Mark Stinchcombe
@markstinchcombe
Followers
9,924
Following
1,112
Media
619
Statuses
33,255
Football odds compiler for bookmaker. Card Betting subscription service. More bets @Betfair Football Only Bettor podcast and . Liverpool fan.
✈️
Joined September 2010
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
HAPPY TRACKLIST
• 246368 Tweets
hobi
• 236273 Tweets
Rosé
• 234895 Tweets
Trudeau
• 215835 Tweets
Tuchel
• 168074 Tweets
Mutuse
• 129550 Tweets
Jimmy Carter
• 115025 Tweets
Polymarket
• 68049 Tweets
Taka
• 63081 Tweets
WELCOME BACK J-HOPE
• 60122 Tweets
JUNG HOSEOK IS BACK
• 55150 Tweets
Tyler
• 54844 Tweets
#السوبر_لمصالحه_الجمهور
• 54841 Tweets
STRAY KIDS COME TO PLAY
• 48161 Tweets
Genaro García Luna
• 47110 Tweets
Elisha Ongoya
• 43798 Tweets
Pina
• 27575 Tweets
Vargas
• 25955 Tweets
Toru
• 24988 Tweets
Cynthia
• 24478 Tweets
Lina
• 24319 Tweets
Hannah
• 21239 Tweets
Marra
• 16071 Tweets
Pablo Biró
• 14791 Tweets
HastalarınYeri CezaeviDeğildir
• 13617 Tweets
Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu
• 12549 Tweets
ソロデビュー
• 11370 Tweets
Gary Barlow
• 11035 Tweets
Ahead of Spurs v Liverpool, is Son Heung-Min the best finisher in world football?
Since 2014/15 he's outperformed his xG by more than 32 goals.
Better than Kane, better than Haaland, better than Mbappe, better than Lewandowski...
27
198
1K
Villa signing Scott Hogan, Henri Lansbury & Conor Hourihane for £21M then losing 3-0, 2-1 & 3-1 to their ex-clubs is pretty funny.
14
412
790
Y’all gonna wake up to a 89/1 winner 🎯
For context, for every £11 you put on, that’s a grand in your pocket 💰
#lovethedarts
US Darts Masters tonight and normally look to back a few 6-0s in R1 given the gulf in ability between the PDC and local players. Humphreys and Littler the two standout players this year. LH handed out a few 6-0s & Littler won 1st six legs v Campbell at the Worlds. 89/1 double.
3
0
104
31
14
707
Revealed: how bookies clamp down on successful gamblers and exploit the rest
20
67
303
Abysmal. Trying to hold onto one goal lead for 88 mins. Got the job by default & puts in that performance in a major final at home. Zero tactical nous, zero game management, zero winning mentality having been given a gift of a squad & a draw. A failure as a manager
#SouthgateOut
12
28
136
Pens = 0.8 xG
Non-pen chances avg 0.11 xG
Football is a low scoring game designed to reward skill
They are doing their upmost to deny as many non-pen goals whilst conversely giving as many pens as possible
Football cannot be allowed to turn into a 90 minute penalty shootout
3
17
129
US Darts Masters tonight and normally look to back a few 6-0s in R1 given the gulf in ability between the PDC and local players. Humphreys and Littler the two standout players this year. LH handed out a few 6-0s & Littler won 1st six legs v Campbell at the Worlds. 89/1 double.
3
0
104
👀 👀
Y’all gonna wake up to a 89/1 winner 🎯
For context, for every £11 you put on, that’s a grand in your pocket 💰
#lovethedarts
31
14
707
6
3
102
Brighton and Brentford finishing 6th and 9th in the Premier League under professional gambler owners yet the football industry still refuses to embrace the qualitative skillsets betting industry experts offer at a fraction of the cost.
6
12
76
Very bored of this constant 'Utd need to spend money'. Did Solskjaer not spend £164M on Fernandes, Maguire & Wan-Bissaka? According to
@TMuk_news
Man Utd's squad is worth £709M. Leeds is just £134M & 10 of XI v City were from Championship. Why isn't the coaching questioned?
5
7
68
Germany gone from 7th faves to 2nd faves, talk about overreaction. Their top scorer is own goal.
7
5
55
SSN reporter informs us that Josh King wants regular Premier League football ahead of representing Norway at the Euro's this summer....the same Euro's Norway haven't qualified for
3
7
56
"you're getting sacked in the morning"
Singing that to YOUR own manager after just 7 months? Chelsea fans really are something else and deserve everything they get when Abramovich finally pulls the plug.
