Tony Greer
@TgMacro
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Market Analyst & Trader • Editor Morning Navigator • @realvision OG • Cornell • Chaminade • Sign up for Navigator TV free at
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Pinned Tweet
I don’t think traders realize how bullish this energy pullback/Fed pivot are for the stock market. If you want to timestamp me - let’s talk November 2024. $SPY
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The worst thing that ever happened to the Great Reset was Joe Rogan decimating Covid in 3 days. Pandemic over. The Globalists lost.
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1/ My name is Tony Greer, and I am obsessed with the markets. After two decades on Wall Street and with the support of my family and friends, I left the comfort of working for others and started my own business: TG Macro™
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Good morning.
Juneteenth was a creation of the O’Biden Administration to help structuralize racism in America.
Open the fucking markets.
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The
@TuckerCarlson
interview with
@nayibbukele
is his best work since he left FOX. What a juggernaut journalist.
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Business Insider: Tyson Foods, the world's second-largest meat processor is hiking up its meat prices over 39% due to an "unprecedented" rise in costs and inflation.
add $TSN to the 'Transitory My Ass' group.
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If you’re a Canadian police officer in Ottawa today you get to go home and never make eye contact with another freedom loving Canadian as long as you live. Congratulations on your living hell.
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“there is no path to a decarbonized economy that avoids mass starvation and economic collapse without nuclear power, and the hardest opponents of the technology know it.”
💯🐥
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To all the homies who told me
#bitcoin
can't go down because we "DIDN'T DO THE WORK" after I said it looks like the short setup OF A LIFETIME on
@RealVision
two weeks ago...
Have a nice day, Assholes.
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FWIW, Credit Suisse has been blowing up my entire career. I'm amazed we're still talking about it.
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*EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS TOPS EU300/MWH
does anyone in Europe have a plan?
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Gold and Industrial miners are the new meme stocks. They’re all going to go vertical in 2024 and nobody has em. $GDX $XME
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If you want to wax on about the pending recession, join an economics club. There's a commodity bull market to trade here.
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Gotham Bar & Grill just called. They think another $100M purchase of the Microsoft AAA rated 2.5%’s of June 2050 by the Fed might get them re-opened for mimosa’s on Sunday.
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Nobody is prepared for metals and mining stocks to lead the S&P for months but get ready for it. $XME just rallied 10% in the last week and is about to go parabolic.
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Investors like
@hkuppy
are successful because they have refined floor trader skills that translate to investing. Great quote by my man from
#MacroDirt
#7
below:
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Energy prices are set to blow minds this week. I love that there is still a bearish camp out there talking “demand destruction” b/c it helps you stay in the trade.
#oilandgas
$USO
#DieselShortage
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It's worth noting we got a [-2,013] TICK LOW today and 34 VIX peak today. The last time we saw TICK extremes in excess of [-2K] and the VIX at 35 were on June 13 and June 16.
From that point the S&P rallied 18% and the Nasdaq 25%. $SPY $QQQ
#TICKINDEX
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Joe Biden is like "Here comes another 10M barrels."
New York Harbor is like "THERE'S NO DIESEL FUEL HERE GUYS." $XLE $USO
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4M followers. About a dozen “likes” per post during their marquee annual event. Zero tweet interaction. Their own fugazi police force. Nobody buys any of this bullshit.
#WEFDavos
🤡 💩
Why there's a big fallacy in the backlash against ESG and stakeholder capitalism
#wef22
@ilo
@Kennedy_School
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If I ran the country the currency would be backed by prosciutto.
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Well, it was a super fun run for for the US Dollar. 💵
$DXY $GBP $CNY $EUR $JPY $AUD
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Todays S&P leadership is brought to you by this year’s weakest performers - airlines, cannabis, technology, and home builders. G’luck. $SPY
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Let the record reflect the Fed hiked 25 bips, disintegrated all the S&P PUTS, and set the Great Rotation back in motion. Two sigma rallies all over energy and mining. Won't be long before technology fades.
$SPY $XOP $IGE $XME
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You have not seen real inflation yet.
Real inflation lies ahead.
Think big.
$SPY $USO $IGE $TLT $DBC $DBA
“This is a molecule crisis. We’re out of everything, I don’t care if it’s oil, gas, coal, copper, aluminum, you name it we’re out of it.”
- Jeff Currie,
@GoldmanSachs
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If you think those of use who went on record months ago about the current European energy crisis are rooting for starvation or freezing - allow me to assure you - that is because you didn’t make the call.
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“I’m a trader not an investor.”
- Paul Tudor Jones in Davos this morning. LOVE the man. $SPY
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A member of the esteemed TG Macro Slack made a physical sign of one of our trading rules. This will save him millions of dollars.
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Robert Kennedy Jr. thanking Joe Rogan for maintaining an island of free speech and critical thinking in a desert of suppression was a pinnacle podcast moment for me. These guys are modern moguls.
@joerogan
@RobertKennedyJr
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This one's for
@hkuppy
- textbook 2-sigma range breakout beyond the 2022 highs - uranium is officially gone baby, gone. $SRUUF
#uraniumsqueeze
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This is dumber and more bullish than closing the Keystone Pipeline. Creates a distressed buyer during conflict. Will NOT lower gasoline prices. $USO
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The LME has been defeated.
LME Re-Opens Nickel Trading; Quickly Halts Again On Limit-Down Band "System Error"
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Gold looks like a sale here. The $25 pop to a new high and $50 dump in the same day - is the kiss of death. $GLD
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"Great central banking we got here. Leave rates at zero, cause lots of inflation, rip them to 5%, blow up the banking system. I’m surprised more people aren’t commenting on this." -
@dailydirtnap
That's well put.
