Despite its Gaza operations, Israel has yet to restore deterrence, which has been in a freefall since May 2000, when it was ejected from S. Lebanon. This will likely force rethinking of Israeli strategic thinking. I elaborate in
@ForeignPolicy
Remember when Denmark decided to confiscate jewelry of refugees from Syria and Afghanistan? Well, guess what, they won't be doing that to Ukrainian refugees. I wonder why.
POLL: Massive dip in Israeli public's support for a ground invasion.
On 19 Oct: 65% support ground invasion of Gaza.
On 26 Oct: 29%. 49% say they prefer the army to wait.
What a difference a week can make.
Just so we're clear, the US is still literally starving many Iranians through its sanctions.
But yes, do lecture us about how food should never be weaponized.
خبرنگار ورزشی اسراییلی: ایران باید در جام جهانی بازی کند. تیم ملی برای مردم ایران است.
مقایسه کنید این سخنان رو با تقاضای برخی به اصطلاح ایرانیانی که با بی شرمی از دنیا می خوان تیم ملی، سمبل اتحاد ایرانیان، از جام جهانی محروم بشه.
My unpopular opinion on Iran and the World Cup [THREAD]:
Iran 🇮🇷 MUST play the World Cup in Qatar.
National teams are not serving the regime or the governments only, they are serving the people. They serve the children, the elders, men and women. They give them hope.>
For what appears to be the first time ever, the front page of a major Iranian daily (Sazandegi) openly calls for an end to the morality police tasked with enforcing compulsory hijab on woman.
#نه_به_حجاب_اجباری
If you supported war and sanctions on Iran, you have no business pretending to care about the Iranians bravely protesting for their rights today. Your crocodile tears aren't fooling anyone.
#مهسا_امینی
"excluding Russia from SWIFT would make it impossible to support civil rights groups in Russia from abroad, or for Russian students abroad to send money to help their grandmothers"
Iran's been barred from SWIFT for better part of last decade without ever invading anyone.
In my latest for
@ForeignPolicy
, I look into the likelihood of a revolution in
#Iran
using a model developed by political sociologist Hossein Bishiriyeh in a 2010 interview with
@DannyPostel
.
#Iranian
Another reminder of the trauma of the 8-year war with Iraq. Using DNA parents of 17 y/o soldier Ebrahim Ghaemi find out the tomb of the unknown soldier belongs to their son who fell while defending Iran against Saddam. This is the moment they were reunited after 40 years.
پدر و مادری۴۰ سال چشم انتظاری کشیدند تا با آزمایش دی ان ای مشخص شود، شهید گمنام دفن شده در #دانشگاه_علامه_طباطبایی فرزند آنهاست.شهید ابراهیم قائمی هفده ساله بود که رفت از وطنش دفاع کند.لحظه وصال پدر و مادر با فرزندشان بعد از چهل سال را ببینید. متشکرم از خداوند بابت درک این لحظات.
If Hamas is really able to regroup and launch an offensive after nearly 120 days of one of the most intense bombing campaigns in human history, then the IDF is truly defeated. Any talk of defeating Hezbollah is a fantasy, with or without US help.
When THEY engage in such savagery, no one ever asks, "Is it their religion that makes them behave this way? Is it their culture?" There's no academic industry to pathologise their existence, there's no research funding to figure out why they refuse to adapt to civilised norms.
Prominent Iranian reformist
@mostafatajzade
responds to
@ABaerbock
's claim that barring Russia from SWIFT harms Russian civil society & students: "Why has no major gov noted the negative impacts of sanctions on civil society and democracy in Iran in the past 10 years?"
«وزیر خارجه آلمان علت مخالفت اولیه کشورش با قطع دسترسی روسیه به سیستم خدمات الکترونیک انتقال پول بین بانکها(#سوئیفت) را، تاثیر منفی آن بر #جامعه_مدنی روسیه خواند.» چرا هیچ دولت بزرگی متذکر آثار منفی تحریمها بر جامعه مدنی و دموکراسی در ایران در ده سال گذشته نشد؟
"a lot of messages" from reputable figures like the right honourable scholar/activist/poet/warrior/etc identified as "Bender".
