Mark Pack 🔶
@markpack
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Author, "Polling UnPacked" & The Week in Polls - https://t.co/BDeAuKF1sC / @LibDems President / imprint + privacy https://t.co/VWRvnYEwTn / he/him
London
Joined April 2007
What next for the Lib Dems? . I've done a pamphlet with Jim Williams that has a go at throwing some evidence at answering that question, to contribute to the party's next strategy process and policy review:
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It's very kind of Boris Johnson to be ordering all his MPs in marginal seats to cast an embarrassing vote for him tomorrow which will then be all over opposition party literature from now until the general election. Thank you, Prime Minister.
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The Conservative Party insists first the past the post is the best voting system. So they're using it for their leadership elec. , oh hang on.
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Apologies for being a little late in bringing you The Spectator's coverage of Chesham and Amersham.
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Top tip for Conservative MPs: if you're going to tweet about how you're personally persuaded by Dominic Cummings today, best not to use near-identical wording to colleagues. Otherwise, people might think you're just doing what a message from the Whips has told you to do.
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Downing Street can't even find someone to investigate Christmas parties who, at a time when Christmas parties were banned, wasn't at a Christmas party themselves.
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⚠️Conservatives lose control of council which covers Michael Gove's seat. That was just one of the great Lib Dem by-election results last night, gaining principal authority seats from both Conservatives and indies. and a town council seat from Labour too #winninghere.
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Tim Farron puts forward motion in Parliament for all new homes to be fitted with solar panels
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At this rate, we'll soon have more Lib Dem MPs than government ministers.
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Last night's Conservative party political broadcast had:. 2 photos of @Keir_Starmer .2 photos of @EdwardJDavey .0 photos of @BorisJohnson . It's almost as if CCHQ doesn't think the PM is a vote winner any more. .
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Turns out Brexiters aren't so keen on British judges enforcing British laws after all.
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You know what happened a month ago today? Tens of millions of us got a powerful chance to have our views about politicians, policies and politics. People claiming their views are ignored had their chance. It just turned out millions of the rest of us don't share their views.
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BREAKING: Lib Dems, Labour and independent councillors agree partnership to end 20 years of Conservatives running Wokingham Borough Council - < John Redwood territory.
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Boris Johnson has disappeared from Conservative election ads. Facebook's ad library shows that the Conservative page on Facebook last April was running ads featuring Boris Johnson. But look at this April? He's absent.
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Net approval ratings, new from YouGov. Sunak: -47.Farage: -38.Ramsay: -7.Starmer: -3.Denyer: -3.Davey: +5.
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Lib Dem MPs who just took 'safe' Conservative seats: busy lobbying Dept of Health and water companies. Popular Conservatives: we lost because we didn't go to war on woke enough.
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Turns out the Prime Minister doesn't know what actual work looks like.
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Cumulative seat change at May local elections in this Parliament:. Lib Dem: +768.Labour: +545.Green: +480.Conservative: -1,783.
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Main conclusion so far today: committee hearings are a much better use of Parliament's time than PMQs.
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Cumulative local election gains/loses in this Parliament:. Lib Dems +637.Greens +416.Labour +318.Conservatives -1,309.
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That Lib Dem gain means the Conservatives have lost their majority on the local council which covers Michael Gove's constituency.
Update on earlier reports: now TWO Lib Dem council by-election gains, including from Conservatives in Michael Gove's own constituency .
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Please, don't give him ideas. .
NEW: Ed Davey gives a speech on the finer points of the Liberal Democrat pension policy.
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Attacking a politician for looking after their disabled son is quite a low, even for Quentin Letts and the Mail.
This is literally a photo of Ed Davey taking his disabled son out for a tricycle ride today, after his care arrangements fell through. How low will they go.
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It's 99 years since the Conservatives last lost a Parliamentary election in the Tiverton and Honiton area, so the fact that there's even talk of a possible Lib Dem is a huge tribute to @RichardFoordLD, @simondrage and the thousands who have helped.
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Wait, what - Dominic Cummings went home, where he suspected his wife was ill with coronavirus, and then went back to work?!.
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Total Conservative seat losses now netting out at just under 500. That'll make this their second worst May for seat losses since 1996 (only 2019 was worse). I think much of the early results coverage editorialising would have been very different if this had been known then.
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Britain faces a simple and inescapable choice - stability and strong Government with electoral reform, or chaos with first past the post.
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At this rate, there will be more @PippaCrerar scoops about parties than parties I've ever been to.
