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@Stockspy1
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I DISLIKE THE STOCK.... ALL of them But I love the charts!
Joined February 2021
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It's starting!
CBRE Group, Inc. is an American commercial real estate services and investment firm. The abbreviation CBRE stands for Coldwell Banker Richard Ellis. It is the world's largest commercial real estate services and investment firm (based on 2021 revenue).
$CBRE
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as the regional banks go, so goes the $SPX
you don't believe me?
$KRE verus $SPY
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$VIX under 18, $SPX at 4150
feel like I may have seen this before
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@RetirementRight
1. People have been saying this since 2002. It never happened. Ironically, the one time it DID happen (QQQ 2000-2002), NO One was saying it would.. so, my guess is... Nah.. I doubt it
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@JackPosobiec
how long do the vaccines last? At any given time, you're NEVER EVER going to have that percentage of people current with the vaccine, especially if it you have to keep getting boosters
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I think its funny that everyone wants to buy $NVDA and is afraid to short it.
LOL
Its up 100% YEAR TO DATE.
I like to short this thing when the Price to sales is at or above 26.. .which I believe we are at right now
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even now, its still all about the $TLT
if $QQQ runs, and the $TLT doesn't come with it.. for the past 18 months, it has ended in a reversal in $QQQ
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when the fast MACD crosses UNDER the slow MACD.. you sell at that point.
if you did that over the past year or so.. you've been perfect
fast MACD just broke under the slow MACD again.. lets see if it stays perfect
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and we may have made the turn, kids!!
hope you built a position here in some derivative of $TLT long, $QQQ short
now, let gravity do the rest
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the narrative this weekend is "Fed is going to pause"
Just wait until they see a blow out CPI on Tuesday
Call me naive but I don't think Powell bails out the Venture Capitalists on the backs of poor people trying to buy food this time
I really don't
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On Feb 1, Michael Burry tweeted out a single word "Sell". $QQQ closed around 301 that day. On Feb 2 market exploded higher. $QQQ hit 313, Burry deleted his account and Twitter and the media mocked Burry in glee. Feb 2 will prove to be the high water mark of 2023
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Holding my initial $SOXS
started small.. this is why
$NVDA should be topping today or tomorrow
be patient kids
(that prices to sales of like.. 25 or whatever.. that's stuff... BE PATIENT)
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if the Fed were to announce a "pivot" this week, it would literally mark "the beginning of the end". The end being economic collapse
If the Fed gives up the fight against inflation with inflation at 8%, do you really think that's going to be bullish for bonds?
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@MarketRebels
I'm thinking about restoring a photo of my stock account to November of 2021
That should work!
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@RetirementRight
Btw, it COULD have happened in 2008... But it didn't because the govt won't let it happen.. why would they now? Even if there is starvation and hyperinflation and riots, they will preserve the stock market
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@JohnKotsis5
@CathieDWood
@ARKInvest
It cant. Resources aren't infinite. Energy isn't infinite. This is fantasy
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@CRBT__
@novogratz
@JoeBiden
@SpeakerPelosi
@AOC
@SenSchumer
@kimbal
This is a red herring.. the idea that people want healthy food.. but they just can't afford it. That's not it. They don't want healthy food. Try GIVING away raw vegetables to people that eat unhealthy food. They don't want it. They want the unhealthy food
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$NVDA. I had a really nice short in $NVDA last year in the spring.. So, I figured.. let's try it again.. shall we????
So here's my game plan.. short $NVDA when that gap fills at $273 (next week), then IF it closes below the blue line at some point, double the short
good luck
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main factor here is patience
people are running to this sector as if they are bonds
but when the slow down comes, this sector will be hit.. I can assure you
keep an eye on
#copper
if it keeps falling, chips aren't far behind.. (weeks at most)
$CPER $SMH
Holding my initial $SOXS
started small.. this is why
$NVDA should be topping today or tomorrow
be patient kids
(that prices to sales of like.. 25 or whatever.. that's stuff... BE PATIENT)
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There's a guy on Twitter that's known for saying "Few". He's declaring that the bank crash "saved the housing market".. (the theory being that interest rates dropping are going to somehow save the industry from recession and dried liquidity)
Do not listen. Short this.
$XHB
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I don't have a lot of followers. I don't sell anything. I'm not a blue checkmark. My followers are a free thinkers when it comes stocks..
