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Diego Zviovich Profile
Diego Zviovich

@dzviovich

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3,120
Following
1,107
Media
524
Statuses
2,734

Buenos Aires, Argentina
Joined December 2010
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
9 months
@nntaleb Using Mathematica, split area of interest by weight and calculate the area % that is worn out.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
9 months
@nntaleb Now to see if BetaBinomialDistribution works.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
On March 18th, the Czech government made it mandatory the use of mask in public. In the graph below, we have placed both the US and CZ at the same starting point in number of cases. The measure implemented by CZ works! @yaneerbaryam @nntaleb
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Waiting on a friend...
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Con our Neapolitan friend in Amalfi Restaurant ⁦ @nntaleb
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb Several responses reminded me of this ‘Anekdoty’: SOVIET SHOPPING A man walks into a shop. He asks the clerk, “You don’t have any meat?” The clerk says, “No, here we don’t have any fish. The shop that doesn’t have any meat is across the street.”
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@vtchakarova Countries don't have friends, just interests. Ignore realpolitik at your own risk
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
@nntaleb Taleb is on to something, Agent based model simulation () seem to point that this might be the right approach until a vaccine solution is readily available.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
waiting on some friends...
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
5 years
@ole_b_peters Wealth Gap is an emergent property of complex systems where agents interact. If system is not hijacked by rent seekers social mobility will follow as market preferences evolve. A very simple economy model will show these properties in action
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
When a man stops believing in God, he doesn’t then believe in nothing; he believes in anything. - attributed to Chesterton
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
5 years
@nntaleb @laure_khoury Concentration of wealth is an emergent property of a complex system such as the economy. . It is also a property of rent seeking societies. The other emergent property, social mobility, will not show up. Picketty and friends seem to ignore this...
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
Tradition is not the worship of ashes but the preservation of fire. - Gustav Mahler
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Science is the Belief in the Ignorance of the Experts - Richard Feynman
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
First lesson in leadership: marry well. General Pagonis
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Hama > Homs > Amioun > Beirut > Milano > Torino > Milano > NYC > Atlanta
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Escalating the wrong solution does not improve the outcome. - John Gall
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
@nntaleb Problem solved
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb The VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Reaction System) collects reporting from all parties regarding vaccines. It suffers from all the limitations as detailed by the CDC, but detect patterns of adverse events. Compare the VAERS submissions with the Vaccinations Administered.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Sunday Asado
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
@EndWokeness La pulpería del siglo XXI
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
The four elements
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
Gall’s Law: A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from a simple system that worked. A complex system designed from scratch never works and cannot be patched up to make it work. You have to start over with a working simple system.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
“To be ignorant of what occurred before you were born is to remain always a child. For what is the worth of human life, unless it is woven into the life of our ancestors by the records of history?” ― Marcus Tullius Cicero
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb Or this one told in Bucharest in Winter during the Ceasescu times: What does a radiator say when you put your hands on it? “Oh, my God, your hands are so warm!!!”
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Most people associate Eisenhower‘s farewell address to his warning about the military-industrial complex. Few remember that he also alerted us of the domination of science through federal funding & the hijacking of science-based public policy by a scientific-technological elite.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
Not good :(
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
@nntaleb Most likely scenario is that they just brought you the real thing.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
8 months
Back to normal.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
@nntaleb MAD, like any other game theory classic use case, is based on the assumption that the agents are rational. Reminds me of the assumption of homo economicus in economics. I think it is time to get divorce lawyers to bring some sense into this domain.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
Back to the roots
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
9 months
Argentina shows you can have an effective and auditable election system without need of digital voting machines. In person voting and citizen based audit of each ballot box guarantees the electoral system.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Best tacos in Atlanta
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
It is frightening to think that you might not know something, but more frightening to think that, by and large, the world is run by people who have faith they know exactly what is going on - Amos Tversky
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
@nntaleb Similar phenomenon was observed during the Spanish flu pandemic. The first wave in spring 18 was mild, but as it spread through the population it became more efficient and lethal by fall. Source: The great influenza, page 370 by John Barry
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Most of what we call management consists of making it difficult for people to get their work done - Peter Drucker
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@RWMaloneMD It would seem logical that the COVID-19 hospitalization surveillance network would have been updated in such a way as to add the vaccination status of the patient, (# doses, type of vaccine, date of last vaccine, etc). Data still unavailable.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
9 months
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb As Nassim states, it is important to look at the risks of both vaccines and COVID. Focusing of COVID first, we can obtain the total number of deaths from the CDC site. Let's use the total number so as not enter into the "of COVID " vs "with COVID" discussion. 1/x
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@ASingh11414 @nntaleb Jeff Cooper’s 4 rules on gun safety: 1) treat all guns as always loaded, 2) never point the gun to anything you are not prepared to destroy,3) keep your finger off the trigger until you are ready 2 engage,4) check what is your target and What is behind it.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
