Hunter Mellon
@hunter_mellon
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Navigating due process and due dates at @Harvard_Law
Joined January 2015
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"Democracy is not merely doomed, it is doom itself" -Nick Land | Very glad to see the
@nytimes
finally covering this troubled movement, although there is much more to be said about the Thiel-Land-Yarvin-Vance-Masters-etc. 'Dark Enlightenment' / Neo-Reactionary nexus and their
In Opinion
"It's easy to become inured to the extremism that has suffused the Republican Party," Damon Linker writes in a guest essay. "We shouldn't grow complacent about just how dangerous it all is — and how much more dangerous it could become."
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@RonFilipkowski
It’s not a ‘game;’ the party that claims “America First” is actually “Politics First”
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Certainly, in many instances, portions of USG-filmed UAP videos necessitate partial redaction, and in some cases there will be a legitimate need to classify entire videos and prevent their public release. But the recent authorized release of this footage of a PLA aircraft filmed
Chinese fighter jet buzzes U.S. Air Force B-52 bomber over the South China Sea Tuesday night. The J-11 came within 10 feet of the bomber narrowly avoiding collision: Pentagon
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Yet another thoughtfully crafted indicator that there is almost certainly life elsewhere in our galactic neighborhood (although seems to rely upon some of the same first principles that the original Drake Equation was faulted for relying upon)
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@blackvaultcom
@UallNV
“Whatever that may be” suggests you don’t know what team your on (or at least who your team members are). This is of course reasonable given the context and the information environment.
But, unlike your son’s ⚽️ team, that ambiguity makes it a hell of a lot harder to: “Play
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Great analysis by
@bellingcat
, confirming that the 'silver orb' from the DoD video is most likely a balloon.
When the US Department of Defense published a video seemingly showing a UFO in the Middle East, Bellingcat contributor
@NathanPatin
and researcher Logan Williams went to work using open-source techniques to verify claims of the unidentified flying object.
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This is great, but when we talk about it, we mustn’t forget the ultimate telos of our foreign policy. When properly framed, this is not merely a strategic win for American competition with China, but moreover is a incremental but non-trivial step in making the human condition
The US has just upgraded its ties with Indonesia to a comprehensive strategic partnership, following a similar move with Vietnam. Indonesia, Vietnam, and the Philippines - a US ally, collectively represent over 70% of Southeast Asia's population - nearly 500m strong! Guess what?
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Were I to write this again now, I would do so quite differently. But I still very much think that we as a nation would be well served by looking back to the insights and prescience of Tocqueville, and to many of his quotes pulled here, to better diagnosis and ameliorate the
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AI might prove nightmarish for humanity. But could humanity prove nightmarish for AI?
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@cspan
@SpeakerJohnson
This argument makes little sense now that the Ethics committee has concluded their damning report. What's the precedent? Does Johnson really believe Santos is innocent, or does he just not care?
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@darkjournalist
Hehe yesterday we concluded that your claim that he had ‘sent’ me was unfounded and that you had made it up (very disrespectful to your audience!) Which claim shall we look at today? What about the billionaire claim?
Yeah, sure, the large extended family has money. But families
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@JohnWWarnerIV
@darkjournalist
If anyone has their head up their ass, it’s someone who leads with “We Mellons”
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@SapphireBushman
@MHuntington7
You. Bet.
But not out of some irrationalist loyalty; there are many in my family who I disagree with. Strongly.
But I think Chris is absolutely right on this point and am happy to shamelessly say as much.
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@darkjournalist
@ChrisKMellon
In 1975, the Senate Church Committee and the House Pike Committee took the CIA to task for its string of abuses. You only know about many of them because of the committees’ work. Consequently, the committees rewrote the laws on how the CIA functions and is organized. Totally
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Much of Russia's disfunction in Ukraine has been attributed to their lack of any meaningful NCO corps. Two great analyses of the PLA in the Economist this week, but unfortunately neither discuss the PLA's philosophy on bridging the enlisted-officer gulf. Is the PLA's answer to
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@MiddleOfMayhem
Maybe, maybe not. But regardless of the nuances of any individual classification decision, that still does not justify a nuance-less blanket classification regime.