I too see things when I went to see them, where I want to see them, and how I want to see them.
I’m getting a lot of messages from Iran and Iranians asking for a coalition of leading opposition figures to unite in standing against the Islamic Republic. I fully support the formation of such a coalition.
Given how central racism & Islamophobia are to US foreign and security policy, this former advisor to the
@StateDept
and
@WhiteHouse
named Stuart Seldowitz is totally on message in this disgraceful, Islamophobic tirade targeted at a defenceless food vendor
If he's serious, Iranian political Twitterverse is about shrink substantially. I'm guessing that many of the suspended accounts will have Albanian IP addresses.
Mr dear friend Mohammad Reza Jalaeipour was arrested today at 12:30pm in Tehran. According to family, he called three hours later from Evin Prison.
A lovely human & bright mind, he had been an outspoken critic of the "morality police".
#مهسا_امینی
#مهساامینی
#MahsaAmini
I appreciate the outpouring of sympathy and solidarity for
#Iranian
protestors. That should continue. But please extend your support to Saudi protestors, too.
Unless, of course, you think that some oppressive states should not be criticised.
Today we are announcing our intention to remove Iran from the UN Commission on the Status of Women. Given Iran’s brutal crackdown on women and girls protesting peacefully for their rights, Iran is unfit to serve on this Commission.
To the protestors: we see you and we hear you.
Freedom of navigation is protected under international law. The Houthis are threatening this freedom as well as world trade with their violent attacks in the Red Sea. These attacks must stop immediately.
As
#Iranians
prepare for
#Norooz
celebrations,
@mostafatajzade
, veteran pro-democracy activist who spent 7 years in jail, calls on
@POTUS
to "decisively" lift sanctions, return to
#JCPOA
, & rebuild Iran-US ties. Says sanctions demoralized Iran's pro-democracy movement.
@JoeBiden
«نوروز امسال را به فرصت بزرگی برای بازسازی مناسبات دو کشور تبدیل کنید. با تصمیمی قاطع گسست دولت جدید امریکا را از رویکرد تنشزای ترامپ اعلام کنید و به زبان تعامل و تکریم - نه تحریم و تهدید - با ملت و دولت ایران سخن گویید، تا دور تازهای از همکاریها آغاز شود.» نامه به #بایدن
Irony: German companies were instrumental in supplying Saddam with chemical weapons in his 8-year war on Iran. But
@dw_persian
's report on Iranian chemical weapons victims somehow forgets to mention this very relevant fact.
با وجود گذشت ۳۵ سال از حمله شیمیایی ارتش بعث عراق بە شهر سردشت، نه تنها مشکلات و معضلات عدیده قربانیان شیمیایی به قوت خود باقیست، بلکه کماکان هزاران مصدوم از جانب ارگانهای دولتی به رسمیت شناخته نمیشوند.
#Iran
hosts more than 3.5 million Afghans but
@dwnews
doesn't mention Iran once. Nor does it mention that
@HeikoMaas
won't even visit Iran (a neighbour of
#Afghanistan
) but will visit
#Qatar
(not a neighbour).
Is this what sharing the burden looks like?
Shortly after China and UAE release joint statement implicitly casting doubt over Iran's sovereignty over its three Persian Gulf islands, an Iranian daily runs a piece on its front page about Taiwan's legal right to be independent.
The look East policy is not working well.
Per
@bbcpersian
, a female tennis player from Iran won't be able to participate in tournament because UK gov denied her a visa to enter UK.
If reports is correct, UK gov needs to tell us how this is in line with its stated goal of promoting women's rights everywhere.
My take on
#IranProtests2022
for
@ForeignPolicy
"From now on, it will be costlier for the Iranian government to punish women for something the vast majority of Iranians do not consider an offense, let alone a crime."
