A Microcap Investor
@amicroinvestor
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▪️Long Term Investor ▪️BigBull on India ▪️Biased towards Value than Growth ▪️Personal Views ▪️No Recommendations
Mumbai
Joined May 2010
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Some of my threads on Microcaps
(None of them are recommendations; disc: holding all of them since long)
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My top-25
#investingbooks
the books in the bottom row are to re-read again & again; a few from the top-3 rows I couldn't finish and are pending.
So, tell me which one of these you haven't read yet?
Which one of these are your favourites?
#Reading
#MustRead
#InvestInYou
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A few significant lessons from
@VijayKedia1
that you can't do without:
1) There is no role of 'Stop Loss' in Fundamental Investing
2) Markets reward you as per your perception
3) We do everything twice - first in our mind, then reality
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Minda Industries
CMP on Jun 18, 2013 = 180/-
1 share = 15 shares (bonus & split)
CMP on June 18, 2021 = 670/-
equivalent to 10,050/-
~56x i.e. ~65% cagr
The beauty of equities! Such investments also teach you crucial lessons on allocation!
@Arunstockguru
@insharebazaar
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Walchandnagar Industries
This name was buzzing around when
#Chandrayaan3Mission
was recently launched
Key Takeaways from it's Annual Report
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San Francisco based Newport Fund to acquire 5% in Xelpmoc Design & Tech for Rs.27 cr through a preferential allotment
(7.2 lakh shares at Rs.375)
@InvestorAyush
#Xelpmoc
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▪️Last 5 yrs sales - 42-57-60-97-113 cr▪️Targets for nxt 3 yrs 135-170-210 cr
▪️Fredun currently trades at 200-220 cr
'Whether they achieve it or not but having such clear visibility, targets & confidence of publicly opening appears quite +ve to me'
Check today's presentation
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If you can't sleep at night because of your stock market positions, then sell your positions down to the sleeping level. -- Jesse Livermore
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Macpower CNC Machines Ltd (MCM)
🧵
MCM manufactures Computerised Numerically Controlled (CNC) machines; it offers a wide range of 9 product categories namely Turning Center, Twin Spindle Turning Center, VMC, Twin Spindle VMC, TurnMill Center, HMC, VTL, DTC, Grinder
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#Microcaps
are
▪️both love & life
Once in a while you get hold of a company which is
▪️both scalable & profitable
▪️both concentrated & diversified
▪️both popular & undiscovered
▪️both story & numbers driven
Thejo Engineering
Would you want me to do a thread on this co?
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Insolation Energy
Revenue trajectory
FY23A: ₹164 Cr
FY24E: ₹630 Cr (Expecting)
FY25E: ₹1,000 Cr (Targeting)
FY26E: ₹2,000 Cr (Targeting)
(Source: Annual Report)
(Not a recommendation; Holding from much lower levels)
4
19
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A must read on Ashapura Minechem!
The Phoenix is Rising Again! It's time to change the narrative from a 'turnaround' story to the 'resurgence' story. Very well put! 👏🏼
Forwarded!
(Not a recommendation)
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As always, the most brilliant piece of article (on commodity super-cycles) from the most down to earth & purest of all Ajay Bagga Sir (
@Ajay_Bagga
). I always look forward to your little capsules of knowledge with explosive information.
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A thread about
Bauxite, Aluminum, Guinea & Ashapura Minechem
(not a reco; invested from lower levels)
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These two pages are nothing short of a wonderful book in itself alongwith such magnificent examples. Thank you so much
@Ajay_Bagga
Sir.
Hope to get something from Ajay Sir everytime
@OutlookMoney
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Base is small but growth is huge
Risk might be high but opportunity is massive
You can't ignore them
Look at these estimates
Some stocks which directly/indirectly partially have Electric Vehicles theme in my pf are:
Alicon
Sharda
Autoline
Kingfa
Atul Auto
RattanIndia
Ashapura
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Now I realize this in the hindsight:
"If you focus on P&L, you'll always need to pay a premium. By the time it gets reflected in P&L, the valuations would've already gone up. But in BS investing, you've to live through the waiting period."