But name account that has more fun?... lol
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My heavens.. Buyers are buying everything
EVEN $NVDA LOL
top must be near
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I'm a bear... in some ways a permanent bear, meaning I like to find stuff to short, regardless of the overall indexes. That said, I would say 100% of podcasts I listen to are saying "recession in Q4 or Q1 2024". 100%. I can't help but think...we'll, that won't happen
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the $SPX simply isn't going to selloff until the housing stocks turn lower
(that could be next week, or next year)
but that's just how it is. Housing is the economy
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@DrShayPhD
yes... but not if they are attracted to each other
but it is possible to have a man and woman, neither of whom is attracted to the other, be best friends.. absolutely
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RED ALERT
we wont' know until the close, but this looks like a major breakdown
$HYG
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this was probably one of my most viewed posts of all time! Looking at the past 10 years, we have always seen a convergence between the $SPX and the $KRE, over time... makes sense.
is time to sell $SPX and buy $KRE?? Or not quite yet??
as the regional banks go, so goes the $SPX
you don't believe me?
$KRE verus $SPY
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The economy is a mystery to me. That's why I trade technical.
How does the bond market lose a gazillion dollars in value and it has absolutely no effect on anything?
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@EricRWeinstein
@P_McCulloughMD
@joerogan
the facts aren't really the issue. Its the conclusions drawn from the facts. For example, Masks don't prevent all transmission of COVID. that's a fact. Masks can prevent some transmission of covid. That's also a fact.
So, what policy would you derive from those facts?
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I put on a pair trade today, long gold miners short $QQQ. I think it's time.. wish me luck. Equal dollar each
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$KRE , look at that volume
we're going back to the March lows, folks!
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based on what i see in Asia.. in bonds, in oil, in US dollar
the market closes red tomorrow, most likely
It MAY even open in the red.
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@jimcramer
I actually want a recession.
Recessions are good. They are like winter. They set the stage for the next round of growth.. old, unproductive stuff dies off, laying groundwork for new growth.
Embrace and love the recession.
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If they're pumping the QQQs, but selling $TLT
take the other side of that..
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Bubbles popping all over the place
pay attention
$UPST
this goes back to $15, of course
when.. not if
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I hate to say it... but I'm kinda BULLISH on $TLT as we head in to recession...
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anyway, $GME is a total scam..
interesting to see all that massive volume last week in the stock
almost like some folks knew about that Monday morning tweet that would be coming
now those folks are selling to you
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@wingthe3rd
@bobba_lu
@Deadspin
So you're saying the owner; acting in his own interest, is allowed to choose whoever he wants to give him the best chance of success without regard to race, sex gender, whatever??? That's a wild idea... Night just work!
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don't buy something because you think its "cheap"..
it can still lose.. well, 41%.. the very next day
$CVNA
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$VT is the "total world" stock market
#ETF
"I dislike the stock"
(your fourth opportunity to short the whole world. Don't screw it up this time)
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Bears
Don't shoot until you see the whites of their eyes..
on that line
$SPX
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In 2008, market rallied for two months from early March after the Bear Stearns forced buyout by JPM, to about mid May before peaking and steadily declining until Lehman blew up in Sept. We may do something similar this year. Don't get overly bearish here..yet
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@DowdEdward
please insure my stock trading account as well.
I'd like the ability to borrow unlimited amounts.
I have a business plan: Every day I"m going to buy insane 0DTE options... if I lose, I double it and try again tomorrow
Eventually, I'll hit it. Foolproof plan
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if you're one of those people (I used to be one) that feels compelled to constantly try to short $QQQ (even though literally everything else in the market is a better short), here's where you do it
if we close above that line (ever), you stop out on the short
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I'd actually be a lot more convinced of the bear market thesis if something was moving lower lol. Like, anything
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i started an AI "$hit" list
for shorting
give me suggestions. Not $NVDA that's the strongest beast in the herd
I want the weaklings on the periphery
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If, for some reason, this $SIVB meltdown threatens the entire financial system, then everything the Gov't and Fed has done since 2008 has completely and utterly failed.
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well.. everyone says $AAPL is a bond
today, it looks like a bond LOL
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so many people waiting for the market to "crash", presumably so they can "buy the bottom
That's not how a real bear market works. But whatever
carry on
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Everyone focus on stocks..but that bond market is the bigger issue. We are in this incredible debt/spending upward spiral..the higher rates go, the more it costs to finance it
No one seems to care.
