In 1896 George White defeated incumbent Frederick Woodard to become the lone Black congressman during his 4 year tenure. North Carolina would not elect another African American to congress for over 90 years.

@Speeding_m @Varun_Vish @CFPB looks like Cao

Despite Trump improving by over 1% in Guilford Harris flipped 6 precincts while Trump flipped none while in neighboring Alamance where Harris improved on Biden the only precinct flip was Biden-Trump

Robinson got a whole 3 votes in the precinct or 0.7% of the vote

@Polit_eurOpines The counies around Atlanta were not really on the hurricane path and swung towards Harris for other distinct reasons

@Polit_eurOpines The counties in upstate Ga that were on the hurricane path pretty much all swung right

@josh_metcalf I wish there was some data that would be able to make it possible to make a more deffinitive argument for that hypothesis but I do think in a world without Helene it would still be very easy to understand why the Asheville area swung left

Probably the most interesting county on this map is Moore, really the only county to have a bunch of left and right swinging precincts adjacent to each other that isn't just a result of racedep

@davidk368430332 @fanofbirch Gives credit to the idea that this is more a factor of internal migration and increasing dem strength in the area as opposed to a disaster response.

@skep_observer Lost the District by ~1.5% Robinson did 18% worse in the Guilford County portion (His home county) while Berger did only 1% better in Rockingham (His home county)

@ProgressDeath @josh_metcalf I mean the native population is much just those 2 precincts WNC Rest of the district is pretty overwhelmingly white

and that Demographically/economically similar areas across the country also swung left like Michigan's Cherry Coast and Eastern Colorado. Will probably hard to definitively say how much of the shift was caused by the hurricane considering how quickly coalitions change.

@Speeding_m If you look closer at Gastonia and Greensboro those are pretty bad

Harris did do pretty well picking up ground in a lot of NC suburbs/exurbs

@SunBeltPolitics Considering the regional differences I would guess this has most to do with the casino stuff from last session

There was a fairly large 3rd party vote in this race (5.25%) but still Berger only managed to outrun Robinson by 1% in his home county.