The ReThink Group
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Unconventional Risk Decision + Performance Consultants. Reshape Your Mental Game. Led by CEO @denisekshull
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If you keep considering feelings your enemy, you are war with yourself. If you embrace your emotions as information, they become much more friendly. You actually reduce the odds of acting on them by making them explicit or conscious.
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We perceive what we believe. In other words, we see what we want to see-- especially in our data.
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To become a really successful trader, you need to put as much (if not more) work into analyzing yourself as you do your data.
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Self-Knowledge Is the Key to Better Investing: a new episode of My Life in 4 Trades with
@maggielake
,
@DeniseKShull
, +
@RealVision
.
Making better decisions leveraging the latest neuroscience, psychology, and science re how emotions *really* work
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The key to successful risk decision-making isn't just about what you "know"-- it's also about how you think. How did you arrive at what you "know", what you believe? Why do you believe it? Learn the importance of self-reflection and stay ahead of the curve.
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How To Get In Touch With Your Intuition+ When To Trust Your Intuition When Making Decisions:
@DeniseKShull
for
@AuthorityMgzine
🧠
"Intuition means expertise, the sum total of your knowledge about something. It ties back to unconscious pattern recognition or the idea that you
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Black Friday Sale: Intro to the Trader Brain!
Use code "BlackFriday" for $150 off our trading psych course🧠
Learn more below⬇️
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"We tend to think our market asset is limited to our cash capital. We also tend to think only of our intellectual capacities as the avenue to an edge. In both cases, we omit a key factor in our success—our total mental or psychological capital."
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12 quotes + lessons from
@DeniseKShull
's Market Mind Games: featured on This Trading Life Blog (link below)🧠💸
1. Traders look for certainty in market decisions. However, the best traders learn to embrace ambiguity.
"We greatly prefer to know what exactly our odds are. We
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To promote our new eLearning course, Intro to the Trader Brain, we're doing a GIVEAWAY of one free trading psychology course ($847 value).
To enter:
✅Follow
@ReThinkGroup
and
@DeniseKShull
✅Like and RT this post!
Winner will be randomly chosen June 3 so they can access the
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If you really want to measure your “risk,” if you really want to know as much as possible about the odds of a trade or investment, then you better well keep your assumptions—which are beliefs—front and center. Otherwise, the numbers can look you straight in the eye and lie.
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Traders often ask "What was I thinking"? A common answer, after the fact, is that in the moment they wanted to be right or prove how smart the trade really was. Want to reduce this? Ask would I rather feel smart now or get paid more later?
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The trick to discipline is to realize that you need to control your actions and behaviors. Don't worry about controlling your feelings and emotions. Learn to sit with them. Investigate them. Then choose controlled/ disciplined behavior.
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Trading is most difficult mental challenge there is. No set pattern (like weather), no end of game (like sports), no clarity of meaning when things go bad. Always arguments for both directions. Ultimate ambiguity + uncertainty. Internalize that. You are the sensemaker.
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A tip for managing yourself while deciding to enter/exit trades (or decisions for that matter.): Instead of asking "enter/exit?", ask "is now the right time, should I wait, not wait?" and "What will happen if I wait?" The slight change in focus de-energizes the answer a bit.
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"We see what we want to see. We hear what we want to see. It's because we have a feeling about the issue... And then we only see the data that agrees with our feelings."
@DeniseKShull
on how emotions shape our decisions with
@TraderLion_
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💥Cyber Monday: Last Chance! 💥
$250 off Intro to the Trader Brain (our trading psych course) using code "CyberMonday"...
Start your 2024 trading year off right!
Learn more⬇️🧠💸
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Did you know that the information we consciously process is only part of the whole picture? Our brains take in + process all sorts of info outside our awareness... Think about your "gut feeling"/ intuition…
Learning to leverage true “gut feeling” (intuition) is the secret to
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One reason traders struggle w/ "Plan the trade, trade the plan" is our subconscious uncertainty signals-- they create a desire for certainty which we momentarily create by taking an action. Early exits, moving of the stop-- any action makes it feel more certain for a nanosecond.
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13
89
Our brain is predicting based on past experience. Therefore, the trick is to create new past experiences to draw from. But how do we do that?
Think about it like skiing (or any skill that requires practice). The first time you try, you decide to attempt the hardest, scariest
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Our brain is predicting based on past experience. Therefore, the trick is to create new past experiences to draw from.
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The trick to discipline is to realize you need to control your actions and behavior. Don't worry about controlling your feelings+emotions. Learn to sit with them, investigate them and then choose controlled/disciplined behavior.
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Trading is most difficult mental challenge there is. No set pattern (like weather), no end of game (like sports), no clarity of meaning when things go bad. Always arguments for both directions. Ultimate
#ambiguity
+
#uncertainty
. Internalize that. You are the sensemaker.
