Tacos and Airplanes
@blob_watcher
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I've never been more convinced of the inevitability of war between the US and China as I am now. Not just based on public info, but private info from friends working in/adjacent to DC. DC is in a foul, belligerent mood right now. Downright scary stuff.
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The Western rage and double standards at this is pretty hilarious. Were the US/UK ever banned for the Iraq War.
The lesson I guess is that only the US and its allies are allowed to wage war.
Breaking News: FIFA will ban Russia and its teams, ejecting the country from qualifying for the 2022 World Cup only weeks before it was to play for one of Europe’s final places in the tournament. UEFA will join FIFA in issuing and honoring the ban.
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@wasphyxiation
Way too much revisionist history, bourn out of anti-colonial sentiment, has arisen regarding the "sophistication" of New World indigenous peoples, which is why people why people are shocked at these lopsided results (which you don't really find in pre-industrial Eurasia).
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Westerners: “Hey Russia: Don’t be China’s junior partner, or else you’ll just turn into a natural resource appendage!”
Also Westerners: “Why do you even have industrial capacity? Just accept subjugation to the West and become Australia, bro.”
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A lot of US-based China scholars are in denial and near disbelief that China is genuinely unwilling to break from Russia.
Is it because as this New Cold War hardens, their life’s work and treasured personel connections might be broken?
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We need a council of psychologists to figure out how people started becoming so deranged about China, especially since Xi is this boring bureaucrat who's mostly upholding post-1978 policy trends, while cracking down on the legacy excesses of the Hu-Wen era.
I agree, if China GdP was +2.5%, it would be generous. And, to boot, the quarterly rates make no sense, esp the upwardly revised 1.5%for Q3, which is balderdash. Economy prob going better over end year and early this, as stimulus kicks in. But sustainability ? Little.
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Ethnic Chinese K-pop idol praises a Chinese Olympian's Gold Medal. Korean netizens lose their sh*t and the stock price of her company, SM Entertainment, drops.
The absolute state of Korea's online culture...
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Jews vs Indians tech race war: Only on Twitter
Founders of Google
Founder of Oracle
Founder of Facebook
Founder of Netflix
Founder of WhatsApp
Founder of Dell
Founder of OpenAI
Founder of PayPal
Founders of RSA
Founder of BitTorrent
Founders of Waze
Founder of Lyft
Founder of Salesforce
Sorry, but have u beat in the race war
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1) LOL
2) Europe wasted so much scarce time and money ripping out Huawei equipment, which was competitively priced, well-functioning equipment, and whose only crime was being Chinese, thereby provoking the US.
3) Europe truly deserves what is coming
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I hate to break it to you, but most current Global South nations will never become developed nations.
Sorry, but the gap is just getting bigger and bigger. I have a heavy suspicion that China (and maybe, maybe Vietnam?) might become the last developed country.
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Sort of.
The British Empire was worse than Nazi Germany in terms of pure mortality accounting terms, though Churchill's kill count < Hitler's.
The reason why Nazis are seen as worse is because they victimized Westerners.
@confucian_the
As an Indian I would say Churchill is worse than Hitler. Why ? Because he killed more Indians than Hitler killed jews . Killing someone with hunger is the most horrific way to kill
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One of the most ridiculous predictions came from Michael Kofman a few wks ago when he predicted the Russians would be exhausted right about now. Has 20+ yrs of killing Muslims/bombing Muslims countries for fun+sport made everyone forget that wars can last longer than a few weeks?
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There is a group of Global Southerners, Indians, Chinese, Africans, Muslims, etc, who, both in their homeland, and in their diaspora form in the West, particularly those who work in DC think tanks, who derive their entire self worth from approval from the West.
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Holy crap. BASF and chemical engineering excellence go hand in hand, and is one of Germany and Europe's core, industrial competencies.
Talk about a vote of no-confidence by one of Europe's hometown champions.
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@nise_yoshimi
The encore performance of the UK, the mother Anglo country, will be in 2050, when the gap in GDP per capita and living standards between the US and UK is so large that American politicians will be railing against all the illegal British immigrants coming to the US.