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What if the yield curve stays at -40bps for 10 years? What if the economy is in a phase it can't get out of and interest rate volatility goes to zero? What if the Fed never has to act? What if 350 days without a 2% S&P pullback becomes 2,000 days? Or 5,000? What if $NVDA
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If a 3-sigma gold rally in the New York time zone and the Commodity Index trading like a meme stock doesn't tell you things are different this time... $GLD $BCOM
#oilandgas
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*SAUDI WEIGHS USING YUAN INSTEAD OF USD FOR CHINA OIL SALES: DJ
I guess this is why MBS doesn't pick up the phone when POTUS calls.
#BidenGasCrisis
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- Natural resources just starting to run
- Tech bouncing with upside room
- DXY still reversing lower
- 2-sigma zinc/aluminum rallies
- AUD mega-breakout
- URA breakout
- EM breakout
This S&P move is NOT a fade $SPY
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@DoombergT
Doomberg’s Postulate™: “Every molecule of fossil fuel produced worldwide will be burned by somebody somewhere, and local efforts to restrict consumption merely relocate the enjoyment of that privilege.”
Outstanding !
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FOMC week woke the sleeping giant.
Great rotation (BCOM/QQQ) +12% on the week.
NatGas, iron ore +10%
Silver +8%
Copper, Aluminum +7%
Software, Internet, Cloud etf's -10% bonk.
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Prediction: America will IMMEDIATELY forget the vast 2016 and 2020 polling inaccuracies and embrace whatever polls offer in 2024 with ZERO visible skepticism.
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Today the White House came out with a plan to bring down energy costs. Let the record reflect oil and gasoline are up 2% and oil stocks are pressing cycle highs.
$USO $XLE $XOP
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*ROGOFF: FED WILL HAVE TO RAISE RATES TO 4%-5% TO CURB INFLATION
Suddenly the sensible guy in the room.
$TLT $DXY
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“You think a bear market is bad? 10% inflation is worse.”
-
@biancoresearch
holding court on
@leadlagreport
Spaces
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@jack
@ggreenwald
@brianstelter
@pbump
You banned a U.S. President from social media. You’re the arbiter of truth?
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So
@YouTube
is blocking a video because I gave the opinion that the stock market MIGHT rally IF Trump got elected in it. It might have gotten a couple thousand views on a good day. Could they be more scared or pathetic?
📺🤷♂️So, YouTube blocked our ability to advertise the current
#WeekAhead
because of this exchange. I didn't even ask a question about
#Trump
.
@TgMacro
@amlivemon
&
@chigrl
offered their opinions to a different question. Watch the full episode on X:
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Those PPI revisions are telling you that there's no CPI scare coming tomorrow. The bond market is range-trading on low volume. The S&P might wait for confirmation from CPI tomorrow to explode. It might not. Take stocks and bid 'em. $SPY
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Musk is about to expose that spam and fake accounts make up half of Twitter $TWTR
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Around the clock trading is a disadvantage to traders and only benefits manipulators, market makers, and exchanges. If you support this - you’re brain dead.
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There's a 3 sigma (7.5%) ALUMINUM rally on the screen because the LME may ban "new" Russian metal from entering the warehouse. Copper, nickel, and zinc are bringing up the rear. $XME into huge support. Have at it.
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Yesterday's outside reversal in gold $GLD was NOT the top. There was no glaring position imbalance or MASSIVE sentiment bubble going into it. Volume was avg. There was no follow through because its been a slow moving trade and will continue to be.
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Whatever you do - do NOT get caught short down on "Bond Bear Island." It's going to get extremely lonely down there very soon. $TLT
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Church San Michele in Capri with my son. Spectacular trip with the fam. 🇮🇹
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Oil is trading up through 200 dma resistance and everyone's short for the pending recession. Hold on to your hat. $USO
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WTI crude oil has resistance at the 2021 high of $85.40, the 50dma at $88.40, the 200dma at $97.00, and the 100dma at $98.74.
Once it slices through all those hold on to your hat. $USO $XLE
#oilandgas
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@DoombergT
I admire how the World Economic Forum caused a complete economic collapse in Sri Lanka and then gets to mandate solutions. That’s power.
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@ZubyMusic
“why are you spreading dangerous false information about patriarchal rain drops again Zuby?”
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Sounds like a lotta metal $XME
To manufacture each EV battery, you must process
25,000 pounds of brine for the lithium
30,000 pounds of ore for the cobalt
5,000 pounds of ore for the nickel, 25,000 pounds of ore for copper
Diging up 500,000 pounds of the earth's crust
For just - one - battery.
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Three dozen hockey Dads from any town in North America could have broken up these cupcakes. This is like watching a Broadway play.
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Market sent a message today.
FIRST we tried the range top this morning on tech buying and failed.
We had large magnitude commodity rallies (zinc, oil, nickel, gasoline) and a new high in gold (inflation.)
We had large magnitude selloffs in S&P, Dow Jones, healthcare, cannabis,
As
@TgMacro
often says, when the market says something emphatically, you have to pay attention.
I think today's reversal (if it holds) counts as the market saying something, no?
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Added English Lab, Beckham 🇬🇧 to our crew for Christmas at 10 weeks old. Cheers to Dog Twitter for talking me into this. My family is stoked.
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The wheels are falling off the climate hoax wagon.
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This is a reminder that a billion and a half Catholics do not care what color you light your world up in tomorrow.
At all.
#happyeaster2024
#PraiseJesus
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Do you know how you could have seen this coming?
You could have watched the first six MACRO DIRT PODCASTS and nailed this move to your trophy wall
@dailydirtnap
and I were so far out in front of it.
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25K followers? You people are mad. I’m grateful to have an awesome audience. I hope the venue gets a facelift one day.
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Right now, I think I cold do 12 months with a smile.
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