4
7
51
What I like about Southgate playing a left footed centre-back and a right footed left-back is that Mings will naturally play the ball left to Trippier, who will get it, stop, turn, and naturally play it straight back to him. And repeat.
3
6
49
"Jeremy's planning to sell the headline Three-o Walcott to a tabloid newspaper"
http://t.co/hBdgxNLyGS
0
88
45
Van Dijk booked on his last two visits to Goodison since being injured - 13/2
McAllister booked in 6 of 16 Premier League games when starting at
#6
- 15/4
33/1 double
7
4
46
Three years ago I applied for a job at
@BrentfordFC
as a Scouting Analyst and Raphinha was the first player I wanted to suggest they signed. A few months later Vitória Guimarães sold him for just £5.5M to Sporting and he must be worth at least 10x that now.
0
2
43
This is what happens with this reckless late flag rule. Players have warning about this potential problem all season. Linesman knew Salah was offside as flag went up straight away. If he’s wrong then so be it. All decisions will never be 100% correct.
2
8
42
Two year Champions League ban v 150 FFP rule breaches
"It's not sport when success is guaranteed."
A final for football.
0
8
38
13/2 Van Dijk 🟡✅
15/4 MacAllister 🟡✅
33/1 Double 🟡🟡✅
Weekends bets dropping on the latest
@Betfair
podcast tomorrow! 🔥
Van Dijk booked on his last two visits to Goodison since being injured - 13/2
McAllister booked in 6 of 16 Premier League games when starting at
#6
- 15/4
33/1 double
7
4
46
12
2
41
N.Ireland 0-1 Switzerland
Sweden 1-0 Italy
Honduras 0-0 Australia
New Zealand 0-0 Peru
Denmark 0-0 Rep. Ireland
Mate I'm absolutely buzzing for the World Cup
5
7
39
✅
Liverpool 10/3 to score a penalty yet Fabinho 15/2 anytime. Kevin Friend awarded five penno's in his last eight games including one against Palace. Gives 0.26pg lifetime in the PL (262 games).
4
3
21
2
0
36
Season 20/21 Outrights
- Man City/Chelsea dual forecast 7/1
- Leeds +43 handicap 14/1
- West Ham bottom at Xmas 12/1
- Sheff Wed relegated from Championship 5/2
- Wigan relegated from League One 9/2
- Southend relegated from League Two 6/1
- Schalke bottom two in Bundesliga 16/1
5
1
31
Very exciting to be working with the
@WeLoveBettingUK
team on this, won't be a better place to go for analysis, insights, stats and most importantly bets for EURO 2020 🇪🇺🏆
A busy few weeks ahead as we ramp up to the Euros ⚽️ 🇪🇺
@WeLoveBettingUK
will be providing the most in-depth, 100 page punting magazine preview for the tournament 🙌
Keep your eyes peeled 👀
5
4
48
1
3
28
Leg 1: ✅
Leg 2: ✅
Leg 3: Can we get the final bet in for a 59/1 winner?
3
0
28
Remember Frode Kippe? Leads his team to a 3-2 win in the Norwegian cup final scoring at both ends after having his head stapled on the pitch at the grand old age of 39. Hero.
0
12
26
If Snodgrass’ shot instead goes behind for a corner and West Ham score from that the goal stands because the ‘handball’ wouldn’t be checked. Is this the game we want? Nah mate.
0
7
26
Dreaded International break is nearly upon us WITH extra pointless games (in an already cramped season). Can’t fathom the logical sense, virus is literally spiking everywhere, multiple matches being called off, and the best idea is to send players all over the world 👍
2
5
25
Jose Mourinho won three Premier League titles, an FA Cup and three League Cups for Chelsea, and their fans treat him like that. Zero class that club.
1
5
23
Tomorrow there is absolutely no excuse for Southgate not to throw everything into attacking Germany at Wembley.
Sweden/Ukraine in the quarters then Czech’s/Denmark in the semi’s at home is an unbelievably good chance to make a major tournament final - in your own stadium.
5
6
24
CHOO CHOO 🚂 💨
Anyone joining the Prague express? 6/1 last night, now 9/1. Edouard started against both Copenhagen and Cluj in those defeats.
3
0
9
6
0
23
Alex Iwobi cost £25M and Michael Keane cost £24M
What I want to know is the person(s) involved in completing these deals what punishment did they receive, what fine did they have to pay and how many years are they banned from working in the football industry?
4
3
22
Can’t beat a good bit of Turkish soccer 🇹🇷
Turkish Super Lig season finale kicks off in an hour & Besiktas 1/4, Galatasaray 1/9 & Fenerbahce 4/6 can all still win the league. Treble is just 11/8 but if you back both teams to score aswell it pays 13/1 which looks nice. A whopping 352 goals in their games this season!