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I'm puzzled by allegation that Russia will "run out" of shells or be unable to replace worn out artillery tubes. Russia does have significant manufacturing capability and neither shells nor tubes are particularly technologically sophisticated or difficult object to make.
One of the most ridiculous predictions came from Michael Kofman a few wks ago when he predicted the Russians would be exhausted right about now. Has 20+ yrs of killing Muslims/bombing Muslims countries for fun+sport made everyone forget that wars can last longer than a few weeks?
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Holy jesus I don’t think I’ve laughed so goddamn hard at a Tweet in a while.
Like war could pop off and she wants to fucken lecture about manspreading 🤣🤣🤣.
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Something about the Ukraine war has made Calibre Obscura unhinged. The latest fight with Armchair Warlord is the least of it: he has trolled Julian Roepcke, a pro-Ukraine journalist, multiple times, for not blindly promoting Ukraine at every turn.
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Let's check in and see how European diplomacy is going
💥SCOOP - Brussels has drawn up a plan to sabotage Hungary’s economy if Viktor Orbán blocks a €50bn aid package to Ukraine this week, according to a secret internal document seen by
@FT
that lays out Budapest’s economic weaknesses & how to exploit them 🧵
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Random lynchings and internment camps for Asians/Chinese in the US inevitable.
And the post-war political recriminations in the case of a loss will be violent and endless. If you thought Jan6 was "earth shaking", wait until you see what happens, post-war.
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Retaking of Kosovo by Serbia would be the most based timeline.
Tensions are very high currently between Serbia and Kosovo, with reports of barricades going up in Serb areas of the province and clashes. It’s an evolving situation tonight but it’s possible that Serbia has upped the ante as part of a geopolitical move coordinated with Russia
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Given how US social media companies are now engaging in obvious wartime censorship at the behest of the USG, why haven’t foreign countries banned them?
Too cucked?
China’s decision to ban Western social media back in the mid 2000’s seems utterly sage-like in retrospect.
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If Hitler had gassed 6 million black people in the Congo, literally no one would have cared.
The Western-ness of the victim determines the sanctity of the memory.
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Excellent data analysis of the Russian invasion.
"Russia’s rate of conquest is extraordinary: 1.43 times faster than Israel in 1967, 1.85 times faster than US in Iraq in 2003, and 10 times faster than US in Kuwait in 1991."
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@RWApodcast
Twitter and the West think war is a war crime now, despite extraordinarily restrained Russian tactical conduct.
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Can't believe people are liking and Yas Kween'ing this picture. They are literally sending middle aged women to their death against a professional army with only a rifle, in an age of arty and air power.
And people say Ukraine is providing "unexpected resistance"? Ridiculous.
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The magic of the United States is that it can declare and wage war without being sanctioned.
Genuinely wonder if China can develop this magic shield over the next decade or so by increasing its systematic global economic importance.
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Ukrainian propaganda is becoming hysterical, which is an unintentionally good indicator of how they negatively they see the situation internally, despite public bravado.
Also, that this tweet is getting so much engagement indicates how effective UA propaganda is right now.
In Kyiv a woman knocked down a Russian drone from a balcony with a jar of cucumbers. How did they expect to occupy this country?
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McFaul’s culture war against Russia and Putin just confirms that America’s area studies and PoliSci/IR fields are fatally compromised by activism rather than analysis.
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Insane levels of hubris from a third worlder. Absolute Indian delusion.
People like you would would stomp on the faces of your fellow countrymen to get your kids into MIT or Harvard, especially if it meant that they could permanently emigrate (and bring you along) to the US.
If the heads of Penn/MIT/Harvard are not forced to resign after that performance, it will be a sign that the US too is past the point of no return. It is already too late for Europe. So, if US cannot turn back, we in India should make our own arrangements.
