jonahbgelbach
@jonahbgelbach
Followers
1,132
Following
1,128
Media
427
Statuses
14,430
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
WE LOVE YOU YOONGI
• 126944 Tweets
علي النبي
• 78616 Tweets
審神者の日
• 62780 Tweets
ラストマイル
• 58320 Tweets
Hayırlı Cumalar
• 54339 Tweets
Saka
• 54242 Tweets
U STEAL MY HEART TRAILER
• 54135 Tweets
#TRAILERJACKANDJOKER
• 48473 Tweets
#プロセカ放送局
• 42708 Tweets
チー付与
• 40089 Tweets
Your Season Rec Behind
• 37213 Tweets
#يوم_Iلجمعه
• 36430 Tweets
Rodrygo
• 29870 Tweets
Ilkay
• 28371 Tweets
大本丸博
• 19856 Tweets
محمد
• 19125 Tweets
WEPLAYHERE UPD
• 16266 Tweets
#ぱかライブTV
• 11821 Tweets
金曜ロードショー
• 11771 Tweets
となりのトトロ
• 10754 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
I used to have like 6000 followers. I felt like The Man.
But with this account, not even 1K.
I. Am. INDY
3
0
18
I was on the Econ job market in 1997-98.
The chair of a hiring committee and I were trying to schedule my interview at the meetings. I mentioned one time that would work and he said, we could do that, but the department chair would have to miss it…
1/x
What's something in the world you know you're directly responsible for but if you were to claim credit you'd sound crazy?
998
255
4K
21
112
1K
Entry-level salaries took off very soon after that.
Of course it could’ve been the dot com boom or some other set of causes.
But it might’ve been At least partly because of one loose-lipped hiring chair, me, and an FTC official in January 1998.
8/fin
6
12
906
A year or two later, I heard that the chairs no longer had such meetings, and I have a vague recollection of having heard that there was heat from the government.
7/x
1
2
316
When I got to the part about salary setting, his eyes got wide and he asked me something like are you serious?
When I confirmed that, I got the distinct sense from him that some enforcement was about to happen.
6/x
2
3
235
… Because he will be at the meeting with other chairs, where they collude to set salaries For new assistant professors. (That’s a paraphrase, but it was in substance exactly what he said.)
2/c
6
4
233
At the end, I said, I do have one question about an unrelated matter. He listened as I told him about the conversation I had had with the hiring chair I mentioned above (I did not name, names or institutions).
5/x
1
1
176
The meetings roll around. One of my first interviews was with the FTC. The interview was just me and the head of the division or whatever the unit is called.
3/x
1
1
161
It was a very nice, affirming interview (More than most to be clear).
4/x
1
1
136
@Andrew___Baker
yikes who hasn't found that in their code
preferably before circulating results
i know you hate stata, but for those who use it: this is why it's good to always define a "touse" variable eg
. gen touse = x1!=. & x2!=.
and only then do
. replace x3 = (x1!=0 | x2!=0) if touse
6
2
90
And anyone who calls Catherine Fisk or Erwin Chemerinsky a white supremacist is a clown who should be ignored.
2/x
1
1
92
The video provided is Short, so the usual proviso applies. That said, I recognize the house in question And and it’s quite clear that the woman with the Microphone was Behaving awfully.
1/x
12
5
89
And a huge fraction of them have the same phone
The tents are identical at every single school. Either, they all coincidentally ordered the same tent OR a single source is paying for all of this to happen.
772
1K
7K
7
1
86
@Andrew___Baker
started reading book of why A few months ago. got to part where he claims nobody understood causality until he created do notation. Tbc I see how the notation is useful. But mainly, I was glad that he had released me from any expectation that I should read the rest of the book
1
1
78
There are many places to protest. The home of a person who has invited you to dinner should not be one of them.
This is a sad event for the Berkeley Law community.
/fin
3
0
78
A reasonable reaction to this thread is, “Wow isn’t it crazy that economists were foiling competitive forces in their own field!”