3
11
70
If you happen to wonder "why do I continuously fight the trend" ask yourself if it's important (imperative) that you prove yourself to be smart? The correct answer will be a feeling (or lack thereof) of desire.
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Discipline is the act of choosing the future feeling over the current desire. It looks like cognition mastering emotion, but it is not! It's changing the timeline of the affective prediction from immediate to future.
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The only structure that exists in markets is the one you make. Make it make sense to you-- realize it's a tool that must be used to get the job done. Optimize your tools for your way of thinking, understanding + stick with them.
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You've heard us say that accurately answering "what am I feeling + why" is a super-power.
As you try, start with the simplest categorization: good/bad + urgent/calm. Where does the current feeling fit in those categories? For example, excited is closer to "good" but more
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When we don't grieve significant losses, we act them out. We trade on the irrelevant unprocessed emotions. This is where true slumps come from.
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Trading success comes from learning to understand and use emotions. We can feel our emotions without acting on them. Emotional information is a dataset that we can learn to harness. It's more fighting the impulsive *behaviors* than fighting our emotions.
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The most successful traders don't "take the emotion out of it"-- they learn to use their emotions as a dataset + choose controlled behavior.
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Figure out a strategy to refrain from trading due to boredom and/ or desire for excitement. Forget that idea "you have to be in the game to make $" + know that even the very best sometimes struggle w/ this.
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That quiet, small, non-urgent voice is often just unconscious pattern recognition or the sum-total of all you have learned. It's a skill to differentiate it from impulse...but you can.
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Stops in trading should be where your prediction is clearly wrong. It might be price and it might be time but know that first and if it happens, exit despite the fears of what will happen next. I know it’s easier said than done, but if u remove your self-narrative it gets easier.
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Knowing, not controlling, your emotions can be your secret weapon.
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Owning + Harnessing Your Negative Emotions
Many performance advisors will tell you to “lose” your anger (frustration) and so-called negative feelings. They will say something like it wastes energy, attracts bad things etc.
The connotation is often “shake it off”– encouraging
2
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Think of 3 of your most regrettable trades-trading sequences and make a list of as many of the feelings-emotions that you were experiencing as it unfolded as you can possibly remember.
1
6
45
Trading is most difficult mental challenge there is. No set pattern (like weather), no end of game (like sports), no clarity of meaning when things go bad. Always arguments for both directions. Ultimate
#ambiguity
+
#uncertainty
. Internalize that. You are the sensemaker.
1
8
43
Trading decisions actually stem from your feelings about your analysis, not the cognitive analysis itself. This is why building a dictionary of your own feelings (i.e. this physical sensation tends to mean __) is so helpful. Learn to read yourself like you read charts.
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The way to "rewire" your brain to expect more success is to set up small events in which you prevail. Set up small wins. You need the past experience to predict the successful future. Always.
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In trading we use charts and probabilities to get the illusion of certainty. We'd be better off learning to tolerate ambiguity and uncertainty.
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To make good trading rules, one client follows these guidelines: 1) Rules he can live by 2) Rules that he owns 3) Rules that are integral to his approach 4) Rules tailored to his weaknesses 5) Rules that keep him in the ideal mental state
0
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45
One reason traders struggle w/ "Plan the trade, trade the plan" is our subconscious uncertainty signals - they create a desire for certainty which we momentarily create by taking an action. Early exits, moving of the stop-- any action- makes it feel more certain for a nanosecond.
2
9
44
A simple thing to remember in the realm of trading+investing psychology is that you decide based on your confidence + conviction (or impulsive fears). It seems like you decide on the data-- you don't. Analyze your feelings about the data and you have an edge.
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Don’t underestimate the power of unconscious pattern recognition.
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Intuition is unconscious pattern recognition-- almost like muscle memory. As you trade more (or gain experience in any area), you develop a feeling of what is "right" or what's going to happen. Learn to listen to it.
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Typical trading sequence: hesitate, frustration over miss-out, oppose trend for "just a small winner", lose, more frustration, risk meltdown.
#tradingpsychology
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Leveraging Your Brain Predictions to Accomplish 2024 Goals🧠
Want to get more "disciplined?" Want to follow through on the goals you set for yourself? Learn to understand what you are feeling and why, with an emphasis on the feeling *beneath* the feeling-- the future emotion you
1
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The single most important emotion you want to be able to recognize, analyze, and better navigate is the fear of future regret or the fear of feeling bad (mad, embarrassed) in the future. Get better at realizing these subconscious predictions and you WILL do better.
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One very effective strategy to getting better, being better is just to accept, w/ any judgment, ALL of your thoughts, feelings + emotions. Resolve to treat them as data - things to be understood. Reach to get the "why" right. Take action only when you understand ur true drivers.