Very aptly put by
@shyamsek
Sir
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Just finished 2 chapters of this amazing book featuring
@MohnishPabrai
& Sir John Templeton
Wonderfully articulated, honestly presented; beyond their investing styles & principles; glimpse of their traits, characteristics & lifestyles. The anecdotes made me live a day with them.
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This stock has been a 10x in last 1 year and 20x in last 2 years; a big turnaround story
Smruthi Organics Ltd
(Not a recommendation; just an update: Disc: Holding from much lower levels)
#Reposting
for an error
@hiddengemsindia
@AnyBodyCanFly
@Maaachaaa69
@KevalAshar
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Who's who!! 🙂
.
.
.
Walchandnagar Industries
This name was buzzing around when
#Chandrayaan3Mission
was recently launched
Key Takeaways from it's Annual Report
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250
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One of the best AGMs of the season was Smruthi Organics. The Management gave such detailed explanations to all the queries, the current scenario & developments.
Wish all the smallcap companies' Managements were so investor friendly.
(Disc: Holding from lower levels)
#AGM
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Quite interesting data point (recd on whatsapp)
Do you know any other thing's price in 1991 like Gold, Silver, FD, Bread, Tea, Coffee, etc?
#30years
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The 12 books I read during 2020; for 2021, I would aim to re-read some of these as they say:
"Don't aim to read 1000 books but re-read 100 best books 10 times"
1.100-to-1
2. The Business Of Value Investing
3. The Masterclass with Super Investors
4. One Up On The Wall Street
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53
Wow, I was just considering doing a thread on Kingfa and you made my life easy. Great work
@Ayush_Gupta03
Kingfa Science & Technology (India) Ltd - The biggest proxy to EV revolution in making?
A thread 🧵👇
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Year 2001
United Spirits was 5th largest seller of liquor globally by volume (2.6 cr units)
It had a market share of 35% in Indian liquor market with sales of Rs.1134 cr
Yet it was selling at Mkt Cap of Rs.159 cr
@dmuthuk
@Arunstockguru
#unitedspirits
#mcdowells
#romanov
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14) His criteria of selecting a stock is based on SMILE:
(Small in size, Medium in experience, Large in aspirations, Extra Large in potential)
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Had bought a microcap a few months back which grew multifold in a short span of time prompting me to have a deeper look at it. Let's do it together.
MK Exim: Incorporated in 1992; located in Jaipur (Rajasthan); founded by Murli Dialani – currently led by his son Manish (37 Yrs)
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My new thread on
Macpower CNC Machines Ltd.
CMP: ₹325
Market Cap: ₹325 Cr
(Disclosure & Disclaimer at the end)
#macpowercnc
#cnc
#cncmachines
#machinetools
#manufacturing
Macpower CNC Machines Ltd (MCM)
🧵
MCM manufactures Computerised Numerically Controlled (CNC) machines; it offers a wide range of 9 product categories namely Turning Center, Twin Spindle Turning Center, VMC, Twin Spindle VMC, TurnMill Center, HMC, VTL, DTC, Grinder
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"Last year was good. I promise, the coming years are going to be better and brighter."
-- Mr. Chetan Shah, MD, Ashapura Minechem (September 29, 2023)
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4) Fundamentals do not matter in a bear market
5) Nobody teaches you anything, you've to spend time with them & try to read between the lines. You'll have to learn like 'Eklavya'. You should know what to learn, unlearn, relearn. That's your cleverness!
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Books I ordered but I couldn't get my hands on and are due for 2023
▪️Mastering the Market Cycle
▪️The Almanack of Naval Ravikant
▪️Capital Returns
▪️100 Baggers
▪️Non-Consensus Investing
Which one should I pick up first?