Now consider the fact that Econ journals do not allow authors to submit papers simultaneously to other Econ journals …
I was on the Econ job market in 1997-98.
The chair of a hiring committee and I were trying to schedule my interview at the meetings. I mentioned one time that would work and he said, we could do that, but the department chair would have to miss it…
1/x
21
112
1K
5
2
77
Can someone at Columbia ask Mike Johnson tomorrow what his view is about what will happen to Jews at the rapture?
Inbox: Speaker Johnson will travel to Columbia University tomorrow to “Deliver Remarks and Hold Press Conference on Antisemitism at Columbia University.”
129
51
206
5
17
74
Famously, the set of cases that get to the Supreme Court are a random draw from the set of all disputes
9-0 for abortion drugs, 8-1 for gun control, 6-3 for Biden social media censorship pressure. Is this court as big a threat to progressive governance as Democrats have made it out to be? Or just a modest check on worst abuses? The latter.
99
105
387
3
6
66
Hello Twitter we are in Paris to see
@taylorswift13
Thanks to
@LeahLitman
for the shirts!
#GetawayCar
#VigilanteShit
7
1
65
Definitely no due process problem with terminating a student's access to campus on the basis of an arrest on whose prob cause the University virtually defaults
New protest rules form today:
@UTAustin
says those who have previously been arrested for trespassing aren’t allowed on campus. I asked if it matters if charges were dropped, a UT spokesperson said it doesn’t.
@statesman
147
808
2K
4
14
62
What a catastrophe the conservative legal movement has been for America.
I know that I have friends who disagree. With no less personal love and care for them, I regret it, but I am sorry: they are wrong. Look where they and their champions have brought us as a nation.
3
12
59
@asymmetricinfo
Kind of need to stipulate that Biden is a career criminal for the comparison to make any sense.
But while we’re at it, which Democrats have gone nuts about the prosecution of Hunter Biden (During his father’s admin!)
3
1
53
I will say, as I have said many times, that I am repulsed by Israel’s conduct of its war. I will say again that I have disagreements with my Dean about his views on Israel and antisemitism.
But I am appalled at this conduct by people he invited into his home.
4/x
1
1
52
@BMMillsy
I think there’s value in demonstrating that within roughly equivalent classes of schools, there is a lot of randomness. In other words, such tweets are informative, even leaving aside whether someone overcame some shit.
2
0
49
Jason Kelce is a remarkably clear thinker
@jayprivman
I understand, I dont take offense at all. what I’m saying is that it’s completely reasonable to think I have CTE. Even though there is no test to see if I currently have CTE, The evidence suggests I probably do. Just like the reality that a lot, if not most of the high level
51
11
1K
2
3
49
@joshchafetz
Do you think they are trying to sink him, or get him nominated for the Supreme Court?
2
3
48
Does Lichtman think Trump has unlocked the Racist Vote Key
1
7
45
Having Andrew as a junior colleague, I can definitely empathize with the mama bear
the little bear is distracted by a balloon instead of crossing. mama bear comes back for him
1K
14K
147K
3
2
43
A reminder that he called a Georgia official in furtherance of an attempt at massive cheating
WELKER: Will you accept the results of the 2024 election no matter who wins?
LINDSEY GRAHAM: Yeah, I'll accept them if there's no massive cheating
236
168
810
0
8
44
For Dean Chemerinsky’s description of the event, which occurred at a dinner for Berkeley Law. Students held at his home, see this link.
3/x
3
0
44
@asymmetricinfo
1 you’re confusing Bragg with James (civil case)
2 I mean if you want to call hunter Bidens charges victimless crimes I wouldn’t argue with you Megan
3 you’re changing the subject
4
0
43
At Wrigley for first time in my life
With my son
It’s great
Bye
6
0
41
Har har isn’t threatening police brutality so funny
If you need me I'll be writing my new country song, "Try That at a Large Public University in a Red State."
48
196
2K
1
4
38
@Josh_Merfeld
In fairness, you absolutely cannot estimate OLS because OLS is an estimator rather than an estimand.
