EurovisionBets&Pieces
@eurovisionbets
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🎤 Eurovision Analyst/ Market Expert 🎧 Host Eurovision Analytics @TalkAboutESC Podcast with @Panos_Zannettos and @mat_rickard January '24
Joined March 2019
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Pinned Tweet
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: There's no Going Back! (Meow)
And it is here!!!! My preview for tonight!!!
Sretno Hrvatska!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
7
1
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🇭🇷 Mark my words, Croatia will get 200+ Jury points...
Winner vibes
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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826
Yesterday night was like the end of an era in Eurovision.
Melfest with the app hiccups and San Remo sending another contender for third year in a row.
Italy is the new powerhouse for the years to come...
#Eurovision
#Melfest
#Sanremo2022
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Eurovision Facts: Final Televoting Data
The last time that 🇸🇪 has received 12pts in 📞 from a country that was not Nordic was back in 2015...
They have only received 10pts 4 times (2 🇵🇱, 1 🇪🇪, 1 🇱🇹)
In 2022 they have not received any 12s at all...
#Eurovision2023
#eurovision
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Eurovision Facts: 🇩🇪
The last Televote point that 🇩🇪 received was in 2018...
#Eurovision
#esc2022
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🇵🇹 If you are looking for a Jury 'surprise' Top-5 entry, look no more!! Iolanda is the answer!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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🇺🇦 and 🇳🇱 we will always be grateful to you for your services!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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🇬🇧 the best performance from Olly the night that he needed it most!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
0
3
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This is by far the most uninspiring/depressing day of Eurovision rehearsals since the beginning of the internet coverage.
@EBU_HQ
is shooting their legs with the media coverage choices that they have made this year...
#EUROVISION
5
2
31
Some thoughts about the rehearsal clips
🇨🇾 looks fine. Enough to Q
🇷🇸 the worst camerawork so far. Still on my NQ list.
🇱🇹 OK
🇮🇪 safe Q
🇺🇦 best staging of the year
🇵🇱 unlike most, I like staging and concept. Q
🇭🇷 still needs to tighten camerawork
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
1/
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2
28
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Stefania, hold me closer and get ready for a 'ryde...
It's here! Enjoy and good luck with your bets!
#EUROVISION
#BettingTips
3
6
23
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Down to the River, Biti-Biti-Biti Zdrava!
It's here! My post for tonight's Semi-Final!
Best of luck with your bets tonight and let's have a great show!
#Eurovision
#EUROVISION
#bettingtips
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Jokes aside, 🇳🇱 seems to be doing the same "mistake/miscalculation" 🇫🇮 did last year.
Going all in for the PV vote and gamble to take as many J pts possible from hype alone.
Could the Jurors forget the first 2 mins and award 🇳🇱 for the last 30 secs?
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
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I think we are looking at the potential Jury winner.
The staging looks spectacular. Lots of energy there as well.
Don't think it will struggle that much with Pv as some people imply.
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
5
1
24
Been laying 🇧🇪 since the pre-parties.
Mentioned since its release that could do a Sennek and 🇧🇪 delivered!
#Eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
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January '24 👀👀👀
New Podcast is coming to town...
TalkAboutThings
With
@Panos_Zannettos
and
@mat_rickard
All the Eurovision analytics you need to know for
#Eurovision2024
To new beginnings🍾
Stay tunned...
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1
24
Regarding last night, what was made clear is that so far is 🇸🇪's to lose and 🇫🇮 should not be considered as a contender. I am not sure they can get 300📞pts, but I'm sure they will struggle to get 100 J pts.
#Eurovision2023
#Eurovision
3
3
23
For those that are surprised with 🇱🇹 result, their previous results in EJ are
'23 33rd - 13p
'22 23rd - 97p
'21 15th - 60p
the Jury results in ESC
'23 11th - 81p
'22 18th - 35p
'21 14th - 55p
The worse EJ result gave them the best ESC J result...
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
🇱🇹 34th place brings us the first country scoring 8 points. Silvester Belt from Lithuania received 5 points from 🇪🇪 Estonia and 3 points from 🇮🇹 Italy in
#Eurojury
2024.
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Eurovision Grand Final Facts!
For the first in Eurovision history all 5 countries performing in slots
#1
-
#5
finished in the left hand side of the scoreboard!
#EUROVISION
#eurovision2024
1
1
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Breaking the Winner's Code...