5
0
9
7
0
23
Croatia into World Cup quarter-finals having won one game
5
4
22
Liverpool clean sheet 4/5 ✅
Joe Gomez assist 11/1 ✅
Lay Man Utd 1.57 ✅
Lay Stevenage 1.96 ✅
Another full house on the Saturday pod, Sunday's edition below 👇
@Betfair
🎤 𝐅𝐎𝐎𝐓𝐁𝐀𝐋𝐋...𝐎𝐍𝐋𝐘 𝐁𝐄𝐓𝐓𝐎𝐑 - 𝐒𝐔𝐍𝐃𝐀𝐘 𝐄𝐃𝐈𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍
🎧
@kevinhatchard
@MarkOHaire
and
@markstinchcombe
are back to preview:
🦁 England's
#WorldCup
chances
⚪ Spurs v Newcastle
⚒️ West Ham v Everton
2
3
4
3
1
23
Bit of fun in the two World Cup playoffs with just one leg to decide their fate.
- Both games 0-0 @ 40/1
- Both games under 1.5 goals @ 5/1
Both games taking place on neutral ground in Qatar in 30+ degree heat.
2
0
23
New blog post: Portfolio, Mark Stinchcombe - Football Analyst
1
1
20
No Football Only Bettor podcast this week so an early Xmas present to pay for Xmas instead.
- Claudio Ranieri to leave Watford before December 25th 2021 @ 7/2
There's no way he's just a 22% chance to survive these fixtures.
Fill thy stockings 🎁
@Betfair
5
1
22
Liverpool 10/3 to score a penalty yet Fabinho 15/2 anytime. Kevin Friend awarded five penno's in his last eight games including one against Palace. Gives 0.26pg lifetime in the PL (262 games).
4
3
21
- When Southgate plays 4 at the back: Lost just two of 24 matches (8%)
- When Southgate plays 3 at the back: Lost eight of 26 (31%)
They score less goals (1.5pg v 2.7pg), have less shots, less shots-on-target, less possession & face more shots.
#AgainstTheBackThree
#ThreeLions
Interesting article on the difference in performance data when Southgate chooses a four man defence over a back three.
0
0
3
5
1
21
16
1
20
Nkunku, Dembele, Camavinga, Upamecano & Pavard on the bench.
Apparently they've got some good players missing too!
The tricolore 1⃣1⃣ with first caps for
@BadiashileB
and
@YFofana19_
👊
🇫🇷-🇦🇹 |
#FRAAUT
|
#FiersdetreBleus
10
26
132
0
0
18
This is a great award for everyone involved, particularly behind the scenes with all the work that goes into the show. We've got a fantastic array of bettors that cover a multitude of angles to most importantly try and provide value bets and then hopefully a few winners
@Betfair
0
1
21
Ronaldo's team were losing 1-0 to 28/1 outsiders so they've decided to add on 15+ minutes of injury time to ensure they win the game.
They're now 3-1 up with the winner coming at 90+12 and 90+15.
3
0
21
Reminder that England are 5/1 faves for the Euro’s with a goalkeeper who can’t reach the crossbar 🦖
1
5
20
3 words: Southgate. Stealing. Living.
This is a result of years of positive variance coupled with kind draws & home adv.
Iran USA Wales -> Holland/Senegal/Ecuador/Qatar
Cant be allowed to be in charge of another cake walk of a draw.
Where can I apply for the job?
@FA
@England
Abysmal. Trying to hold onto one goal lead for 88 mins. Got the job by default & puts in that performance in a major final at home. Zero tactical nous, zero game management, zero winning mentality having been given a gift of a squad & a draw. A failure as a manager
#SouthgateOut
12
28
136
6
3
20
Just me wondering where Fulham & West Brom are going to get any points?
10
0
20
@John_W_Henry
Also 2 youngsters in Spain, Iñigo Martínez 19 & Antoine Griezmann 20 (Sociedad) v.bright futures. Wud appreciate ur thoughts.
1
6
16
Ball is in play just 54 minutes of the 90 as it is already so assume with the increase of subs by 67% we can see the same rate in the decrease of ticket prices?
5 subs, 10 overall, out of 22 players is a joke. Might aswell start referring to sides at full-time as B teams
The Premier League are consulting with clubs about whether to allow up to five substitutions in games from next season.
