"The distribution of knowledge is the key contemporary task. Knowledge empowers people. If people know the rules and are sensitised by art, humour and creativity, they are much more likely to accept change."
-Antanus Mockus; mathematician, politician, policy and beard maverick,
So, as someone who works in analysis and has an interest in football,I was sent me this. It speaks to wider issues in Scottish football and highlights a lot of the reasons our game struggles to move forward.
A short thread
A penalty is hugely impactful in football
The absence of jeopardy massively de risks any game but can only happen when there are
#patternsofassistance
Please share
Thanks
@jessiegender
One of the things I disliked about Into Darkness was the Khan "reveal".
"I am...."
*Slow creeping zoom into close up
"Khaaaaannn."
And absolutely nobody says "Sorry, who?"
It's shot and framed purely for the audience and makes no sense within the context of the story
@CaelanConrad
Explaining to terfs with crayons: My favourite colour is blue but I have an red crayon. It doesn't make red my favourite colour.
If I swap for a blue crayon, I haven't suddenly become a blue fan, I always was but now I'm happier because what I have reflects who I am.
TLDR: This is an excellent example of what happens when you do a data collection exercise with a preferred outcome in mind. Here are some thoughts, not really in any order
So why does this speak to wider issues holding back Scottish football?
Because everyone is so insular, too many people have blinkers on. Standards will not improve while every team believes that anyone not for them must be actively against.
Firstly, a couple of caveats.
The author has had incidents reviewed by an independent referee. I believe this was done in good faith. HOWEVER, many of the calls are pretty subjective so it's a little dishonest to portray one ref's opinion as objective fact.
While the data shows no evidence of incorrect decisions benefiting one team over another, let alone intent, it wouldn't surprise me that if the SPFL and SFA set themselves the task of ensuring the dominance of one team, they'd be so useless at it, it would have no impact
1. The data presented to the independent ref is hugely selective. Added to the first caveat, this sets us off on the wrong foot.
2. Some points in this Ran Vs Cel analysis use H2H data and others don't. This appears to be based on what fits the author's assumptions
@TheRockRevival_
Gig "beneath" you? Don't book it.
Not your crowd? Have respect, play well and you might pick up some fans along the way.
Artists are lucky to perform, not blessing a crowd with your presence.
@royalblooduk
, congratulations on having less integrity than Daphne and Celeste.
Secondly, I believe the author has put a lot of effort into this but has made fundamental errors at the collection and analysis stages. The conclusions may have come from an honest place but they are as flawed as a result of a flawed process.
9. There are other issues but I don't need to labour the point. Essentially, this is what happens when you decide what you believe to be true and set out to prove it rather than objectively using data to identify if a problem exists.
3. The word "pattern" assumes non-randomness. Starting with the assumption that a data pattern means deliberate intent is flawed. This is an honest, easily made mistake. But a mistake nonetheless.
@Broken__Monkey
@JolyonMaugham
@jordanbpeterson
Jordan Peterson, Schroedinger's eejit. He spouts misogynist nonsense and then decides based on public reaction if he's being serious or not. He's as credible as Jeremy Clarkson or Piers Morgan. Also, trans people are not a "debate".
Lastly, football is a game of random events. Some events become more probable but it's all random.
Randomness doesn't happen evenly. The image is areas bombed during WW2, it's random but people assumed deliberate intent because people like patterns. We like things to make sense
@stand_for_all
Also, can't help but notice that the nurses are "overseas medics" rather than migrants themselves... It's almost as if having people move to this country can be a good thing.
Is it pretty universal to stand anywhere on a public football pitch and still think "I could definitely bang it in the top corner from here."?
@bobbynwanze_
@ibroxrocks
4. xPts dropped do not translate into actual points dropped. Assuming 1.7 pts are dropped for an opposition pen might be fair, but if you're 5-0 up at that point, it won't affect the outcome. The author shows potential impact but implies actual impact.
6. Red cards. Again, this assumes all have the same value and the same impact. It also assumes that red cards have a lesser impact than penalties. That depends on when in a game they occur and what the score was at the time
8. There is no definitive way to show that a red card changes a result because there's no definitive result to start with. It's a hypothetical comparison. Giving it a numerical value doesn't hold up.
5. The figure of 1.7 xPts comes from data from a different league and assumes all penalties are equal, however in real life, some are more equal than others.
