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Your TOP NINE Waiver Wire Adds for Week 5
🟢High Priority
🟡Medium Priority
🔴Low Priority / Deep League Stashes
(TLDR at the end)
🧵
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Our data team compiled implied point totals for every NFL team in 2024 📊
After analyzing the data...
We found six potential league winners you should be drafting.👇
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Good Players on Bad Teams can Kill Your Fantasy Season.
We put together a visualization of every NFL team's projected offensive output for 2024.
🔖 Bookmark this tweet as a reference while you're drafting.
🧵
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🛑Do NOT leave your Fantasy Football Draft without these seven players:
League winning mid-to-late round picks👇
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Fantasy Football: Waiver Wire MEGATHREAD
🏈Top Adds
🏈Deeper League Targets
🏈Trade Targets & Buy Lows
🏈Stock Down & Droppable
🧵for Week 2
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A lot happened in the NFL this weekend.
Yet 95% of drafters won't pay attention to the news.
Here are 13 things you need to know 👇
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Vegas sportsbooks aren't in the business of losing money.
Sharp fantasy players have been using their lines to hone rankings for years. 📈
Here are the QBs we Want to Target and Avoid in 2024
... using Vegas Implied Team Totals. 👇
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📊The Data Table
It's below, here's how to use it:
The second column represents total offensive output for each team in 2024 according to Vegas implied point totals.
We added them up for every single game 🤓
Vegas thinks the Lions are going to score the most points and the
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Here are Five Massive Bargains in Fantasy Football right now...
With League Winning Upside.
👇
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Here are five players you need to draft right now.
Before their ADP starts to rise. 👇
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Week 2 of the NFL season is almost in the books.
Here are 10 takeaways from Sunday's games 👇
🏈 Buy Low Fantasy Candidates
🏈 RBs in TROUBLE
🏈 Full Injury List
🏈TLDR: Top Waiver Adds (at the end)
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EVERY NFL Team was in action last week...
But 90% of fantasy football & best ball drafters won't pay attention to the news.
Here are 13 key takeaways that will help you win your drafts 👇
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5 running backs you need to add for Week 2 in Fantasy:
(TLDR at the bottom)
👇
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NFL teams made their final cuts today...
... and there were some surprising moves.
Here's everything you need to know 👇
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9 fantasy winners from today's NFL news 📈
1. Jordan Mason (SF)
2. MarShawn Lloyd (GB)
3. Marvin Mims (DEN)
4. Josh Jacobs (GB)
5. Trey Benson (ARI)
6. Jerome Ford (CLE)
7. Blake Corum (LA)
8. Malik Washington (MIA)
9. Will Disley / Hayden Hurst (LAC)
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Underdog's $15 MILLION Best Ball tournament is 79.1% filled.
Which means there are already 536,397 entries LOCKED IN.
None of those half million+ entries can take advantage of all the news that's coming out.
But you can. Here’s how 👇
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Here are FIVE running backs you should be targeting at the end of best ball drafts right now.
All of them have one thing in common 🤔
🧵
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Here are 10 key news updates from around the NFL.
These will help you get ahead of ADP, and fade players whose stock is falling.
👇
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Five WRs with breakout potential that we have ranked higher than their ADP 👇
1. Josh Palmer (LAC)
Rank 78 | ADP 102
2. DeAndre Hopkins (TEN)
Rank 71 | ADP 90
3. Jerry Jeudy (CLV)
Rank 112 | ADP 124
4. Rashid Shaheed (NO)
Rank 103 | ADP 113
5. Chris Olave (NO)
Rank 14
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Data like this provides a broad overview - once we dive in we can see it's not the be all end all.
Rushing QBs, for example are more likely to put up high fantasy points totals on bad teams.
So the two that stand out this year as bad ADP plays relative to output, are Kyler
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These players have the biggest ADP differences compared to our rankings.
One for each round, our rankings have them:
1: Drake London: 5 spots higher
2: Chris Olave: 8 spots higher
3: Micael Pittman: 8 spots higher
4: Derrick Henry: 21 spots lower 👀
5: Rome Odunze: 12 spots
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There's currently $700,000 in overlay over in the
@DraftersFantasy
main contest.
Here's how you can take advantage:
1. Sign Up: 100% Deposit Match up to $100👇
2. Read This strategy Guide
3. Join the Big Contest
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No one cares who finishes 2nd in your fantasy league.
