Linus
@harbington
Followers
2,681
Following
0
Media
3,281
Statuses
10,553
Posts are my opinion • Not selling any products or services • Manage your own risk • Not financial advice • Allocate responsibly
Joined September 2018
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
Explore trending content on Musk Viewer
Colombia
• 411841 Tweets
Panamá
• 143123 Tweets
Seleção
• 105542 Tweets
FURIA ES GH
• 83627 Tweets
新紙幣発行
• 72682 Tweets
#loveislandusa
• 63506 Tweets
Vinicius
• 61161 Tweets
Borré
• 51323 Tweets
Raphinha
• 47883 Tweets
Muñoz
• 45838 Tweets
Yepes
• 43985 Tweets
渋沢栄一
• 42304 Tweets
Dorival
• 35314 Tweets
#CopaAmérica2024
• 33731 Tweets
Davinson
• 30180 Tweets
Lorenzo
• 26997 Tweets
James Rodriguez
• 26085 Tweets
Kordell
• 22941 Tweets
Uruguai
• 22357 Tweets
Endrick
• 22300 Tweets
Andreas
• 22280 Tweets
Alisson
• 18550 Tweets
Didi
• 18462 Tweets
Rodrygo
• 17169 Tweets
Richard Rios
• 13657 Tweets
Vini Jr
• 13165 Tweets
Danilo
• 10332 Tweets
Borja
• 10113 Tweets
Pinned Tweet
Here is the state of the crypto market as it stands:
• The entire sector was front-run in October 2023. As a result of this front-run breaking decisively past 53k, it looks like the capitulation was invalidated as of early March 2024.
• Stablecoins are the only thing making
4
3
27
@AMAZlNGNATURE
The alligator is the one that will see you later
The crocodile is the one that will see you in a while
196
646
24K
~41k target reached✅
MTF setup is now complete.
PA can still shuffle around in this general region for another 6-8 weeks or so (MTF consolidation).
After that, the next target is technically 13.2k ± 2k (approx). My orders are still set around 11.9k.
48
38
168
Basically BTC's 2 options for capitulation.
If not sub-10k by mid-August, then target would change to ~11k until November.
If no capitulation by November, then it probably won't capitulate at all.
November 2022 dump was NOT capitulation volume.
44
29
126
@weirddalle
I think there was an episode like this on The Office
People wanted to work without a boss, so Dwight was made boss
It's called a power vacuum
3
0
100
@OrwellNGoode
He didn't exactly tell a joke. He was feeding a donkey some figs and he literally died from laughing at it.
1
0
87
⚠️BTC is now ready for an aggressive capitulation.
Main target is around 9.7-13.5k region (approx), w/ some additional buffer room.
Most of my orders are around 10.9k.
Good luck & stay safe.
12
13
69
Bull Trap 🡆 Capitulation 🡆 Sideways for about a year 🡆 Up Only for about a year
That's what it's looking like so far IMO. Will attempt to update as the chart develops.
🗒️Note: Targets may shift around a bit, based on developing information on the charts.
13
10
61
BTC capitulation setup still valid
Target 13.2k ± 2k (approx)
My orders are still set around 11.9k
HTF consolidation above ~41k could invalidate this setup, but there's a ton of resistance there
TA (e.g. resistance) is meaningless if supply is controlled (stablecoin printing)
10
9
64
Looks like $BTC may be attempting to render a falling wedge (bullish) on the HTF.
But its target would only be ~32k.
After that, it would be time to break the key support.
#Bitcoin
11
10
61
Still the plan, so far.
Trying to keep it simple & balance risk.
Dates are not meant to be exact. Plan flexible & subject to change. I'll provide updates if there are any developments.
3
10
59
Just wanted to take a minute to say thanks to all of you who repost/recommend my account
I try not to respond/react to your reposts, though, because that's for your audience to decide, & I don't interfere w/ that out of respect
But just know that I see it & I appreciate it!
🙏
2
0
57
MM still has control over MTF & HTF (as of this post)
As long as MM has control of supply, there is NO TA
BUT, if MM relinquishes control from here & stops printing stablecoins, then this is the TA.
My orders are still around 11.9k just in case.
5
8
52
$eRSDL
Target: $30.36
Potential: 175X
🗒️Note: These are *potential* targets, NOT predictions.
Higher potential of scaling = higher risk of not being reached. That's how risk/reward works.
Also, there's no rule against targets having potential to be surpassed.
