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Ben Stephens Profile
Ben Stephens

@btwphones

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468
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How does the world work? How do people work? Storytelling @getcallin

Joined October 2022
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
6 months
@heyblake Bedtime stories that are fun for families to read together.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk @nichegamer most Americans' jobs do not involve free food — kind of lame to see highly-paid tech employees complaining
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
7 months
@FT “Man descends ladder awkwardly.”
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@mayemusk @WholeMarsBlog Elon's good at rationalizing away fear. He could write a children's book. @elonmusk @mayemusk
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk @rupasubramanya @bariweiss Being interviewed publicly by journalists reduces risk of misquotation. Hit pieces depend on a narrow pipe of information flow.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@mtaibbi a gross abuse of power, in an attempt to chill freedom of speech
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
1 year in, same trichotomy of outcomes for Ukraine. @DavidSacks @elonmusk
@DavidSacks
David Sacks
2 years
3 most likely outcomes of Ukraine War: 1. Forever War - Russian mobilization reestablishes stalemate. 2. Nuclear War - Ukrainian counter-offensive keeps winning; Russia uses nukes to defend Crimea. 3. Compromise - US tells Ukraine it can’t have Crimea back. Take your pick.
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@WholeMarsBlog Elon's "Tactics of Mistake" references a strategy in the eponymous novel where one lets an opponent overreach and then capitalizes. A kind of judo which we've seen Elon employ several times — especially when he burned the shorts post Model3.
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Elon Musk
2 years
The Tactics of Mistake
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@Scobleizer @elonmusk "Stranger in a Strange Land" is the rare book that embodies its spirit and philosophy in a single word — grok. What other art does this? Only other I can think of is "The Big Lebowski" and "dude."
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@raechellambert @Austen Yes and the flow of pleasant hubbub can keep you in a positive mood — which is needed to push through obstacles. Ultimately it may depend on whether you're an extrovert (social hubbub is energizing) or introvert (social hubbub is draining).
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Ben Stephens
1 year
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Ben Stephens
4 months
@elonmusk @WholeMarsBlog Gonna be the opening scene when the movie gets made.
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Ben Stephens
3 months
@Jason "AI will need twice the electricity that we have."
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@prestonjbyrne @elonmusk @chamath @CommunityNotes "A lady asked Dr. Franklin, 'Well Doctor what have we got — a republic or a monarchy?' 'A republic,' replied the Doctor, 'if you can keep it.'" — Sept 18, 1787, last day of Constitutional Convention, according to delegate James McHenry of Deleware.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@pkedrosky @KateandPie How soon till GPT4 can write like @SnoopDogg ?
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Ben Stephens
3 months
@Jason @TheDemocrats "With great humility I ask that you be excited about the future."
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Ben Stephens
3 months
@Jason @TheDemocrats Wants cars bought in America to be made in America. This advantages Tesla.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@jonstewart What do you think of @TuckerCarlson coming to twitter? And might you meet him again like this?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks @amuse echoes his puncturing of the Iraqi WMD narrative pushed in NYT by Judith Miller.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@Jason @JoeBiden I think you mean swap?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk will it be transparent that this happened, per tweet?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
10 months
@DavidSacks Compare Biden to Taft. Taft recognized and celebrated innovators — such as the 2 bike mechanics below who figured out how to fly. Biden, on the other hand, studiously ignores a certain innovator and then calls for his regulatory harassment.
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Ben Stephens
5 months
@josephsbool A respected mathematician called him to convince him to take the $1m reward. Mathematician went into a whole paragraph of how great the achievement is, how the money could make a meaningful difference in his life. At the end Perelman simply said "I am not persuaded."