@InvestBooks
@InvestmentBook1
@Invest_Books
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Thanks a lot guys, we're 6000+ now
Lately, I've not been much active but I will try to put more efforts now onwards
(I follow a small set of stocks and I don't discuss new stocks much which remains the primary attraction for the followers, specially in this bull market)
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Indian Mutual Fund Industry:
▪️2016 : ₹16.5 lakh crore
▪️2021 : ₹38.5 lakh crore
▪️11.7 crore accounts of which ~70% are of those whose annual income is < ₹5 lakhs
▪️245 accounts are of those whose income is > ₹5 crores
JUST A BEGINNING
#mutualfunds
#mutualfundsahihai
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Autoline Industries
Following the MoU signed in July, today the company signed a Share Purchase Agreement with MNSC Realty & Developers Pvt. Ltd. for selling its entire stake of ~45% in its subsidiary, Autoline Industrial Park Ltd.
Let’s dig deeper into this story
🧵
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Thejo Engineering
Wonderful set of numbers
H2 vs H1
Top-line: 186 cr vs 141 cr
EBITDA: 31 cr vs 18 cr
EBITDA Margin: 16.8% vs 12.7%
PBT: 26 cr vs 15 cr
PAT: 17 cr vs 10 cr
Net Margin: 9.4% vs 7.0%
EPS: 50/- vs 28/-
(But there is lot more about it - Read the full thread)
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#HappyNewYear2021
Ashapura Minechem:
(AGM excerpts)
India business: One of the leaders in Bentonite, Bleaching Clay, Kaolin, Bauxite, Calcined Bauxite, Abrasives, etc. 750 cr; growing at 10%
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If your stock just doubles in 5 years, it's 15% cagr
Forget it..
Even if your stock just doubles in 10 years, it's still 7.5% cagr
That's not bad either! Give them their own time if you've understood them.
#stockmarkets
#investing
#Equity4Life
#equities
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9) If the market is at 52 weeks high and your stock is at 52 weeks low, then you are in deep trouble, if you're a long term investor.
10) The steeper the fall, the greater the rise.
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Electric Vehicles registrations in India
2021 vs 2020
▪️2W: 143,268 vs 27,270 (+425%)
▪️PV: 11,692 vs 3,121 (+275%)
▪️3W: 153,445 vs 88,140 (+74%)
▪️Bus: 254 vs 34 (+626%)
▪️Total: 311,357 vs 119,654 (160%)
(Source: Vahan website, ET)
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Is this a U-turn for Walchandnagar Industries?
Nice read..
(Not a reco, do your own diligence - fwded - sharing if there are any validations to recent developments)
#microcap
#turnaround
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6) Stock Market is a game of the mind. If you think short term, your behaviour will be different. If you think long term, your behaviour will be different.
7) Identify a fish in an ocean, than a crocodile in a pond.
8) The selling has to be merciless.
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2 Stocks in my portfolio
▪️Atul Auto
Returns - ~158%
Timeline - 18-19 months
▪️ Insolation Energy
Returns - ~158%
Timeline - 1-2 months
More content with the first one, as it was against the wind and high conviction bet. High conviction also led to higher allocation.
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We're in the field of money making! But money is never beyond love & relationships. Try to spend your weekends with your family. Everything else is secondary.
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For all the people concerned about Hubtown and investors of Hubtown!
#hubtown
#turnaround
#realestate
@rajivmehta19
@VishalBhargava5
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Sunday Trivia
How many of you did know that PVR stood for Priya Village Roadshow - a collaboration between Priya Theatre and a Australian company Village Roadshow. Priya was almost an abandoned theatre playing soft-porn in Delhi
Start Small. Dream Big. Be Passionate. Work Hard.
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Alicon Castalloy:
Multi-milion-dollar Order from Jaguar Land Rover
The
highest ever order win from a single customer for a single product in the company’s
history
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Unclaimed Wealth in India
18k cr in unclaimed bank accounts
15k cr unclaimed with life insurers
18k cr in inactive mutual funds
4k cr as unclaimed dividends with IEPF
26k cr in unclaimed provident fund a/cs
>82k cr is lying idle for years now
What to do?
(Source: ET Wealth)
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No of Public Battery EV Charging Stations in India
Feb, 2022: 1,800
Mar, 2024: 16,347
With an assumption of ratio of 1:40, India will need to install minimum 1,320,000 charging stations by 2030.