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Though I'm not Russian, I'm very uncomfortable watching liberal Russian emigres trying to gain social capital from Westerners on Twitter dot com by sh*tting on their homeland. Be anti-war or anti-Putin, fine. But something about the intensity of their feeling is off-putting.
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Lee Geun/Ken Rhee, is a celebrity ex-ROKN SEAL. The Korean version of those celeb ex-USN SEALs. He went to Ukraine to fight and flexed on the gram about it.
Now? He's trying to flee to Poland. I don't think this war is going as well as the Ukrainians say.
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Sounded ridiculous to begin with.
We're in a astroturfed, pro-Ukraine, parallel reality, that has been catalyzed by a relentless 24/7 newscycle and censored+US government "guided" social media.
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The reason why the two Anglo countries, the US+UK, are so good at psyops, is because they dominate the global newsmedia/social media environment through their news companies (ie NYT, Reuters), social media firms (all US in this case, like Twitter), and of course, English itself.
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Biden is just Trump but less funny.
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Western liberal tolerance dies instantly under geopolitical pressure. It's fake.
Just witness anti-German persecutions during WWI or anti-Japanese ones during WWII in the US.
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Remarkable. This is now the fourth major crisis where China is the winner of the crisis and basically comes out ahead in GDP growth or totally unscathed, while others get the wind knocked out
1) 1997 Asian Financial Crisis
2) 2007-08 GFC
3) Covid shocks
4) Russia/Ukraine shocks
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Chen Weihua, beneath his troll like exterior, is actually a pretty good judge of character. Several sd's above the mean. His willingness to call McFaul an idiot and get blocked was a sign.
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Lol. At this point, I’ve been asked/accused in my timeline and in my DMs of being a white guy, Indian, Chinese, Korean, Nigerian, anti-Islam crypto-Hindutva activist, and now, Russian.
I am patting myself on the back at how good I am at anonymizing myself.
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It’s not military effective and they will have to adjust once more bodies pile up. The Russians, by relenting, have sacrificed their own troops to preserve Ukrainian lives, and have allowed the narrative of a Ukrainian resistance to take hold.
This strategy is not sustainable.
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With the rise of Eastern European Standpoint Epistemology (aka Nazis were good guys because they killed Russians) due to the Ukraine War, and now this, have we reached a new point in Western WWII historiography: Nazis actually weren’t that bad after all?
‘What Makes Hamas Worse Than the Nazis.’ A very important piece by leading British historian and peer Andrew Roberts.
@aroberts_andrew
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US: "China is evil. We want to bomb China."
Singapore (70%+ ethnic Chinese): "Ok we like China more than the US now"
Blob: 😲
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Interesting how even fellow Europeans can now be on the receiving end of the most primitive Reddit racism if they even mildly contravene Western transatlantic regime liberalism.
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One thing I've increasingly noticed in the FT comments, previously the one oasis of internet comment sanity, is that Brits/Euros are just getting increasingly unhinged with their "Western Democracy" vs "Evil Oriental Autocracy" beliefs.
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From crashing British financial markets, to frozen Germans and the spectre of deindustrialization, to the beyond pitiful state of Russian military performance, the European continent is finished. Utterly finished.
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Germany is a country that has no purpose other than to be this generic, identity-less, liberal node in the American empire. Similar to Canada.
BREAKING: Germany announces that it will restart coal-fired power plants in order to conserve natural gas
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I don't wanna sound like a smartass. But doesn't the fact that the PRC feds are now lightening up on Zero Covid, and are transitioning out of the ZC regime at a faster speed than what people were thinking as recently as last month, a sign that the system is ackshually responsive?
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A lot of Americans are saying that China is mistaken in supporting Russia, but that just appears to be wishcasting. China has a major interest in seeing Russia overcome sanctions, as it knows that the current tranche of Western sanctions will eventually be directed at China.
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He locked his account, but I thought this piece of info was important. The fact that so many Russians have Ukrainian relatives/ancestors makes the West’s attempts to transform Ukraine into the anti-Russia all the more offensive, and helped set the background conditions for war.