#مهساامینی
Although the current protests were triggered, and are animated by, the frustrations over compulsory hijab, protesters are also channeling other pent-up grievances toward Iran’s ruling elites.
Would love to see how those up in arms about Russia's assault on Ukraine and its violates of international norms reacted to US killing of a sitting Iranian general two years ago.
Be consistent.
Millions of Iranians marching --> "state-managed", "organized"
Obscure 3-second clip not showing a single living breathing Iranian setting anything on fire --> "Iranian people".
Where there's a will (to see the Iranian people), there's a way (to see the Iranian people)
Why opt for a negotiated peace deal when you can spend $2 trillion & dispatch countless souls to their graves just to reach a worse but similar deal 20 years later?
#nobrainer
همین که طرف مجبور شده به بد بودن تحریم اعتراف کنه قدم رو به جلوست.
در مخالفت با جنگ و تحریم و سرکوب یک قدم کوتاه نیایید. لحظه ای در درستی راه خودتون شک نکنید.
طرف مقابل باید عقب نشینی کنه.
🗳️📢
For the FIRST time in
#Iranian
history, a woman, Azar Mansouri, has been elected as the Secretary-General of a major political party, the pro-reform Union of Islamic Iran People Party (UIIPP).
#Iran
اگر مخالف تحریم، جنگ،و سرکوب اراده و آزادی مردم ایران هستید و از همه طرف به شما حمله میشه، حتما این تویت رو به صورت مرتب برای خود بازگو کنید.
و ذره ای شک نکنید که در جای درستی ایستاده اید.
کسانی باید خجالت بکشند که تحریم و جنگ علیه ایران سرکوب ایرانیان را آسان تر می کنند.
از اصولتان دفاع کنید. از حمله و فحاشی سایبریهای حکومت یا اوباش خارج نشین نترسید. نگذارید مجبورتان کنند به توبه و استغفار.
اگر هم با جنگ و تحریم مخالفید هم با سرکوب حکومت، خوب میدانید از دو طرف مورد حمله بودن یعنی چه. به جایی که ایستادید ایمان داشته باشید و ذرهای عقب نروید.
@tparsi
& I argue in
@ForeignPolicy
that Saudis are escalating arms race in MidEast. But uneven Western approach has played a huge role in making this possible.
.
@jimsciutto
could have invited serious scholars & activists fighting for women's rights in Iran. Instead, he invites someone whose influence doesn't go beyond her Brooklyn flat.
You can't support sanctions that impoverish Iranian women & pretend to care about their rights.
“Iranians are brave enough to be their own storytellers” as they protest their govt’s hijab mandate and brutal crackdown,
@AlinejadMasih
tells me. An inspiring story of courage in the wake of
#MahsaAmini
’s death.
آیا شنیده آید که بریتانیا تمامی هزینه های دو جنگ جهانی رو با چاپیدن پول نفت ایران پرداخت کرد؟
عمیقأ از بابت سیب زمینی سپاسگزاریم.
#کودتای_۲۸_مرداد
#1953coup
آیا شنیده اید که سیب زمینی در دهه اول قرن ۱۹ توسط یک دیپلمات انگلیسی به نام سر جان مالکوم (سرجان ملكم) وارد ایران شد و او دانه سیب زمینی را به فتحعلیشاه قاجار هدیه داد و سیب زمینی در ایران مدتی به (آلوی ملکم) معروف بود تا اینکه به آن سیب زمینی گفته شد.
#روز_سیب_زمینی
#PotatoDay
Fyi:
@SpeakerPelosi
has condemned the attack. Pelosi!
But the German government had yet to condemn Azerbaijan's flagrant violation of Armenian sovereignty.
Angriff auf Armenien: Auch 6 Tage später vermeidet die Bundesregierung bestmöglich die Aggression Aserbaidschans anzuerkennen und zu verurteilen. Stattdessen verweist man heute auf eine "sehr komplexe Lage".