Which are the companies that will be benefited?
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I wonder what I was doing in Class X; here is a bright young kid, Vihaan Agarwal, reached out to me for a quick interview in the context of 'Beginning in Stock Markets'
Sharing the link of my first ever!
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Presentation by Sharda Motor Industries
JV with Eberspacher (Exhaust Systems)
JV with Bestop (Roof Systems)
JV with Kinetic Green (Batteries)
30% Mkt Share in Exhaust Systems
10% Mkt Share in Suspension Systems
🔥 Monetizable Properties in NCR
Debt free - Cash of 280 cr
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Good pick & well compiled, Ankit!
This indeed is a transforming company. Promoters have learnt from mistakes done in the last bull run. The transition is visible in the numbers. They've gone global. The spectrum also include smart cities.
Dis: Holding from much lower levels
1/n 10x opportunity- Thread on a hidden opportunity in software company which people will ask later , can we buy now but now no one will buy
ALLIED DIGITAL SERVICES
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In the long run, if you're not able to increase your income consistently and meaningfully, then, equity investments become far more important for you than those who are able to!
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India's Space Economy is $8 Bn and Vision is to it take to $44 Bn in coming years -- Pawan Goenka, Chairman, IN-Space
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The beginnings are always like these! Long way to go! 🙂
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A crash course on Personal Finance for an uninitiated by
@warikoo
. This broadly covers a lot of things to focus on.
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Wonderful & inspiring journey, Krishna Bhai
@krishnblue
Have heard a lot about you from
@insharebazaar
, eager to catch up sometime
Krishna Agarwal: The investor who owed his adulthood to Lehman Brothers
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Sanghvi Movers is no longer a crane rental company but an engineering solutions provider
Read the following link to know 'Why'!
@MeetshahV
@insharebazaar
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Yesterday: I saw the Markets & Portfolios going down, I didn't panic..
Today: I saw the Markets & Portfolios rebounding, I didn't suffer FOMO..
This doesn't come in your first cycle!
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11) The stock market is a place of regrets. These regrets won't help you in any manner, but will affect your next decisions.
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"I don't know in which direction the markets will move next 1000-2000 points but I know in which direction the next 20000 move" - Peter Lynch
Such an apt statement that validates amidst the high noise everywhere these days.
#Investing
#ValueInvesting
#PeterLynch
#Nifty
#Sensex
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Irrespective of how good you're, there is no substitute for hard work. This article had first introduced me to
@Gautam__Baid
Sir & his passion; much before
#TheJoysOfCompounding
A must read for every investor; this is nothing less than a book in itself
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Eagerly waiting for the
#results
from
▪️Thejo Engineering
▪️Ashapura Minechem
▪️Sahyadri Industries
▪️Titagarh Wagons
▪️Sharda Motor Industries
Do let me know your views if you have any
#ResultReview
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12) Anything which can be disrupted, will be disrupted. The simple 'rule of avoiding' is to avoid anything which one doesn't understand. Simple demands like food, clothes, cement, will always be there.
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Even if it is an over-statement, it showcases the potential and optimism. He has put meaningful money before saying this!
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Just recd my copy of
#TheJoysOfCompounding
which I'd booked on the very first day.
@Gautam__Baid
Sir, have read your truly amazing stories of struggles during the early days; got to discuss a few stocks with u; have known ur passion for reading. Now will get to know you better.
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@thedatingboss
At times, the dating can help you getting established. 😃 Isn't it? And, also, one can miss out the precious golden times of dating while establishing oneself. Well, yes, the opposite can also happen.. so try maintaining a balance. Yeah?
