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Josh Jelin
@jjelin
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Retired wizard. Data scientist. he/him https://t.co/t1n2FQRqYZ https://t.co/YgnShiuZXt https://t.co/KHpCuufY0S
Seattle, WA
Joined June 2009
@GavinVerhey Other thoughts: 1. Good job recognizing that 4 isn't going to be able to fight you. 3. Yeah, this is the best archetype, but without turn 2 flash, what are you doing? 4. Oh no. 6. š§āš³š 7. Without Lotus/Ritual/LED, the Doomsday is a bust. 8. P3 Vamp and this is the best deck.
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@JustinWolfers @natesilver ā¦especially in roughly the ātwo standard deviations away from the meanā region. As you said, heās roughly doubling the standard errors, so these sorts of observations will come up all the time. That means his models crank up the variance to account for āoutliersā that arenāt.
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@sedatesnail I think a lot of people wasting their time by shooting their shot isnāt really a problem. There are issues with education, but acceptance rates arenāt a great indicator.
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@sedatesnail Housing is getting worse. I donāt think itās directly related to college acceptance rates. More people are applying to top tier universities, and that rate is far outpacing population growth.
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@sedatesnail IMO Elon actually is brilliant. His tragic flaw is that he assumes his brilliance in some areas (marketing electric vehicles) translates to everything. That, and he sees everyone disagreeing with every stupid decision he makes as a personal attack.
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