I've updated the World Population Density map with the new GHSL 2023. It's a big improvement, with higher resolution and more accurate mapping of density and settlement patterns across the globe-
I've been mapping the new 2021 census occupational class data to track gentrification in London and Manchester. There's some really interesting results, some expected, some surprising-
New open access paper out on gentrification and accessibility in London- "A compact city for the wealthy? Employment accessibility inequalities between occupational classes in the London metropolitan region 2011"
Can we develop London's Green Belt sustainably to ease the housing crisis? Some new research into new build volume and sustainability using the EPC data-
📢New book📢I've got a history-photography-mapping book coming out next month called 'Gilded City: Tour Medieval & Renaissance London'. Find out more here-
@rcolvile
@JeremyCliffe
Fact that cannot be stated enough: Conservatives to blame for Brexit ref, and the ongoing chaos that has followed. No Tories, no Brexit.
New paper from
@CASAUCL
in EPB- Nicolas Palominos' method for measuring pedestrian and vehicle space for all streets in Greater London, highlighting infrastructure for active travel
🙏 to reviewers: "[paper]... tackles a difficult area of research, i.e. the transition between infrastructure-level and network-level assessment of streetspace allocation"
The new method computes cross-sections to investigate walking impedance around train stations in London
@sarahwollaston
Sadly the Tory govt destroying our public services, wrecking the economy and endangering our security with a hard Brexit. Utter hypocrisy!
@iainmartin1
UK has expertise and resources to lead in tackling climate change. Instead current gov had no significant role in Paris agreement, taken to court over air pollution, damaged solar industry, is failing to deliver sustainable transport... We're wasting years we don't have
@willnorman
@alan_s01
@BarnetCouncil
I cycle in Barnet, and it's really behind other boroughs in terms of cycle routes. Need a safe route from Colindale to Brent Cross and then into central. Should be part of the current Brent Cross regeneration
@thomasforth
I've got a different perspective on this using GHSL data. Agree Manchester has a higher population and weaker infra. than peer cities in Netherlands/Germany. But not convinced core is higher density. Here are density profiles of population in urban areas-
@CASAUCL
@npalomin
@BartlettUCL
@uclnews
I've also written a blogpost on the Streetspace for London proposals from the Mayor, compared to the network analysis from the working paper-
All the accessibility indicators show that London has massively higher public transport accessibility, which shows what decades of infrastructure investment, planning and densification can achieve. We need to support other UK city-regions in following a similar model
@rafaelbehr
It's a brilliant film. Great performances, visually stunning, sharply written, wonderful score, and a suitably tragic finale. Oppenheimer deserves its critical acclaim and I expect it will bag quite a few Oscars
@iainmartin1
London population at record levels, prioritising public transport, walking and cycling only way to keep city moving. You can walk across bridge in a couple of mins, maybe give it a try?
A map of
@SadiqKhan
&
@cityoflondon
's radical plans for Car Free streets was shown on
@BBCLondonNews
yesterday. It's just sinking in how transformational a proposal this is...
The second is the peak accessibility by destination, which measures the total labour market size and the agglomeration potential. This favours larger city regions with big rail and metro networks-
Some researchers argued gentrification slowing in London, but we found proportion of most affluent professional classes in inner city continues to grow (looked at change 2006-2016)
Huge majorities for Lib Dems in South West London (Richmond 52%, Wandsworth 37%), joined with success in West London (Ham&Ful 34%, Ken&Chel 36%), and overtaking traditional Labour Inner London (Camden 36%, Islington 30%, Southwark 33%, Lewisham 28%)
@thomasforth
Here's a more reliable measure of jobs accessibility for GB cities using the excellent work by
@raffverduzco
&
@DrDPMcArthur
. Measures the average number of jobs reachable by residents in 30 & 60 mins. Interestingly the 30m accessibility gap also with Edinburgh and Glasgow-
This argument makes no sense. Currently we only deliver affordable housing at scale when we build market housing. Graph below shows additional affordable housing and market housing 2011-21 in South East -
@SimonClarkeMP
@CentreforCities
The only way to solve the real housing crisis, this one, is social housing. Build, build, build market housing is a hopeless refrain:
The World Population Density site includes population and density timeseries stats for countries and cities. The largest city region in the world using this dataset is the 'Greater Bay Area' (Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Dongguan) in China with a population of 43.8m
@adam_dennett
Hi Ad, yes good question. National average is a +5 percentage point change in Professional Classes. So the red areas in the change map are well above. But transformation to knowledge economy is national, and the overall change in London not unique
This results in advantages in average accessibility for the most affluent classes, particularly by slower more sustainable modes (bus and walking). This is a real challenge as less affluent groups priced out to less accessible Outer London locations-
First
@CASAUCL
seminar of the new term will be Dan Lewis, speaking about urban health and spatial analysis. Talk is free to public- 5pm Wednesday 10th January LG04 Bedford Way
Join us for our
@CASAUCL
Open Day event Tuesday next week discussing the Smart Cities & Urban Analytics and Spatial Data Science & Visualisation MSc programmes. Find out more here-
My Tory MP Matthew Offord
@Offord4Hendon
voted yesterday for the economic disaster of No Deal, when 58% of Hendon voted for remaining in the EU. Completely reckless and against constituents' views
@HendonLabour
@BarnetLabour
@iainmartin1
UK exposed to energy shortages due to poor energy efficiency, badly insulated homes, selling off gas storage and slow switch to renewables. If we had followed green policies rather than Cameron's 'cutting the green crap' we'd be in a much better position
Social distancing means many restaurants and pubs won't break even. Solution from Soho Estates: remove cars, trade on the streets. Campaign here- Could this work in
@EnjoyFitzrovia
@ChinatownLondon
Shoreditch etc. also?