It's win or go home.
Here are the top teams to target and avoid for fantasy football & best ball playoffs 👇
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Bet she drafts Kyle Pitts this year
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That'll do it.
Thank you for reading!
If you enjoyed this thread, let us know with a ❤️or 🔄 and we'll keep it coming.
Also: Our premium content is FREE this year. Link in the Bio.
✅Rankings
✅Playoff Stacking Guide
✅Vegas Implied Totals Chart
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Here's how we we've got the first round ranked (.5 PPR) 👇
1. Christian McCaffrey
2. CeeDee Lamb
3. Tyreek Hill
4. Ja'Marr Chase
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown
6. Justin Jefferson
7. Breece Hall
8. Bijan Robinson
9. Puka Nacua
10. AJ Brown
11. Drake London
12. Garrett Wilson
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That'll do it - if you found this thread helpful:
1. Give us a follow!
2. ❤️or🔁to help others find it!
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Thank you for reading. If you enjoyed this thread:
Consider following:
@stok_bestball
Like or RT so others can find it! ❤️🔁
All our rankings & data are free this year - link in Bio.
Created by the same DFS players that have won over $10 million.
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If you're not gearing your fantasy team for the playoffs, you should be.
Those weeks are the most important ones on the calendar.
Here are the top options in each round, according to Playoff Implied Point Totals 👇
Round 1: C. McCaffrey / Ja’Marr Chase / AJ Brown
Round 2:
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Here are Four Sleeper Tight Ends you should add on the waiver wire this week
One of them led the NFL in TE routes run last week and is sub-10% owned.
👇
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🏈 Anyone playing Best Ball on DraftKings AND Underdog?
If so - these are the Biggest ADP Differences between the two sites
Knowing these differences can help you find value and target players on one site vs. the other 📈
📚 Bookmark this Thread 🧵as a reminder when drafting
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#1
: Rico Dowdle (Cowboys, RB)
-Most likely candidate to lead the team in touches
-Cowboys offense projects as the 5th best in football
-Top RBs on good offenses = high fantasy point totals
-Backups not suited to challenge him for the top role
-Little cost for high upside
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1: Rico Dowdle (DAL)
The Cowboys presumptive RB1 is going around Pick
#115
in fantasy football & best ball drafts.
This is in part because there is uncertainty over who will lead the backfield.
But that's okay because uncertainty is our friend.
The high upside scenario is one
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Here are five players you want to avoid in your fantasy drafts right now:
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🏈Finding Value
What we want to do here is find players on good offensive teams who have low ADPs.
The first area that stands out are the Cowboys RBs.
Take a look at that RB1 column.
Every single one of the top offensive teams has an RB going in the top 100 picks...
Except
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Playoff stacking is the 🗝️KEY to winning BIG in best ball 🤑
Here are the top FIVE game totals and team totals this season for:
🏈 Week 15
🏈 Week 16
🏈 Week 17
🧵
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Which teams are going over and under drafted in fantasy football according to Vegas?
We tallied up implied point totals for every team
Here's what we found out 👇
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#1
: Jalen McMillan (Bucs, WR, ADP 164)
The Bucs 3rd round rookie out of Washington has had an amazing camp & preseason.
He put up elite per-route data (from:
@jagibbs_23
)
- 37.5% target per route run rate
- 3.56 yards per route run
-82.5 PFF grade (2nd among rookie WRs)
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🏈We just released our 2024 Best Ball Playoff Stacking Guide.
And it's FREE (Link Below)
Here are some 🗝️KEY things that stand out about Weeks 15, 16 & 17👇
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#4
: Keon Coleman (Bills, WR)
-300+ targets up for grabs in Bills offense
-Won starting job in 2WR sets
-Likeliest candidate to claim top WR spot
-Lean into uncertainty with rookies - boom or bust
-Bills offense projected to score the 3rd most points this season
-7th round pick
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Just getting things set up - but shortly we'll have:
🏈Free Start Sit Fantasy Football Rankings
🏈Free Weekly Underdog Rankings
🏀Free Underdog NBA Season Long Rankings
From the team of data-driven DFS players that have won over $10 million collectively 👊
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Khalil Shakir is not starting in 2WR sets for the Bills.
In fact, journeyman Mack Hollins started ahead of him this week.
He's still draftable but he should be going 4-5 rounds later than his current ADP.