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A good way to think about Europe and Japan's alliances with the US, is that they have sold away the right to faster economic growth in exchange for security guarantees from the US, to solve security problems that exist because of US foreign policy in the first place.
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For all those European-cels who now want China to sign up to the inevitable Western sanctions package against Russia: Was pointlessly banning Huawei at the US' request, banning exports of ASML EUV machines at the US' request, playing footsy with Taiwan, all worth it?
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Given how antagonistic the West is to China, including export controls, market access blocks, and human rights moralizing, I think China’s internal attitude is clear: the West, including Europe, need to be administered a therapeutic dose of suffering as punishment.
Beijing has not walked back an inch from this Xi-Putin statement, does not even refer to Russia's actions as an invasion, will not exercise its duty at the UNSC/UNGA to acknowledge the Article 2 violation, echoes Putin's gaslighting blame-shifting onto NATO, & rejects sanctions.
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It’s like a law of physics: the weaker and poorer your postcolonial nation is, the more of your polity’s female diaspora take to Twitter to write nonsensical anti-colonial diatribes about how whitie pronounced their ethnic food or name wrong.
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The adoption of export-driven state hypercapitalism in postwar South Korea, in order to catch up with the West, appears to have so thoroughly atomized their society, that it’s returned to some primitive, hyper-survivalist ethics in the process, dumping historic family centrism.
Only 3% of South Koreans said that family was a major source of meaning.
No wonder their birth rate is so low!!
I think part of this is that over the 20th century they worked insanely long hours, in order to match western productivity, and this may have broken family bonds.
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One thing that I’ve never understood is Western economist soyfacing over the “Rise of Asia”, when Japan is a US vassal, the Four Asian Tigers are too small to matter, and the rest of Asia is still insanely poor.
The only thing matters in Asian growth studies is China.
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This exactly.
Europe will be a much richer version of Latin America: politically dominated by the US; run remotely from DC; and completely economically stagnant.
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This also explains why:
1) Victims of Imperial Japan (like victims of the Nanjing Massacre) are not valued in Western consciousness
2) Why Soviet contribution to defeating Nazism is ignored or downplayed the West (Soviets are non-Western, and thus aren't "real" victims).
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Coupled with the news today that DeSantis is banning Chinese from owning land in Florida (in practice, it essentially will(may?) prevent Chinese immigrants to the US from owning houses), we're basically seeing the return of 1930s-style quasi-racial purity measures in the West.
In Latvia’s capital Riga, dozens of elderly Russians wait to take a basic Latvian language test, as a proof of loyalty to a country where they have lived for decades. If they fail, they may face expulsion
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I mean yeah lol this has literally been US foreign policy since 1945.
Have people been sleeping this whole time?
US foreign policy is to fundamentally prevent the development of other centers of economic and military power.
This has been true for how long now? 5 or 6 years, maybe? In 20-30 years it might be India or Vietnam’s turn to be the target of American ire, and the cycle probably won’t end there.
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If Russia violently breaks Ukraine apart and sacks Kiev, the damage to Western liberalism and its twin, US hegemony, on a global level, will be immense.
Good riddance.
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Brazil, India, and China have expressed neutrality, an unwillingness to sanction Russia, and in the latter two cases, outright sympathy with Russia's security complaints.
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Pretty clear that the US led West’s Uyghur/Xinjiang propaganda has fallen flat outside the West. The US just like to deceive itself that Muslims secretly care, as a kind of self-therapy to justify its ideological moralizing.
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Hey guys, your local “Expert of Chinese elite politics, economy, and finance”, has something to say.
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They suspended Russians With Attitude fuck twitter wack ass site.
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Busy this week, so not too much posting. But one of my fav genres right now is pro-Ukraine accounts attacking fellow pro-Uke journalist Julian Röpcke, because he doesn’t have enough social EQ to know that you’re only supposed to boost Ukraine, not talk about how bad things are.
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Everyone is taking L's with their predictions.
I took a massive L by believing that it would only take around a week before the Ukrainians would fold.