EXCL: Yet another lockdown-buster - our @REWearmouth reveals Grant Shapps's staff "boozed and danced" at gathering last Christmas. DfT has apologised for "inappropriate" event - of which Transport Sec says he was unaware - and "error of judgement".
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What's that? You'd like another fun election result statistic?. Here you go. Woking:.Seats up for election: 10.Seats won by Conservatives: 0.
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A statement tonight from the Lib Dems:. "Geeta Sidhu-Robb has been suspended from the Liberal Democrats and will not be on the ballot paper to be the Liberal Democrat candidate for Mayor of London. There is an investigation underway in accordance with due process.".
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Lib Dems table motion to force publication of full Sue Gray report
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Party leader approval amongst Remainers:. Swinson +13.Corbyn -33.Johnson -67.
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Quite fancy a punt on which one of us will have turned out to be the shortest-serving party leader
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I think we're being reminded that Rishi Sunak is someone whose political skills are such that he lost an election to Liz Truss.
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Can confirm. I don't know about this.
Anarchists just took over Seattle and the Liberal Democrat Governor just said he knows “nothing about that”.
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Currently, it's a close two-horse race between the number of Lib Dem council by-election gains off the Conservatives this week and the number of different versions of events about Rishi Sunak's tax affairs.
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Boris Johnson is treating Brexit like a newspaper columnist treats a copy deadline. A mad rush at the end to just about cobble something together almost on time works for 600 words. It doesn't work for a nation's future.
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🚨 Michael Gove's election agent loses council seat . to the Liberal Democrats.
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Hello, can I have an update please?.
Lib Dems often say they are "winning here" before going on to lose. Perhaps they should leave forecasting to others.
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The last Prime Minister to take up office by winning a general election and to lose office then by losing one was Ted Heath. Which means for anyone born after 19 June 1970, this - the theory on which so much of our political system is based - has not happened in their lifetime.
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Lib Dems to push for cross-party talks on tackling social care
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Under-appreciated election fact. Number of MPs with majority greater than 10,000:. Labour: 115.Lib Dem: 25.Conservative: 5.Green: 2.Plaid: 2.
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I am delighted to have been re-elected as President of the Liberal Democrats, winning on the first round. I would like to start by thanking all those who took part in this election, whether or not they supported me. .
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If a Lib Dem is working across party lines to help residents, they'll get my thanks not a letter to our disciplinary process.
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The Prime Minister hurrying to get away from the Lib Dems seems rather symbolic.
NEW - Lib Dems on a boat with placards photobomb Rishi Sunak as he chats to rowers at the Leander Club on the Thames as part of a campaign visit.
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Putting up taxes to fund health and social care is right. But it should be taxes on wealth, not on work that go up.
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Cumulative seat change in May council elections since Conservatives won majority at 2015 general election:. Con: -607.Lab: -732.LibDem: +804.Green: +294.
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“I fought them in government, I’m fighting them now. They’re beyond the pale” – Ed Davey on the Conservatives
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It's possible to be pro-European, to want the UK to be in the European Union. and to recognise that the best way to achieve that isn't to campaign for rejoin from 1st January 2021.
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Cumulative change in council seats at May elections since 2015 general election:. Con: -1,095.Lab: -628.Lib Dem: +1,207.Green: +381.
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Notable that the story says Rishi Sunak is in the photo too.
EXCL: Police have a photo of Boris Johnson holding a can of a beer at his lockdown birthday party in June 2020 - taken by his taxpayer funded official photographer.
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Average vote share change in council by-election so far this year:. Conservative: -2.3%.Labour: -1.5%.Green: +2.1%.Lib Dem: +7.2% 👏.
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As Conservative MPs are eulogising how people worked in 1940, I reckon we should take them at their word and start copying Churchill. Which means frequently staying in bed until lunchtime and working from there.
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Working through nominations for the Lib Dem party awards at our conference. Have to say the person who nominated Rishi Sunak for his major contribution to Lib Dem success in the last year makes a strong case.
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And at the end of the rainbow is . another Lib Dem gain in Dominic Raab's constituency if tonight's canvassing is anything to go by. Good luck tomorrow everyone!
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Conference round-up:. Conservatives: system crashed. Labour: no votes for members. Lib Dems: system worked, members voted, all-time record attendance for 1st conference after an election.
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Lib Dems vow to abolish use of voter ID at polling stations
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Something some Labour activists don't want you to know:. Greens, Plaid, (ex)ChangeUK, Lib Dems, Dominic Grieve negotiating pro-Remain pacts with some deals already made. (E.g. Brecon by-election, Grieve's seat). Labour has rebuffed all such talks and refused to participate.