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The BIG News:
The Packers placed RB AJ Dillon on season ending IR
Rookie Marshawn Lloyd is also going on IR, but he should return.
Josh Jacob's stock is about to through the roof. 📈
In best ball - you should be drafting backup Emanuel Wilson in the last round of drafts.
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2 & 3: Zack Moss and Chase Brown (CIN)
Another situation where we want to lean into uncertainty.
Word out of Bengals camp is that there is going to be a 50-50 split in Cincinnati.
Zack Moss didn’t play a single snap in the preseason and is listed as the RB1 on the depth chart.
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Here are your TOP FIVE scoring offenses per Vegas
For fantasy football & best ball playoffs
Target these teams 👇
These playoff rankings are FREE this season (link below)
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Everyone knows that playoffs are the 🗝️KEY to winning BIG in best ball 🤑
Here are the top FIVE game totals and team totals this season for:
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
🧵Thread
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TLDR
1. Dontayvion Wicks
2. Kareem Hunt
3. Trey Sermon
4. Wan'Dale Robinson
5. Josh Downs
6. Tank Bigsby
7. Tucker Kraft
8. Xavier Legette
9. Denver Broncos
Thanks for reading, If you're enjoying this content - consider a ❤️or 🔃 and we'll keep it coming.
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Thanks for reading! If you found this thread helpful consider:
1. Following us at
@Stok_BestBall
2. ❤️or 🔄 to support this content & we'll keep it coming.
If you're interested in learning more about how this data works 👇
📊The Data Table
It's below, here's how to use it:
The second column represents total offensive output for each team in 2024 according to Vegas implied point totals.
We added them up for every single game 🤓
Vegas thinks the Lions are going to score the most points and the
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Here are your top Risers & Fallers on Underdog from the past week.
Knowing these trends can help you unearth value and avoid pitfalls in drafts.
🧵
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On the flip side, Keon Coleman played 100% of snaps with the Bills starters last week.
He and Curtis Samuel are the top targets on the Bills.
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First off, it's a bit of a no brainer:
QB play correlates highly with offensive team output.
Generally, we want to target QBs from teams that are going to score a lot of points.
Here's the correlation from last season.
Top QBs mainly come from top offenses.
Let's take a look
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Brendan Rice started for the Chargers this week ahead of DJ Chark.
While Ladd McConkey played 100% of the Chargers 3WR sets, in the slot and 0% in 2WR sets.
Rice is a fantastic late round flier right now, having got undrafted all offseason.
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Lot of big news from the weekend 👇
EVERY NFL Team was in action last week...
But 90% of fantasy football & best ball drafters won't pay attention to the news.
Here are 13 key takeaways that will help you win your drafts 👇
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#1
Dontayvion Wicks
🟢10% owned
🟢 Priority: High
🟢Long Term Value: High
- Christian Watson hampered by injuries - ankle sprain in Q1
-Wicks has been splitting time with Watson so far - great news for his snap rate if Watson is out.
-70% route participation
-13 Targets in Week
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#3
: Jordan Mason (49ers, RB)
-Christian McCaffrey banged up
-Mason likely backup with Elijah Mitchell out for the year
-Mason finished with with PFF’s 9th highest rushing grade last year (62 attempts)
-Handled heavy workload at Georgia Tech
-Cons: questionable pass catcher
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🚨Massive Overlay Shaping up on DraftKings 👇
They have to fill 25% of the contest in less than a week.
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The second biggest news:
49ers RB Elijah Mitchell landed on season ending IR.
Jordan Mason and Isaac Guerendo are your primary handcuffs in SF.
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🏈NFL Fantasy Football & Best Ball News Roundup 7/26
Risers 📈
Chase Brown
Kadarius Toney
Audric Estime
Fallers 📉
Zack Moss
Rondale Moore
News & Notes 📰
-Chase Brown is taking the majority of the Bengals fist team offense snaps. Probably a 1A/1B scenario, which means his
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If you're enjoying this content let us know with a ♥️or 🔄 and we'll keep it coming.
If not, let us know what you'd like to see! 👇
Follow:
@Stok_BestBall
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🛑 Don't play Weekly Winners on Underdog until you've read this.
🧵Here are seven tips that will improve your lineup EV.
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Least talked about edge in Best Ball has to be WHEN you draft your teams.
6:30 AM on a Tuesday? Those drafters are GRINDING.
Agree? Disagree??
