Louis Sykes
@haumicharts
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Senior Crypto Analyst @allstarcharts
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All life is fascinating and beautiful when the veil of our routinized thinking lifts, even for a moment.
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Commercial hedgers have returned to net buyers on the Bitcoin CME.
Ever since CME overtook Binance as the largest Bitcoin derivatives marketplace, commercials have nailed the Bitcoin trade.
Will this time be different?
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Bitcoin has a tendency to cool-off after a significant traditional finance launch.
Will the recent Bitcoin spot ETF be the same?
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Bitcoin hasn't been going up because of the "halving".
It's been a story of equity markets and liquidity.
Credit spreads are tightening and equity markets are at all-time highs.
The halving is irrelevant compared to these macro flows.
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All-time highs in Bitcoin and Ethereum open interest on Binance, the largest crypto derivatives exchange in the world.
Notable rises in open interest tend to proceed elevated volatility (in both directions).
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Bitcoin's Net Unrealized Profit/Loss sits in the "belief" zone.
If historical trends are anything to go by, we still have some room to run before hitting the "euphoria" zone.
Data:
@cryptoquant_com
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Stocks are trading near their highs while Bitcoin is still at the lows.
Is there a catchup trade to be had here?
$BTC $QQQ
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Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies (excluding stable coins and wrapped tokens).
This allows us to observe the changes in the market-cap ladder on a weekly basis.
Here are this week's Crypto Power Rankings.
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Equities and crypto are historically correlated.
But they have been inversely correlated in recent times; quite the change in character.
$BTC $QQQ
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The Ethereum/Bitcoin ratio just engulfed the prior three days as it failed to hold its breakdown.
$ETHBTC
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While Solana is still in a 30% drawdown from all-time highs, the market-cap of Solana hit a new all-time high.
It's up from $3B at the bear market low to $80B.
$SOL
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