Casus Belli
@casusbellii
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Slightly French Analyst | #OSINT #IMINT and monitoring | Mostly Africa and ex-USSR | RT ≠ endorsement
18°58'3.33"N, 12°51'56.69"E
Joined January 2021
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🇲🇱🇨🇫🇷🇺| 🧵 THREAD:
Wagner’s alleged bases in Mali and Central African Republic.
Starting with the the first fully built one, seen at Bamako airport.
The base is spontaneously built at the end of 2021, at the same time as Wagner's arrival is reported.
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Peak entertainment
I barely comment domestic politics but the current situation in France is hilarious
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The President of Botswana has threatened to send Germany 20,000 elephants
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🇳🇪🇫🇷🚨| The first French nationals are welcomed at Niamey airport by French forces.
They are currently being asked to be at the airport by 2pm (local time). At the same time, the first French aircraft (at least one C-130 and one A330) have just landed at Niamey airport.
(h/t
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My honest opinion
russians are loosing their shit over Macron's speach. They already talk how France must split into many states. Lol
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🇰🇿🇺🇸| In a very interesting development, US Ambassador to Kazakhstan Daniel Rosemblum inaugurated a NATO liaison office in the country's capital.
The news has flown under the radar, but it's a very interesting development that's had a lot of resonance in Russia in particular.
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🇫🇷🇺🇦| French chief of defence Staff
@CEMA_FR
on Ukraine :
"The way out of the war in Ukraine is about more than just Ukraine. It concerns the security of the continent and beyond, for decades to come.
We can't rely solely on the courage of the Ukrainians to protect us.
We
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Ah yes Israel gonna nuke Gaza which is right next to them
Can you all stop being stupid for a moment please
Rumours and claims are already circulating of impending nuclear use by Israel against the attackers. We assess no validation to these rumours at this time.
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🇳🇪🇧🇫🇲🇱🚨| Le Burkina Faso et le Mali annoncent désormais qu’ils entreront en guerre en soutien au
#Niger
, en cas d’intervention militaire de la CEDEAO.
#NigerCoup
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Its happening tomorrow around 2pm get ready lads 👀🔥👀🔥👀🔥
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IMPORTANT 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 :
This account is saying that 2REI foreign legion regiment (an others) is allegedly sent to Romania for a deployment to Odesa.
This information is absolutely FALSE and there’s no official information about it.
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Si l’invasion de l’Ukraine par la Russie était une rupture nette de l’ordre international établi, la situation actuelle en Nouvelle Calédonie et particulièrement l’ingérence étrangère sur le territoire français est le signal de ce que va connaîtrede plus en plus la France dans
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I barely comment domestic politics but the current situation in France is hilarious
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@wartranslated
I think it’s better to ignore him, this guy is farming engagements like hell on any events happening on earth and make such tweets to trigger reponses and bad buzz
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🇧🇫🇳🇪🇲🇱
#Mali
and
#Burkina
Faso announced this evening that they would go to war alongside the putschists in
#Niger
in the event of ECOWAS intervention.
As a reminder, ECOWAS has given Niger 7 days to re-establish a constitutional government. Beyond this deadline, ECOWAS has
🇳🇪🇧🇫🇲🇱🚨| Le Burkina Faso et le Mali annoncent désormais qu’ils entreront en guerre en soutien au
#Niger
, en cas d’intervention militaire de la CEDEAO.
#NigerCoup
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I just came across these ridiculous tweets
Did russians forgot we burnt their capital once ? We’ll do it again if necessary
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#BREAKING
#NigerCoup
ECOWAS gives the green light for the operation to start "as soon as possible". (AFP - Ivorian president)
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🇲🇳🇫🇷🚨| Mongolia opens way for uranium mining with $1.7bn French deal
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🇫🇷🇦🇲🇦🇿🚨| In an official statement, France is calling for an urgent meeting of the UN Security Council, and is currently negotiating with the EU and the USA to propose a strong response to the Azeri offensive.
France also condemns Azerbaijan's action in Karabakh and the use of
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🇦🇿🇳🇨🇫🇷🚨| Following the current incidents in New Caledonia, a significant influence OP has been launched on internet against France.
Dozens of burner accounts appeared, sharing messages attempting to make the link between algerian history of decolonization and New Caledonia.
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France offered 3 votes for New Caledonia for it’s independence and New Caledonia always wanted to stay with France.
@casusbellii
What a nonsens? The freedom movement in New Caledonia is known for 40 years. No need to blame others. France should free the Pacific colonies.
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🇳🇪🇫🇷🚨| The French government has just announced that it rejects the Junta's accusations and has published this document in which the Junta gave France permission to fly the A400M over
#Niger
on 06 August.