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@shakeleather
@darkjournalist
@ChrisKMellon
Yeah, I have no interest in what that accounts thinks, but when people who don’t know much about the subject see posts like that, it could come off as superficially plausible and sometimes I think it’s important to call that out.
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In all seriousness, this actually *is* a good book, in my view. It documents part of a very dark and troubling chapter in the Intelligence Community's history, and is one that more Americans should read. But we cannot forget that since then the Intelligence Community has been
@hunter_mellon
Congratulations on graduating soon! I hope you peruse George Washington and Eisenhower’s farewell addresses. And please be careful about what agencies you work for, as it may lead to regrets. See attached book
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The de/classification process may indeed be further complicated when dealing with UAP videos, and prudence may even warrant a greater presumption of classification, but that still in no way justifies the blanket suggestion (as has been put forth by some officials, although
They know what this is, so can decide how to declassify it.
If they don’t know what a video actually shows, then maybe the declassification process is more difficult.
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👏 Warts and all, Chris Christie is doing righteous work here on behalf of the Republic.
“Your anger against the truth is reprehensible.”
Chris Christie lashed out at a MAGA crowd at Florida’s GOP Freedom Summit today.
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@Linahuaa
Sorry I must have missed the part in my Mao and Marx where the Noble Ancestry means anything good within the material dialectic?!
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Unironically this photo is a work of art
Illegal aliens and Border Patrol agents enjoying the solar eclipse together
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@aviashun
@scarredempire
@Aviation_Intel
Firing at ejecting pilots and crew violates the convention. Targeting airborne assault troops does not.
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@ChrisDJackson
How are they talking to one another without a translator? Or is the walk just symbolic?
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@MHuntington7
He was transparent… he just said he made the introduction. Imagine how dysfunctional and hyper bureaucratic it would be if every government employee had to record and make public every conversation they have about their work with someone; no government in the world or in history
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@tinyklaus
The Gunung Padang site (on the island of Java) is archaeologically interesting, but the anomaly you identify corresponds to an area on the island of Sumatra ~500 miles NW of the Gunung Padang complex. There is no anomaly on the archeological site.
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@MHuntington7
Is this not obvious? Chris knew Kirkpatrick; he also knew Hal and Lue. So he introduced them, with the hope that AARO would want to be in touch with these folks. What about that is controversial?
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@darkjournalist
And if we don’t think it matters to the wider context if the ‘billionaire’ adjective is accurate or not, then I just ask: Why does he keep saying it?
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Provocative thoughts on a grim topic:
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@darkjournalist
@ChrisKMellon
Sometimes information gets siloed in the ivory towers of academia. But not breaking news; if the CIA was doing something illegal in Ukraine, academia wouldn’t be the one breaking that story
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@ChrisKMellon
Even if the UAP issue turns out to be entirely prosaic, it seems social science research of this type (insofar at it concerns how our species, societies, and cultures would respond to near-instant paradigm shifts) would have interdisciplinary value.
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@darkjournalist
You wonder why he wouldn’t ‘debate’ you? Well, ignoring the better question of ‘why would he?,’ lets look at your first claim that he is “send[ing]” me to comment, rather than that I am commenting on my own initiative. Do you have a shred of evidence for that claim? Of course you
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Good morning to you too!
@ChrisKMellon
Your family will forever be known as one of the most evil American dynasties. The amount of suffering you and your family unleashed cannot be overstated.
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@Aviation_Intel
I imagine the J-20 far outperforms anything the Russians have — but still probably way behind the F-22?
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Examining the Status of Religious Liberty in Chinese Law & Society
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@MvonRen
@nicholsonbaker8
@SicCoP1
Yeah but at that point it had gotten to the floor and it was unlikely they were going to go back and revise — I mean yes he may have known of it but I wouldn’t take it for granted that this was his initiative
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A win for a free & open Indo-Pacific
Dramatic reversal: Philippines announces full termination of 6
#BeltandRoad
projects in favor of Japan and Western options.