109
74
835
5
0
19
Juve take just four penalties and Ronaldo has none of them so obvious the man was saving himself for taking number 5 hoping it’s the winning one but they’ve already lost 😂
6
0
19
Crawley most cards looks a bet
- Crawley the 5th most ill-disciplined side in League Two with 89 yellow cards and 2 reds
- Stockport the cleanest side in the division with only 58 yellow cards
2
0
19
Zaha derby tonight. Wilf booked 7 times v Watford, 6 in 10 in PL. Up against Kiko Femenia who has been booked in the last three H2H - 22/1 double.
Craig Cathcart has also been booked three times v Palace. Throw him in for a 110/1 treble.
42 xBooking pts so could be tasty🟨🟥
Troy Deeney on teams targeting Zaha:
"You take it in turns kicking him. I know no one wants to hear that, but you go; 'You hit this time, you hit him the next time' you don't have the same player tackle him because you know you're gonna get booked."
16
49
272
0
5
19
Over 2.5 1.91 ✅
Over 3.5 3.80 ✅
Over 4.5 6.40 ✅
Over 5.5 15.0 ✅
Over 6.5 40.0 ✅
Both teams to score in both halves 14/1 ✅
2
2
18
“Take nothing away from the strike” says Danny Higginbotham. You mean the same strike that would have gone wide if it had not deflected in off the wall? Where do they find these guys, presumingly on decent wages aswell. Replace them with normal people & give EFL clubs the wages.
0
0
18
David Goffin v Julien Benneteau - Over 30.5 games 1.92 with
@TeamMatchbook
When < 1.40 Goffin dropped a set in 15/23 matches (65%)
Benneteau leads H2H 2-1, 1-1 in 2017
Goffin won in 4 sets at US Open with 36 games & line was 35.5
~3pm start on hot day, Goffin known to struggle
2
3
18
Rafa Benitez league finishing positions:
- 5th
- 3rd
- 3rd
- 7th
- 2nd
- 4th
- 3rd
- 3rd
- 5th
2
41
18
Forza Jon Moss
Usual no bookings in the Community Shield 25/1 bet
12
0
16
5
2
17
A real shame Aduriz has been forced to retire before the Basque derby Copa del Rey final against his home town of San Sebastian in Real Sociedad. Fittingly then here’s his last ever goal. A very late winner against Barcelona 🔥
1
3
16
After this and again on Tuesday night, four months apart, people should stop wondering why players don't try and stay on their feet when they're fouled in the penalty area
0
11
16
Good morning Sir on today’s menu:
- Breakfast: Cornetto alla nutella 🇮🇹
- Lunch: Fettuccine al salmone affumicato ⚫️
- Dinner: Pizza al salame piccante 🔵
All washed down with Neymar’s tears
FORZA ATALANTA BERGAMASCA CALCIO
#GoAtalantaGo
2
1
17
Real Madrid's defeats this season:
- 0-2 Real Sociedad 8/1
- 0-3 CSKA Moscow 10/1
- 3-0 Eibar 6/1
- 5-1 Barcelona Evs
- 1-2 Levante 18/1
- 1-0 Alaves 9/1
- 1-0 CSKA Moscow 5/1
- 3-0 Sevilla 10/3
Just going to blindly back them to lose from now on
3
2
16
Just two teams in the whole of the EFL tomorrow are odds on. You want to enjoy your football again? Swerve Palace - West Brom and watch the football league, proper football.
0
0
17
Guardiola plays 4-3-3 44 of 46 games this season (96%) then plays 3 at the back for the arguably the most important game of the season yes laddddd
0
3
16
3 bets, 3 winners for
@TeamMatchbook
Weekend ⚽️ Blog
@markstinchcombe
wants to be against Mourinho's troops this weekend and also predicts goals for another Premier League fixture
Read More:
0
2
4
1
0
17
Right this is just the beginning. Next on the agenda should be ticket prices, cup final allocations and unsociable kick-off times
#FootballWithoutFansIsNothing
3
4
15
Tottenham 1-0 Arsenal - Under 3.25 goals 1.86 ✅
Everton 3-1 Crystal Palace - Over 2.25 goals 2.12 ✅
Angers 0-4 Monaco - Monaco-0.25 2.08 ✅
A good day
@TeamMatchbook
Blog: Pro bettor
@markstinchcombe
looks at some key goal lines in the Premier League and finds two tasty looking bets, while he also has his eye on a big price in Ligue 1.
Read More:
0
0
0
1
0
17
VINI GOAL & CARD 10/1 ✅
And the pod Bet Builder won aswell at 15/2! ✅
Great work
@kevinhatchard
@MarkOHaire
@LewisJonesKnows
#UCLfinal
@Betfair
Final episode of the club season and what better way than to tackle all of the angles (literally) of the Champions League final. I've got 10/1 and 33/1 bets that I really feel are huge runners with the way the game likely plays out. Plus check out the group Bet Builder!