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Euro countries are now so blinded with arrogant moralistic outrage and anti-Russia antagonism, that they now want to turn Ukraine into another Syria or 1980s Afghanistan, to own the Russians.
This will not end well for Europe. Crossborder spillovers will be catastrophic.
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Not too sure why people think that wunderwaffe programs that are now in the pipeline will magically restore US hegemony in the 2030s, when it's fairly clear that China isn't standing still either, and the overall balance of power will be more favorable for China then too.
And there's reason for urgency on the part of Beijing: US military investments panning out in the 2030s, the anti-hegemonic coalition coming together, Xi's personal timeline etc. 8/
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Saw one of the slightly more reasonable Blob member RT this. There's obviously a concerted USG effort to attack India in the media for its lack of an antiRussia stance. Indians are now learning the price of a lack of total submission to the US, despite India's anti-China posture.
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I found it.
The most redditbrained idea of this whole conflict. See how much engagement this Tweet is getting.
Go to Google Maps. Go to Russia. Find a restaurant or business and write a review. When you write the review explain what is happening in Ukraine.
Idea via
@Konrad03249040
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I don't want to sound condescending, but do ordinary Europeans understand the direct linkage between their support for the US and its interventionist foreign policy, and the migrant crises and controversies over Islamic integration that they are suffering domestically?
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I know people will disagree with me on this, but If Russia loses this war, Russia as a nation is finished forever. Once losses happen, they don’t stop. That’s the lesson of history.
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Scary to think how ideology and the power of the Western/Anglo media can turn people into cultists.
@blob_watcher
It's eery to think how many people are so deeply emotionally invested into this conflict then once Ukraine is eventually abandoned watch how quick they move onto the next thing
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The ratio on this is hilarious.
Anglos don't seem to understand that Churchill and Co are only worshipped in Anglo/Western countries.
In British India, he was worse than Hitler and the Japanese, because he, unlike the latter, was responsible for killing Indians.
India has always had a rather ambivalent attitude to Subhas Chandra Bose, who initially sought Hitler's support and then allied with the Japanese, but was also fighting for Indian independence. That said, I think this is going too far. Dangerously so.
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Have we learned nothing from Japan's 1990s experience?
Stop bailing out failed businesses, failed investments, and failed real estate developers especially.
Bailing companies out is a high time preference capitulation to inefficient firms and bad investor behavior.
The International Monetary Fund: hey, you guys wanna spend a trillion dollars to bail out private real estate corporations??
China: nah not really
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One of the top reasons why Indian elites think they rule a country with a GDPpc of $40,000, is that the West has fellated India relentlessly since the end of the Cold War as the anti-China, which has led to delusions of grandeur.
India matters!
US President Joe Biden tells PM Modi -
“You are demonstrating that democracies matter”
“ You are causing me a real problem. Next month we have a dinner for you in Washington. Everyone on the whole country wants to come. I have run out of tickets. You think I
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This is the funniest revisionism and memory holing by Western liberals.
Deng was literally 10x more brutal domestically, and was way more adventurous in foreign policy than Xi, courting possible war with the Soviets in the 1979 Sino-Viet War.
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1) People are demanding John Mearsheimer be cancelled
2) Josh
@shifrinson
driven off Twitter
3) IR scholars posting nonsensical hive minded pro-Ukraine stuff
IR as an academic field is over. Controlled by the lib internationalist mob, the forpol equivalent to domestic woke mob.
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I think the US genuinely believes that its military assistance to Taiwan is right, and China shouldn't respond, and that Chinese aid to Russia would be totally wrong, and should result in sanctions.
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Also what the US economy would look like if it wasn't able to extract the surplus afforded to it by global hegemony.
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Conversely, the fact that Jews are a Western civ ethnic group is why they and the Holocaust are at the center of Western remembrance of WWII, and not say, Russian or Chinese civilians, who are just Orientals whose lives don't matter.
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Thesis: Western liberals don't see nations as national homes for an ethno/religious/lingustic group (ie the traditional nation state model), but merely as economic vessels or tools for parochial identarian political projects (like multiculturalism or opposing China).