@nntaleb Walks with friends and family
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
#RWRI 14 Attendees @nntaleb
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
@PeterRQuinones @LibertyInvader This was widespread worldwide. In Argentina the different immigrant societies set up all sorts of safety nets, from schools to hospitals, gyms, libraries, even cemeteries
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
9 months
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
The people who design easily gameable systems belong to the lowest circles of hell. - Charlie Munger
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
As the economic historian of Renaissance, Richard Ehrenberg, puts it: “Political effects tend to be catastrophic, as opposed to the slow, almost imperceptible action of economic forces and interests.” — The Managerial Revolution: What is Happening in the World by James Burnhan
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
To choose a model is to choose assumptions - E. Tufte
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
I fought the law and the law won. @nntaleb (fought over the bill and he outsmarted me, as always). BTW, Amalfi in Roswell is a fantastic Italian restaurant.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
To follow the herd no brain is needed, legs are sufficient. - Didier Raoult
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good Measure. -Gooddhart’s Law
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
There are iron laws at play in the world. Nothing new under the sun in the realm of politics.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
10 months
@nntaleb @financequant @RDouady @DrCirillo et al, is there a handbook of distributions and list of practical domains where those distributions are used?
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
An Intellectual could almost be defined as a person who follows an argument to an absurd conclusion, and believes the conclusion - T. Dalrymple
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Know yourself
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb The Gaussian is so well behaved, we must therefore force nature to submit to it.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@TweetingPietro @nntaleb @Firsou @hugowiz @IAmMicMars @GrantSSC @Extrachelle @LouisPaulThe2nd @gaffneycathal @otrasenda_AC @exergiovanni @samuelxgarcia One of the most fascinating aspects about coffee was having society move from an all hour alcoholic stupor to a caffeine induced can-do society.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Arroz con pollo
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@GrantSSC results from my friend Ned
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
When you mix politics and science, you get politics. - John Barry, author of The Great Influenza
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool. - R. Feynman
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
@nntaleb The sooner the lockdown the more people you protect and the more time you delay the maximum of the wave. ocking down an area after the maximum rate of new daily infected cases has a much smaller impact in the reduction of cases and little effect in delay.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
@nntaleb Next weekend in Blue Ridge, he was going to join us to enjoy a good BBQ and conversation.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
We live on an island of knowledge surrounded by a sea of ignorance. As our island of knowledge grows, so does the shore of our ignorance. - John Wheeler
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Don Miguel, el taquero de Georgia makes the best tacos of the Southeasr
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
Nothing is more firmly believed as that what we least know - Michel de Montaigne
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
I've seen this phenomenon play out so many times in supply chain (& other domains) personally and documents left by earlier generations. A painful process. What saddens me is that the next gen will ignore what predecessors went through, generating new opportunities for fragility.
@nntaleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
2 years
Russia & Energy: You can't squeeze the same pple more than once per lifetime. There are things called: SUBSTITUTION ADAPTATION (smaller cars, electric bicycles) MIGRATION (factories closer to energy) IRREVERSIBILITY I've never seen a squeeze not followed by a glut. Never.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
Great beef with the best custom knife by @PEU_AR
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
To your healt @nntaleb
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Far better an approximate answer to the right question, which is often vague, than an exact answer to the wrong question, which can always be made precise. - John Tukey
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Friendship is tested by adversity.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Every act of authority of one man over another for which there is no absolute necessity is tyrannical - Beccaria
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb @stkirsch We should have seen some sort of alignment + lag between vaccine administration and VAERS submissions.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb the breakdown of the peak submissions in the month of august is interesting...
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@nntaleb It is a very interesting phenomena to see the "transients waves" that are caused when there is a significant change in "steady state" a supply chain network. These waves wipe out all the "Savings" created by system optimization peddled by consultants.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@CDC Twelve weeks in we are still in the dark if the vaccines have any real impact in the contagion or hospitalization rate. No data is being shared regarding the vaccination status of the newly infected population nor the hospitalized population.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
What has made the State into Hell is that man wanted to make it his Heaven - Hoelderlin
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
Nothing beats a PEU @PEU_AR
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
1 year
A problem well put is half solved - John Dewey
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@dvassallo @normonics The probability was indeed low. Coronavirus has been a scourge on pig farming. For years they’ve been trying to find a vaccine that would work, with no success.
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
“Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities” - Voltaire via @GadSaad
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
2 years
Should this suffice?
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
4 years
Back to the Mediterranean (in ATL)
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
@jaffer_ali1 The fastest u cure yourself of platonic concept of intrinsic value the better. Value is in the eyes of the beholder(s)
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
3 years
“A man’s rights rest in three boxes. The ballot-box, the jury-box, and the cartridge-box.” - Frederick Douglass
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@dzviovich
Diego Zviovich
5 years
I take the view that pesimism is the wise position to adopt because you are always agreably surprised - Sir Roger Scruton
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