چیزی به نام فرهنگ غربی وجود خارجی ندارد. ده دقیقه بنشین کنار یک ایتالیایی، یونانی و یا اسپانیایی و خواهی دی�� که آنها به ما ایرانی ها شباهت بیشتری دارند تا با یک نروژی یا آلمانی.
یه خرده هم توصیه میشه پورن کمتر مصرف شه.
خوشحالی بعد از باخت #تیم_ملی_فوتبال ایران با نتیجه شش به دو مقابل انگلیس؛ دیدار اعضای تیم ملی با ابراهیم رئیسی و عدم حمایت از اعتراضهای سراسری پس از کشته شدن #مهسا_امینی، همزمان با انتشار عکسهایی خندان از اعضای تیم پیش از اعزام به قطر انتقادهای زیادی را به دنبال داشته است.
From my piece for
@RStatecraft
: "That the two countries could so rapidly climb the rungs of the escalation ladder and then teeter perilously on the brink of all-out war should serve as another reminder to the Biden administration of the imperative need to resuscitate the
#JCPOA
"
NEW: Tit-for-tat attacks in the Middle East show how Biden needs to revive the JCPOA ASAP.
@SajjadSafaei0
revisits a recent
@60Minutes
piece to explain:
Can the Iranian state mobilise millions in a matter of days? If yes, then why doesn't it do this more often? Also, if it can bring millions to the streets so quickly, it must be extremely popular, according to this reasoning at least.
@SinaToossi
State-managed marches of millions is just about the easiest thing for a dictatorship to organize. And even many who had a soft spot for Soleimani hate the regime and see it as their main enemy. As you know I agree with you in opposing Trump's policy on Iran but the fact is that +
"If you are neutral in situations of injustice, you have chosen the side of the oppressor."
#DesmondTutu
was an inspiration and his call was clear: the fight against injustice is not to be fought by the oppressed alone. It requires solidarity to end it.
Trump's pointman in Berlin tweets in Persian pretending to care about Iranian people while his admin worsened life of millions of Iranians through US sanctions & almost started a war with Iran. Sanctions pummeled Iran's middle class, the same people protesting today.
#مهساامینی
So clear that
@PressSec
is preparing the messaging groundwork for an interim deal — much less for much more. I can practically write both the agreement and the script.
It will be so bad — and so far from what Malley et al promised — that they have to resort to blaming Trump.
ماشاءالله کرمی، پدر مهدی کرمی، از محکومشدگان به اعدام در اعتراضات ایران در گفتگو با اعتمادآنلاین درباره حکم پسرش صحبت کرد. اعتماد آنلاین پیشتر نسخه نوشتاری این مصاحبه را منتشر کرده بود و در ۲۲ آذر فایل صوتی آن را نیز در صفحه اینستاگرامش منتشر کرد.
And the prize for the most imaginative spin on
#IranProtests2022
goes to this specimen here. Yeah never mind Iranian women's decades-long struggle, it's thanks to the deranged limb-chopper in Riyadh that Iranians are demanding their rights.
#Mahsa_Amini
#مهساامینی #مهسا_ایمنی
Saudi reforms for women have had a big impact on the world of Islam. As the previous upholder of ultra orthodoxy
#MBS
’s dramatic changes have sent a powerful signal that has undermined Uber conservatives across the region like the Mullahs in Iran ‼️
I can't imagine how this is going to make
#Germany
more attractive for foreign researchers, which Germany badly needs.
This is a sad day for research and science. And also for job security.
#ichbinhanna
#WissZeitVG
The WissZeitVG proposed reforms would change the maximum time that a postdoc is allowed to be a contract in Germany from a total time of 6 years to 3 years. This is absolutely insane. More stress, more precarious working conditions, and worse research.
#ichbinhanna
Those calling for total suspension of talks with Iran should tell us how they intend to resolve this issue without starting another war in the Persian Gulf region.