Breaking the Winner's Code...
A deep dive analysis on the Contenders, the default winners, and the wannabe contenders!
I know that this one will be a divisive one...
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
7
1
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Half of you got it right!
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: The Swedish Way
and my updated book with all bets for the season
Good luck with all your bets!
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2023
#bettingtwitter
5
1
21
It's here!
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Diamond in the rough
Enjoy the reading and find my updated book here as well
#Eurovision
#EUROVISION2023
#bettingtwitter
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21
In other news, my Online Media Accreditation application for Eurovision has been accepted by EBU!!!
🍾🍾🍾🍹🍹🍹🍺🍺🍺😁😁😁
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
0
0
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Give me a few minutes to realise what happened!!!
My biggest win ever by far in Eurovision!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: The Tipping Point?...
And it is here! My Semi-Final 1 Analysis and my Betting tips for tonight.
Best of luck to you all!
#EUROVISION
#Eurovision
#BettingTips
4
1
21
This have probably been y the craziest 24hrs in Eurovision history.
The Eurovision historians will treat it like that in the future.
I hope this will not be the final edition as well...
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
3
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1 unpopular opinion about each of the Top-5 countries in Winner's market
🇨🇭 will beat 🇮🇹 in 📞
🇭🇷 will get 175-225 J pts
🇳🇱 will beat 🇸🇪 in Js
🇬🇷 will beat 🇮🇹 in 📞
🇮🇱 will beat 🇺🇦 in 📞
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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1
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The Post that you have been waiting for!
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: The clash of the Nordics
and my book updated as well
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2023
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: You Will Never Walk Alone!:
Taking a look at the field of 2023.
The different winning paths for the favourites and observing their vulnerabilities...
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2023
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One of the most iconic photos we have ever seen from rehearsals.
Don't know about the outcome or if and how it comes across the TV feed but this is beauty!!!
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
Que pena que un sector de Europa no le vote por su vestimenta
Pero luchará por ganar igualmente
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Crown Rim Tim Tagi Dim!
Better late than never!!! My Predictions for tonight and of course my betting tips!
Good luck with your bets!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
#Betting
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I think that Malta will somehow pay the price for what they did it tonight...
Be it a comment on Saturday night from the commentators, a word with the Jurors...
Karma is a bitch...
#EUROVISION
#OpenUp
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: We Got Game!
My Rankings for SF and my Betting tips for tonight!!! Enjoy!
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🇮🇹 messed up the '22 edition with a kinetic sun that was not very kinetic and messed the '24 edition with a leaked PV result that was not meant to be published...
It is safe to assume now that we are not heading back to 🇮🇹 for the '25 edition...
#Eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
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1
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🇧🇪 could be the deciding factor for the Winner this year.
If they NQ, then a fair amount of J pts could move to 🇨🇭🇫🇷 🇳🇱 and open some space for the other contenders to move up.
If they Q, it could cost the win to 🇨🇭 or 🇳🇱 taking 25-40p from them
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
🇧🇪 The
#Eurojury
2024 juries have given 4th place to Belgium. Mustii with "Before The Party's Over" scored 189 points across 31 of the 45 juries, this included 12 points from 🇩🇰 Denmark and 🇨🇭 Switzerland.
17
12
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🇪🇦 in comparison to 🇨🇵 this is a true artistic expression of a traditional music style. Juries will love it. Top-2 with them.
Remains to be seen if viewers will get on board as well
#Eurovision
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@euro_bruno
I think that this was the juror that used the votes to neutralize competition to guarantee the win in SF
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🇮🇸 shot their legs tonight with their decision, but this is what happens when there is a forced narrative that we have no evidence how strong it is and is tested in a small country...
#Songvakeppnin2024
#Eurovision2024
0
2
16
All that time we were saying that Switzerland and France don't want each other in the same half because they are fishing in the same pond.
If I were France, right now, I would want Switzerland as close to my entry as possible...
#Eurovision
0
1
15
The only reason why the producers' order has been introduced this year is that as of next year there will be a 4th option as well...
- 1st half
-2nd half
-Producers' order
- 🇸🇪 decides their RO by themselves...
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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🇧🇪 keeps delivering a masterclass of how not to stage your entry.
Instead of toning down the aggressiveness they are doing the opposite...
Who will vote for this? Genuine question
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
🇧🇪 Some more pics from Mustii's first
#Eurovision
rehearsal!