I will continue to defend 10pm-1130pm Eastern as the softest time to draft a BBM
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📰🏈 Fantasy Football & Best Ball News from 7/25
Stock Up 📈
JK Dobbins
DJ Chark
Andrei Iosivas
Chris Godwin
Anthony Richardson
Stock Down 📉
-Quentin Johntson
-Zay Jones
-Dalton Kincaid
News & Notes 📰
-Chargers: Quentin Johnston & Kimani Vidal working with the second team
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Underdog has some huge TNF / FNF contests this week
- we're going to release our rankings for every major slate for free all season 🏈
Here are our current rankings for this slate - listed in order of fantasy points projected
(Does not factor in positional scarcity)
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Chubba Hubbard is the RB1 in Carolina...
That is, until Jonathan Brooks returns from injury.
He's expected to start the season on the PUP and miss the first four games.
Expect him to get 70-75% of the RB touches early in the season, with Miles Sanders backing him up.
Hubbard
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#2
: Jerome Ford (Browns, RB)
-Big early season workload incoming
-Finished as RB19 last year, currently going as RB37
-Worst case scenario: 4-6 weeks of a starting RB in Round 11
-Best case scenario: Chubb out longer than expected, starting RB for a bargain basement price
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There's TE time share shaping up in Pittsburgh.
Pat Freiermuth and Darnell Washington are splitting reps at a near 50/50 clip.
Washington is an ELITE athlete who was supposed to go in the first round of the NFL Draft in 2023.
But his stock fell because of a knee injury.
Now
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Right off the bat we can see two QBs stand out as going massively under-drafted according to Underdog ADP.
Jared Goff
Brock Purdy
Goff finished as the QB7 last year in total points, Purdy QB6
This season both QBs are expected to helm the top-two offenses in football, according
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🏈Best Ball News & Notes Roundup 8/3
Stock Up 📈
Dylan Laube
Jalen McMillan
AJ Dillon
Javonte Williams
TJ Hockenson
Isaiah Pacheco
Jalen Tolbert
Stock Down 📉
Marshawn Lloyd
News & Notes 📰
-Dylan Laube looks close to locking down the 3rd role in Vegas. Zamir White is not a
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If you didn't draft Justice Hill in best ball this year, you're probably done.
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There might not be an even RB timeshare in Tennessee
Here were the Titans RB snaps with the first team offense:
Tony Pollard: 11
Tyjae Spears: 5
Small sample size but it looks like Pollard is the 1A for the Titans.
At an ADP of 100, he's going too late in drafts.
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That's a wrap! If you enjoyed this content
1. Consider ❤️or🔁 and we'll create more of it.
2. Follow us:
@Stok_BestBall
*Our rankings and playoff stacking guide are FREE in 2024 (link in bio)
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Here are the Top Five teams you want to target
Average Implied Total, Week 15, 16, 17
1. 49ers: 26.3
2. Bills: 25.8
3. Bengals: 25.4
4. Ravens: 25.2
5. Eagles: 24.5
The 49ers lead the way AND they have the highest implied total for their Week 17 matchup against the Lions.
The
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🏈You've heard of Zero RB - but how about Zero QB?
Drafting your QBs late has some serious benefits.
Here's everything you need to know about the strategy and some candidates for 2024👇
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Thanks for reading!
Any feedback? Comment below! ❤️
Follow:
@Stok_BestBall
And remember our rankings are FREE this year - link in the bio.
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Here were the biggest RB cuts:
Bill: Frank Gore Jr.
Commanders: Chris Rodriguez
Browns: D’onta Foreman
Cowboys: Royce Freeman
Chiefs: Deneric Prince
Patriots: Kevin Harris
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Texans RB Cam Akers has looked solid this preseason.
He's got 112 yards on 24 carries.
He went 7-53 on Saturday and was making people miss.
Dameon Pierce has not looked good. He has 9 yards on 8 carries.
Cam Akers is a fantastic late round best ball add in contests that have
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What do all of these RBs have in common?
They haven't been drafted all summer long - so come best ball playoff time, they will be very low owned compared to other late round backs like Alexander Mattison or Will Shipley or Tank Bigsby.
Getting low owned players with high
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32 NFL Teams were in action this weekend.
There were some BIG winners and losers that 95% of best ball drafters weren't paying attention to.
Here's everything we learned 👇
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There's a timeshare shaping up in Las Vegas.
