Farm Open: stories, community, football 📊: Draft- salary cap 🌰 Doing a pod: Pardon My Math for The Big Doug and Carmi Show
Clinton, MD
Joined March 2021
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Pinned Tweet
Amelia Probst of PFF (
@ameliaprobst
) is the perfect guide to navigate us through the intersection of EPA & grading in episode four of Pardon My Math, not only because she used them in PFF's power rankings all year, but also because her history in lacrosse
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The
#Commanders
have the highest-graded safety duo in the league right now (PFF): Kam Curl
#1
and Darrick Forrest
#5
🏆
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989
The Commanders have $100M in cap space in 2024 and a new owner on the way. Remember this feeling
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@dsatter1
@iluminatibot
Or understanding the disorder and properly diagnosing it leading to more cases. There’s that
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Ron Rivera closes his presser saying, (loosely), ‘I’m about about to give you something to write about but I don’t want to go into that right now… and I know y’all are gonna text me to find out.”
#washingtonfootball
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If you aren't following Elie, you are doing it wrong
A way to understand what just happened with Roberts and Kav in the Voting Rights Case is that it's not going to change much in terms of Alabama's racist maps. This cost them little.
The *victory* is that these fools could have straight killed Section 2 of the VRA, but didn't.
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Washington’s off-season needs:
1- Release the Wilkinson Report
#ReleaseThrReport
#WashingtonFootball
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Benjamin St-Juste🧃 T is silent
Khaleke Hudson H is silent
Chase Roullier L is silent
Rivera year 2 NFC East is silent
🤫
#washingtonfootball
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My uncle died earlier this morning. He was one of the most supportive people on my life. He would call almost every Friday while drinking a Martini to get updates about me and my adventures. He was so uplifting and encouraging. I will miss him dearly.
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Shout out to Leonard Hankerson who is an offensive quality control coach with the 49ers. The former WFT wide receiver is in his first year in San Francisco after two years at Stephen F. Austin State University. 🏈
#49ersfaithful
#WashingtonFootball
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NEW: Trai Turner contract information
$3M for one year
$1.45M guaranteed
No void years
46th highest APY at guard
31st highest grade for guard by PFF in 2021
Turner provides the
#Commanders
with starting caliber depth at guard with a low cap hit. Great pick up.
#ReleasetheReport
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The strongest people in our community are those brave souls fighting Dan Snyder and standing up for their truth.
Consider his strength: one letter of intimidation from his lawyers gets repeated everywhere.
But, these women are stronger, and they are right.
#ReleasetheReport
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Everyone points to Dwayne Haskins but Snyder damaged the product on the field worse when he kept the team from getting two firsts for Kirk Cousins
#Commanders
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Good morning:☀️
-Al Michaels said Snyder should sell
-Randy Mueller thinks Snyder will sell
-Don Van Natta said none of the owners they spoke with for the ESPN story would vote ‘yes’ to keep Snyder
-Mary Jo White spoke with the woman who settle for $1.6M
#ReleasetheReport
🚀
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The
#Commanders
currently have the 22nd highest cash spend in the NFL according to Over The Cap, which ranks last in the NFC East.
Eagles $286M (4th)
Giants $265M (9th)
Cowboys $237M (18th)
Commanders $227M (22nd)
Let's look deeper...
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jacoby brissett is the guy that shows up late to parties but creates just as many memories as anyone else if not more,
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today is my birthday. if you are reading this, i appreciate you 👊
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Turning 40 today 🎂 Thank you to all the friends that I have made on this app. Love you all ❤️
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@KeneAkers
Can't recommend "Stamped From the Beginning" by Ibram X Kendi more. Made me confront some racist ideas and policies I supported without understanding what I was doing. One of the most impactful books I've read and it's basically a history book.
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The Wilkinson Report was apparently damage control. Did not see this coming. When will fans
#TakeCommand
?
The Congressional investigation of the Washington Commanders is beginning to uncover some inconvenient truths for the NFL and Dan Snyder.
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Commanders is a horrible fucking name dude
I dont know what this train conductor mascot/logo thing is. I dont know if it's just a draft thing. I dont know if it has anything official to do w the Commanders. I do know I dont like it.
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@tejfbanalytics
and the rams allocated 24.6% of their cap in 2021 to the qb position when dead money to goff is included
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@sarahljaffe
Racists have a place for every racial group in their society- somewhere underneath them
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*Contract updates*
Jacoby Brissett $8M cap hit 🧢
Nick Gates $3,267,842 cap hit 🧢
Daron Payne (lowered) $8,610,000 cap hit 🧢
OTC cap space $8,655,051 🏠
(Andre Wylie pending ~$4.4M)
(Rookie class pending ~$3.5M)
Estimated cap space after draft
$750K
➡️ Expect more cap moves
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“Check downs are positive plays. If we called a run on 1st down & got 7 yds, I'd always see our OL coaches chest bumping each other. If you pass it & check it down & you get 7 yds, its almost like there’s this sense of disappointment. All those yards count the same." Scott Turner
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This nice lady stopped me in the parking lot to say she loved my shirt. She wants to
#ReleasetheReport
.
