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Andrew Sentance
@asentance
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Independent business economist. Former CBI Director of Economic Affairs and BA Chief Economist. Member of #BoE MPC 2006-11. Guitarist & organist.
Broxbourne, Herts
Joined July 2011
@degsy380 Hopefully people are not taken in by this dodgy Twitter/X account. Very hard to stop this kind of thing, but maybe imitation is flattery!
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Last week, when the #BoE ramped up its inflation forecast, not one #MPC member voted against a rate cut. Where are the inflation hawks these days? Not on the MPC, clearly!
@asentance So with inflation headwinds picking up why on earth has @bankofengland reduced rates? Is this like picking up the trail too late a few years ago?
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@John_Stepek The Bank’s problem is that low growth is mainly down to problems on the supply-side of the economy rather than lack of demand. So pumping in more demand will just lead to more inflation.
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@trevgoes4th @bankofengland Energy prices are part of the inflation equation, but looking ahead there are other factors - higher employerNI, wage inflation in the private sector = 6pc, services inflation = 4.4pc, etc. #MPC has set this aside and decided to cut rates despite evidence of its own forecasts!
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Fully agreed. Not a good day for the #MPC.
The Bank of England appear to have forgotten that their job is to get inflation back to 2%, and not to cut Bank Rate in an effort to prop up growth and make up for the Government's fiscal ineptitude
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@SkyNews @BethRigby Well done Beth for calling this out. The @bankofengland forecast is dire news for the gov’t. Higher inflation and worse growth. As you pointed out, the autumn Budget has made things worse.
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How independent is the @bankofengland these days? With inflation set to rise sharply, the #MPC has cut interest rates which the great British public think is a “good thing”. Governor Andrew Bailey thinks the economy is “disinflating” but his forecast says the opposite!
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@bankofengland Governor Andrew Bailey said today he doesn’t like the word “stagflation”. I’m not surprised because that is what we’ve now got - 3 consecutive years of sub-1pc growth with inflation heading up towards 4pc! Not a situation for cutting interest rates.
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If I was still on the #MPC, I’d vote to hold interest rates, rather than cut them this month. 4 of us on the Times shadow MPC voted to hold, with only the slimmest 5-4 majority for a cut. Tomorrow’s rate decision could be closer than markets expect.
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@DMcWilliams_UK He (Scott Bessent) has defe fed tariffs as a “negotiating tool”. Suggests he doesn’t really believe they are a “good thing” in the way Trump suggests.
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@DMcWilliams_UK Agreed, but there must be someone among Trump’s advisers who has a basic understanding of economics!
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@Beef13468701 @dsmitheconomics Nothing in Reeves’s speech will deliver major economic benefits in the next 5-10 years. Yes, we need long-term investment projects. But we also need measures which will deliver shorter-term growth benefits and offset damaging tax rises on business.
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