Soho Estates’ campaign is growing for timed road closures in
#Soho
to let restaurants trade outside.
“It’s not that difficult...just shut the damn roads. Deliver in the morning, do the waste in the evening, shut the roads in between."
'Hype and decline of the world's first smart city'- chapter by Seungho Yoo and
@jmichaelbatty
in Caprotti and Yu's new Sustainable Cities in Asia book-
@CASAUCL
East Asian megacities like Hong Kong and Singapore have amongst highest densities in the world and high levels of travel with mainland China; yet few deaths through lockdowns, testing and preparedness
My new photography-history-mapping book Gilded City: Tour Medieval & Renaissance London is now out in Waterstones and other good bookshops. Find out more here-
#newbooks
@npalomin
has been researching Streetspace and cycling/micromobility networks for London at
@CASAUCL
. We will be publishing a working paper on this next week, as it has suddenly become very relevant!
@MHHistSoc
Yes that's right, the mapping is picking up developments in Hendon, Colindale, Mill Hill. Seems to be substantial social changes across Barnet
The Global Human Settlement Layer 2023 data has improved detail, with a 10 metre built-up area layer used to create a 100 metre population surface. This results in better mapping of both cities and complex peri-urban landscapes found in the Global South
@FraserNelson
Xenophobia always been the beating heart of Brexit- Spectator promoted it and is complicit in the consequences. Delusional to think hostile-environment Home Office is going to change now
I really wish London could dramatically reduce prices through local policies, but regional market integration means this is unlikely. This analysis uses Price Paid, which is affected by collapse in sales during pandemic and proportion of flats sold
The result?
Dozens of bungalows and other detached homes were rebuilt and enlarged into attractive three-storey apartment buildings, each housing half a dozen households in spacious modern flats.
Supply rose, and prices came down. In London!
@JamesMelville
71% of Labour GE2017 voters support remain (yougov). Hard Brexit = more austerity. Manifesto sitting-on-fence going to alienate core vote
Even largest mainland China cities outside of Hubei have avoided large outbreaks so far. I'm expecting lessons from Covid-19 to be much more about city preparedness, swiftly implementing lockdowns, testing and health care quality. Clearly increasing authoritarianism is a risk
Note where very high densities combine with high levels of poverty is surely where risks are greatest. That's why the situation in India is so precarious
The Tulip tower belongs in a sci-fi theme park, undermines what makes
@cityoflondon
unique. New Museum of London and Concert Hall plans the right way to attract tourists, not tacky pointless eyesore, please block
@MayorofLondon
@JBrokenshire
@undertheraedar
I had expected to see a London bias, but that is incredibly high! Would be great to get the same figure for other large GB cities- does anywhere else reach 10%?
So if we look at the 12 largest urban agglom. in 2035 (analysis tab, bottom-left), there are predicted to be 3 East Asian, 4 South Asian, 3 African & 2 Latin American cities; 0 from Europe & USA
@ChrisGiles_
No, Glasgow and Edinburgh perform better than expected despite relatively small populations, and Birmingham and Manchester under perform despite larger populations. Accessibility measures at longer travel times do scale with population, but that makes sense
@thomasforth
The criticism was you were claiming to measure population density without controlling for urban land. Population density is defined as population divided by land area, that's what it is, and why you get weird results like inner Manchester being higher density than Copenhagen
@thomasforth
Manchester's core is more fragmented and lower density than compact cities Amsterdam/Copenhagen (Berlin closer to Manchester). This makes sense theoretically- better public transport should intensify core. The stats from my website mapping GHSL 2020-
Support from boroughs will be vital. City of London already indicated support, boroughs such as Hackney very pro-cycling. Unsure about Westminster, control many key routes
These proposals are still in development, and do not yet look like a complete network. Network analysis by
@npalomin
highlights the most important streets linking typical underground journeys (and so where we expect cycling demand to be highest post-lockdown)
@thomasforth
Poor rail/metro huge drag on economies of northern cities. But (residential) densities are low in the core of Manchester/Leeds given size - lower than Brighton, Bristol or Edinburgh. So it's a double economic hit- poor regional accessibility, plus insufficient density in core
@dr_xeo
@CopernicusEU
@AGE_Oficial
Hopefully a future Copernicus release... I really like the cumulative plot to show the distribution. Seems like about 60% of London buildings 7-8 metres high (2-3 storey terraces I think), makes it such an outlier
In the ONS House Price Index data (which is normalised by housing type), the borough of Croydon has higher price increases than Outer London during this period-
Nevertheless, still interesting densification policy and could work if pursued by all boroughs
@DuneScholar
Definitely a key change the book. I thought it worked well, with Chani's arc dramatising the tragedy of Paul's messianic ambitions. She comes across as a strong defender of Fremen culture, with faith and agency, but loses some depth. Interesting how this will affect next film