0
0
6
10
6
55
Something like this is absolutely still in the cards, folks
Beware any rallies before the next halving cycle, they are NOT to be trusted IMO
6
7
51
When evaluating an alt's bull rally target, always look for points of confluence within its market structures
This can help plot a visualization of the market's R/R boundaries, which can be used to mitigate the risk of buying too late or selling too soon.
9
11
51
@WatcherGuru
Wyoming & Nevada are the best states for opening LLCs & trusts IMO.
Looks like they're getting even better, good to know.
1
3
47
@DEADLINE
There's already a live-action Paprika. Chris Nolan copied it for his movie Inception:
1
3
50
Setup still the same.
Only update is that the timeline is now a bit more drawn-out.
As a result, capitulation target has shifted to 11.5k ± 2k (approx).
R/R is now slightly worse. If no capitulation by end of November, then R/R would be bad enough to walk away from crypto.
Looks like $BTC may be attempting to render a falling wedge (bullish) on the HTF.
But its target would only be ~32k.
After that, it would be time to break the key support.
#Bitcoin
11
10
61
8
10
50
~53.2k level is a significant barrier🚧
Key support is still a magnet🧲 which, if reached, is due to BREAK
You follow me for my analysis, that's my analysis.
2
7
49
Capitulation to ~12k is absolutely still in the cards
If reached, then it could render a strong bullish divergence on the monthly & setup for new ATHs in 2025
This is just a FOMO rally & the bear market is not over yet IMO
2
8
49
@WallStreetSilv
Those are typical Bodega prices in NYC
Bodegas are virtually everywhere, they have higher prices than supermarkets bc you're paying for the convenience.
6
0
47
My buy orders are now set b/t 9.9-10.8k.
Anything below ~9.9k would make it the most aggressive capitulation in BTC history (based on market structure).
🗒️Note: The lower the orders are set w/in the 8.8-13.5k capitulation target range, the higher the risk of missing the bottom.
11
16
43
BTC still back-testing HTF resistance
Failure to break through can result in testing the bottom of its cycle's market structure, possibly even below (12-15k region approx)
7
10
44
BTC is rendering conditions for an extremely aggressive capitulation.
Its target is technically 9.7-13.5k.
However, sub-9.7k is still technically possible.
It's not where I have my orders set up, but it's still possible.
Anything below 13.5k is a buy signal & knife catch IMO.
5
12
42
A capitulation from here this cycle could be the last time BTC goes below 10k
Next bear market target (so far) is ~17.5k
Nowhere near enough resolution on the chart yet to know for sure, though
One cycle at a time
3
15
41
The bulls who were calling "bottom is in" at 42k, are now telling me that I missed the bottom at 15k
Only on crypto X
2
9
40
BTC is VERY close to having HTF breakout conditions
Should be ready for a HTF breakout to start in another 1-2 weeks
Most passive scenario would be price decay into this 3rd box & then below
That is, if there's no external interference i.e. stablecoin printing etc.
9
8
40
BOOM, there's the drop (well, most of it anyway)
Most passive scenario from here is still to fill out the rest of the triangle.
Could still see a drop to ~27k out of nowhere, followed by a bit more consolidation.
Delay tactics have pushed the triangle out a bit, which is not a big deal (shifting targets is normal for LTF).
Everything else is still on track. This would still be the most passive scenario.
1
2
14
7
4
40
Target of iH&S is ~41k. Almost there.
2
2
40
BTC has not tested the bottom of its macro market structure yet this cycle
A rally from here without having done that would basically be front-running the entire space
After November, the capitulation target will change to 13.2k ± 2k (approx)
My orders are open around 11.9k
4
1
39
@CryptoCapo_
What about this?
$BTC
#Bitcoin
11
2
35
BTC has NO REASON to be above 25k after this week
There is NO liquidity left
There is NO setup
There is NO buy/sell wall
If BTC is still above 25k after this week, then there will be NOTHING LEFT to post about
THERE IS NOTHING HERE
2
4
39
Still anticipating a capitulation, folks
Unfortunately there's not enough resolution on the chart to tell exactly where price would land, but target is somewhere around 9.7-13.5k region, w/ buffer room on either side.
Crypto 𝕏 was laughing at me last week; now they're nervous.
0
9
39
I suspect that one of the ulterior motives for this pump, is to prepare for a legitimate bank run on Binance
If Binance shut down when BTC was at ~25k, then BTC would've plummeted to sub-6k & would have been unrecoverable
This pump could be an effort to raise the target to ~12k
5
6
37
@WallStreetSilv
Myocarditis/pericarditis can be caused by ANY infection, not just vaccines.