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@Rainmaker1973 The disc-on-pen technique will not work in general. It's a mathematical coincidence that it works for that particular sinusoid. The correct answer would be given by a profile gauge, because it respects the translation of the mat into the drawer:
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@DavidSacks Delaware as a place to do business 📉
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@BigImpactHumans @WalterIsaacson It doesn't make sense why Elon would ever have the Starlink on in Crimea in the first place, given his geopolitical views. Maybe most likely explanation is semantic: from the drone's point of view its service is being "cut off" as it moves into Crimea zone. From SpaceX's point
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@DavidSacks Nobody puts Moncler in the corner.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@elonmusk @jasondebolt In WW1 there was great denialism about the obsolescence of cavalry.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@paulg Or how about: AI turns writers into editors, like how a steam shovel lets you build a road without digging it all by hand. AI moves you one step the creation chain. Editors can still critique, redirect, or manually rewrite.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@yacineMTB like making homepages for people in 1999
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@asbelcas AI is neither aware of — nor incentivized by — artistic gatekeepers and the art establishment.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
10 months
@WholeMarsBlog How far do you live from your phone dealer? Sounds like a real hassle!
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@heydave7 @karpathy @BlazejDolicki Respectfully, this says what the Chinchilla trap is "about" but not what it "is." It also doesn't explain how it traps anything. The point is that people were seduced by the Chinchilla scaling law into thinking expensive, large-data, expensive-compute efforts were needed — when
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@balajis long tweets with footnotes is an adaptation to the era of @CommunityNotes
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@RobertKennedyJr . @elonmusk 's October peace proposal could have saved how many lives? He and @DavidSacks were excorciated for it. The logic that kept Obama out of such a war has been essentially unspeakable.
@elonmusk
Elon Musk
2 years
@spideycyp_155 Whether one likes it or not, Crimea is absolutely seen as a core part of Russia by Russia. Crimea is also of critical national security importance to Russia, as it is their southern navy base. From their standpoint losing Crimea is like USA losing Hawaii & Pearl Harbor.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@Andercot to what extent would you fear hitting neutral ambient dust at relativistic speed?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@karpathy You think that's air you're breathing now?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
7 months
@PirateWires @paulg Europe’s been there, done that and… undone that. @AndrewYang
@OutFrontCNN
Erin Burnett OutFront
5 years
"When France, Germany, Denmark, and Sweden all tried a wealth tax they ended up repealing it because it had massive implementation problems and it did not generate anywhere near the revenue they had hoped for." - Andrew Yang on Sens. Warren and Sanders favoring a wealth tax
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks professional journalists should already know not to doxx
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@alex_avoigt Striking that Tesla Supercharging won two peers on the merits — as opposed to convincing a regulatory body.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
10 months
@TeslaBoomerMama Highest slope for EVs will come with $25k compact/robotaxi model.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@WalterIsaacson Feels like you found a good stopping point: Elon handing off twitter CEOship, Starship passes max-Q, Tesla embraces ads and a 20B robot future. How did you think about starting and stopping this book?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
11 months
@8teAPi Biggest mistake of smart people: minmaxing optimal strategies in too narrow a ruleset. Like, never assume P(they'll flip the board on you)=0.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
4 months
@alex_avoigt Feels like Tesla critics were hoisted by their own petard here — all the smaller attacks between 2018 and 2024 added up to a voting base in 2024 that was relatively immune to FUD.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@thecomarproof @Rainmaker1973 And even then the strings would be implementing L1 minimization. Still it is a compelling visual metaphor.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@DirtyTesLa @Tesla FSD learns from observing human drivers drive; Optimus will learn from observing human doers do.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk @aaronjmate "There is a recurring temptation to feel that some spectacular and costly action could become the miraculous solution to all current difficulties."
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@Jason @SecYellen @FaceTheNation glad you were able to fix the caps lock
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
3 months
@Jason "By the way I'm all for electric." [But is against subsidies.]
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks For the 10% of Americans who have >$1m in savings — the message is to spread savings across multiple banks. This then increases the amount that FDIC/SIPC must protect. Are those backstops sufficiently capitalized?