Alexander Mattison and Dylan Laube got more work than expected for the second week in a row with the Raiders starters.
Zamir White's stock is going to fall - and it should.
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#7
: Jordan Whittington (Rams, WR)
-Rookie has impressed in camp thus far
-Nacua banged up, Kupp getting old, injured last year
-Not much depth at WR beyond those two
-Rams led the NFL in 3WR sets last season
-In best ball he’s been undrafted all summer
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Cole Kmet is going WAY over-drafted right now.
He's getting LESS snaps than Gerald Everett with the Chicago Bears starters.
Everett is a great pickup in the last round of best ball drafts.
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Thanks for reading - if you enjoyed this content, fire off a ❤️🔃 and we'll keep it coming!
Not great options this week but here are your Top Waiver Adds:
1. Carson Steele
Gap
2. Quentin Johnston
3. DeMarcus Robinson
Gap
4. D. Pierce / C. Akers (If Mixon news is bad)
5.
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Talk of Javonte Williams demise was massively overblown this offseason.
He started and played on 80% of snaps with the Broncos starters.
Jaleel McLaughlin and Auric Estime are currently rotational pieces.
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1. JK Dobbins (49% owned) FAAB Bid: $30-$40
Dobbins led the Chargers RBs in snaps, and split carries with Gus Edwards.
And his work in the passing game suggests that he’s going to be great in PPR formats.
He finished with 17 routes run & three targets.
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Jahan Dotson is the clear WR2 in Washington.
He played 90% of snaps last weekend, second only to Terry McLaurin's 100%.
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Brian Robinson is the RB1 in Washington
That's bad news for Austin Ekeler's draft stock.
This looks like a 1A, 1B scenario - with less of a 50/50 split like many were predicting.
Brian Robinson's draft stock is rising 📈
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#6
: Malik Washington (Dolphins, WR)
-OBJ landing on the PUP to start the year
-Requires no draft capital - last round pick
-Stash & drop if he doesn't pan out in FF
-Cons: Dolphins last in NFL in 3WR sets in 2024
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Now, there's been some uncertainty over who will lead the team in touches.
Both Ezekiel Elliott and Rico Dowdle may split time.
But that doesn't really matter - because uncertainty is our friend.
If ONE of these backs ends up taking a lead role we're going to find huge value.
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Isaiah Likely SZN
Ravens TE/FB snap count after 2 drives
Isaiah Likely 12
Mark Andrews 11
Patrick Ricard 7
Charlie Kolar 5
Out of 17 plays
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#1
: Dalvin Cook, Cowboys
Yes he’s probably washed.
Yes his signing feels redundant in a backfield that already features Ezekiel Elliott.
But Cook should still be going in every Underdog and DraftKings draft right now.
First, this is a thin RB room.
And that means
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The Chiefs top three WRs are clearly:
Rashee Rice
Hollywood Brown
Xavier Worthy
Justin Watson filled in for the injured Brown and played 90% of snaps.
Both Worthy and Rice played 85% of snaps.
Concentrated offense shaping up in KC.
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If you're in a deep league, or drafting in best ball, finding late round QBs who will outperform their ADP is crucial.
Derek Carr stands out from the bottom half of QBs.
Vegas says New Orleans is going to have the 21st most points this season, but the only starter going behind
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#5
: MarShawn Lloyd (Packers, RB)
-AJ Dillon out for the year
-Packers love to use two RBs
-Brings different skill set than Josh Jacobs
-Hamstring issues have deflated his ADP - May not end up on IR
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Drafting this weekend?
Here's all the key news you need to know for fantasy football & best ball👇
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🏈Best Ball News & Notes Roundup, August 6th
Stock Up 📈
Ricky Pearsall
Jauan Jennings
Jonathan Mingo
Justin Fields
JK Dobbins
Johnny Wilson
Stock Down 📉
Brandon Aiyuk
Xavier Legette
Puka Nacua
Parris Campbell
News & Notes 📰
-Jayden Daniels officially listed as the
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getting ready to draft him with the 14th pick
Today is a big day for the Bengals and WR Ja'Marr Chase. Wednesday practice is the first true practice of the week where most of the game plan is installed. It would be difficult for him to play on Sunday if he's doesn't practice.
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2K
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Deshaun Watson is suffering from "arm soreness"
Watson is coming of major shoulder surgery last December.
We'll know more after this weekend though...
Because he’s expected to start the Browns preseason finale.
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