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Growing up we absorb ideas like we are not good enough, smart enough, important enough...then in adulthood when faced w/ challenges those feelings faintly echo just below the level of awareness + influence the choices we make. Externalize to neutralize.
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Trading is most difficult mental challenge there is. No set pattern (like weather), no end of game (like sports), no clarity of meaning when things go bad. Always arguments for both directions. Ultimate ambiguity + uncertainty. Internalize that. You are the sensemaker.
0
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37
A risk decision is always a prediction about the future based on incomplete+in totality, unknowable future events. There are no future facts. Learning to tolerate the anxiety of the uncertainty will help you make the right decision.
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Here's an ironic trading tip. Put your desires to have a killer trade into words. Lean into feelings+emotions of really wanting something to work. Get desires out in the open for you to fully physically experience. Mostly you think you should suppress this. Don't. Lean into it.
0
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Want to have a better trading week? Find the predictions you are subconsciously making about how the outcomes will feel. Next, recognize when you are predicting 'glory' or embarrassment... Ask how much your personal ego should influence the choice at hand?
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Discipline is the act of choosing the future feeling over the current desire. It looks like cognition mastering emotion, but it is not! It's changing the timeline of the affective prediction from immediate to future.
0
9
38
Re trading:
Get comfortable with your inability to know, with the fact there there is no absolute right + wrong as the price/new could radically alter itself within a literal instant. Unlike sports, you can't make anything happen.
#tradingpsychology
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8
39
Intuition is unconscious pattern recognition-- almost like muscle memory. As you trade more (or gain experience in any area), you develop a feeling of what is "right" or what's going to happen. Learn to listen to it.
2
2
39
Sunlight: A Real "Quick Fix" 🌱🌞
Want to make a simple change to improve your health? Start getting more sunlight.
(An excerpt from our latest newsletter-- sign up here: )
When it comes to health, sunlight is your best friend. Take off your sunglasses
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36
When we are feeling uncertain, making a decision alleviates the discomfort. Learn to tolerate this discomfort to avoid making hasty decisions.
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By setting up small wins for yourself, you can learn to create new emotional experiences and therefore update your beliefs and predictions. You can learn to expect success from yourself.
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The brain works via unconscious prediction. Predictions are based on past experience, hence recency bias is the default! Add a step in your process to interrupt/ question the feeling that the same thing will happen.
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When making decisions, any decision, try to figure out what future feelings+emotions you are expecting to get from each choice. This will illuminate your true motivation more than any other single thing you can do.
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Interested in performing at your very best? Try self-compassion instead of critiques + directives. Find + accept the emotional logic of the behaviors that you want to change. We often screw up for reasons that are outside conscious awareness. Be curious not judgmental.
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So often we focus on the idea of discipline. Here's another angle. Focus on what it takes to make you, in your circumstance, feel motivated + optimistic. Push to find those feelings. Work from there. (Hint: small successes in hard things can help!)
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Don't try to push down desire. Lean into the desire to kill it. Admit to the fantasy. Itemize the FOMO, Fear of Future Regret and Fear of looking dumb/desire to be smart. Then you can understand how these feelings could be affecting your decisions + make better decisions.
1
7
37
The single most important emotion you want to be able to recognize, analyze, and better navigate is the fear of future regret or the fear of feeling bad (mad, embarrassed) in the future. Get better at realizing these subconscious predictions and you WILL do better.
0
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37
"We have two competing needs. One is to be fully ourselves and reach our potential. The other is to be part of a group and accepted and loved and they're in conflict... We're always nagivating those two... and the market is the perfect place to navigate."
Self-Knowledge Is the
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Everyone learns to think. We don’t learn to feel. In fact, we learn not to. We put our focus on our intellects without realizing that thought is always layered on top of our more visceral dimensions.
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Everyone thinks their mentality starts with their thoughts. It actually starts with the feelings they may or may not know they have. Want to change your thoughts? Start with admitting that what you really feel.
0
10
37
So often we focus on the idea of discipline. Here's another angle. Focus on what it takes to make you, in your circumstance, feel motivated + optimistic. Push to find those feelings. Work from there. (Hint: small successes in hard things can help!)
1
5
36
That quiet, small, non-urgent voice is often just unconscious pattern recognition or the sum-total of all you have learned. It's a skill to differentiate it from impulse...but you can.
3
10
36
"Pausing for a second can be an incredible way to make decisions that are more advantageous to you... Cause we can't control feelings. We're gonna feel the way we feel, but we sure as hell can control our behavior, and that's extremely important and extremely empowering."