It was signed by the putschist General Barmou himself.
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Imagine claiming to be a pan-Africanist but confusing the flag of Cameroon 🇨🇲 with that of Burkina Faso 🇧🇫
You guys are not even trying at this point
🚨BREAKING NEWS
Étant donné que l'ultimatum de la "CD-À-EAU" expire ce soir à minuit,pour joindre l'acte à la parole,le Tigre du Faso, le Capt IB a dejà envoyé son 1er contingent au Niger. Le sahel sera la tombe de l'imperialisme et l'Afrique sera independante 💪💪
@01diall0
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A highly-placed source in the Pentagon provided me with some information.
There are options available for dealing with the threat Turner was referring to, which four sources with knowledge of the matter told
@NBCNews
is a Russian military capability. U.S. officials believe there are ways to “contain” the threat, without triggering mass panic.
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🇳🇪🇫🇷🚨| Niger's ambassador to France refused to leave her post following the decree signed by the putschists.
She considers "null and void" the decision of the military coup leaders, and recalls that she is the ambassador to France "of the legitimate President Mohamed Bazoum".
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Calling the french embassy in South Africa everytime the russian embassy is sharing its bullshit from now
@EmbassyofRussia
Colleagues, you have been spreading fake news for some time and we are now used to this rather undiplomatic practice. However, this one is particularly ridiculous. We suggest your actors work on their accent with some French classes at Alliance française:
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🇳🇪🇨🇳🚨| Following the coup d'etat and international sanctions against the putschists in
#Niger
, the Chinese company China Gezhouaba Group Company has announced a case of force majeure at its Kandadji dam operations.
They announce the dismissal of employees and the cessation of
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En cette veille "d'anniversaire" de l'invasion de l'Ukraine j'aimerais partager quelques pensées et constats après deux ans de guerre qui ont bouleversé bien plus que le territoire ukrainien.
Pour ma part j'ai vu en direct l'invasion (sur les caméras aux frontières) du 24
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Je suis de loin les activités autour de Taïwan, et bien que je ne sois pas un expert de la région, j’aime beaucoup le patch des pilotes taiwanais
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#Breaking
🇳🇪🚨| The Defence Ministers of ECOWAS member countries have set a date for the military intervention in Niger.
The final decision is up to the Heads of State, announces the President of the ECOWAS Commission.
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⚠️ There’s super graphic content being shared on mass murder on civilians in Israel today
I strongly recommend to stay away from all of this
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I find it fascinating that France is accused of stealing minerals from the Sahel when :
1/ Its industrial capacity is equivalent to Greece today.
2/ French Guiana is rich in gold, and illegal gold miners are regularly arrested by the army there.
3/ The countries exploiting
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🇳🇪🇨🇮🇳🇬🇧🇯🚨| Ivory Coast, Nigeria and Benin have already agreed to deploy men within the ECOWAS Force according to
@AOuattara_PRCI
.
Ivory Coast will send between 850 and 1100 men, who will prepare to « deploy as soon as possible ».
#Niger
#NigerCoup
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#BREAKING
In Gabon, after days of uncertainty following the elections and accusations of vote-rigging, a coup d'état has just taken place.
Twelve soldiers appeared on television to announce that they were annulling the election results and dissolving "all the institutions of
#Gabon
🇬🇦
Internet cut off and curfew introduced after the fraud denounced by the opposition.
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Expect Israel's response to be biblical, given the massacre that has just taken place
They've already declared a state of war, if I understand correctly.
Honestly, this is probably one of the most serious crisis in recent years for the country
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I can't help but laugh thinking about ISKP's efforts to claim responsibility for the Moscow attack while everyone here has brainworms and accuses CIA/Mossad/Ukrainian and even armenians without any single inch of a proof lmao
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🇫🇷🇺🇦🇷🇺🚨| French intelligence services has arrested an agent working for Russia at Roissy after detonating acetone peroxide in his face while making explosives to destroy French equipment sent to Ukraine.
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#Niger
's national television broadcast images of Super Tucano aircraft sent by Mali and Burkina Faso to support Niger in the event of a potential ecowas intervention.
"A promise translated into action" according to national television
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This is Kabul Airlift back in 2021.
But since we’re talking about Kabul, here’s an insane footage from this time.
I'll remember this story for the rest of my life.
Al-Harir base in Erbil, Iraq is overcrowded after the arrival of a new batch of troops from the US
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Au fait pour ceux qui douteraient encore
I see a lots of people being surprised by the azerbaijani activities in New Caledonia so here’s a short thread :
Back in end of 2023, a "copy pasta" campain was launched on twitter and other plateform using this AI generated picture to denounce the agreement betweent 🇫🇷 & 🇦🇲
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Israel is preparing its troops for the operation Iron Sword following the lasts events.