#JCPOA
My latest for
@ForeignPolicy
: US is the prime culprit for the current nuclear impasse w/ Iran. US reneged on
#JCPOA
commitments, not Iran. But Raisi admin's dysfunctional diplomatic approach is also to blame. Hope for nuclear deal revival is dwindling, but not all hope is lost:
It has become increasingly apparent that Raisi’s appointments at the helm of Iran’s foreign-policy apparatus are inconsistent with his stated aim of diplomatically reviving the deal,
@SajjadSafaei0
writes.
I'll be the first to admit that Iran is no civil rights paradise. But last time I checked, Iran doesn't have a set of roads that only one ethnoreligious group can access.
Football Legend Eric Cantona reminds football fans: "Let's not forget Julian Assange. A journalist jailed in England for publishing war crimes"
#FreeAssangeNOW
#WorldCup2022
1/3 Canada is deeply concerned by escalating violence and hostilities in the Arabian Gulf, following the lethal Houthi attack against Abu Dhabi on January 17.
If they have the audacity to viciously harass a
@nytimes
journalist as reputable as
@farnazfassihi
, imagine the harassment faced by countless journalists, analysts, & academics who aren't as well-known & lack any backing from their employer or any organisation for that matter.
.
@farnazfassihi
, an experienced journalist who covers Iran for
@nytimes
, has faced vile threats and attacks online. Farnaz has broken big stories about Iran, its leaders and the lives of its people at a time when information from the country is vital. We condemn those attacks.
"It's not the job of politics to tell the guns to shut up", says Annalena Baerbock.
The foreign minister of Europe's largest economy doesn't seem to know how politics works.
به این لحظه فکر کنید:
ایران در جام جهانی موفق ظاهر شده و میلیون ها ایرانی ��وشحال ریختن توی خیابان های کشور شادی می کنند و سعودی اینترنشنال مجبوره خبر رو منعکس کنه.
A year has elapsed since the start of the 2022 protests. As the protests were going on, I made a simple argument in
@ForeignPolicy
: that some of the key conditions for a revolution are missing in Iran.
But some didn't like to hear it.
This is what hardliners in the Islamic Republic are afraid of. Not some clown who rushes from one Western capital to another just to beg Western governements to add to sanctions on Iran.
Citing Israeli military leaders, the Israeli daily Yedioth Ahronoth (Hebrew version) is quoting Israeli military leaders that most of Hamas's brigades and senior military leaders are still alive after nearly 100 days.
You can marshal all your mental gymnastics skills, but no amount of subterfuge will ever hide the fact that it was the US that left
#JCPOA
& onus is on
@POTUS
to lift sanctions and end this unnecessary stalemate.
That's probably because
@tparsi
understands that US bears lion's share of responsibility for triggering, worsening, & maintaining this manufactured crisis. So his tangential reference to Iran's role make sense.(Yes, Iran also bears responsibility, which reasonable people notice.)
“This doesn't take any blame away from the Raisi gov's conduct,” he says, parenthetically, in a nine-tweet thread shifting the blame away from the Raisi gov's conduct and onto Israel and the US.
NEWSFLASH:
👇
Reviving the JCPOA isn't just about Iran's return to full compliance. It's also about sanctions relief. Kinda convenient to leave such a key detail out, don't you think?
#JCPOA
Yesterday, FM
@HeikoMaas
and Foreign Ministers
@SecBlinken
,
@JY_LeDrian
and
@trussliz
had a good discussion on security challenges which concern us all: Russia’s troop movements around Ukraine and the joint efforts to revitalize the
#JCPOA
by a return of
#Iran
to full compliance.