Why the Philippines is exiting the BRI, by AsiaTimes
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The other article:
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In light of Xi touching down in the U.S. this evening (where he may avail himself of the First Amendment should he choose to!), I am reminded of the contrast between the religious liberty of our Republic and draconian, state-sponsored materialism of theirs, and of my previous
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Unironically true
Biden can still win the zoomer vote if his campaign releases edits like these
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@montanacasey
@ChrisKMellon
@nytimes
That pedantic refrain has become in vogue because its true that if you adopt an extremely narrow and non-colloquial definition of "democracy" that distinction becomes meaningful, but, in general I don't think that framing is terribly insightful because it draws a false dichotomy,
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In Obama's memoir, 'A Promised Land,' Obama recounts how one of his early phone calls with Putin began with Putin engaging in a 45-minute spiel listing his grievances with the West... I wonder how closely that diatribe mirrored Putin's beginning monologue in the Tucker interview.
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@SicCoP1
@MvonRen
@nicholsonbaker8
I have no privileged information on this specifically, but yes generally that is very common in the legislative process. It’s why courts often look to committee reports / floor speeches / hearings rather than the actual text of the statute when trying to figure out what Congress
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Hot Take: Our DHS Secretary should, in fact, be a drone-worrier.
Mayorkas worries about drones while our own government is funding terrorists.
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@MvonRen
@nicholsonbaker8
@SicCoP1
Well to be fair Senators usually work out the bigger picture and the staff write language like this … who knows, but good chance Schumer and/or Rounds wasn’t specifically aware one way or another about this language.
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Seems like perhaps the middle position is correct — Iran as a profoundly malign agent of chaos and disruption but at the same time not the ultimate regional puppet-master is it often made out to be…
Important cautionary observations at this volatile time from former CIA analyst Paul Pillar:
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@ChrisKMellon
Interesting— although I really do take the view that the PRC’s penchant for long-term / strategic thinking has been greatly exaggerated and is perhaps primarily a product of some misguided Orientalism:
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@outsurrection
@ChrisKMellon
A "conspirator," not a "conspiracist," is someone engaged in a conspiracy. If nothing else, Kirkpatrick's verbiage here is grammatically correct.
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@PAngelsfan
@DonaldJTrumpJr
Actually, I’m not a Harvard grad (yet). But DeSantis, Ben Shapiro, Cruz, and many other more significant conservative icons were. So not sure I get your point?
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I don't know here if the underlying claim about Navalny's death (that he died of a blood clot) is actually true, nor do I know how Ukrainian intelligence would be in a position to confidently assess as much anyway. But either way, how can the pro-Putin conspiracy theorists who
The head of a Ukrainian intelligence agency says that Alexei Navalny actually died of a blood clot.
This is a narrative-wrecker for the American media.
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@MillennialEye
Or … they just played to his ego with superficial gestures of this sort without substantive policy concessions. His ego was his weakness, and they saw that and played him.
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@Nathanielilee
@montanacasey
@ChrisKMellon
@nytimes
Importantly, it is also not the distinction the neo-reactionaries are making-- they are well beyond that. They are advocating for a form of enlightened despotism, something approaching the Singapore model (and Thiel has even praised Jiang Zemin's vision for China).
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Can someone explain to me what the deal is with the CENTCOM seal and why the map behind it is so egregious and unnecessarily incorrect?
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@darkjournalist
Repeat below, but insert any one of the claims above.
@darkjournalist
You wonder why he wouldn’t ‘debate’ you? Well, ignoring the better question of ‘why would he?,’ lets look at your first claim that he is “send[ing]” me to comment, rather than that I am commenting on my own initiative. Do you have a shred of evidence for that claim? Of course you
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@Nathanielilee
@montanacasey
@ChrisKMellon
@nytimes
I agree with the distinction you draw between a 'constitutional republic' and what you are calling 'full blown democracies'. I also agree that the difference there is important. That's not why it's pedantic. Rather, it's pedantic because 'democracy' does not refer strictly to
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@eeldenden
Intriguing … but how would command and control work? Seems rife for tensions and dysfunction with different states having divergent interests. Would heads of EU states have veto power over operational decisions? Would they all have a proportionally equal funding and recruitment
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@GaGirlLindsay
Most certainly not the point, although because I understand how it could be misread this way, I would write it very differently to make this more clear were I to write it again.