1
0
39
Disgusting & repugnant.
Anyone who follows me knows that I am repulsed by Israel's conduct of the war in Gaza. I disagree strongly with some of my Dean's views about Israel & antisemitism. Like my Dean, I believe fervently in free expression.
And: What's below is disgraceful.
💯 Antisemitism on full display at Berkeley Law School. I cherish freedom of speech because, I like to hear what people think to learn from them and sometimes to avoid them. Or, to know what we are up against.
37
86
380
1
7
38
I knew him when
Tweet by Prof.
@OrinKerr
quoted in
@VanityFair
: “I don't know if Trump is going to be reelected in 2024. But I know that, if he is, he's going to preface every blatantly illegal thing he does by saying, 'Official act, this is an official act.'”
4
8
29
3
0
39
I’ve lost two family members to GBMs, one at 69 and one at 29. (This is the kind of tumor that killed Teddy Kennedy and John McCain as well.)
I know the sample sizes are low. Still. Just amazing to imagine that an effective treatment might be on the horizon.
“"In a first-ever human clinical trial of four adult patients, an mRNA cancer vaccine developed at the University of Florida quickly reprogrammed the immune system to attack glioblastoma, the most aggressive and lethal brain tumor."
Stunning
265
4K
22K
2
2
38
Sitting in a starbucks, working, with a slight hangover. They have EDM on the hifi system, and it is cranked and this is great, just like what grad-student jonah expected would happen if he made it to 52
2
1
37
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH
Elon Musk backs down from $45 million a month pledge to Trump, says he doesn’t ‘subscribe to cult of personality’
644
954
4K
4
2
32
I’ve disagreed w/people who wanted to replace Biden, & I’ve thought most suggestions he’s confused were based on distortions.
I don’t think I was wrong given information Available, but that’s beside the point. The information available now is much different. He should step aside
5
3
33
Dear law professors,
Why few people read your work outside of academia is because you have TOO MANY DAMN FOOTNOTES
Dear mathematicians,
Why few people read your work outside of academia is because you intentionally phrase things in a way that is exclusive to academia. Few on the outside understand, or care to understand symbolic logic.
Either change it or accept the cult label.
17
14
289
10
3
33
@steve_vladeck
@JoeDudekJD
You see Steve, he is not bound by it except when he chooses to be. In this case he has chosen to be bound, so it is out of his hands. You are welcome.
0
1
33
Grad school exam, i was unable to answer most of the actual questions. I wrote a note to the professor explaining that for that reason, I was going to write what I *had* learned.
He circled the most egregious part and wrote “THIS is what you learned??”
What’s the most memorable feedback you’ve received on your work?
166
17
161
3
0
32
Ok let’s do this
JD/PHDs for Harris
What’s so remarkable about all of these constituency group fundraising calls for Kamala Harris: they’re completely organic. There’s zero campaign involvement in driving engagement. It’s entirely grassroots led, enthusiasm driven campaign organizing.
9
172
756
8
1
30
Solid performance for one week, losing 1/3 of your value
7
5
31
@whstancil
Agree that they are too timid.
In general there’s a problem with Trump outrages that there are so many that it can be hard to settle on clear themes.
But “he’s been convicted of 34 felonies over a scheme to keep voters in the dark” seems like an easy enough nail to hammer.
0
0
31
@MaxKennerly
Even the current restrictions are really onerous for people who need these drugs. It's so hard when you can't get your kid's meds and have to go without, or with random-draw maybe-it'll-work alternatives that happen to be available.
0
0
30
Sorry to report that even at age 52, reduced drinking, enough sleep, & morning exercise makes me feel good
(Was hoping that I would grow into my bad habits but ofc no)
7
0
30
@jadler1969
I agree that it’s good This case came out this way.
But we are talking about a subterranean bar. Not impressive to high jump over it…. you just have to avoid accidentally falling through a locked hatch into the basement.
