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@athein1

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@athein1
au ng
2 years
Florida comparison. You can definitely see the reddening of almost all counties! #RedTsunami
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 3pm update R lead now at 143.6k and increasing. When accounting for expected addons from late reporting counties, it could top 300k. Trump should win FL by 5 pts.
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@athein1
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3 months
Looks like #Kamala 's honeymoon is peaking at about Trump +1.7 on RCP. That will translate into about a 120 EV win margin for Trump.
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@athein1
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4 years
#NC at 85% now. Trump very likely to win the reelection at this point!!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 1:40pm update. R lead is at 122k. Rate of increase at about 17k per hour, but should pick back up later in the afternoon. Trump wins FL by 5 pts!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting Sumter Co. update. Rs have outperformed 2016 by 3.1 pts. Sumter was supposedly the place to monitor for the seniors deserting Trump. That narrative has failed. Trump will win Sumter by an even bigger margin than in 2016. Watch the Sumter results at 8pm ET.
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@athein1
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4 years
Right shift of the needles continues. NC is now in the red territory. Of course, #fakenews #MSM started their model with polls of NC which suggested Biden wins then the actual votes come in shifting to the reality, just like in 2016. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 10:00 update: R lead is now at 22129, up by 13k in last 20 min and increasing and trending towards 300k+ by the end of the day. This will translate into a Trump win by about 5%. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
77-80% of Dems vs only 20-29% of Rs are worried about #COVID19 --> Massive R turnout advantage in in-person voting, esp. on 11/3. #POTUS 's landslide win margins may surprise even the most optimistic among us. #MAGA
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@athein1
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4 years
What is more likely, a six sigma event? Or corrupt Dems stealing the election?
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@athein1
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4 years
Why wouldn't they call FL? 98% in at Broward already. Their gaslighting is transparent.
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@athein1
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4 years
#ExitPolls : No. 1 issue is Economy! Surprise, surprise. Favors Trump. Vote!! Don't leave the LINE. We need every one last VOTE to be fraud-proof.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting update 2pm. Dem Lead is vaporizing right before our eyes. -28k over last 6hrs. The projection line is going down to about 150k by the election eve. If this continues, Trump wins hands down. This isn't isolated; it's happening nationwide! EC Landslide for Rs
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@athein1
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4 years
@LarrySchweikart Actually at 105% now and growing!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead at 35757, increasing at a pace of 40k per HOUR. At this rate, we'll be at 300k R lead by 6 pm. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL As impressive as the R lead is increasing rapidly and broadly across the state, the best is yet to come. It's when the actual vote count starts when Dem crossovers and Indies will go for Trump big time. This phenomenon is being repeated nationwide #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL As expected, R lead is now at 116422, well above Trump's 2016 win margin of 112911. R lead should end up around 300k or higher by the end of day. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#NC at 88% now!! That should settle it!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 09:40am update. Red Tsunami coming!! Miami-Dade and Sarasota aren’t included in this data, but their combined impact will be minimal. We’re still looking at 300k+ R lead by the end of the day. I predict Trump wins FL by at least 5%. As goes FL, so goes the nation! #MAGA
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL More than 10 million votes have been cast, over 106% of 2016 total, and it is expected to go as high as 11 million when all is said and done. Trump should win FL by 5 points! #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 2:20pm update R lead now at 133k and the pace is back up to 18k increase per hr.
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@athein1
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4 years
I've been saying about Sumter for a while. Today, it set a milestone, becoming the first county to surpass the 100% mark of the total 2016 turnout. As of now, Rs are overperforming 2016 by 2 pct pts. Per @Redistrict 's criteria, FL will be a blowout win by Trump!!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting More evidence Trump will win FL: Revisiting Sumter Co. #FakeNewsMedia and #FakePolls have pushed the idea that seniors are shifting away from Trump. A few weeks ago, they analyzed the fake poll results and ----
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 4pm update. R lead now at 158k, still increasing at 14k/hr pace. Will be in 230-270k range at the end of day. I expect Trump win margin in FL to be around 4 points.