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After more than 3 years of service, my old account (shadowban and cursed by twitter) has now disappeared.
All data has been recovered and I will continue my activities here until the day I stop completely.
Thanks to those who have been following me all these years and welcome
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🇺🇸🇳🇪🚨| U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announces that the United States supports ECOWAS decisions on
#Niger
.
🇫🇷🇳🇪🚨| France says it supports all the decisions taken by ECOWAS.
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This is General Lecointre what the FUCK are you talking about.
There are unconfirmed reports that certain senior and serving French Military commanders have delivered an ultimatum to
#Macron
. Restore order within 48 hours or they will. The picture is of retired and highly respected Général Pierre de Villiers a French Aristocrat. A
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🇬🇷🚨| Terribles images d’un bombardier d’eau s’écrasant en Grèce, sur l’île d’Eubée, au Nord Est d’Athenes, alors que les pompiers luttaient contre les incendies ravageant le pays.
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Unidentified aircraft reported over nothern Greenland 🇬🇱…
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This is Senegal 🇸🇳 army
U can even see their flags many times
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🇷🇺🇦🇲🚨| L'Arménie quittera l'Organisation du Traité de sécurité collective (OTSC), a annoncé le Premier ministre arménien Nikol Pashinyan.
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#Niger
Ecowas has finally chosen the day to intervene.
No information on the day.
At the same time, the United States has announced a plan to evacuate its drone bases "if necessary".
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Bonus
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#BREAKING
🇳🇪🇳🇬🚨| The Nigerian Senate rejects the army’s military intervention in Niger under ECOWAS mandate
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#BREAKING
#NigerCoup
ECOWAS has Directed the Committee of the Chief of Defence Staff to activate the ECOWAS Standby Force with all its elements to restore democracy.
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🇳🇪🚨| Security forces were deployed on the roads leading to the French and American embassies in Niamey, while demonstrations continued in the capital.
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For some reasons there’s a wild campain of misinformation being spreaded on social medias claiming that there’s french troops in Slaviansk, and that they’re soldiers from 3rd Infrantry Regiment or 3rd Legion Infantry regiment
On both cases it’s stupid AND false and was written
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Dmitry malaisant prend la tête à tout le monde avec ses tweets de golmon
Macron s'apprête à se rendre à Kiev? Mais c'est un trouillard zoologique!
Quoi qu'il en soit: je recommande à son bureau de prendre plusieurs paires de caleçons! Ça sentira très fort...
PS: J'ai écrit ça ce matin et je n'ai pas eu le temps de le publier! Et le soir il s'était
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🇫🇷| France announces that in 100 days it will launch the Pegasus 24 mission, which aims to project offensive resources (Rafale + support) to the other side of the world, with the participation of Spain, UK & Germany for the 1st time.
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A video is posted a lot on Facebook and Tiktok at the moment, shows French rafales arriving in Dakar, Senegal.
The video was shot in Senegal but dates from 2021 and has nothing to do with current events.
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#Niger
African Union says it firmly supports all ECOWAS decisions concerning Niger, and calls on the international community to save the life of President Bazoum.
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Concernant la Nouvelle Calédonie et les événements en cours il me semble évident que c’est pas l’Azerbaidjan ou la Chine seulent qui sont responsables de la situation actuelle
Faudrait pas retomber dans le même schéma de pensée qu’au Sahel qui laisserait penser que seule la
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Ehmm i know Russia bad etc but accusing them of literally any conflict in the world isn’t really helpful
Hamas have been trained and backed by different middle east countries for decades
Russia is clearly behind this. No ally of HAMAS except of Russia has experience of using bomb-dropping drones against modern battle tanks. Only Russia could train HAMAS in this:
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Technically, there are about 3 hours left before the ECOWAS ultimatum expires.
apart from what I've just posted, there's no further information, so I think everyone's holding their breath a bit.
A few thoughts:
- We're not safe from another coup d'etat within the
#Niger
junta.
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Wagner had Chinese satellites at its disposal, giving it intelligence capabilities.
These satellite images were allegedly used, among other things, to plan the mutiny against the Russian government this summer.
Frozen food and ice cream company NikaFrut LLC was allegedly
Le groupe paramilitaire russe Wagner, longtemps présent en Ukraine et actif en Afrique, a signé un contrat avec une société chinoise pour acquérir 2 satellites d'observation et commander des images, lui fournissant une puissance inédite de renseignement
#AFP
1/2
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Back in FUCKING april 2023.
This is not new, and have NOTHING to do with the current events.
Burkina Faso has RESUMED diplomatic ties with North Korea 🇧🇫🇰🇵
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lmao what
Taliban:
If the Muslim countries neighboring Israel give us the right of passage, we will conquer Jerusalem.