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Did you know that if you are tired, it's likely you will misperceive risk? A thing (trade or whatever) will seem like less of a risk if you are fatigued. One of many ways that there is actually such a thing as psychological risk management - despite what some people say...🧠
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Make your confidence a priority by figuring out what increases, decreases, modulates it. This is a real competitive edge. It's both physical + cognitive. Give it care like you would a muscle or your attention to S+P futures.
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The people who are the best at predicting the markets are those who can predict other people. The market is a social game.
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In market games, you make money by correctly predicting the opponent’s future perceptions— not “the facts”!
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Trading is most difficult mental challenge there is. No set pattern (like weather), no end of game (like sports), no clarity of meaning when things go bad. Always arguments for both directions-- it is the ultimate challenge re ambiguity and uncertainty. You are the sensemaker.
2
12
35
If we work at it, we can all learn to recognize true intuition vs. impulse. First is pattern-recognition based on experience, latter is desire-driven. Admit desire + tolerate disappointment of not executing on it. KEY to following a game plan + using expertise.
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Many times, we're more afraid of what will happen if we feel the feeling than the feeling itself. For example, some people are more afraid of *feeling* fear than the fear itself.
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Nature has fractals. Cauliflower or broccoli are fractal patterns -- the small parts greatly resemble the whole. Our psyches are the same - the small events in childhood create patterns and we replay or re-experience the same patterns in our bigger adult lives.
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Saying "don't be angry" doesn't really work. Instead, learn how to navigate anger in a way that is productive. Despite what you hear, that is totally doable.
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The *single* most powerful thing anyone can do to become better is to develop more effective, more courageous strategies+tactics for responding to frustration, disappointment and fear - both conscious+unconscious.
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Figure out what you can do to increase odds that you feel energetic and confident-- both physically and mentally. Make a plan for your psychological capital.
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The argument over which is more necessary-- a trading system or the right mindset skills-- is unhelpful. They are codependent in the ongoing creation of results. Neither one does anything without the other.
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Be gentle with yourself. Allow ALL your thoughts + feelings. Just remember that many expectations + explanations are based on misunderstandings from our history.
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If u r not happy w/ results+don't understand why u keep doing same things over+over despite intending not to, commit to revealing your subconscious emotional constellations. Find the courage to identify all thoughts + feelings. Use thought to reveal your emotional logic.
#magic
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Re trading-- get comfortable with your inability to know, with the fact there there is no absolute right + wrong as the price could radically alter itself within a literal instant. Unlike sports, you can't make anything happen. At best, you can surf.
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When things go wrong, it's ultimately more productive to sit with your feelings of frustration +disappointment rather than to just leap into action. (Which is often just a tonic for avoiding the pain.) Eventually, this leads to more efficient action.
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Face the ambiguity and learn to love it. This tip alone will make you significant money.
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Get a piece of paper and write out the best answers you can to "What am I feeling and why?" DO NOT judge yourself. Let yourself sit with the feelings and then ask, "What do I predict is going to happen? How am I going to feel in the future?" THEN decide how to respond.
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If you're angry, don't try to make a decision. Try to put that anger into words. Feel it, but don't act on it.
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Finding yourself unsure of your beliefs/conviction re risk decisions? Spend focused time simply contemplating the situation then sleep on it. Your unconscious mind will reorganize elements + deliver you a more convicted intuition. If it doesn't, repeat.
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Want to learn to use your emotional info? Here are some strategies:
1) Change your opinion of your feelings. 2) Develop habits to notice what they are. 3) Dig deeper. What else is going on? 4) Feel them and name them. 5) Observe them and understand them before you act on them.
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You know yourself better than anyone else. So what if someone doesn't think you can do something or criticizes you. You know your own truth, capacity, and intent.
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Many people look to trading as a place to "take action"-- to act out frustrations in other areas of their life. Learn to recognize when the urge to trade is an impulse/ urge for action...
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Nature has fractals. Cauliflower or broccoli are fractal patterns-- the small parts greatly resemble the whole. Our psyches are the same-- events in childhood create patterns, and we replay or re-experience the same patterns in our adult lives.
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When building a winning trading strategy, one thing is absolutely essential: confidence. Know what you believe + why and when you are or are not convicted.
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Why do winning streaks turn to losing streaks? People are acting out a context of feelings. They throw caution to the wind in overconfidence, thinking they have a golden touch. Feeling the feeling, knowing what it is + why, and putting it into words short circuits that process.
1
5
31
One reason traders struggle w/ "Plan the trade, trade the plan" is our subconscious uncertainty signals-- they create a desire for certainty which we momentarily create by taking an action. Early exits, moving of the stop-- any action makes it feel more certain for a nanosecond.
0
4
33
That quiet, small, non-urgent voice nudging you towards the right decision is often just unconscious pattern recognition or the sum-total of all you have learned. It's a skill to differentiate it from impulse...but you can.
1
4
32