7. A universal score for all pens and red cards assumes all penalties are scored and all red cards result in a different result. This is obviously not true
Classic
@RangersFC
shirt arrived courtesy of
@IainWhyte90
. Great condition, great service, great bloke!
Some absolute legends wore this; McCoist, Gough, Gascoigne, Laudrup, Numan, Ferguson(s), v. Bronckhorst, Albertz, McCann, the list goes on...and also includes Steven Boyack
@rivloveatomb
@jessiegender
My point was more that they could have known him, but in the scene, they didn't. They find out later. They could have read his name off a screen and the plot moves exactly the same way meaning that the direction and the camera choices were servicing the viewers, not the story.
@FootyScran
@bovril_official
@wembleystadium
"OMG Bovril Ice Lollies!"
You bolt awake in the mountains of Carthage. You are not online. It is 217 BC. You are the general Hannibal, and you have changed your mind. The future cannot come to pass. Rome must burn.
@mer__edith
So, if a court ruling can be made on purely religious grounds, would they accept Genesis 2:7 as legal precedent? It clearly states that the soul/life doesn't begin until the first breath.
@JohnJCrace
In his experience, he probably goes off to make a coffee, attends an illegal gathering, goes to the fridge, gets ambushed by cake, hacks off the families of those lost to covid and then tramples very roughly over the Good Friday Agreement
@Komaniecki_R
"Run with Us" from The Raccoons.
Nice, simple rearrangement of the theme tune over the end credits? Nah, let's throw in a 5 minute long, electro power ballad about self-identity, acceptance and empowerment
@ianbremmer
To paraphrase Douglas Adams: "Australia is big. You just won't believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist's, but that's just peanuts to Australia."
@PeterStefanovi2
And this might sound like a small point, but the hold music and the "did you know you can do this online?" messages on a short cycle (designed to nudge/irritate you away from calling) can be extremely distressing and anxiety-inducing for neuro-divergant people.
Long-serving independent Dougie Philand has just become provost of Argyll and Bute Council - by drawing the 8 of spades after a tied vote. More to follow.
@john_actuary
Someone had to go out of their way to plot and scale that axis. It's not the result of someone not knowing what they're doing... It's someone who knows exactly what they're doing.
This is really valuable signposting. If you're not already on one of the qualifying benefits the uk gov site is, sadly, designed to nudge you away from claiming all you can (see pics). Get advice, get the support you need.
Scottish Child Payment has been uplifted to £25 per week per eligible child, and extended to eligible children under 16. You can apply online here: .
More information on
@SocSecScot
’s website too: .
@EduDetective
Your background won't define who you are or will become. Although there will be a lot of people telling you, and themselves, that it does. If you want to move "up" and manage to do it, don't pull the ladder up behind you.
@TabitaSurge
Ah, the old "But, but, but they can't be FAR right, because I agree with everything they say" ...
Keep going pal, you're close to making a pretty big discovery about yourself.
@Alan_Morrison67
For transparency, yes. I'm a Rangers fan.
It was forwarded to me by a hibs fan who thought I'd find it interesting, not with the intention of disproving it. I've attempted to apply my own rules and be objective about methodology.
@RoseSchmits
Ah yes, Linekar's First Law: If you accurately describe something a bigot says, that will be deemed worse and more worthy of censure than the original bigotry.
How media describe low paid workers -
Unknown to middle class Pre-pandemic: "Low-Skilled"
Essential to middle class during Pandemic: "Heroes"
Inconveniencing middle class by striking to defend basic rights: "Selfish proles"
#RailStrikes
@unisonedin
@unitetheunion
@RMTunion
@Alan_Morrison67
No worries. Thank you for responding, and thanks in advance for any time you take.
I get it's not your job to respond to every random on Twitter so I appreciate it.
Scottish parents - you will be fcuked. No mention of age, parents, hormones, external influence etc - just prison if you dare tell your 4yr old they are not a boy if they are a girl or not a girl if they are a boy. Get your views heard - complete the consultation - but read this
*Sigh*. It's hard being a journalism lecturer, trying to drum into my students the importance of not reporting information until it's verified/second sourced when this kind of thing is put out by high-profile journalists. I'll have lots of questions from my students next week.
@Otto_English
Linekar's First Law: Pointing out that someone has done something bad is always somehow worse than the thing they did to deserve being called out.
@GaryLineker
Both quality & quantity of high quality posts of all kinds (short text, long essays, pictures, audio & video) have improved dramatically.
Thank you for contributing your voice to humanity’s digital public square!