In the case of vaccines, it's a response to the antigen being produced; it's part of the immunological process.
Once the mRNA is spent, it's gone. There's no further trigger for myocarditis after that.
12
0
39
Folks, I was able to see this entire rally before it happened, and that was based solely on my momentum indicators.
I got this entire move right, and nobody bats an eye.
Now I'm seeing potential for an aggressive capitulation to happen next, and everybody loses their minds.
Key support not reached yet, due sometime around October.
Followed by mini rally to ~30k, due sometime next Spring.
Key support would be good DCA opportunity IMO, but keep in mind, that support is due to eventually break.
$BTC
#Bitcoin
1
7
22
9
4
38
This is not real demand, this is the market maker waiting for sell walls to dissolve before injecting new liquidity
After the pump, the market just chews on it, nothing else
Artificial demand means technicals don't really apply; bulls are completely misreading this market
4
10
38
If no capitulation this cycle, then technicals will be off the table
Market structures will be meaningless
Buy/sell walls will be meaningless
Liquidity levels will be meaningless
Technicals will be meaningless if they're just going to shovel stablecoins into the space.
2
9
38
HTF setup still looks something like this.
If BTC capitulates, then the key support would be due to act as resistance for about a year afterward.
After that, BTC would finally be due for an "up-only" rally to ~110k ± 15k.
Capitulation target ~11.5k ± 2k expires late November.
6
15
36
It's looking like the capitulation is getting invalidated
As I've stated several times over the past year, this means BTC is now a horrible R/R IMO.
Technicals don't apply if they're just going to shovel stablecoins into the space like this.
MM has 100% control over the HTF.
8
7
38
The entire objective of BTC's halving cycles is to break below its current cycle's key support & establish its next cycle's key support:
1
6
37
"Meme coins are stupid"
No, utility coins are stupid
At least meme coins are honest about being useless
4
4
38
~27k target reached!🥳
For a minute there, I thought the FOMO rally had ended early. Turned out to be just a deviation.
From here, price action will need to hover around this level for about 6-8 weeks.
After that, BTC will be ready for another 2020-like capitulation.
GM
~27k is still a magnet🧲
There are technically targets as high as ~29k, but there is no urgency for that level to get reached during this FOMO rally.
Based on yesterday’s price action, it’s looking more like the price may top out closer to 27k than 29k. We'll see.
0
5
23
9
6
34
@ToniGhinea
Agreed, this close to the halving is the worst time to FOMO
If market is in control, then a capitulation is due in about 3-4 months
If MM is in control, then R/R is gone
5
4
34
Setup still the same.
Capitulation target 8.8k ± 1k (approx).
If no capitulation, then R/R in crypto would be horrible.
Looks like $BTC may be attempting to render a falling wedge (bullish) on the HTF.
But its target would only be ~32k.
After that, it would be time to break the key support.
#Bitcoin
11
10
61
5
4
34
Now that everyone is posting "dips are for buying," BTC is not going to stop dipping until ~12k
That's my hot take🔥
4
6
36
❗️Once BTC breaks below 25k, the herd will get very scared
PA will NOT be rational when the herd is scared
Therefore, there's no telling where the bounces & re-tests will be on the way down
All I know is the final target, which is 9.7-13.5k approx.
My orders are around 10.9k.
3
9
34
Setup still the same.
3 more steps I'm watching out for:
➊ Tap liquidity around 31.6k (optional),
➋ HTF consolidation below 25k (to invalidate ~41k target), and
➌ Break below key support (capitulation target ~9.75k until early August, then ~11k after that).
4
7
35
BTC still back-testing major resistance
Something like this is still in the cards
1
5
34
BTC capitulation setup still valid
Target 13.2k ± 2k (approx), my orders are still around 11.9k
If no capitulation by ~end of April, then R/R for BTC will be lousy IMO
I would still see decent R/R for some other crypto in that event, though. Those setups are still pending.
In the event of ~53.2k getting reached, PA will then be due to re-test the covert invH&S neckline again, which should coincide w/ the key support
If that happens before the end of this cycle, then the key support is due to BREAK
Chart has conditions for this setup to happen:
3
5
24
4
4
33
There's nothing to post about🤷♂️
The only reason prices are going up is because stablecoins are being printed, it’s not real market demand
4
3
35
After this week, I will have nothing to post about if BTC is still above 25k
There is NO setup on LTF
There is NO liquidity
There is NO buy/sell wall on HTF
There is NO reason for BTC to be above 25k
There is NOTHING here
5
4
34
Some bulls on CT are finally warming up to the idea that BTC might have a correction soon
They're posting targets like 27k, 25k, 20k, 19k.