[📸 Corinne Cumming & Sarah Louise Bennett / EBU]
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13
1
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Having 🇦🇹 opening the GF means that they definitely did not win the SF.
🇸🇮 or 🇦🇲 did!
#Eurovision
#EUROVISION2023
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1
14
So happy with the result but even happier with my analysis of the Final.
🇭🇷🇨🇭 my 2 picks from the beginning of the season.
This is my contender's breakdown in early April
and the GF analysis
#EUROVISION
#EUROVISION2024
1/
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: The last post before everything goes back to zero:
Happy to see all 7 countries included in my 3 Tiers in my post a month ago to currently lead the market!
Even the tiers are aligned in odds!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
2
1
15
Yeeeeeeeeees!!!
🇦🇱 NQ ✅
🇮🇸 Q ✅
🇦🇹 NQ ✅
🇬🇷 SF Winner open!
9/10 correct!
#Eurovision
#EUROVISION
2
0
15
SF-2 thoughts
🇲🇹 NQ till the end of time
🇦🇱 Borderline NQ. Lacks energy
🇬🇷 OK but basic
🇨🇭 Jury winner vibes but a bit chaotic
🇨🇿 NQ but nice staging
🇦🇹 better than expected. Borderline Q
🇩🇰 leaning to hopeless NQ
🇦🇲 sailing to F
🇱🇻 NQ
1/
#EUROVISION
#eurovision2024
1
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14
Having seen the full rehearsal of Marcus & Martinus' "Unforgettable" , I can say that this is one of the most impressive stagings we have seen but the song itself is so lightweight and soulless that feels like a parody.
If in Eurovision, will be Ingrosso 2.0 score
#eurovision
2
0
13
Thoughts about Big-5 + 🇸🇪
🇬🇧 one of the best stagings ever. The choreo though too much about a family show. Olly's vocals shaky. J Top-10 possible
🇩🇪 Full circle to go back to Last Place contender where it was 2 months ago
🇸🇪 slick as always.
#EUROVISION
#eurovision2024
1/
5
0
14
The mobile phones in the arena going up and down during the Baby Lasagna dance says it all...
Crown Rim Tim Tagi Dim!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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4. 🇮🇪 wow!!! This is a watching experience!
Bambie lost their breath in the last part!
The Crown the Witch in the end is spectacular.
🇮🇪 sailing to the Final
#eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
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My thoughts for SF2 before the real thing starts
Top-3
🇦🇺🇸🇮🇦🇲
Secured Q
🇧🇪🇵🇱🇦🇹🇱🇹🇨🇾
Borderline Q
🇬🇪🇩🇰
Borderline NQ
🇬🇷🇪🇪
Don't stand a chance
🇦🇱🇸🇲🇷🇴🇮🇸
🇬🇷 has enough allies to make the cut though
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2023
3
0
13
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: The Dark Horses Market and my pre EuroJury/Rehears...
Let's see how this post will age...
#Eurovision2022
#Eurovision
#betting
3
0
12
Not here to spoil the party but Loreen fails to connect with the audience and the song ends being repetitive.
Jury winner in May? Probably yes! TV Top-3/4 I doubt it...
#Melodifestivalen2023
#Eurovision
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🇮🇸 OK but hopeless
🇸🇮 has moved to my 100% NQ list. Even 🇨🇾 has a darker stage...
🇫🇮 OK
🇲🇩 has moved to NQ but with a chance list. Great backdrops
🇦🇿 still NQ there
🇦🇺 has not escaped NQ for the moment
🇵🇹 the "winner" of the day and 🇷🇸's nail in the coffin
🇱🇺 lacks energy but Q
0
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Know your Numbers 2024 Edition - The one post to rule them (numbers) all!:
Is there a process to find your winner?
Were you missing a long read about ESC stats?
I got you covered!!!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision2024
0
2
13
If Baby Lasagna loses somehow tonight, EBU should ban Croatia from Eurovision forever...
#dora2024
#Eurovision2024
0
2
13
Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Buonasera Signore e Signori!
It's finally here!! My post for the Final! Enjoy and spread the love!
#Eurovision
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13
@mat_rickard
@escbetting
@TvtipsUk
@VVeedla
Looking forward for the 15.45-16.00 CET zeitgeist and cannot wait to read the 16.00-16.15 CET zeitgeist that will be followed by the 16.15-16.30 CET zeitgeist...