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@athein1
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4 years
BREAKING Video: Young Internet Sleuth Reveals Evidence Showing Over 23K PA Ballots Were Filled Out and Returned Before They Were Ever Mailed To Voters (and MORE) via @gatewaypundit
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead at 73972 or 0.75 percentage points. 2016 R lead was 0.64 pct pts. Trump is already ahead of 2016 and it's only 11:20 am. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL Case study #Pinellas The bellwether that #MSM loves to boast. Rs now lead by 2545 votes in TOTAL votes. R lead will only increase as the day goes by. FL is done. Trump wins.
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@athein1
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4 years
Per FL GOP's spreadsheet, the R lead is now at 212k (including Miami-Dade and Hillsborough).
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@athein1
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4 years
TX already at 4 pts with 81% in. We know all the early votes have been counted? Why aren't they calling TX or FL. #MSM is the #EnemyofThePeople
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@athein1
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4 years
If you're at that point, you know you're losing.
@RBReich
Robert Reich
4 years
I can't overstate how backwards it is that the person with the most votes doesn’t determine who is president.
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@athein1
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4 years
#NC 79% now!
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@athein1
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6 years
FL EV update 7;21 am 10/31 R lead increased again to 62.9k. Dems are in trouble. FL is a safe R if this trend continues. Only 5 more days of EV in D leaning counties while 6 more days in R leaning panhandle.
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@athein1
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4 years
2016 D lead (VBM+IPEV) = 96450 Trump won 2016 by 113k votes As of now, D lead = 94455 and is decreasing fast, despite D requested 811k more VBM ballots. (In 2016, VBM requests were roughly D=R) 2020 Trump will win FL by ------ ? A Trump win is all but assured.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 2pm update R lead is at 127k now.
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@athein1
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4 years
Wow!
@CHIZMAGA
CHIZ 🇺🇸
4 years
Election Day Voting Clark County, NV — 10AM PT 🔴 Republicans: 41.3% 🔵 Democrats: 27.4% ⚪️ Other: 31.3%
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@athein1
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4 years
@unseen1_unseen That's their gaslighting. They call a state for Biden at 60-40 odds. They won't call a state for Trump until 99% odds. #MSM is the #EnemyofThePeople
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@athein1
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4 years
Looks like we will win MI and WI eventually, enough for 274 EV. PA or AZ won't matter if that's the case. But I doubt #MSM would call either of WI or MI tonight.
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@athein1
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4 years
If a group of people plotted a coup unsuccessful yet went unpunished, do you seriously think they wouldn't conspire to steal an election?
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@athein1
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4 years
Just like clockwork, the polls now "tighten" and shift from gaslighting mode into self-preservation mode, trying to be at least within margin or error! Even then, they'll still miss significantly. #fakepolls and #MSM are #EnemyofThePeople
@Politics_Polls
Political Polls
4 years
WISCONSIN Trump 50% (+1) Biden 49% @atlas_intel , LV, 10/29-30
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@athein1
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4 years
Remember this from 2016 Election Night? We're gonna have a repeat on steroids in 4 days.
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@athein1
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4 years
#NC #EarlyVoting To those of you who are peeing in pants about NC, here's the Targetsmart model. D lead in '16 at this time was 10 pts and now it's 0.9 pts. How can Trump do less well in '16 in NC? No way no how. NC will be to the right of FL by a few pts. Trump wins easily.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead is now at 219260. I'm confident Trump wins FL, by about 3 points.
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@athein1
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4 years
Red Tsunami nationwide!!
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@athein1
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4 years
Trump leading in Bucks County now, supposed bellwether in PA.
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@athein1
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4 years
The needles shift further to the Right. To me, Trump's got NC and GA. It'll take #MSM 4 more hours at least.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting D Lead is now at 138k, down almost 25k in the last 3.5 hrs.
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@athein1
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4 years
LOL! MSM gets caught red handed.
@unseen1_unseen
unseen1
4 years
CNN reporting that VA is trending back to Trump....told you fox called it too early....
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@athein1
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4 years
Think about what a Trump reelection will mean for SCOTUS. Thomas and Breyer will most likely retire, sealing an originalist majority for a generation. If we get lucky, more appointments will be a gravy. Go Vote Rs. #MAGA2020
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting As of now, Big 3 S. FL counties have shifted to Trump since '16 so much that it more than compensates for any left shift at any of the other D-leaning counties (other metros) combined. The rest of FL is deep red!! Trump wins FL handily, and by extension EC!!