1
0
29
Back to London for some dumplings & sriracha brisket bao bun, and a rhubarb gin and tonic at the Mayfair Mercato
4
0
30
Valuable perspective from one of the most thoughtful and fair-minded commentators I have seen on Twitter (I realize the bar is low, but this person would make it over a much higher one).
I went to the UCLA campus last night and spent a few hours there before the police dispersed the encampment. I wanted to see the pro-Palestine student protests for myself and get a sense of the atmosphere, energy, and students, as well as the movement's focus and the desired
1K
3K
12K
2
5
29
If your view is syllogistically "Arrest/expel/suspend the protesters b/c they're breaking the rules," do you feel the same way about in-dorm use of alcohol? About edibles? Postering where not allowed? Jaywalking?
Etc.
Quite.
Tbc, how to handle encampments/building takeovers strikes me as a context-dependent question.
But the simple just-enforce-the-law position simply does not survive first contact with the many ways in which prosecutorial discretion (necessarily) operates in our society.
3
3
23
8
7
29
So impressed by the FedSoc judges. Definitely not Driven by policy or politics.
Congrats.
6
1
27
I hope professor Fohlin sues.
ludicrous degree of force, and I’m just talking about the first assaulter.
These people should not be police.
@MiddleEastEye
Here’s
@EmoryUniversity
economics professor Caroline Fohlin knocked to the ground with her head on the concrete. Her glasses are thrown off. She shouts “I’m a professor”
#Gaza
#Protesters
3K
11K
21K
3
2
27
Orin Kerr is a treasure. We disagree about lots of things, but (in addition to being a fine colleague and friend) he is the best example I know of someone willing to call BS across the ideological spectrum.
@realChrisBrunet
Maybe say more on how this "killed" VDARE? According to the post, they were served subpoenas, legal challenges were made to it, the subpoenas were modified, and VDARE hasn't yet complied. They're being fined $250 a day until they comply. Fines stop when they comply.
36
1
65
3
1
28
Taking an actual day off of work today. Like, not going to do any. Can’t remember the last one.
Went to my kid’s 10u game. Heading to a minor-league game tonight. Could get used to this.
1
0
28
The parts of this thread that involve IRB and acknowledgments are pretty much clownish.
However, this tweet, and the next one in the thread appear At first glance to involve substantively serious instances of plagiarism.
Partisans w/poor judgment can make good points.
Anderson, who served as the diversity czar for MIT's computer science college until last year, when she left to become Boston Beer Company's inclusion and belonging program manager, likewise copied copious material from other scholars.
6
59
474
3
2
27
Going to try to take a break from here for a while.
Let me just say:
1 I think running Biden is a mistake bc it seems likely that all the risk is downside, which is not true of Harris.
2 I desperately hope that I am wrong and that he wins & we win the House & keep the Senate.
6
0
27
This is so true.
Biden’s clear incapacity to run a real campaign, especially an energetic negative one against a guy who is apparently leading him, is a critical reason why he is the wrong person for this job.
I think a lot of people, including those who’ve been severely critical of Biden, are underrating how much upside there would be to having a nominee who was regularly appearing on television / podcasts / YouTube shows delivering crisp anti-Trump talking points.
284
409
5K
2
4
25
Suppose
1 X is ethical for person P do
2 Not-X is ethical for person P to do.
Then without a good reason having to do with the nature of X, I think it should be reasonable to assume that randomizing between doing X and not-X is ethical for P to do.
1/x
3
0
25
Both times I saw Hamilton, every line was the same
I was like yo come on
Kamala Harris caught giving the exact same speech almost word for word in both Wisconsin and Michigan
She can’t go off script. Watch:
1K
977
3K
7
0
25
This is the fundamental issue. He is not running a real campaign, much less an aggressive one. And what he needs to do is run an aggressive campaign that reminds voters of what a catastrophe Donald Trump is. That’s the minimum Bar here, and no one thinks he can do it.
Since the press conference was so impressive, he’s going to start doing these regularly right?
Use them as a chance to drive the anti-Trump message and win the election?