@gaborgurbacs
Gabor Gurbacs
2 years
There is more than $22 Trillion in the U.S. banking system. The FDIC has $124.5 Billion on its balance sheet and a $100 Billion line of credit from the U.S. Treasury. FDIC assets cover only 1.26% of deposits. About the size of Silicon Valley Bank. One bank. Let that sink in.
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@Tesla Nevada was a focus of the @AndrewYang campaign because of rapid automation occurring in the hospitality industry (robotic bartenders, cooks, automation in casino gaming). It's nice to see a job-creating side of things happening there.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@Itsjoeco @elonmusk @WallStreetSilv Switzerland losing trust of its banks would be like Italy forgetting how to make pasta
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
3 months
@jonatanpallesen megafauna would’ve been particularly vulnerable to exhaustion hunting by groups of humans?
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk @TomFitton @Twitter Shouldn't professional journalists know to avoid doxxing?
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@elonmusk Elon believes the most transparent, fastest, most efficient network wins. He's putting this Information Theory to the test by challenging Apple on censorship, app fees, walled garden approach. What would Steve Jobs think, I wonder? @WalterIsaacson
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Ben Stephens
5 months
@paulg Yes. When Gutenberg automated book production the right move was to learn to write — not flee the literary arts for fear of the machine. More writers were needed.
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@amitisinvesting He couldn't hang. A more informed reporter would have asked about twitter v substack, twitter files and Taibbi... Best the reporter could muster was a string of clickbait attempts.
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Ben Stephens
5 months
@RobertKennedyJr In 2019, @AndrewYang criticized lawfare efforts against Trump, saying they were likely to backfire. And also that lawfare against Trump would just start a tit-for-tat cycle of each side jailing the previous president. I wonder what Andrew and what @RobertKennedyJr thinks now.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks or look around a city and see how much is empty
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@yacineMTB Best thing to tell early mathematicians: stop trying to prove the parallel postulate from the other axioms. If you lose that you're just doing geometry on a curved surface. Maybe they could've opened their minds to other axioms — and even discovered Calculus sooner.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@WholeMarsBlog Master Plan 3 is about scale.
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@WholeMarsBlog @elonmusk In buying twitter, Elon had his eye on the SEC the whole time
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@emollick . @AndrewYang previewed this in 2018, based on private demos & conversations in Silicon Valley. He called it the "third inning of the 4th Industrial Revolution." Only more true today, it seems.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@Jason Elon interviewing Vlad on a live Spaces (about frozen Robinhood withdrawals) was an epic part of this story; wondering if it made the movie. $gme
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Ben Stephens
3 months
@DavidSacks “We know better” primaries that freeze out Sanders, Yang, Dean Phillips, RFK … result in brittle unresponsive institutions.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@ChefReactions the spice must flow
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Ben Stephens
4 months
@yacineMTB @paulg Just keep doing sensible things; you'll have more counterparties random-walking off positions you want.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@pmddomingos @geoffreyhinton Don't worry about Thanos 'cause Loki already gets under your skin...?
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Ben Stephens
4 months
@yacineMTB …or keybind codegen so it’s as fast as appending a semicolon.
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Ben Stephens
6 months
@MuskUniversity “It's like in the great stories, Mr. Frodo. The ones that really mattered. Full of darkness and danger they were. And sometimes you didn't want to know the end. Because how could the end be happy? How could the world go back to the way it was when so much bad had happened? But in
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@KobeissiLetter @elonmusk @unusual_whales Gonna be hard to tape this back together...
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@icreatelife World's smallest violin
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks In a democracy, all citizens should be able to debate the decisions of war & peace. Same as with Afghanistan. Same as with Iraq. When Jon Stewart asked questions that had to be asked of the "experts" regarding WMDs — he was also told off. Groupthink among experts is dangerous.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@jasonslenderman @thecomarproof @Rainmaker1973 yes because the system would then seek to minimize the energy stored in the springs, which is a sum of Hooke's Law potentials ky^2 — a sum of squares.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@engineers_feed GPT4 gets it wrong. Thinks it is 240 — see its step-by-step reasoning here:
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
3 months
@NateSilver538 Voters were sending a very clear signal on Biden — DNC mistake was turning the primaries into CalvinBall.
