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Andrew Sentance Profile
Andrew Sentance

@asentance

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Independent business economist. Former CBI Director of Economic Affairs and BA Chief Economist. Member of #BoE MPC 2006-11. Guitarist & organist.

Broxbourne, Herts
Joined July 2011
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
10 hours
With Trump threatening trade wars, we’ve heard nothing from the WTO, the custodian of free trade globally. Leaders of international organisations must stand up to be counted. Trump should not be allowed to bully other countries into submission.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
10 hours
@degsy380 Hopefully people are not taken in by this dodgy Twitter/X account. Very hard to stop this kind of thing, but maybe imitation is flattery!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
15 hours
Last week, when the #BoE ramped up its inflation forecast, not one #MPC member voted against a rate cut. Where are the inflation hawks these days? Not on the MPC, clearly!
@turnbullissimo
Harry Turnbull
16 hours
@asentance So with inflation headwinds picking up why on earth has @bankofengland reduced rates? Is this like picking up the trail too late a few years ago?
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
17 hours
Inflation Alert! Just received an email from Thames Water. Our water bill will go up by over 40pc in April! The average rise across the UK will be 26pc, adding about 0.1 percent to CPI inflation. Another unhelpful addition to inflation, alongside energy prices, NI + min wage.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
2 days
Good to see Times Radio doing well - outstripping rivals with jump in listeners. I listen quite a bit, since Radio 4 has gone rapidly downhill!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
4 days
@John_Stepek The Bank’s problem is that low growth is mainly down to problems on the supply-side of the economy rather than lack of demand. So pumping in more demand will just lead to more inflation.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
4 days
@andrew_lilico Those who live in glass houses should not throw stones!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
5 days
@trevgoes4th @bankofengland Energy prices are part of the inflation equation, but looking ahead there are other factors - higher employerNI, wage inflation in the private sector = 6pc, services inflation = 4.4pc, etc. #MPC has set this aside and decided to cut rates despite evidence of its own forecasts!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
5 days
Fully agreed. Not a good day for the #MPC.
@MrMBrown
Michael Brown
5 days
The Bank of England appear to have forgotten that their job is to get inflation back to 2%, and not to cut Bank Rate in an effort to prop up growth and make up for the Government's fiscal ineptitude
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
5 days
@SkyNews @BethRigby Well done Beth for calling this out. The @bankofengland forecast is dire news for the gov’t. Higher inflation and worse growth. As you pointed out, the autumn Budget has made things worse.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
5 days
How independent is the @bankofengland these days? With inflation set to rise sharply, the #MPC has cut interest rates which the great British public think is a “good thing”. Governor Andrew Bailey thinks the economy is “disinflating” but his forecast says the opposite!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
5 days
@bankofengland Governor Andrew Bailey said today he doesn’t like the word “stagflation”. I’m not surprised because that is what we’ve now got - 3 consecutive years of sub-1pc growth with inflation heading up towards 4pc! Not a situation for cutting interest rates.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
6 days
If I was still on the #MPC, I’d vote to hold interest rates, rather than cut them this month. 4 of us on the Times shadow MPC voted to hold, with only the slimmest 5-4 majority for a cut. Tomorrow’s rate decision could be closer than markets expect.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
6 days
@andrew_lilico A council of despair, Andrew. You can surely do better than this!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
6 days
There’s a narrow 5-4 majority on ⁦⁦@thetimes⁩ shadow MPC for an interest rate cut this month. A much tighter vote than expected from the real #MPC tomorrow.4 shadow MPC members (myself included) voted against a rate cut citing inflation concerns.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
8 days
@DMcWilliams_UK He (Scott Bessent) has defe fed tariffs as a “negotiating tool”. Suggests he doesn’t really believe they are a “good thing” in the way Trump suggests.
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
8 days
@DMcWilliams_UK Agreed, but there must be someone among Trump’s advisers who has a basic understanding of economics!
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@asentance
Andrew Sentance
9 days
@Beef13468701 @dsmitheconomics Nothing in Reeves’s speech will deliver major economic benefits in the next 5-10 years. Yes, we need long-term investment projects. But we also need measures which will deliver shorter-term growth benefits and offset damaging tax rises on business.
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