@Betfair
3
1
9
4
1
16
Usual no bookings in the Community Shield 25/1 bet
12
0
16
Hold up hold up hold up hold up lads, stop the celebrations, we need 25 mins to check whether Almunia left his line early, anybody's elbow encroached in the box & whether Deeney had the referee's permission to leave the field of play
A REMINDER:
#OnThisDay
2013
Watford v Leicester play-off semi-final. Watford win 3-2 on aggregate.
Agony and ecstasy the reason we love football! ⚽️
1
12
38
1
2
16
VAR probably the worst thing to ever happen to football. Absolutely destroyed the raw passion, emotion and ultimately excitement that the sport brings
4
2
16
MVG is one of the most gracious losers in sport. Ultimate class
5
2
16
Just seen that Murray cross-court winner from Tsonga's overhead...wow
3
20
15
@EURO2020
@Heineken
@dbulandshold
How was he better than Maehle?
84 total touches
75% pass accuracy
8 attempted take-ons
5 attempted long passes
4 successful take-ons
3 successful long passes
2 interceptions
2 shots
1 goal
2
0
15
Thinking about Southgate’s tactics tomo. Not adverse to the 5-2-3 to nullify the Danish wing-backs. Keep a clean sheet for an hour then bring on Grealish if level remembering you have him for an hour if ET. Think the pro-active angle is safety first knowing he has better players.
5
1
16
Zambia Women were 16/1 and they’ve scored FIVE (5) goals after just an HOUR
4
1
16
20 more reasons to listen to the
@Betfair
podcast 🔥
- Chuba Akpom top Championship scorer 20/1 e-w ✅
Chuba Akpom is the first Middlesbrough player to win a Golden Boot since John Hickton in the 1970/71 season.
◎ 38 games
◉ 28 goals
◎ 2 assists
Play-offs. 🔜
21
277
2K
6
1
12
Been asked by a mate how 'home advantage' - or the lack of it - will affect the odds for matches behind closed doors. Reminded me of a piece I wrote for
@TeamMatchbook
a few years ago when Spurs temporarily moved to Wembley for the season.
1
3
16
When your bet gets beaten in the last minute by this you give up on life yes?
4
12
14
Weekend bets up for Premier League Gameweek 5. Season to date record: 10 bets, 7 winners, 1 half loss, 2 losses
@TeamMatchbook
Weekend ⚽️ Insights ✍️
@markstinchcombe
is keen to fade his beloved Liverpool this weekend at Wembley while also eyeing up two goals markets elsewhere.
Read More:
0
0
5
2
3
15
The key to long-term profit is understanding why a price is a price, being able to accurately calculate the true price and staking accordingly. You’re just a guesser otherwise.
3
4
15
Gonna take some 66/1 e-w Atalanta for the Champions League. 1st in Serie A for goals, xG & xPts. 8/11 to qualify v Valencia, I'd fancy you'll get a run for your money at 33s they make the final. A lot of teams at the head of the market can be opposed at the prices. Score for fun
4
0
15
About time getting the full house up on Saturday's show.
- Spurs 1.95 ✅
- Oxford & over 1.5 10/11 ✅
- Telford anytime 19/10 ✅
- Telford 2+ 11/1 ✅
Get your ears around Sunday's show - plenty of alternative Carabao Cup Final bets suggested ⚽️
🎙️SUNDAY FOOTBALL...ONLY BETTOR🎙️
It's your second helping of tipping goodness as
@kevinhatchard
@MarkOHaire
@markstinchcombe
&
@JAKEOZZ
chat
🏟️
#CarabaoCup
final
🔴Multiple trophies for
#LFC
?
⚒️West Ham v Wolves🐺
🥊Seville derby 🟨🟨🟨
👂Listen now
0
3
0
2
1
15
My biggest and best bet of the season wins for
@TeamMatchbook
as Real Betis win 3-0 against Espanyol. My other bet today also wins as Preston comfortably win 2-0 at Sunderland for -0.25.
2
0
15
@WeLoveBettingUK
@TomLove_18
@_JackL_
Week after week, month after month, year after year
@WeLoveBettingUK
continues to be the first stop for high-quality betting previews. No where else better 🏆
2
2
15
People falling over themselves to praise two shots Leicester City 🤮
1
2
15
Definitely a gap in the market for someone to challenge
@Oddschecker
. Stale odds, bad/non-existent mapping, random exchange prices, limited markets. Feels like their marketing is the main priority while the actual product continues to suffer.
3
0
15