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@athein1
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2 months
This is big for Trump. In 2016, national Jewish vote was Clinton +47 and in 2020, it was +30 and +56 by Biden in two polls. Now, it's Harris +12 in PA.
@PpollingNumbers
Political Polls
2 months
#New General Election poll - Pennsylvania - Jewish voters 🔵 Harris 55% (+12) 🔴 Trump 43% Honan (N/A) - 400 JV - 8/1
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead at 138111 at 2:40pm and increasing. I estimate the R lead will be 300k+ by the end of day. Trump should win FL by about 5pts. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
AT this rate, I think 326 Electoral Votes is a LOCK!!!
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@athein1
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6 years
1pm FL update. Republican lead grows by 1300 from a few hours earlier. Now at 74309. All counties start EV today. So tomorrow update will be exciting
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL Red Tsunami Warning. It's only 8:43am and the D lead has plummeted to 36242. A drop of 77k since yesterday evening!! The eventual margin of Trump's victory may surprise even the most optimistic among us! Go VOTE!! #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
In the next election, all the red counties should not report any results until all reporting is done in fraudulent big cities! Do not give the thieves license to steal!
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@athein1
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1 month
This is a D +13 poll and Harris is up by only 4 pts? Trump is winning!
@IAPolls2022
InteractivePolls
1 month
Post-debate poll by YouGov/Economist 🟦 Harris: 49% [+4] 🟥 Trump: 45% [=] 🟪 Other: 2% [+/- change vs 9/8-10] —— Trends Aug. 20 - 🔵 Harris +3 Sept. 3 - 🔵 Harris +2 Sept. 10 - 🟡 Tie Sept. 17 - 🔵 Harris +4 (new high) —— Generic Ballot 🟦 DEM: 47% [+1] 🟥 GOP: 43% [-2]
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL Mr. Christian Ziegler's sheet (includes Miami-Dade and Hillsborough) is reporting 199k R lead as of now. It gels well with the data from my grpah.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL Rs lead by 4k in the bellwether Pinellas county. Trump should win FL.
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@athein1
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4 years
Fox may have overtaken CNN and MSNBC as king of the #EnemyofThePeople
@Peoples_Pundit
Rich Baris The People's Pundit
4 years
For @FoxNews to call Arizona after Fontes froze the count in Maricopa — but NOT calling Florida until hours after it was over — is pretty obvious. Trump's ED vote is BIG, and broke that large in several other states. Fox is playing a role. No doubt. Third world shit, folks.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting 6pm update. What an incredible day! D Lead at 114k and down 49k for the day. I conservatively estimate it'll be in 50-100k range by E eve. Another milestone set today: We've surpassed 2016 R EV performance in percentage terms!! Trump wins FL easily, and EC!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead now at 62.5k. The slope is almost a straight line at 40k per hour and keeps increasing. At this rate, we reach 300k by 5pm or so. And Miami-Dade and other delayed reporting counties will ADD TO this R lead! Trump wins FL by 5pts+. As goes FL, so goes the nation!!
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@athein1
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4 years
Some good signs for Rs in #NV #EarlyVoting Per Targetsmart, at this point in 2016, D lead was 10.3 pts. Now it's 1.8 pts and it's decreasing. Reg. data shows D lead is about 6 pts. So, it looks like independents are favoring Rs bigly. We'll see how the remaining few days go.
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@athein1
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4 years
Fox is now on par with CNN and MSNBC! #EnemyofThePeople
@RealAPolitics
Real American Politics
4 years
They didnt even count the election day votes in Maricopa yet
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting 3:40pm update. D Lead at 91527, down 25k since 8:30a. I expect it to be in 50k-100k range on election eve. It was 96450 in 2016. Trump wins FL handily. Winner of FL has won 13 of last 14 elections, 1992 being lone exception when Ross Perot took 20% pop. vote
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting update 8:30am. Dem Lead continues to collapse. -52k, -56k, -39k, -43k over last 4 days. It’s projected to be below 150k by the election eve. Trump wins hands down. This isn't isolated; This phenomenon is being repeated nationwide! EC Landslide!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting 6p update D lead now at 102538, only up 7.6k for the day. It doesn't include Miami-Dade or Sarasota, I think. But we're looking at 110k max, way below 299k minimum, or 650k (or even 900k) Ds needed. Trump wins FL, and by extension the nation!!