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If only this coalition could govern itself with the same maturity it is demanding of any new Palestinian Authority.
4. But the Saudis have demands from all of the parties..
They tell President Abbas that his days are numbered & that his corrupt and unpopular rule is a thing of the past. They tell him, the Americans, and the Israelis that they will only lead the rebuilding if there is reform!
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Shameless plug:
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@mattyglesias
Peter Thiel … Curtis Yarvin — some in corporate America are longing for corporate authoritarianism explicitly
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Fascinating insights from Zaluzhny here on both the current strategic posture of the war in Ukraine as well as the nature of modern symmetric warfare in general— Seems, in some domains (ground warfare) we are regressing to a defense-dominated world, while in other domains
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@Linahuaa
Better results for society, or for the ruling class? Seems to be a major conflict of interest there. Also something profoundly sad and dystopian about a State that criminalizes improper political speech but shifts the goalposts on a whim. Is this really something we endorse for
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Regardless of his actual electoral prospects, him and his line of attack merely getting to the debate stage is itself good for the country and for the Republican Party:
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@CuriousNHI
@Nathanielilee
@montanacasey
@ChrisKMellon
@nytimes
And to be clear, I'm also not suggesting this view characterizes vast swaths of the conservative movement, just that it is a dark vision for the country dreamed up by a handful of obscure intellectuals and empowered by a few ultra powerful and highly strategic individuals such as
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Long overdue 👏 🇯🇵🇺🇸
Disappointing timing with the U.S. Steel anti-trust case— hope Biden has smoothed that over with Kishida.
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@tippin_elaina
@RonFilipkowski
The irony is in the contrast between the real Trump and the illustrated Trump that his supporters feel they need to portray him as.
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@CuriousNHI
@Nathanielilee
@montanacasey
@ChrisKMellon
@nytimes
I think that’s a good point and goes pretty far in explaining why otherwise pro-democracy folks like McConnell and others have been so willing to collaborate and fundraise with these types.
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"Speaker Mike Johnson has told his colleagues that he believed a shutdown could provoke an election-year backlash against Republicans."
Probably true, but note how far removed the concern is from the interests of the American people. It would be good for Democrats to force a
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👇
Tons of people competing to put out the absolute worst possible takes today.
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@AidenBuzzetti
@lillycalderon2
@BenZucker5
@Cernovich
Dems, not Republicans, opposed Citizens United. Look it up.
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Ignoring the supplemental claims and in terms of the actual video itself, is there any reason to believe that this footage shows anything other than a cluster of irregularly shaped (Eid?) balloons??
Today we release the RAW footage of a military filmed UAP incursion within a United States joint operations base. This UAP of unknown origin displayed transmedium capability - and has been officially designated by the United States intelligence agencies as a UAP (Unidentified
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@Linahuaa
You’re absolutely right it’s important to the zeitgeist, but another lovely example of how incoherent the party dogma really is
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Will be interesting to see how Paris and Berlin respond.
There is at least one ray of light here: The U.S. has new evidence to bolster its claim — and repudiate French President Emmanuel Macron’s associated disagreement — that China's threats require organized NATO attention.
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“Propaganda of this type is not meant for persuasion — it is not persuasive at all,” Professor Chen said. “It is mainly designed for signaling, in the hope that recipients will get the signal and implement the proper response, which is investment, or resumption of exchanges.”
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@oasisjosh
@ChrisKMellon
Signal was not compromised or hacked in any technical sense. These were just screenshots. Signal does not purport to protect against screenshots. Signal, as far as we know, is secure.
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