3
0
13
It took 19 seconds of a clip that is not even tv feed for people to decide that 🇫🇮 is winning and that 3.70 is a fair price...
I guess the 🇫🇮 backers believe that 🇫🇮 will be leading the Jury voting as well...
#Eurovision
6
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🇨🇭is the Jury winner!!! Nemo was strong as always!!! Crowd loves him as well!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
1
1
13
So Greece! Another experimental not traditional entry for this year's lineup.
🎲 blends nicely the traditional sounds with rap.
Not sure if Juries will like this one or how the international public will take it, but I do like it.
Not a winner of course!
#eurovision2024
1
0
13
The Eurovision odds' madness is finally back!
It doesn't matter if you like or dislike 🇨🇵🇫🇮🇸🇪 etc.
At least there is a market reaction/overreaction that was missed so much last year...
#Eurovision2023
#EUROVISION
0
0
13
Armenia just gave me goosebumps! Lovely dance break add by the end!
#Eurovision2023
#Eurovision
0
0
12
I know that
@TheEuroJury
is the closest simulation we have for the Jury vote, however having Juries with 1-2 members is counter-productive.
I would be very cautious with this year's results...
#Eurovision
#ESC2022
3
1
11
And our first podcast is now available!
I am sure you will enjoy it!!!
Many thanks to my co-hosts
@mat_rickard
and
@Panos_Zannettos
!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
'Talk About Things', THE Expert Analysis Podcast where we delve into the world of Eurovision songs, analysing/exploring their stories, culture, emotions, impact & chances! Your hosts are long-time analysts
@mat_rickard
,
@Panos_Zannettos
&
@eurovisionbets
.
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0
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Can you double your money in Eurovision only making 3/12 correct calls?
Yes, you can! Just updated my book for 2023
Eurovision 2023 Total Investment: 1085.6 Units
Eurovision 2023 Total Returns: 2098.6 Units
ROI: +93.3%
#eurovision
#eurovision2023
1
0
12
Eurovision Facts: Grand Final Big-5 (50/50 split results '14-'21)
Average 📞 points
🇮🇹 208.6
🇫🇷 78.9
🇩🇪 26.4
🇪🇸 22.6
🇬🇧 11.3...
#Eurovision2022
#EUROVISION
#ESC2022
0
1
12
Sofia Coll: Here to Stay
The Spanish version of La Zarra. The choreo feels amateurish and the styling is kitchy.
She is shaky to be polite.
This is a guaranteed Bottom-3 if it reaches Eurovision...
#BenidormFest
#BenidormFest2024
#Eurovision
3
0
12
SF-1 Betting results
🇦🇹 Lay @ 2.00 x 25 un ✅
🇦🇱 NQ @ 4.50 x 30 un✅
🇮🇸 Q @ 2.62 x 35 un ✅
🇬🇷 SF Winner @ 4.80 x 10 un (open)
Units invested: 100
Settled bets: 276.7 un (+176.7)
#Eurovision
#BettingTips
0
0
12
Politics have always been a part of Eurovision throughout the years and EBU did choose sides occasionally.
Now it's time to pay the price.
What 🇮🇸 has done is the best way to go round the rules and be political without a political entry.
Symbolism at its best!
#Eurovision
0
1
12
🇬🇧 EJ thought that the question was 'Name 2 or 3 entries that will not be in anyone else's Top-3'...
#Eurovision2024
#eurovision
#Eurojury
3
0
12
The thread for SF1 Dress Rehearsal
1. 🇨🇾 nice use of the dark background to highlight the innocence and youth of Silia.
Sailing to the Final
#EUROVISION
#eurovision2024
2
0
11
The journey continues...
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
🇭🇷 Here are some more pictures of Baby Lasagna's second
#Eurovision
rehearsal!
[📸 Alma Bengtsson & Sarah Louise Bennett / EBU]
1
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231
1
0
12
Perfection! Rock n Folk with a twist!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
0
1
12
Marina's best performance by far the night that it mattered!!!
Go Greece
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
0
0
12
Eurovision 2023: Semi - Final 2 Pre-Rehearsal Power Rankings
Where the hell is Edgar?...
#Eurovision2023
#Eurovision
0
0
12
Being already half way in Eurojury results, we haven't seen anything that we were not expecting so far.