None of those targets are at the bottom of the new cycle's market structure, though.
That target is currently around 13.5k.
Still decent R/R for next cycle, IF BTC capitulates this cycle.
Capitulation target 11.5k ± 2k (approx), which is due to expire around late November if not reached by then.
3
6
19
6
5
33
My analysis is very simple
BTC is due to break below its current cycle's key support & discover a new one before the halving.
If it doesn't, then BTC beta isn't anything that one couldn't already get from stocks, which would mean R/R for BTC would be horrible.
Simple.
3
8
32
This is NOT a recovery pump IMO
This is more stablecoin printing, i.e. artificial liquidity entering the market
MTF is hijacked, but not HTF
Capitulation setup still intact, target 13.2k ± 2k (approx), expires end of March 2024
1
0
35
Every single rally since 2017, including this one, has been driven by stablecoins, and NOT real market demand.
MM not only has control of supply, but they have the conditions to maintain that control for the next 3-4 months if they wanted to.
That means this rally can turn into
6
5
34
Setup is still the same
PA due to chop sideways for about another 2 weeks or so, approximately w/in the vicinity of this box (not exact)
After that, next target is key support
1
3
34
Is it just back-testing the rising wedge?
Could it be that simple?
3
4
32
Oh, hello price action. Back so soon?
Are you now ready to shuffle around in the vicinity of this box for the next 2 weeks or so, then plummet to key support?
Wow, that was a quick trip to ~28.3k. Who would've guessed that you'd be back so soon?
All remaining liquidity is b/t 26.4k & 28.3k (approx)
~26.4k looks adequately challenged; now PA is ready to reach ~28.3k next IMO
Hurry up, bulls. Get it done and over with.
1
2
26
2
6
33
I'm putting a fuse on it, folks
1 more week, then BTC should be ready to start its capitulation
💣
2
6
31
A drop to sub-25k from these levels could be the catalyst for BTC to cascade into an aggressive capitulation from there to sub-10k in a relatively short amount of time (weeks).
BTC rarely has a window of opportunity like this, perhaps about once every 4 years.
8
7
32
Quite the bearish divergence forming on the daily.
And the weekly. And the 3D.
2
4
29
Just so you know, I was also able to call the March 2020 drop before it happened, too:
Visual of the "bear window."
Several indicators pointing to a brief window of opportunity for bears to reach 5200 by end of March.
Excerpted from my latest blog post. See link in my twitter profile above for more info & instant access to the latest information.
$BTC
#Bitcoin
0
2
12
7
3
32
This week could be the last of the stablecoin printing & artificial strength, or close to it
Any rallying above this level and the space is likely hijacked, and the focus will then turn to ordinals & tokens, for money rotation
Otherwise ~12k still in play
6
8
30
Shibavax has a solid market structure with a target at $1.00, which is actually looking more likely so far IMO.
If AVAX can reach $1400, then only 3% of that market cap would be required for SHIBX to reach its $1.00 target. Realistic?
5
12
29
Theory:
➊ Aggressive capitulation before the halving, to test bottom of market structure
➋ Recovery followed by largely sideways consolidation for about a year
➌ ~3 months of bull market halving rally, much shorter & more abbreviated than past halving rallies
5
7
31
BTC's covert H&S was invalidated back in March this year, but the crypto total market's covert H&S was never invalidated.
Its target is ~320B.
1
4
31
MM still has complete control of the HTF
Technicals are no longer applicable, i.e. indicators & market structures can no longer be used to manage risk
This is technically the beginning of a very early monthly breakout, no telling if it will follow through or where it will end
6
4
32
Frequently Asked Questions:
🅠 What makes you so sure that BTC will capitulate?
🅐 I'm not. My claim is that the setup is there, and if BTC doesn't capitulate, then R/R in crypto will be worse than that of stocks.
🅠 What would cause such a drop?
🅐 It doesn't matter. The
7
5
31
Market has taken back control of MTF from MM
MM still vying for control of HTF
If MM can’t control HTF, then this is the TA
My orders are still around 11.9k
8
9
31
I might allocate 5-10% of my portfolio to SOL if it reaches its capitulation target (~3.30)
So far, it looks like it's due to re-test its ATH region again next cycle.
I'll try to follow-up on this if there are any updates or developments.
2
5
31
Well I guess my 12k target got reached✅️
some guy got filled on old limit orders at $10,000 BTC on bitmex and is currently euphoric
431
375
7K
4
4
30