Don’t you agree?
#Commanders
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Look for Scott Turner to use Logan Thomas like Joe Gibbs used Rick “Doc” Walker at H-back
@RickDocWalker
is lined up at the right wing-back position, below, sealing the edge & allowing Theisman to move the pocket
Great way to help a rookie RT like Sam Cosmi!
#WashingtonFootball
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@DianteLeeFB
Spot on Diante. Jones showed zero accountability about supporting segragionist racism, but that’s not all. He also showed assimilationist racism when he said (Black) coaches need to do “inordinate stuff” to succeed, as if they haven’t always belonged.
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Antonio Gandy-Golden missed a block like this in the Cincinnati game. That’s an improvement and Ron likes improvement.
#WashingtonFootball
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The
#Commanders
drafted five players with elite 10 yard splits:
✅ RB*, Brian Robinson
✅ S, Percy Butler
✅ TE, Cole Turner
✅ G, Chris Paul
✅ CB, Christian Holmes
Short area quickness is almost always more important than long speed, especially at the RB position.
This is born out by data too. 10-yard split is something that has historically projected well for pass rushers and RBs in particular.
Also why I love burst score, which combines jumps to measure explosive power.
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this is my first graph using R studio! it took me less than 4 hours (with breaks) and was only possible because of
@tejfbanalytics
and the
@mfbanalytics
group (link below). so much easier than i thought it would be, and so happy to have done it! can't wait to learn more 📊 :)
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What do the advanced stats say about Heinicke vs Wentz after 10 weeks?
Neither is likely to be a starter next year, but Heinicke is producing significantly better results than Wentz despite *worse* performances in individual grading, pass blocking and run blocking.
Let’s dig in
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Pure speculation here: Why would you float selling the entire team if you weren’t willing to sell the entire team?
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@RayTheGrouch
@minakimes
Rookie contracts are slotted so trading up or down makes no difference to players
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No one in Commanders media understands position value better than Logan Paulsen. When a former TE tells you the value of the position is capped by contract and scheme, listen
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Benjamin St-Juice is the story of
#Commanders
training camp.
It’s a pleasant surprise to see him learn a new role and possibly start. An inspiration, actually. Such a big opportunity for him and the team because that position/role is highly impactful. Bravo 👏
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2021 weeks 1-4: taylor heinicke ranked 8th in EPA/play
2022 weeks 1-4: carson wentz ranks 28th in EPA/play
scott turner is having a harder time showcasing wentz, probably because of OL problems, but also because the league already knows wentz
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Sam Howell camp thoughts:
1- confirm priors: strong arm, quick release
2- evaluate improvements: accurate and on time, improved footwork, smooth progressions
3- next level: manipulate coverage, off platform creativity, scramble descisions
1 ➡️ 2 ➡️ 3
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offensive lineman are like trees- the best time to draft one was three years ago
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Carson Wentz is a cut candidate based on his composite production rank through week 5, his cap hit, and the increase in trade compensation required.
He, and the
#Commanders
, need to improve quickly if starting him through Week 12 will be justified.
1/
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"Kyle Shanahan is out there, 'Oh, you drafted a special LB in the top 10, a guy you think is going to transform your defense? I'm gonna paint a giant bullseye on him in week 1, and make you bench him essentially for the next 8 weeks,"
-
@PFF_Sam
#washingtonfootball
#wft
#NFL
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Yes, the
#Commanders
can keep them all ✅
If we use Daron Payne's cap hit structure, they can re-sign Montez Sweat and Chase Young while staying cap compliant.
The percent cap allocation in 2025 would get high (28%), but it would be similar to the Steelers in 2023 (26%).
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Making history.
“This is not just about the Washington Football Team and its employees. It’s about the millions of women in workplaces across the country who endure harassment every day.”
—Rachel Engleson sharing her personal story of sexual harassment during her employment by
@Commanders
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This ain’t it, Andy
If you hate Dan so much if you hate everything this organisation does you have 31 other teams you can pick from . Do me a favour tho don’t EVER come back when we turn this ship around we don’t want you!
#HTTC
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What would Ron be saying now if Heinicke hadn't insisted Howell start week 17? How can Ron say he likes Howell if he wasn't pushing for him to start?
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Washington
#Commanders
current cap status:
🥬 $9,192,405 cap space (post Trai Turner)
🏦 -$3,914,399 rookie pool cap
🥕 $5,278,006 available for FA additions
🧅 ($+11,882,353 post June 1)
#ReleasetheReport
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As news from the owners’ meetings drops today, take a moment to consider it through the eyes of someone hurt by Snyder and his organization.
Wouldn’t you want the same?
#ReleasetheReport
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For a “culture” guy, it’s pretty wild that Ron Rivera seems to misunderstand how the team influences the media cycle. They did this to themselves.
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Being a great GM means knowing that you are wrong 48% of the time when drafting (see The Loser's Curse by Massey/Thaler). That's why trading back and selecting a valuable position was a great move (hitting on Dotson was a bonus).