🇨🇭🇨🇵🇧🇪🇮🇹 doing well
🇭🇷 overperforming in a subtle way
🇳🇱 where they meant to be
🇺🇦 🇱🇹 the underperformed.
But then you realise is just EJ...
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
4
1
12
Wow what do we have here? Croatia landsliding the Audience poll...
More than double percentage from Ireland...
#EUROVISION
#Eurovision2024
Over 3000 votes here at the Malmö Arena tonight at the
#eurovision
Audience Poll!
Thanks to
@ESCinsight
,
@EuroTripPodcast
,
@escxtra
,
@12PointsUSA
,
@ThatEuroSite
and Melodifestivalklubben!
How many qualifiers will the audience poll get this year?
1
17
81
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11
🇮🇸 currently trading at 1000 in Winner's market has £51k volume out of the £952k in total...
Money well spent back in January and early February...🤠🤠🤠
#eurovision2024
#Eurovision
1
1
10
🇸🇲 Possible shocker Q
🇬🇪 sailing to the Final
🇧🇪 My shocker NQ
🇪🇪 Borderline Q
🇮🇱 SF Top-3
🇳🇴 Q but underwhelming
🇳🇱 Still SF winner
Things are still open with only 🇲🇹 🇨🇿 100% out.
🇩🇰 🇱🇻 moving down to the grey NQ area
The rest are game on!
#EUROVISION
#eurovision2024
0
0
11
🇮🇱 Eden a bit shaky towards the end. Booing was heard throughout the performance and especially in the beginning.
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
0
0
11
9/10 Qs tonight and 19/20 in Total. Not bad at all!
Looking forward for Saturday!
#Eurovision
#EUROVISION2023
0
0
11
eurovision Facts
We just had the First Winner that failed to finish in Top-3 with one of the 2 constituencies!
Italy J:4th - TV: 1st!!!
#Eurovision2021
#EUROVISION
1
1
10
Tell me there is a negative bias towards women representing 🇮🇹 in Eurovision without telling me there is a bias...
#eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
🔴🔎📞Televoto (11-24):
#Eurovision
356 🇮🇹Grande Amore
318 🇮🇹Zitti E Buoni
253 🇮🇹Soldi
249 🇮🇹Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente
208 🇮🇹Occidentali's Karma
174 🇮🇹Due Vite
110 🇮🇹Brividi
104 🇮🇹La Noia
99 🇮🇹Madness Of Love
56 🇮🇹L'Amore È Femmina
34 🇮🇹No Degree Of Separation
22 🇮🇹La Mia Città
20
54
719
2
0
11
Expecting 🇮🇱 to be thrown at
#3
-
#5
a la Russia '19, Malta '21.
It only took one 'mistake' /accident to set the market on fire...
#Eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
6
0
11
🇮🇪 Juries should reward Bambie for the show she is delivering and the staging. A case study how Juries will take this one.
#Eurovision2024
#EUROVISION
3
0
11
Marina Satti is a great choice in paper for Greece. An modern artist that uses traditional/folk elements in her music that could appreciated both by Juries and the Greek diaspora/viewers!
#Eurovision
#eurovisiongreece
#eurovision2024
0
1
11
Happy for 🇨🇿 as well! The staging is one of the most effectives of the SF!
Colours and message about female power and not against Russia. Smart move
A serious Top-10 contender again!
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2023
0
0
11
The fact that 🇦🇹 entry was leaked weeks ago but when the time for the official release came, they don't have the music video made yet and they released the song to the wrong Spotify account is pure comedy!
#Eurovision2024
#Eurovision
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: Eurovision 2024: The First Impression: Switzerland:
🇨🇭 45.5/50
Has Switzerland cracked the code for the win?...👀👀👀
#Eurovision
#Eurovision2024
#Switzerland
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Eurovision Bets & Pieces: My 2022 Eurovision betting resolution...
My latest post...
#Eurovision2022
#Eurovision
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I will do a post later this week with my thoughts about
#Eurovision2024
but I wanted to highlight this one.
Spotify or other charts are pure noise and have no value whatsoever to help you identify the winner or Top-3/5 in PV before the SFs happen.
#Eurovision
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🇫🇮- They are going all in for the Televote win with an impressive score but they are alienating jurors. I can't see this getting more than 120 Jury votes so he needs an 🇺🇦 '22 TV score to win...
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