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Sahyadri Industries
New High on Topline
New High on Profits
New Capex announced (further)
New High on Stock Price
New High on Valuations
(rerating still have more room)
From 53 in Mar'20 to 838 in Jul'21)
(~16x)
#SahyadriIndustries
#Multibaggers
Sahyadri Industries
Adding fresh capacities
Production to begin end of current fiscal
#Sahyadri
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Sharda Motor Industries
#ResultReview
▪️Robust top-line growth (not to forget this was a bad year for most auto companies on account of pandemic led lockdowns - what if) led to substantial jump in absolute profitability (see the table below)
▪️What's more? Check the thread
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Just got a 6-bagger in <50 trading sessions
Highly disappointed. Not meaningful allocation. Lessons learnt (yet, again)
▪️Importance of homework
▪️Significance of time allocation
▪️Cost of excuses
▪️Value of pushing your boundaries & ▪️Extending the circle of competence
🙈
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@BahlKanan
If I ever become successful, I will never call myself "self-made".
So aptly put, Kanan! No one should claim his/her success to be 'self-made'.
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Norway PM fined $2,350 by Norway Police for violating social distancing norms. She had organized her 60th birthday party with 13 'family' members (against rule of 10) at a mountain resort.
Here we talk about good governance in rallies that see a flood of people.
#Governance
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What a day! Another strong performance and very good developments (do read the key developments attached herewith); also they have got an IR now. Look forward.
#ADSL
#AlliedDigital
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▪️Ola's new manufacturing facility (
#FutureFactory
) spread across 500 acres land at Krishnagiri, Tamilnadu to have production capacity of 1 cr electric two-wheelers by mid-2022 (20 lakhs by June, 2021)
This is at electric speed, isn't it?
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Those who can listen to the music amidst the noise can achieve great things -- Vikram Sarabhai
A perfect one sentence advice for the investors!
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Good results from 2 microcaps:
1) International Combustion Ltd.
2) Allied Digital Services Ltd.
Anyone holding any of these?
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This is Big!!
PTC Industries/Aerolloy Technologies receives approval from Israel Aerospace Industries to supply components!
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So, the
#AGMs
season finally over today; attended a few very interesting ones
▪️WPIL
▪️Sharda Motor
▪️ADSL
▪️Ashok Alco
▪️Sahyadri
▪️Alicon
▪️AurionPro
▪️Ashapura
▪️Autoline
▪️Digispice
▪️Zota Health
Attended a few more but these companies talked a bit about their businesses
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It's damn tempting & mouth-watering to see every another person's screenshots of their trading profits these days...
but..
If it's not my cup of tea, I don't try to sip it.
Discipline is the key!
Good Morning!
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1. Do not borrow to invest
2. Watch out for Momentum
3. Ignore Market predictions
4. Have concentrated but well researched & well-informed bets
--- Bill Ruane (Sequoia Fund)
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WPIL AGM Notes
The pandemic led supply chain issues resulting into drastic jump in commodities & rising inflation affected contract execution & margins, however, strong OB & improved industrial environment should ensure continued growth as new expansions will drive order intake
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ASHAPURA MINECHEM
▪️Healthy top-line growth & profits
▪️New reserves & mining permits for Bauxite
▪️ Opportunity in Clay business
(Not a reco; holding since lower levels)
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This is always so wonderful when you get to gain from their decades long sweet, salty and bitter experiences!
They're so kind to share!
Thank you,
@shyamsek
Sir
Thanks
@masterclass_si
one of the best books to learn from masters in the Indian context.
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I was not aware of so many emerging opportunities in
#smallcaps
world before I got active on Twitter but the real problem remains:
I have limited money and diversifying much would not help.
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13) Look for a potential candidate of 10-bagger, would do well in a portfolio of 10 stocks.
(He keeps 10-15 major stocks; 20 smaller allocations with a cap of 10%; one of the 10 stocks would be a moon-shot stock (30-50x)
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Thejo Engineering
Another feather added
Can't wait to see it on Main Board
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Market is like weather,
whether you like it or not
You've to face it, bear with it, learn from it, and, prepare for it.
--- Rakesh Jhunjhunwala
#RakeshJhunjhunwala
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"I get by with a little help from my friends."
I thank you all for keeping me encouraged by following me. It means a lot to me. 🙏🏼
@Gautam__Baid
@ayushmitt
@hirenved
@rajivmehta19
@insharebazaar
@danielle_town
@a1purva
Thank you, Seniors! 🙂
#mentors
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