91
116
1K
3
8
25
This guy is totally right, because teachers and schools definitely know each student’s career trajectory
I'm 31.
I've still never needed to use calculus, write in cursive, fire up a bunsen burner, or dissect a frog.
Spent a lot of time on those things in school, and minimal time on the things that DO impact our everyday lives.
It might be time to revisit education standards.
4K
809
10K
10
1
25
@kevinbaum013
That spot is between the backyard and the door to the house. There are probably 100 students trying to eat at tables in the backyard. Respectfully, given the actual facts of the situation, I think your solution likely was infeasible. Some situations are no-win.
1
0
25
“Fighting a biased judge” ==> from A person who wanted to testify as to the law.
/2 fighting a biased judge in a forum where the jury is probably stacked against them; I'm sure they get almost no sleep, they're lucky to grab a slice of pizza in the courthouse for lunch, they have a client who, I'm guessing, is not the kind to say "whatever you want to do..."
28
51
256
0
5
24
GELBACH: BIDEN CAMPAIGN CHAIR HAS LOTS TO LOSE IF NOT AND SO IS NOT A CREDIBLE SOURCE AT THIS PARTICULAR MOMENT
BIDEN CAMPAIGN CHAIR: BIDEN WILL BE BACK ON CAMPAIGN TRAIL NEXT WEEK
36
92
687
3
1
23
Quite.
Tbc, how to handle encampments/building takeovers strikes me as a context-dependent question.
But the simple just-enforce-the-law position simply does not survive first contact with the many ways in which prosecutorial discretion (necessarily) operates in our society.
3
3
23
@jenniferdoleac
In case you're serious (not prejudging!), IMO:
1 It's fine to do the thread as long as you think it's fine to have whatever impact you do
2 Whatever the ethical issues of the experimental paper are, they have to do with the ethics of *experiments* rather than ethics of *RTs*😀
2
0
22
Trolling Lindsey Graham, and making fun of his own age in the same moment is just perfect
1
2
22
I gather appendicitis pain can come and go. I hope it’s not too interesting of a weekend.
But for now he’s asleep and happily so.
Horrible to see and hear your child in agony.
Fin.
11
0
20
Can federal agencies just say that their rules will not apply in the northern district of Texas or in Louisiana?
2
1
21
@JeffreyASachs
This is that moment when,
#asajew
, I ask: Suppose a University had deplatformed a Jewish valedictorian because of unexplained "security concerns".
The rest of the script is obvious.
4
0
21
Texshmualism is alive and well
2
9
21
@littmath
@Josh_Merfeld
Yeah, I’m thinking on reflection that Josh’s results are probably within reasonable sampling variation of small win for HT
1
0
19
Off to London
Try not to go any farther off the rails, America
7
0
19
Surprised to see people on Twitter taking maximalist positions on ethical questions without seeming to have reflected on the underlying issues
2
1
20
The
@ColumLRev
site is back up. The piece by
@RabeaEghbariah
whose censorship was achieved via the Board of Director’s disabling of the website is published at
1/x
1
7
19
A key here is the phrase “the work of”: to “praise the work of a scholar” is not “to praise the scholar” as a person.
Further, to cite is not necessarily to praise.
@nicholas_bagley
I’m pretty sure you wouldn’t praise the work of a scholar who, say, advocates for the imprisonment of people in an interracial marriage. There is a line. You just don’t think Vermeule’s extreme homophobia crosses it. And that says something about the hierarchy of your own values!
14
22
643
2
0
20
This has been one of my top six questions for a long time
2
1
20
Would you believe, “manual lasso”?
@AdrienMatray
How is this an unintentional error? You're directly shrinking the pre-treatment coefficients to hide evidence of pretrends.
15
50
794
2
0
19
Extremely important development, fantastic news.
The Judicial Conference of the United States today strengthened the policy governing random case assignment to limit the practice of “judge shopping,” when litigants strategically choose where to file cases in hopes of being assigned a certain judge.
75
506
2K
0
2
19