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@athein1
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4 years
#WI #EarlyVoting Targetsmart model puts D lead at 1.5 pts while in 2016, it was 9.2 pts. More than 3x EV comp to 2016, yet less than half the D lead in vote numbers. Trump should do in WI better than in 2016 --> Trump wins WI, and with it EC.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting update D lead now stands at 108123, up by only 13k since yesterday am. This is at the low end of my estimate of 100k-150k. Last yr, it was 96k. With extra 811k VBM requests this yr, Ds came up with just 12k extra votes. A disaster for them. Trump wins FL!!
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@athein1
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4 years
BREAKING EXCLUSIVE: System 'Glitch' Also Uncovered In Wisconsin - Reversal of Swapped Votes Removes Lead from Joe Biden via @gatewaypundit
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@athein1
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4 years
Up to 288000 (or more) of Michigan Registered Voters might be fake! That's assuming all eligible voters are registered.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting 3pm update. D lead at 112566, up, from trickling VBMs, by only 4.4k since 8am. It will end less than 120k, in the lower half of my estimate range. It is much less than where Ds need it to be to have a chance. Trump wins FL hands down, and with it presidency!!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 4:40pm update. R Lead is now at 170k, excluding some counties (listed below graph). It should be in 230k-270k range when all counties report. Trump's win margin is expected to be around 4 points.
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@athein1
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4 years
In case Twitter blocks me out my Parler handle is @Athein1
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL 9:20am update. D lead at 5016. The drop is accelerating, if that's possible. It will be R lead at the next update at 09:40!! We're looking at 400k-500k R lead by the end of the day! 5%-8% Trump win in FL is quite possible. That means VA, CO, NM and OR are in play!!
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@athein1
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4 years
Now that JHU has censored its own scientists, I'm attaching here the cached report it published earlier. Shame on the political class that censors the scientists. The leftists and the #MSM are the #EnemyOfThePeople
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@athein1
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4 years
"... not only has COVID-19 had no effect on the percentage of deaths of older people, but it has also not increased the total number of deaths. " #FakeNews #MSM & #Dems pushed this hoax of the century upon the whole world! How gullible the sheeple are!
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@athein1
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4 years
24 hrs to when polls close in all of #FL and we start seeing the actual results by county. We should be able to tell a lot by looking at these first batches that will make up 80% of the vote in many counties. Go VOTE tomorrow. Never quit the line for any reason.
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@athein1
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4 years
If we give up, 2016 will have been the last free and fair election in this country. Very sad.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting 12pm update. As promised :), D Lead has now crossed the 100k mark, now at 99641 and continues its collapse. It'll cross 96k mark (2016 benchmark) in the next hr! Means Trump wins FL. Winner of FL has won each of the last 6 elections
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@athein1
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4 years
TX is a 6 pt win for Trump. They didn't call it for a long time. AZ will be much closer. Yet they called it for Biden. Disgusting!! #EnemyofThePeople
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting Targetsmart update: As I expected, the model has flipped and now shows an R lead for the first time by 0.3 pts. It will continue to grow. You can think of ED as IPEV x 5 to 8. It will end up around R +4 pts. A 3-4 pt win for Trump is quite likely!
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting Targetsmart angle. 3 days ago, its model put D lead at 1.8 pct pts. As of this am (actual data was midday 10/28), the lead's down to 0.3 pts. So, by E eve, it'll be R lead by about 2-3 pts. If we add 1-2 pts by Rs on ED, Voila, my estimate of 4 pt Trump win!
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4 years
Another reason Trump will win: As stunning as his 2016 win was, he did that with less than stellar support among establishment type Rs. Now those Rs (esp in TX, but also AZ etc), after seeing tax cuts, court appts, are coming home.
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL Red Tsunami Warning. 9am update: the D lead has plummeted to 23902. A drop of 12k in the last 20 minutes!! The eventual margin of Trump's victory may surprise even the most optimistic among us! Go VOTE!! P.S. I updated the graph for ED. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL R lead is at 176k, increasing at a steady rate of 18k/hr. So, this should reach 220k, without some delayed counties. When all counties report, it should be in 240k-270k range. I expect 3-4 point win by Trump. As goes FL, so goes the nation, esp MI and PA!!