I never understood why Taiwan didn’t just let in millions of immigrants from the rest of Asia, turning itself into a thriving multicultural society. It solves 2 problems: the demographic one caused by falling birthdates and it makes Taiwan a very bitter pill for China to swallow
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There was already anger against China among academics beginning under Obama and Trump, that China hadn't responded positively to "engagement", though the real reason was that China wasn't submitting to US hegemony. Now that anger is going to turn into a flood of ragetears.
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I now think that US threats of further sanctions against China for supporting Russia are NOT contrived to furthering decoupling, by provoking China into supporting Russia.
The explanation is simpler: US can't help itself but make threats, due to how arrogant primacy has made it.
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The post-2018 cohort of engineers in China are its very own Manhattan Project generation.
There's been a lot of movement in China this year in cutting edge sectors (not just microchips), which is one reason why I find Chinese GDP growth figures plausible.
The US won’t be able to stop Chinese firms from SMIC to Huawei from making progress in chip technology, according to one of the semiconductor industry’s leading figures
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Has anyone written a serious investigation into the relationship between South Korea's rock bottom fertility, and the fact that the country, specifically the Seoul metro area, is just insanely dense?
I want to know if there is a definite causal linkage between density and TFR.
Just when you think South Korea‘s fertility rate may have bottomed out, it declines further. In Q1 2023, there were 6% fewer births than 2022. The TFR declined to 0.81 from 0.87 in Q1 2022 (in Seoul from 0.67 to 0.62).
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"Buy gas and oil from the United States"
LOL war profiteering is already in full swing. Love to see it.
BREAKING:
SCHOLZ TO PARLIAMENT - GERMANY WILL OFFICIALLY END RELIANCE ON RUSSIAN GAS, BUY GAS AND OIL FROM THE UNITED STATES
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We need to temporarily ban liberals from posting until we can figure out what is going on.
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Interesting to see the Blob talk itself into a war, in large part based on the perception that the Chinese economy is fake.
Oh well. I guess they'll have to learn the hard way.
China’s economy is a basket case. It grew over the decades because the United States wanted it to grow as part of our strategy of incorporating China as a stakeholder in the rules based system. Now that China is challenging the system, the free world is kicking the ladder down.
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I don’t want to get cancelled making some observations about this Singaporean woman cheering on US hegemony. So I’ll keep my mouth shut.
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This has implications way beyond just Africa.
Many Anglo/Indians spent the 2000s talking about how India's tech/services/consumption driven economy would help it catch up to China. Oops.
@asemota
No developing country has achieved mass employment without an actual vibrant manufacturing sector, it’s as close to a law of physics at this point. The masses in African countries will not reach salvation with tech no matter how much we wish it so.
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I love how she manages to insult a country she wants as an ally, mainly by declaring how undesirable its immigrants are followed by a cheap shot against Indian political culture.
Westerners/Americans have intense superiority complexes.
The worst mistake the West made was not keeping India close.
We could have had a bulwark against China of a billion English speaking capitalists.
Washington arrogance pushed an ally away.
All we got was Indian tech CEOs from a culture with no respect for free speech.
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Ironic thing about US politics is that the outcome doesn't really matter that much to US citizens. They are super rich and inhabit a physically secure, invulnerable country.
The hysteria over US politics is lib-coded partisanship, and foreigners mistake this for reality.
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I know I’m discussing touchy shit, but fuggit: Israel’s opposition to Armenian genocide recognition, and the failure by various Chinese to make Nanjing Massacre commemoration a thing in the West in the 1990s, redpilled me on how utterly artificial the Holocaust obsession is.
It’s funny that until recently the ADL lobbied against recognizing the massacre of Armenians as a genocide because it diluted their clout. Imagine having such strong opinions on other people’s tragedies because it affects your ability to grift off your own.
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Credit to
@ShazCoder
for observing that while the US’s new Cold War against China is very bad, it is also very funny.
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