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It's a strange will of the people that involves an unelected Prime Minister, heading up a party without a majority shutting down the Parliament the people elected.
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That sound is a herd of Liberal Democrats rushing to check train times to Bedfordshire.
I have today informed the chief whip that I am standing down as the MP for Mid Bedfordshire, with immediate effect. It has been an honour to serve as the MP for such a wonderful constituency but it is now time for another to take the reins.
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An important, over-looked statistic about the local elections: the seats up this time were, on average, more Leave-voting than the rest of the country. And even on this territory the Conservatives did so badly. .
If you thought this week's local elections were grim for the Tories, just remember: this time they were defending a previous already bad result and yet still managed to fall a long way. Next year they'll be defending some very good results. .
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Opinion poll puts Jane Dodds in the lead for Brecon and Radnorshire by-election
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Imagine what Jacob Rees-Mogg's reaction would have been if someone from the European Commission had issued a detailed memo about punctuation.
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Poppies should be about the people whose sacrifices we are remembering, not about the people who are wearing them.
Proud to be the first MP to wear a poppy this year in the House of Commons. it’s never too early to show support for this vital campaign to thank those who have served King, Queen, Country and Commonwealth, as we begin our annual period of national remembrance.🇬🇧
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Seeing a disaster coming and taking inadequate half-baked action in response seems to be the MO of the current Conservative Party.
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ICYMI:Lib Dems table motion to allow MPs to call out Johnson’s lies in Parliament
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Compare and contrast:. Lib Dem conference: party votes through strongly anti-Brexit policy, supported by leader. Labour conference: leader's closest allies try to abolish deputy leader post after incumbent speaks out against Brexit.
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Feels rather like we're in a repeat of the 1990s seemingly endless series of MP scandals for a Conservative government.
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The Conservative Party has not suspended or disciplined this MP.
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Tim Farron calls for Ofwat to be scrapped after it gives green light for water companies to hike bills
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Important corrective to the idea that people just lent the Lib Dems their votes on Thursday. New polling shows nearly everyone who voted Lib Dem expects to stick with the party at the next general election.
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Update on Lib Dem membership surge: "6,000 people have joined the party since close of polls last Thursday, totalling 11,000 people joining the party this month.".
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British public supports proportional representation 42% – 33%
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The story the media are missing: even in North East, first full declared region, the Brexit/Ukip vote change is +16, but the Lib Dem / Green / CUK change is +18. It's the Remainers who are gaining the most.
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It's worse than that. The plotters are armed with bar charts, clipboards and rosettes.
From what I can tell this 'plot' seems to involve standing in elections and then winning them.
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And with that, there are now ZERO Conservative councillors on Richmond Council!.
Hampton North (Richmond upon Thames) council by-election result:. LDEM: 53.2% (+19.9).CON: 34.8% (+11.2).LAB: 7.2% (-1.1).GRN: 4.8% (-16.2). Votes cast: 2,213. Liberal Democrat GAIN from Conservative. *Defending Con seat was third placed of three-member ward in 2022. Top three.
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Dear Change UK,.No, we're not finished. Yours,.The Lib Dems.
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If you think the Conservatives are in a mess right now, just think what it could be like a week today as everyone digests the North Shropshire result. .
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Or you could. give the money to the councils that already existed and are democratically accountable, rather than creating yet another set of new bureaucracies?. One again, for all the talk of disliking red tape, the Conservatives want to create yet more red tape.
People should decide what happens to their towns. Each town will receive a new Town Board as part of PM @RishiSunak’s long-term plan for towns. Bringing together community groups, businesses and local authorities to make sure the decisions are the right ones for local people.
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Cue Conservative MPs taking a break from telling us they are the party of law and order in order instead to tell us that breaking the law really isn't so bad, doesn't really matter and people don't mind in 5, 4, 3, 2, 1. .
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It's a sign of how bad things are for the government that Michael Gove is now looking the moderate one.
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Four people caught up in allegations of illegal lockdown parties. Only one being investigated by the police. Can you spot which one?
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Since the May local elections 🗳️:. 🔶Lib Dem gains from Conservatives: 8 ✔️.Labour gains from Conservatives: 1. 🔶Lib Dem gains from Labour: 2 ✔️.Labour gains from Lib Dem: 0. And that’s without mentioning @DoddsJane winning a Parliamentary seat from the Conservatives 🎇🎊🎉.
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Joe Gloria, the Clark County, Nevada Voter Registrar is giving a bizarrely great press conference - calling out poor questions, berating people for asking questions he's already answered and more.
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