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@athein1
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4 years
If we had the Needle for #OH , it will be at 90%+
@davidchapman141
David D. Chapman
4 years
dear ohio doomers
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@athein1
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4 years
Hope Justice will served, finally. It will be a beautiful poetic justice indeed.
@LakesFirearmsTr
Joe McWopSki
4 years
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4 years
#FL 12pm update R lead is now at 93k. It should hit 300k mark by the end of the day, and definitely after Miami-Dade and Hillsborough report, which will add to the R lead. I expect a 4-5 pt win for Trump in FL. As goes FL, so goes the nation! Winner of FL won all since 1996
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@athein1
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4 years
Believe your own eyes! Not the #EnemyofThePeople #MSM
@theca13
David Burstein
4 years
Voter Fraud this lady has been at it an hour. ⁦ @DonaldJTrumpJr ⁩ ⁦ @realDonaldTrump ⁩ ⁦ @RealJamesWoods ⁩ ⁦ @laralogan ⁩ Delaware county Pennsylvania camera number 7
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@athein1
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4 years
Finally, Fox called TX
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting Targetsmart update: As expected, R lead has expanded to 0.8 pts. Targetsmart lags the real time by about 1.5 days. At this rate, the R lead will be ~1.5 at 6am ED, and the final R lead will be ~3.5 to 4, just as I expected. FL's Trump's
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@athein1
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting Targetsmart update: As I expected, the model has flipped and now shows an R lead for the first time by 0.3 pts. It will continue to grow. You can think of ED as IPEV x 5 to 8. It will end up around R +4 pts. A 3-4 pt win for Trump is quite likely!
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4 years
It will end on 11/3. With the margins that I see in FL (3-4 pts), the Rust Belt will move with it and there won't be any doubt on the morning of 11/4. Go VOTE!! #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
@realDonaldTrump
Donald J. Trump
4 years
The Election should end on November 3rd., not weeks later!
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4 years
So in summary, out of PA, MI and WI, whoever wins 2 out of 3 will win.
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4 years
NBC says Tillis doing well in NC!!
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4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting update My figures from earlier today were a little off. It turns out the D lead right now (as of 4pm) is about 99k; up by only 4k since 8am. Trump wins FL hands down. And so goes the Nation.
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@athein1
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4 years
If a college student cheats on an exam, he will get a zero for it. If Dems cheat an election, what should they get?
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4 years
#FL R lead at 110676. In the next 20 min, that lead will exceed 2016 Trump win margin of 112911!
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4 years
Twitter is now censoring Hunter Biden's XXX tape. You have to use an unbiased search engine like duckduckgo to see it. Unbelievable. This election is over!
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au ng
4 years
Twitter deleted that tweet I quoted. So, here are the data: Census says 21.5% are under 18 (not eligible to vote). So, you can calculate number of eligible voters in Michigan. It's at least 200k less than registered number, even if 2020 Nov population estimate is 10.1m.
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@athein1
au ng
4 years
#FL #EarlyVoting case study: Sumter Co. @Redistrict mentioned 2 wks ago (attached) if Trump wins 66% in Sumter, FL'd be close. Trump won 69-30 in '16. Now, Rs are overperforming '16 by 1.7 pts already with 2 more days of EV. Trump will get 70+% in Sumter, and win FL bigger.
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@athein1
au ng
4 years
What a dishonest thread by #FakeNews operative @Redistrict The thread implies Biden is doing well in Sumter by saying R:D of 59:24 (actually it's 59:23) and Trump:Clinton was 69:30. It did not mention that R:D in 2016 was 56:24. Rs are already ahead of 2016 by 3 pts!!
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Dave Wasserman
4 years
New: Sumter Co., FL has cast 83,592 early votes (79% turnout, by far the highest in the state). Breakdown: GOP: 49,094 (59%) Dem: 19,799 (24%) NPA/Other: 14,699 (17%) Sumter's Election Day turnout as of 11am: GOP: 2,676 (65%) Dem: 633 (16%) NPA/Other: 788 (19%)
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@athein1
au ng
4 years
#FL R lead now at 181k at 5:20 pm. Excludes data from some important counties that will add to this R lead.
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@athein1
au ng
4 years
#FL R lead now at 84k. The rate of increase has slowed a bit to 30k per hour. We should hit at least 300k mark, I think. We have already SURPASSED 2016 R lead margin. #MAGA2020LandslideVictory
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