Until they do :) we'll revisit this on that day
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One by one the Dow Components are sounding the alarm
but.. no one cares.. yet
interesting to see how it all plays out
$NKE , the "next shoe to drop"
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People ask me.. where do you think the banks are going?
I have an answer.. I don't give vague, BS answer
$KRE should go to $30
at that point, maybe you think about buying the survivors
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If you though the Fed tightening rates in to a slowdown is bad....
just wait until you see what happens when Russia and OPEC tighten the oil supply in to a recession
almost like old Putin has a long term plan.... (with Xi in cahoots)
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Did you guys see that massive dump of $TLT in the final minute?
wow!
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about that "rotation in the small caps"
might want to rethink that
$IWM
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according to my style of trading.. this was the SELL signal I was looking for.
after all I have been trying to teach you.. well, I can only show you the chart
Good trading!
(BTW, if we go back up to retouch that line, sell.. do not buy)
$SPX
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@DonnaHWalker1
Just goes to show that "buy and hold" isn't a good strategy.
What is this worth now? Nothing?
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we're in an interesting situation.. $AAPL and tech at 6 month highs, $BAC, $WFC and banks at 6 month lows
There's a reason for this.. its the Fed.. Fed is going to either screw the banks and ignite tech (by pausing or hiking 25) or screw tech and save the banks (by hiking 50)
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@Redistrict
who cares?
Imagine a world where we judged a politician not on their skin color, but on how well they did the job
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if we use end of day line, $TLT just squeaked over the downtrend line.. But they sold it all day on heavy volume... closed near the lows, opened near the highs
so.. I don't know if we're out of the woods here.. next week should clarify
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for my new followers .. this is what you're in for! LOL
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@KeithMcCullough
Fellow Gen X 52 year old weighing in here.. it definitely is, for certain. Due to high commissions back then, retail wasn't yolo'ing out the money calls like a bunch of drunk sailor's on death row
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one more chart before we call it a day
No indicator is perfect ALL the time.. so eventually this one will be wrong.. but so far in the bear market, its been perfect for $QQQ
when the MACD is above zero, market going up, when its below, market is trending down
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well they parked it right at the line
See you all next week!
$QQQ not out of the woods yet
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there's literally never been a better time to short $SMH imho
that doesnt' mean its GUARANTEED.. just means i love the risk/reward set up
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@business
Imagine a site where you PAY THEM to post free content, which draws people to the site and makes money for the site owner, while you (the content provider) get nothing from it.
Hmm.. I am having troubling imagining that.
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@InvestorTurf
The entire South Korea market is now Robin Hood??
That's interesting...hmm...maybe this is a big deal
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I probably annoy some people
Sorry about that
But I try to be honest too.. real time stock trades and calls...posted for everyone to see
Some even work out for a profit . I genuinely hope you all make money. I like people. Even if you disagree with me. Honestly :)
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what if they downgraded US debt and literally no one on the face of the earth cared.
At all.
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I'd say a close below $83.50 on $TLT should generate the "next leg down" signal
Pretty nice chart here
are you bearish enough on $TLT?
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Remember.. $JETS is your leading indicator
$JETS is now our leading indicator.. keep an eye on it
Clear skies for now
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$MCD is the most recession proof stock there is. In good times, it does well. In bad times, it does even better
took a young adult from my youth group and my son to MCD's tonight, because she was going through some tough times and wanted to talk. I spent $37
bullish
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@DaveHcontrarian
No. Rates have not topped. Bonds are going lower. USD is going higher. Stocks are going lower. Stop with the "melt-up". How many people do you want to take down with you?
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The thing Wall Street is going to quickly realize is this: four banks have been "bailed out" in one form or another
In every case, their equity and bond holders lost everything
Invest accordingly!
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10 more follows to reach 3000
What are you all thinking??? Lol
But seriously..thanks!!
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so $NVDA won my first round of trying to short it.. as I ended up covering near the top... (for 2.4% loss)
but from the look of this chart, i'll be shorting it at the close today
Doomed
Covering my $NVDA short as it appears it will close over $279.
will live to short it another day.. in at $273, out at 279.38
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@patriotcorners1
Politicians who want to get us into to wars with countries that aren't threatening US
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had to cover my $ASTS... hit my stop of $20.50
so, took a 2.5% loss on that one (in at 20)
win some , lose some.. make sure the "lose some" part of that, is small
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