I remember the reactions including mine when Jahan Dotson was drafted. Today I’m reminded that I absolutely know nothing about evaluating players and I’m a 98% dummy. 🤷🏻♂️
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Simple rule: Don't draft a player in the first round if you aren't prepared to reset the market for them in 4 years
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White supremacy is known for depicting cultural expressions of Blackness to be animalistic, childish, and inferior. It happens everyday and it’s wrong.
Looks like it’s going to be another disappointing year from Washington this season
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NFL Team I Hate: Philadelphia
Team that I love: Washington
Team I think is overrated: Seattle
Team that I think is underrated: San Francisco
Team I secretly love: Buffalo
Favorite All Time: '91 Washington
🐐: Randy Moss
(copy and paste yours)
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🔥This is a list of the awesome fan-based
#washingtonfootball
podcasts. Thank you to everyone who contributed to this list, & the wonderful content producers that make them.
👀Please let me know if I made a mistake. I am happy to correct it.
✅Lets grow our
#WFTPODS
community!
Is there a list of all the fan-based
#washingtonfootball
podcasts?
Let's make one. Please post the handle for the account that posts new pods. I'll start:
@TaeNToddPodcast
@TheBurgundyZone
@bigdougshow
@DCTweetTeam1932
@DeclassifiedWft
@Jessys24
Dont leave anyone out!
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Josh Harris’ first mistake took like 3 days. This is free advertising for Glenn Youngkin who is facing stiff pushback from VA public schools regarding his anti trans legislation. Placing a stadium in Virginia could place transgender fans at risk if Youngkin expands his policies.
Gov. Glenn Youngkin was asked about the possibility of an NFL stadium in VA.
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🔥This is an UPDATED list of the awesome fan-based
#washingtonfootball
podcasts. Thank you for helping to make this list and making wonderful content!
👀Please let me know if I made a mistake. I am happy to correct it.
✅Lets grow our
#WFTPODS
community!
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Odell Beckham's contract:
1- take a hamburger and turn it into five sliders (signing bonus plus void years) 👩🍳
2- eat one slider (year 1 cap hit) 😋
3- put the rest in the freezer (year 2 dead money) ☠️
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Thank you to the strongest people in our community- the brave women and men who stood up to Dan Snyder, like
@meganimbert
and
@melanietc
💪
I’ve learned so much from you. My fandom, and life, will never be the same.
Two things I learned:
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There should be little to no doubt that the Commanders released Bruce Allen’s emails to the Wall Street Journal, following the findings of the Oversight Committee.
Let that sink in
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Can’t wait for that first episode of “Releasing the Report”
#WashingtonFootball
#ReleaseTheReport
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If Curtis Samuel never plays a another snap, he still deserves every dollar he is paid. Rookies are underpaid for 4 years, while the average WR career is under 3 years. Samuel is now in his 6th year.
Don’t blame Samuel for getting paid or injured.
#Commaders
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"We now need the NFL community, including players, owners, and corporate sponsors to demonstrate the same outrage and moral strength as those in the NBA community and force accountability for these egregious actions. Like Robert Sarver, Dan Snyder must go."
#ReleasetheReport
🎯
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“Exploring all options” is the only way to start a bidding war while not waiving a white flag. If it was a minority stake for sale, I believe they would say it.
Jerry is helping himself, and all owners, by encouraging the bidding war.
MUST LISTEN: Cowboys owner, Jerry Jones, on
@1053thefan
in Dallas, sounds like Dan Snyder is looking to sell part of the Commanders to put himself in position to build a new stadium not to sell 100% of the team
@wusa9
#HTTC
(credit
@1053thefan
)
Full Story:
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@AndrewBrandt
The man invented chewing gum and walking so why don't you cut him some slack already,
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Life After Snyder =
📈attendance at FedEx
📈marketability for sponsors
📈money for owners
Full article:
#WashingtonFootball
#WFTransparency
#WheresTheReport
#NFL
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I love tight ends but I don't need them, and certainly don't want to spend a high draft pick on one
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Amazing experience to finally see Dr. Kendi last night. The graphic version of Stamped is ridiculously good- super informative, witty, and burst out laughing funny, which is crazy to say. Joel Christian Gill knocked it out the park. Must read
Always real, Washington, DC! Thank you for opening your arms to me and Joel and our book last night. Many thanks to Andy and the whole crew
@busboysandpoets
.
#StampedGraphic
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The commanders performed the interesting feat of gaining a late third-round pick in draft capital in terms of market value using the Jimmy Johnson Trade Value Chart value, while only gaining a very small amount of draft capital using the Fitzgerald-Spielberger Trade Value Chart,
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sam howell’s production slips when using play action which is significant as that’s usually a reliable source of explosive plays
Quarterback Production With and Without Play Action - Through Week 14
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the commanders acquired the equivalent of the 8th pick in the draft when they traded montez sweat and chase young using current tankathon positions and over the cap's trade calculator.
when combined with their current pick at 1.11 the value is $23.4M which $4.4M more than 1.1
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