I'd take such statements by EU officials seriously if they hadn't lost credibility during Trump's bludgeoning of
#JCPOA
. EU did almost nothing to shield Iran from sanctions, nor did they censure US anywhere near as much as Iran. Always taking stance when taking stance has no cost
Iran must resume implementation of the Additional Protocol & cooperate fully with IAEA on all outstanding issues. Treatment of inspectors in Iran must be consistent with IAEA Agreement on Privileges & Immunities. Full support to
@iaeaorg
&
@rafaelmgrossi
👉
BREAKING: US President
@POTUS
has signed an order authorising hundreds of US special forces to be sent back to Somalia according to the New York Times. Around 700 US troops were moved out of Somalia during the last few days of Donald Trump’s term in January 2021.
My latest for
@ForeignPolicy
: Israel won't be carrying out an overt military strike within Iranian territory. Political and military considerations make it highly unlikely.
Shargh daily: some European embassies have ceased issuing visas to Iranians.
Euro govs love to express solidarity with Iranians, especially through sanctions & empty words, but their solidarity doesn't seem to extend to Iranians trying to visit loved ones in Europe.
Pathetic
صدور #ویزای_شنگن در ایران #تعلیق شد
رییس انجمن صنفی دفاتر مسافرتی #ایران:
برخی سفارتخانههای اروپایی، بهویژه در حوزه شنگن، بدون اطلاع رسمی و در تصمیمی که بیشتر شکل غیررسمی دارد، رسیدگی به درخواست ویزا را فعلا متوقف کرده و صدور ویزای شنگن را به حالت تعلیق درآوردهاند_ایسنا
So
@RhonddaBryant
wants 🇮🇷 out of
#WorldcupQatar2022
because of Iran's purported arming of 🇷🇺 against 🇺🇦.
By that token, should we ban England and Wales from World Cup, too? And what about 🇺🇸?
Group B will be an empty group.
#JCPOA
critics argue that reviving the deal will threaten
#Israel
's existence by allowing
#Iran
to find & arm allies. But I argue in this
@MiddleEastInst
piece that JCPOA revival can only threaten a certain conception of Israeli strategic thinking.
Whenever there are protests in
#Iran
, some in Iranians diaspora in West think it's time for them to shine in West. You ough to echoe grievances & views of Iranians, not hijack their struggle to make yourself look important in front of white friends over coffee breaks. #مهسا_امینی
Putin is holding the JCPOA talks and the global energy supply hostage.
The time to offer Iran an offer it can't refuse and neutralise Putin's stranglehold over the Western energy markets is NOW.
A problem with some Western progressives: Reckless, cold detachment from death, suffering, & injustice in faraway lands. Ironic because progressivism is at its core a form of altruism, seeing your own humanity in others.
But if your humanity has borders, is it even humanity?
I flew Apaches over Baghdad, ready to die for our country.
In the wake of the SCOTUS decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, I will not standby while Americans’ right to have an abortion is ripped away.
So for the love of God, vote this November.
#BansOffOurBody
BREAKING:
The 🇺🇸 US forces and iranian backed millitias are having some clashes in
🇸🇾 Syria
Reports of an attack on Al-Omar oil field in Syria, which houses a U.S. contingent
Also reports of an attack on Al-Shaddadi base in Hasakah province a while earlier.
U.S. F-16
"Iranians themselves, including many braving bullets to protest in the streets for weeks, will continue to bear the cost of sanctions far more than their own government,"
@SajjadSafaei0
writes.
This graph produced by Conflict Armament Research (
@conflictarm
) shows almost 80% of
#Iranian
drones deployed in Ukraine were manufacture AFTER Trump's withdrawal from Nuclear Deal (JCPOA).
This can indicate a shift in
#Iran
's threat perception as soon as JCPOA began to unravel.
The Shahed-131, Shahed-136, and Mohajer-6 UAVs were made almost exclusively of recently produced non-Iranian parts. Most of the components for which investigators could identify a date of manufacture were made in 2020-2021 (4/7)
بارها گفته ام بار هم می گم: این طرفداران سرو و صدایشان از شمارشان بیشتر است.
روی ترس و نا امیدی شما سرمایه گذاری کرده اند.
میلی متری بهشون باج ندید.
استوار باشید.