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@elonmusk @ggreenwald unquestionable forever war was the cornerstone of "1984." Being able to question the Iraq War, or the war in Ukraine, is vital to our democracy. “The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@heydave7 von Holzhausen's been channeling the future all along — remember his job posting in 2021? @woodhaus2
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Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks If you disagree with @DavidSacks you should explain why Obama was wrong to let Crimea go back to Russia. Why did Obama think it wasn't worth a nuclear war?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@heydave7 @geoffreyhinton This would be great. Could also be interesting to ask him about his forward-forward algorithm, which is optimized for low-power uses, but gives up perfect reproducibility to do so. @jamesdouma
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Ben Stephens
5 months
@elonmusk @janleike Does OpenAI even have a thesis on safety? Meta: open source avoids tyrannical concentration... we'll still make money along the way xAI: singular focus on truth and expanding the scope of consciousness — naturally aligns with coexisting with humans. OpenAI: just trust us bro...?
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@DavidSacks @allinsummit @elonmusk @WalterIsaacson 1. Push needless war. 2. Attack anyone questioning it as siding with the enemy. 3. When war goes badly, find scapegoat and back away slowly.
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Ben Stephens
6 months
@elonmusk @AlboMP Australia doesn't get to be king of the internet.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
3 months
"You have to have a mechanical sympathy. Like a carpenter, work with the grain." @TigerBeetleDB
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@DavidSacks Moreover, many past experts would disagree with the current "experts." Past nuclear calculus was understood: by Mearsheimer, Obama, Reagan, James Baker, JFK, Kennan. Realpolitik was not invented yesterday on twitter.
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Ben Stephens
5 months
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Ben Stephens
6 months
@tsarnick Feynamn asked the question this way: "If, in some cataclysm, all of scientific knowledge were to be destroyed, and only one sentence passed on to the next generation of creatures, what statement would contain the most information in the fewest words? I believe it is the atomic
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@realGeorgeHotz The real unlock is that you get the replies *if you were followed by all of twitter.* It would be the "in-a-world-where-you're-Elon" feature.
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
1 year
@WholeMarsBlog "amphibian frog" — Elon slyly brings an overengineered metaphor to a debate over overengineering 🤣
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@SmokeAwayyy Vision Pro v5
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@heydave7 dunno, Apple might miss both cars and LLMs. Incrementalism runs deep.
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Ben Stephens
6 months
@IterIntellectus 1. Establish on Earth that perceived width is inverse to how far away an object is. 2. Argue that the phase of the moon has to do with sun reflecting off it at night. 3. Sun has to be very far away for the lunar phase cycle to be what it is. 4. Because sun & moon appear same size
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
3 months
@esaagar Has Biden just agreed to an open convention? Released his delegates?
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@btwphones
Ben Stephens
2 years
@heydave7 Elon follows you now... maybe you can finally get that interview? Seems he's encouraging Tesla influencers to set up subscriber communities on Twitter, which he then participates in.
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Ben Stephens
2 years
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Ben Stephens
1 year
@engineers_feed cos^2 theta + sin^2 theta = 1 Trig gets a bad rap for being boring, but is essential to building anything with slanted pieces... ...and to understanding how circular motion relates to sinusoidal oscillation — a fact that is central to modern electronics.
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Ben Stephens
3 months
@xdfffmax @Jason Yes it's something @elonmusk 's been saying for some time. I haven't heard politicians discuss it much. We'll need more transformers, more infrastructure, and more generation.
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Ben Stephens
5 months
@iamgingertrash @visegrad24 "the speed of a cheetah + the length of a whale is 200 feet"
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