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I see a lots of people being surprised by the azerbaijani activities in New Caledonia so here’s a short thread :
Back in end of 2023, a "copy pasta" campain was launched on twitter and other plateform using this AI generated picture to denounce the agreement betweent 🇫🇷 & 🇦🇲
🇦🇿🇳🇨🇫🇷🚨| Following the current incidents in New Caledonia, a significant influence OP has been launched on internet against France.
Dozens of burner accounts appeared, sharing messages attempting to make the link between algerian history of decolonization and New Caledonia.
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Unironically this.
France was right for offering europeans an alternative to the US and build some native architecture instead of permanently relying on the US.
In the current context, it is urgent to start thinking about a continental solution and to stop seeing ourselves
France was right. But its challenge now will be to remake its longstanding case for European strategic autonomy in a way that is not perceived as self-serving and that works through alliances both within the EU as well as with the UK and Ukraine
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Im sorry but whoever speaks and understand arabic can confirm it’s palestinian
I genuinely don’t hear any russian at all in this video
"Cover! Cover!" – evidence appeared that Russian-speaking instructors within the Hamas terrorist organization gave orders and coordinated the actions of mercenaries during the attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.
The order in Russian "Прикрывайте! Прикрывайте!" ("Cover! Cover!")
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🇨🇩🇷🇼🚨| Les forces congolaises annoncent dans un communiqué de presse que le Rwanda serait sur le point d’envahir le pays.
La situation est particulièrement tendue depuis ces derniers mois avec différents affrontements signalés entre l’armée nationale et des insurgés soutenus
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#BREAKING
#Niger
's former rebel and minister of State, Rhissa Ag Boula, officially announces the creation of a Resistance Council for the Republic (CRR).
The CRR calls on the military to arrest the mutineers and the putschist Tchiani in particular.
The new faction also
A new video has just emerged showing Ousman Abdoul Moumouni (Bazoum's former advisor) in a video announcing the formation of a new group called the Conseil de la Resistance pour la République (CRR).
They announce that they will oppose the putschists to restore President Bazoum
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IMPORTANT
Information, to be taken with a pinch of salt, reaching me this evening from Malian and Niger sources.
The Junta in
#Niger
has apparently checked a small Dornier 228 aircraft (see photo) at Niamey airport.
The reason for this test would be to send a delegation to the
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🇫🇷🇵🇸🇮🇱| The French helicopter carrier "Tonnerre" left the port of Toulon a few days ago for the Eastern Mediterranean where she will join the frigate "Alsace" and the "La Fayette" class frigate named "Surcouf".
The aircraft carrier carries several NH90 transport helicopters and
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I’ll be honest from now it doesn’t really matter what the russian gov says about last night attack. (Ofc Ukraine & Russia will accuse each other).
It’s now confirmed to be ISIS, and the guys arrested will say whatever the security services tell them to say to fit with the
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Btw im assuming protesters are mostly Daghestanis.
There’s massive protests ongoing at Makhatkala airport in Daghestan.
Demonstrators look for Jews in the area to arrest them (if not worse)
It's a bit wild in Russia lately
Source
Rally in russia in support of palestine. Protesters shout: “kill, kill, Jews”
It’s interesting that, as we all know, rallies are prohibited in russia, but as you can see... they are not prohibited for everyone
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This would be the stupidest moove ever
BREAKING: Niger’s junta have threatened to kill the deposed president if neighboring countries intervene in the country militarily, Western officials say - AP
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this meme has never been so close to coming true
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#Niger
🇳🇪| A few points on the information available this morning:
- No intervention for the moment
- Negotiations underway (expect ECOWAS to send a new delegation)
- The United States is expected to send an emissary for talks with the junta.
- Several thousand ECOWAS soldiers
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🇫🇷🇧🇫🚨| France suspends, until further notice, all its development aid and budget support to Burkina Faso - French MFA.
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La nouvelle constitution du Mali déclare dans son article 187 que "tout coup d'Etat est un crime contre le peuple malien"
Le leader actuel du pays est venu suite à un coup d'Etat
The new Malian Constitution drafted by the transitional junta government, headed by Colonel Assimi Goïta, states that:
“Any coup or putsch is a crime against the Malian people”
Mali supports the coup in Niger.
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The 12 dead Russian pilots reading this
“They didn’t offend anyone, they didn’t break anything,” Andrey Kartapolov, Chairman of the State Duma Committee on Defense. However, he emphasized the need for regulation of PMCs 1/
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There’s rumors shared on a potential coup happening in Congo Brazzaville 🇨🇬
I Will open a thread if anything is confirmed but the actual president N’guesso is actually in New York for the UN General Assembly
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